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Pakistan needs ‘developing youth skills’

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Pakistan has witnessed further decline in Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) at a time when the country is going through an extreme financial crisis. The country recorded a huge decline in FDI which has pushed the already ailing economy of the impoverished country to the brink of collapse.

The investment has dropped by 52% in the first four months of the current financial year. FDI between July and October has decreased from $726 million to $348 million and the largest investment in Pakistan during the current financial year has come from China which amounted to about $74.8 million.

The State Bank of Pakistan has expressed concern over the decline in FDI, lamenting the country is moving towards becoming a bankrupt state. It fears the situation could be dire in case FDI declines further.

The UAE had invested $67.6 million this time last fiscal year, but in the current financial year, it has decreased to $51.4 million according to data provided by the State Bank of Pakistan.

Delay in reforms pushing Pakistan toward default  

Without doubt, Pakistan’s economy will have a little chance to improve sans addressing structural distortions as these distortions are present across all aspects of economic policies to start from taxes to subsidies, from trade restriction to gender norms and etc….

Pakistan’s textiles exports have also dropped to their 17-month low since May 2021 due to a global economic slowdown in the textile and clothing demand in the US, UK and Europe. No matter whatever was the reason, whether price inflation, growing energy expenditure and surging credit costs in the West, it was a disappointing export scenario for Pakistan. Last year, Pakistan export earnings were at $19.35 billion, a historic high, but this year it may decline by $3 billion.

Islamabad is facing an unprecedented foreign exchange crisis, highlighting the fragility of the country’s economic situation.

But Pakistan’s Minister for Planning, Development and Reforms, Ahsan Iqbal said that there is no possibility of bankruptcy in the current state of Pakistan’s economy. Accepting economic problems, he said that efforts are being made to settle it quickly.

Challenging road ahead  

Marred by political uncertainty and challenging economic indicators, Pakistan’s GDP growth is projected to witness a significant slowdown to 2.1% in the ongoing fiscal year.

In its latest report, the Egyptian financial services company forecast Pakistan’s real GDP growth will slow to 2.1% in FY, from 6.2% in the previous fiscal year with the potential for a mild recovery in FY24 to 3.1%.

According to the report, Pakistan’s macro outlook remains hostage to political instability that has unfolded since early this year after the impeachment of former Prime Minister Imran Khan.

Iqbal also blamed Khan and his political party Pakistan Tehreek-e Insaf (PTI) for spreading false propaganda on the country’s economic conditions. Khan is responsible for this financial crisis in Pakistan, according to Iqbal, who claimed that Shehbaz Sharif government will be able to come out of this situation.

Beside the political environment that has become a deadlock with a cornered ruling coalition facing an increasingly popular opposition, leading to a political stalemate, the recent floods also paint an unfavorable economic outlook with the loss of billions of dollars in infrastructures.

Moreover, supply disruptions on the food side, mainly due to the recent floods, and potential measures to contain the fiscal deficit are likely to keep inflation elevated, according to Egyptian report, as it also projected average inflation of 23.5% in FY23

Pakistan eyes boosting trade ties with Turkey

Pakistan Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif is looking to boost trade and investment ties with Turkey as both the countries are going to celebrate the 75th anniversary of the establishment of diplomatic ties this year.

“The deep-rooted brotherly relations between Pakistan and Turkey will be further consolidated through strengthening trade and investment ties,” Sharif said, in his address at the Turkey-Pakistan Business Council organized by the Turkish Foreign Economic Relations Board (DEIK) in Istanbul.

Praising the contribution of DEIK in boosting commercial ties between the two nations, he voiced his government’s “strong commitment” to providing opportunities to businessmen from both sides to further develop mutually beneficial linkages.

Sharif said that the Trade in Goods Agreement (TGA) signed in August, during the Turkish trade minister’s visit to Pakistan will contribute to achieving higher trade volumes commensurate with the true potential existing between the two sides.

During one-on-one meetings with Turkey’s leading business people on the sideline of the meeting, he urged the businessmen to invest in Pakistan, particularly in the evolving energy sector, such as renewable, and assured complete support of Pakistan’s government.

Pakistan has all the potentiality for economic recovery

Given all the difficulties, it doesn’t mean Pakistan has no road toward economy stability and for this the country needs to reduce income, gender, regional inequalities through progressive taxation and pro-poor public expenditures, greater participation of women in the labor force as well as special attention to less advanced regions. Islamabad also needs to expand vocational and technical training and robust social safety nets.

Pakistan is a young nation in terms of population and for the next 50 years at least, Pakistan will have a relatively young populace while the advanced countries are aging. The authorities must use this potentiality and equip these young men and women with the skill sets required by labor-deficient countries.

Japan wants 80,000 ICT professionals until 2030, while Korea has also opened its doors to foreign workers, and similarly, the immigration policies of Canada, Australia, New Zealand have been altered in favor of technical and skilled manpower. This is indeed a great chance for the Pakistanis to meet this growing demand which at the end of the day this process will introduce and produce good professionals to the country.

The young generation can also emerge in technologies and their applications to industry, agriculture, education, health, finance, and other sectors or remain part of Technology laggards.

Pakistan’s economy continues to be in shambles and it is widely feared that Pakistan is on the verge of imminent default, and since the start of 2022, Pakistan has faced a series of balance of payments crises. Meanwhile, the devastating floods had taken up whatever was left of the poor population. Time has come for the Pakistani policymakers to halt politicking and solve the protracted economic problems through the workforce of its young and energetic generations.

 

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Pentagon plans covert spy ring for economic war on China, report says

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The US Department of War (Pentagon) is reportedly planning to establish an extensive network of deep-cover agents to wage economic warfare against China and other adversaries of the US.

According to a report by The Washington Post citing six sources familiar with the initiative, the plan has not yet been put into effect. The newspaper reported that the initiative remains at the planning stage. The Pentagon, however, denies that any such initiative exists.

The report said the operatives would pose as entrepreneurs or private sector employees while concealing their ties to the US government. The network’s mission would be to gather economic intelligence and counter China.

The programme is led by Tom Rakusa, who spent 39 years at the CIA. Rakusa serves as a senior adviser to Deputy Secretary of Defence Steve Feinberg.

The proposed spy network is seen as part of a broader policy by the Donald Trump administration to sharpen economic competition with other countries.

The US is already resorting to tariffs, export controls, and investment in strategic sectors, alongside expanding its economic intelligence gathering.

According to The Washington Post, the new initiative demonstrates the Pentagon’s growing influence under the Trump administration. The department is currently seeking a record budget of $1.5 trillion.

Trade war flares up again with Trump’s return to the White House

The trade friction between the US and China flared up again following Donald Trump’s return to the White House. In April 2025, Washington raised tariffs on Chinese goods to as much as 145%, and Beijing retaliated with tariffs of up to 125%.

In May, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio described China as the primary geopolitical challenge facing Washington. Rubio said that to avoid war, the two sides needed to manage their conflict of interests.

In July, Chinese expert Zheng Yongnian did not simply warn that underestimating the US could prove to be a “fatal mistake”; he stated it explicitly.

According to Zheng’s assessment, the US maintains its primacy through the role of the dollar, its military superiority, and its technological advantages.

Even so, the two sides agreed in June to declare a truce and lower tariffs. In autumn 2026, the US and China extended their trade truce until 10 January 2027.

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the extension would give the parties more time to discuss economic issues.

Trade deals do not eliminate the strategic contradictions between the two countries. Financial Times columnist Rana Foroohar likened the race between the two nations for commercial, technological, and geopolitical influence to the 19th-century “Great Game” between the Russian and British empires.

Foroohar cited China’s standing in shipbuilding and commercial maritime transport, as well as its expanding footprint in overseas ports, among its key advantages.

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Japan plans curbs on short-term home sales to cool urban prices

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Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) plans to restrict short-term property trading to rein in surging home prices in major urban centres, particularly Tokyo.

Led by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, the party aims to make support for working households a core priority ahead of local elections scheduled for April next year.

The LDP’s research commission on housing and land policy met on Wednesday to discuss the issue.

According to a report by the Nikkei Asia newspaper, Commission Chair and LDP lawmaker Midori Matsushima said at the opening of the meeting: “Prices of newly built condominiums across Tokyo’s 23 wards have doubled over the past decade. We must work on measures ensuring that people who wish to live in these homes can actually afford to buy them.”

Homeownership in the capital has become virtually unattainable for broad segments of the population. According to data from the Real Estate Economic Institute, the average sale price of a newly built condominium in Tokyo’s 23 wards rose %18.5 in fiscal 2025 compared with the previous year, reaching 137.84 million yen (around $872,000).

Meanwhile, statistics from the Ministry of Labour show that the average annual income of a full-time worker in the capital remained at 6.78 million yen in fiscal 2025. This widening gap between incomes and residential property prices is directly shaping political priorities.

During its campaign for the House of Representatives election in February, the LDP pledged to curb speculative transactions across metropolitan Tokyo and other regions. Earlier this month, a party project team focused on policies concerning foreign nationals also submitted a recommendation urging the government to introduce immediate tax measures against rising home prices.

Under current legislation, profits realized from properties sold within five years of acquisition are classified as “short-term capital gains”. These returns face a tax rate approaching %40, including income tax and local inhabitant tax.

Although this rate is twice the approximately %20 levied as “long-term capital gains” tax on properties held for more than five years, several party members argue it remains insufficient to deter speculation. Calls to tighten the framework may be considered as part of the annual tax reform package to be drafted in December alongside the LDP’s coalition partner, the Japan Innovation Party.

The ruling bloc wants to present concrete housing pledges to voters heading to the polls in April across numerous urban centres, including 22 of Tokyo’s wards where local assembly terms expire.

“We need to support families with children, who are typically at the stage of purchasing a home,” a senior LDP official said.

Opposition parties are also preparing alternative proposals that target not only prospective homebuyers, but also residents forced into the rental market by high property prices and now affected by escalating rents.

Tax steps take precedence over limits on foreign buyers

Several countries seeking answers to housing affordability pressures have imposed direct restrictions on foreign purchasers. In South Korea, real estate policies played a major part in the declining public approval ratings of President Lee Jae Myung.

In August 2025, authorities in Seoul introduced an approval requirement for foreign nationals buying homes in the capital and adjacent areas, while also mandating that buyers reside in the properties for at least two years.

Canada and Australia have enacted temporary bans on foreign residential purchases, while Singapore levies a %60 additional stamp duty on foreign buyers.

The role of overseas investors in Japan’s property market also drew debate during the February election. However, restrictions aimed directly at foreign nationals are viewed as potentially conflicting with international trade and services agreements.

Consequently, rather than imposing restrictions based on the nationality of buyers, the government is discussing tax measures aimed at speculative real estate deals, such as rapid resales.

Fears that sharp market measures could shake regional banks

Concerns have also surfaced that aggressive steps to force down prices could harm the wider national economy.

A senior LDP tax official cautioned that a steep drop in land prices could weaken local financial institutions, warning: “We must consider the impact on regional banks.”

The real estate sector accounts for roughly %18 of total lending by Japanese banks. This proportion sits well above the %10 level recorded during Japan’s bubble economy of the mid-to-late 1980s.

At certain regional banks, property lending accounts for nearly half of total loan portfolios.

According to March 2025 data from the Financial Services Agency, approximately one-quarter of all loans extended by regional banks to the real estate sector are concentrated directly in Tokyo’s five central wards.

Buoyant asset valuations, supported in part by rising stock indices, have underpinned strong public approval for the Takaichi administration. Observers note that property interventions designed to cool the market could drag down equity prices and weaken the government’s standing.

A senior official on the LDP research commission stressed that decision-makers must act with caution regarding the scope and timing of any measures intended to bring price increases under control.

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South Korea plans $120B spend on eight US nuclear power plants

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South Korea will spend $120 billion to construct eight nuclear power plants in the US under an agreement that provides for $350 billion in investments in exchange for lower tariffs.

The South Korean government also announced that Seoul and Washington will begin examining a liquefied natural gas (LNG) project in Alaska comprising a large-scale pipeline to transport natural gas from the north of the state to the south, alongside the construction of an LNG terminal for exports overseas.

Seoul stated that a decision regarding the LNG project will be made following a commercial feasibility study. However, US President Donald Trump said that South Korea would invest $54 billion in the project, pointing to an apparent lack of full coordination between the two sides on the matter.

Trade and Industry Minister Kim Jung-kwan said in a statement: “This announcement opens a new horizon of cooperation where the two countries join forces to develop joint commercial ventures in strategic areas directly linked to economic security and future sectors such as artificial intelligence, nuclear energy, and LNG.”

“We will adhere to the principle of prioritising national interests and investing solely in commercially viable projects,” Kim said.

Speaking at the White House, Trump characterised South Korea’s plans as “one of the largest energy infrastructure investments in American history”.

The announcement followed a meeting between Trump and South Korean President Lee Jae Myung roughly one year ago at the APEC Economic Leaders’ Meeting held in South Korea, where they agreed on the creation of a $350 billion investment fund.

Under that agreement, $150 billion was allocated to the shipbuilding sector and $200 billion to other sectors. In return, the US announced it would reduce tariffs imposed on goods imported from South Korea from 25% to 15%.

Under the nuclear power project, South Korea’s state-controlled utility will build two plants in the US, while Pennsylvania-based Westinghouse Electric will construct six plants.

According to the South Korean government, this will mark the first instance in which a foreign country builds its own nuclear power plants in the US.

South Korean firms are also evaluating the possibility of acquiring a stake in Westinghouse as part of negotiations over sharing profits generated by the project.

South Korea additionally announced that it will build a $22.3 billion natural gas-fired power plant in Texas with a capacity of 6,472 megawatts.

The facility will be designed to supply electricity directly to nearby data centres. The project’s first phase is targeted to begin commercial operations in 2029, with full-capacity operations slated for 2032.

Seoul also disclosed that it had agreed to allow the US to receive 50% of the profits generated by the projects until South Korea recoups all of its investments.

After South Korea fully recovers its total investment amount, 90% of the profits will go to the US.

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