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Pakistan needs ‘developing youth skills’

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Pakistan has witnessed further decline in Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) at a time when the country is going through an extreme financial crisis. The country recorded a huge decline in FDI which has pushed the already ailing economy of the impoverished country to the brink of collapse.

The investment has dropped by 52% in the first four months of the current financial year. FDI between July and October has decreased from $726 million to $348 million and the largest investment in Pakistan during the current financial year has come from China which amounted to about $74.8 million.

The State Bank of Pakistan has expressed concern over the decline in FDI, lamenting the country is moving towards becoming a bankrupt state. It fears the situation could be dire in case FDI declines further.

The UAE had invested $67.6 million this time last fiscal year, but in the current financial year, it has decreased to $51.4 million according to data provided by the State Bank of Pakistan.

Delay in reforms pushing Pakistan toward default  

Without doubt, Pakistan’s economy will have a little chance to improve sans addressing structural distortions as these distortions are present across all aspects of economic policies to start from taxes to subsidies, from trade restriction to gender norms and etc….

Pakistan’s textiles exports have also dropped to their 17-month low since May 2021 due to a global economic slowdown in the textile and clothing demand in the US, UK and Europe. No matter whatever was the reason, whether price inflation, growing energy expenditure and surging credit costs in the West, it was a disappointing export scenario for Pakistan. Last year, Pakistan export earnings were at $19.35 billion, a historic high, but this year it may decline by $3 billion.

Islamabad is facing an unprecedented foreign exchange crisis, highlighting the fragility of the country’s economic situation.

But Pakistan’s Minister for Planning, Development and Reforms, Ahsan Iqbal said that there is no possibility of bankruptcy in the current state of Pakistan’s economy. Accepting economic problems, he said that efforts are being made to settle it quickly.

Challenging road ahead  

Marred by political uncertainty and challenging economic indicators, Pakistan’s GDP growth is projected to witness a significant slowdown to 2.1% in the ongoing fiscal year.

In its latest report, the Egyptian financial services company forecast Pakistan’s real GDP growth will slow to 2.1% in FY, from 6.2% in the previous fiscal year with the potential for a mild recovery in FY24 to 3.1%.

According to the report, Pakistan’s macro outlook remains hostage to political instability that has unfolded since early this year after the impeachment of former Prime Minister Imran Khan.

Iqbal also blamed Khan and his political party Pakistan Tehreek-e Insaf (PTI) for spreading false propaganda on the country’s economic conditions. Khan is responsible for this financial crisis in Pakistan, according to Iqbal, who claimed that Shehbaz Sharif government will be able to come out of this situation.

Beside the political environment that has become a deadlock with a cornered ruling coalition facing an increasingly popular opposition, leading to a political stalemate, the recent floods also paint an unfavorable economic outlook with the loss of billions of dollars in infrastructures.

Moreover, supply disruptions on the food side, mainly due to the recent floods, and potential measures to contain the fiscal deficit are likely to keep inflation elevated, according to Egyptian report, as it also projected average inflation of 23.5% in FY23

Pakistan eyes boosting trade ties with Turkey

Pakistan Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif is looking to boost trade and investment ties with Turkey as both the countries are going to celebrate the 75th anniversary of the establishment of diplomatic ties this year.

“The deep-rooted brotherly relations between Pakistan and Turkey will be further consolidated through strengthening trade and investment ties,” Sharif said, in his address at the Turkey-Pakistan Business Council organized by the Turkish Foreign Economic Relations Board (DEIK) in Istanbul.

Praising the contribution of DEIK in boosting commercial ties between the two nations, he voiced his government’s “strong commitment” to providing opportunities to businessmen from both sides to further develop mutually beneficial linkages.

Sharif said that the Trade in Goods Agreement (TGA) signed in August, during the Turkish trade minister’s visit to Pakistan will contribute to achieving higher trade volumes commensurate with the true potential existing between the two sides.

During one-on-one meetings with Turkey’s leading business people on the sideline of the meeting, he urged the businessmen to invest in Pakistan, particularly in the evolving energy sector, such as renewable, and assured complete support of Pakistan’s government.

Pakistan has all the potentiality for economic recovery

Given all the difficulties, it doesn’t mean Pakistan has no road toward economy stability and for this the country needs to reduce income, gender, regional inequalities through progressive taxation and pro-poor public expenditures, greater participation of women in the labor force as well as special attention to less advanced regions. Islamabad also needs to expand vocational and technical training and robust social safety nets.

Pakistan is a young nation in terms of population and for the next 50 years at least, Pakistan will have a relatively young populace while the advanced countries are aging. The authorities must use this potentiality and equip these young men and women with the skill sets required by labor-deficient countries.

Japan wants 80,000 ICT professionals until 2030, while Korea has also opened its doors to foreign workers, and similarly, the immigration policies of Canada, Australia, New Zealand have been altered in favor of technical and skilled manpower. This is indeed a great chance for the Pakistanis to meet this growing demand which at the end of the day this process will introduce and produce good professionals to the country.

The young generation can also emerge in technologies and their applications to industry, agriculture, education, health, finance, and other sectors or remain part of Technology laggards.

Pakistan’s economy continues to be in shambles and it is widely feared that Pakistan is on the verge of imminent default, and since the start of 2022, Pakistan has faced a series of balance of payments crises. Meanwhile, the devastating floods had taken up whatever was left of the poor population. Time has come for the Pakistani policymakers to halt politicking and solve the protracted economic problems through the workforce of its young and energetic generations.

 

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Chinese Politburo signals cautious confidence as Beijing pivots toward targeted tech support

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The mid-year meeting of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Politburo has long served as a critical evaluation point for Beijing. The session provides the central government with an opportunity to review developments from the first half of the year and steer the country toward a more realistic economic course in the months ahead.

The latest statement from the top leadership signals cautious confidence. The release indicates that policymakers are favoring a stable, targeted approach over the broad-based stimulus measures that characterized previous years. As China manages its economic transition, the post-Covid era of aggressive spending has clearly drawn to a close. In its place, a strategic and structural approach has taken hold, prioritizing resilience and stability over short-term capital injections.

According to the outcomes of the Politburo meeting, the policy orientation will continue to target specific sectors. Financial support will be directed away from the property market and toward high-tech emerging industries such as artificial intelligence and semiconductors. In the real estate sector, the objective remains stabilizing market confidence and keeping debt risks under control.

Infrastructure investment is likewise being reshaped around the concept of “new infrastructure.” The focus is no longer solely on concrete and physical structures; smart power grids, information technology networks, and data infrastructure have taken precedence.

This approach signifies an investment in future competitiveness rather than simply pumping capital into the economy’s more stagnant sectors. Serving as a new driver of growth, digital infrastructure fulfills a dual purpose: supporting domestic demand in the short term while safeguarding technological competitiveness over the long term.

Finally, Beijing is signaling a more conciliatory posture in international trade. The Chinese leadership aims to establish a more balanced trade framework to mitigate concerns voiced by trade partners such as the European Union over what has been termed “China Shock 2.0.”

As the administration prepares for critical leadership changes next year, its primary focus will remain on stability across both economic and social spheres.

China continues to strike a balance between realistic growth targets and systemic restructuring, maintaining policy leeway to absorb potential external shocks. Beijing’s economic strategy reflects a pragmatic assessment of both domestic and international challenges.

Struggling with weak demand, the domestic economy is not yet in a position to anchor national growth independently. Expansion continues to rely heavily on a record trade surplus alongside the impressive export performance of high-tech and clean energy sectors. However, this reliance has drawn pushback from several trading partners.

To stimulate domestic economic activity and ease trade tensions, Beijing unveiled its first standalone five-year plan focused on consumption. Released in July by the National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Commerce, the plan targets an increase in retail sales to 60 trillion yuan (approximately $8.9 trillion) by 2030. This represents an increase of roughly 20% compared to 2025 levels.

To improve profit margins for small businesses, regulatory authorities are tackling the issue of “involution”—described as excessive internal competition—by curbing platform monopolies and preventing destructive price wars. While these structural adjustments may take longer to yield results, they are viewed as a more sustainable and effective alternative to direct cash handouts.

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Chinese chipmaker profits surge 2,500% on explosive AI computing demand

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Major Chinese microchip manufacturers saw their profits surge by 2,579.5% in the first half of 2026, driven by unprecedented demand for artificial intelligence and computing capacity.

Data from China’s National Bureau of Statistics, cited by the South China Morning Post (SCMP), underscored the industry’s sharp upward trajectory.

Yu Weining, senior statistician at China’s National Bureau of Statistics, explained that this surge is directly connected to the accelerating integration of artificial intelligence across various sectors.

Yu noted that this process has increased the need for computing capacity. The demand for computational processes also lifted profits across the entire electronics industry by 97% year-on-year.

Profits of major Chinese industrial enterprises with an annual revenue exceeding 20 million yuan ($2.9 million) rose 18.7% in the first six months of the year, reaching 4 trillion yuan.

In the first half of 2025, before the global data center construction process had begun, industrial profits had dropped by 1.8% to 3.4 trillion yuan, while profit growth in the electronics sector remained at 3.5%.

The SCMP reported that the global AI boom has generated explosive demand for high-performance computing systems and memory chips, causing a structural pivot in China’s industrial landscape.

Data showed that integrated circuit production in the first half of the year grew by 23% year-on-year to reach approximately 280 billion units.

This figure means that the country produced an average of more than 1.5 billion chips per day.

The profit growth is also corroborated by forecasts from China’s leading chipmakers. Shenzhen Longsys Electronics, one of the largest memory module manufacturers, expects its profits to increase by more than 600-fold in the first half of the year.

Flash memory maker GigaDevice projects that its net profit will surge by approximately 1,099% year-on-year due to supply shortages and rising product prices.

Chinese companies in the AI chip segment are also demonstrating strong profit growth, albeit at a more moderate pace compared to the memory market.

Hygon Information Technology, which develops central processing units and computing units for artificial intelligence, projects that its profits will rise by up to 52.3%.

CXMT hits record high on Shanghai Stock Exchange

Shares of Chinese chipmaker CXMT gained more than 500% on their first day of trading on the Shanghai Stock Exchange on July 27, jumping from 8.66 yuan to 55 yuan.

As a result of this sharp surge in its shares, CXMT’s market valuation reached 3.65 trillion yuan ($539 billion), making the company China’s most valuable publicly traded firm.

At the peak of the rally—even though quoted prices underwent a slight correction toward the close of the trading day—CXMT surpassed Tencent, which was trading on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange with a market capitalization of $514 billion.

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Massive student movement over exam leaks forces resignation of India’s education minister

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Indian public examination reform proposals follow education minister’s resignation after nationwide youth protests

India’s federal government introduced legislation in parliament on Monday to amend the law governing public examinations, days after the “Cockroach” movement forced the resignation of Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan following nationwide youth protests.

The bill incorporates enhanced sanctions, including longer prison sentences and higher fines for those found responsible for exam leaks and irregularities.

The demonstrations are widely viewed as the most significant youth-led challenge faced by Prime Minister Narendra Modi since he took office in 2014.

What triggered the protests?

Nearly 2 million students took the National Eligibility cum Entrance Test (NEET), an undergraduate medical entrance examination, in May. The federal National Testing Agency cancelled the exam on May 12 following allegations that question papers had been leaked. The examination was re-administered on June 21.

Young people took to the streets to protest against examination fraud, youth unemployment, and a perceived lack of future prospects.

According to a BBC report, the unemployment rate among university and college graduates aged 15 to 25 in the country stands at a critically high level of 40%. The addition of corruption in public examinations to existing economic strain broke the patience of the youth.

Abhijeet Dipke, founder of the Cockroach Public Party (CJP) movement, led the protests.

The movement derived its name from remarks made in May by Supreme Court Judge Surya Kant, who used the terms “cockroach” and “parasite” in a derogatory reference to unemployed youth and protesters. Young demonstrators adopted the insult as a symbol and named their movement after it.

How the movement unfolded

Young protesters organized street demonstrations demanding the resignation of Education Minister Pradhan. Dipke, who initiated the movement in New Delhi, subsequently organized protests in other parts of the country.

Sonam Wangchuk, one of the protesters, began a hunger strike at the demonstration site in support of the movement. As his physical condition deteriorated, authorities forcibly transferred him to a hospital.

The reaction to Wangchuk’s forcible removal from the protest site caused crowds at the venue to expand rapidly.

Tens of thousands of protesters faced tear gas and baton charges by police while attempting to march on parliament. Some demonstrators engaged in clashes with law enforcement officers.

CJP leaders held talks with ministers from the Modi government, who requested time to evaluate the protesters’ demands internally.

Modi called for unity among lawmakers in the ruling coalition to implement strict measures against exam paper leaks, punish those responsible, and establish a secure, leak-proof system.

Opposition representatives led by Rahul Gandhi staged a sit-in at the entrance of Modi’s official residence demanding Pradhan’s resignation. They were briefly detained by police before being released.

Opposition lawmakers supporting the student protesters disrupted proceedings in parliament. Demonstrations expanded to other regions of the country, including the financial hub of Mumbai.

In his first direct statement regarding the protests, published in a post on X, Modi announced that special courts would be established to prosecute individuals involved in exam paper leaks. Protesters rejected the proposal.

Movement leaders held a second round of talks with the government after Wangchuk ended his 26-day hunger strike.

Following those discussions, the government requested time until the afternoon of the following day to respond to the demand for Pradhan’s resignation.

Education Minister Pradhan subsequently announced his resignation, stating that he was stepping down in light of the situation at the protest site and across the country, as well as to prevent “external forces” from exploiting the environment.

On July 26, Modi announced the creation of a task force headed by technology entrepreneur Nandan Nilekani to overhaul the country’s examination system.

On Monday, July 27, the government presented a bill to parliament proposing amendments to the law governing public examinations. The legislation introduces stiffer penalties for offenders, including extended prison terms and increased monetary fines.

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