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‘Blinken’s visit showed that the US is in favor of maintaining the status quo’

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During his meeting with US Secretary of State Antony Blinken on Monday, Chinese President Xi Jinping said that the US and China had made “progress” towards stabilizing their deepening bilateral relationship.

Xi’s remarks were interpreted as the strongest signal so far of a thaw in Beijing and Washington’s increasingly acrimonious relations.

At the Great Hall of the People, in a long-delayed meeting with Blinken, the first US Secretary of State to visit Beijing since 2018, Xi said whether China and the US can get along “bears on the future and destiny of humanity.”

Emphasizing that the two countries should properly handle China-US relations with a sense of responsibility for history, for the people and for the world, Xi added that the two sides “have made progress and reached an agreement on some specific issues” in extensive talks between top Chinese officials and Blinken.

Speaking to reporters during a visit to California on Monday, US President Joe Biden also stated that Blinken did a “hell of a job” in China, adding that “we are on the right trail.”

Blinken told journalists after the meeting that he recognized that both countries have “an obligation and responsibility to manage this relationship.”

“It was clear coming in that the relationship was at a point of instability and both sides recognized the need to work to stabilize it,” Blinken said, adding that this meant “establishing better lines of communication to make sure that the competition does not veer into conflict.”

On the other hand, Blinken emphasized during the meeting that the US is not seeking a new Cold War and not trying to change China’s system. It was also noteworthy that Blinken stated that Washington does not support Taiwan’s independence.

Blinken also told Xi that the US side looks forward to building high-level relations with the Chinese side, maintaining open lines of communication, managing differences responsibly, and continuing dialogue, exchange and cooperation.

The sides described the talks as “long, sincere, in-depth and constructive”. From now on, the two countries are expected to increase high-level interactions, including visits by ministerial-level officials.

Many question marks

Commenting on Blinken’s visit, Dr. Hüseyin Korkmaz, an expert on international security studies, said that the meetings raised many questions.

Dr. Korkmaz emphasized that although the statements emphasized “hours of cordial talks”, no concrete results came out of these meetings and this was reflected in the statements.

“It seems that the main goal of the US in relations with China is to continue the ‘strategic rivalry without veering into conflict’,” Korkmaz said, adding that with Blinken’s visit, the US has shown an attitude in favor of the continuation of the status quo in both bilateral relations and the Taiwan issue.

Noting that Chinese Foreign Minister Qin Gang’s affirmation that relations were at a “low point” and his subsequent statement that the Taiwan issue was a “big risk” appeared to be a serious warning, Korkmaz recalled the words of senior Chinese diplomat Wang, “Stop exaggerating the China threat theory”, and stated that China adopted a tough discourse in this context.

A temporary hiatus

According to Korkmaz, “the US-China rivalry cannot long endure a temporary respite, fortified by a cold peace”.

“China believes that the US is trying to stifle its development with its ‘encirclement’ strategy, while the US sees China as a revisionist-leaning country with aggressive military growth. The US, on the other hand, perceives China as a revisionist power with an aggressive military growth and, more importantly, as a ‘threat’ for the last 5 years.”

Pointing out that it is difficult for Blinken’s visit to contribute to a thaw in relations, Dr. Hüseyin Korkmaz said that both sides would prefer a “protracted rivalry” by trying to maintain their positions from now on.

According to Korkmaz, rather than a cold peace, which the US expects, this situation may turn into a “hybrid cold war” in which traditional and non-traditional methods are used together.

DIPLOMACY

Fidan and Rubio discuss Syria, Gaza, and defense in US meeting

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Minister of Foreign Affairs Hakan Fidan and his accompanying delegation began a two-day visit to the US.

During the visit, Fidan met with US Senator Marco Rubio. According to a statement attributed to US State Department Spokesperson Tammy Bruce, the two discussed cooperation on key issues in security and trade.

Rubio requested Turkey’s support for peace in Ukraine and the South Caucasus, while appreciating Ankara’s leadership in the “Global Coalition to Defeat ISIS.”

According to the spokesperson, the American senator reiterated the need for close cooperation to support a “stable, unified, and peaceful Syria,” stating they do not want Syria to be “either a base for international terrorism or a pathway for Iran’s destabilizing activities.”

Rubio also highlighted recent progress in bilateral trade and encouraged an even greater economic partnership moving forward.

Finally, the Senator expressed concerns regarding the recent arrest of Ekrem Imamoglu in Turkey and the subsequent protests.

Turkey has not made an official statement: AA reported based on ‘foreign ministry sources’

According to Turkish Foreign Ministry sources cited by AA, Fidan and Rubio emphasized the “importance of engaging with the Syrian government” during their meeting on Tuesday.

The sources stated, “Both sides emphasized the importance of engaging with the Syrian government and expressed their determination regarding the stabilization of Syria and the fight against terrorism.”

According to the sources speaking to AA, Fidan and Rubio discussed a range of regional and bilateral issues, including the need for a permanent ceasefire in Gaza, deemed essential for “regional peace.”

The sources also mentioned that the issues discussed in the phone call between President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and US President Donald Trump on March 16 were followed up on during the meeting.

The two sides also discussed preparations for upcoming presidential-level visits and expressed their determination to remove obstacles to defense cooperation.

The report added, “Both sides clearly expressed their political will to remove obstacles to cooperation in the defense industry. Technical meetings will be held to resolve existing issues.”

The two sides also discussed efforts to achieve a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine, with Turkey expressing support for recent US efforts in this direction.

The talks also covered the ongoing peace process between Azerbaijan and Armenia and the importance of Bosnia and Herzegovina’s stability for the entire Balkan region.

Is Hamas on the table?

Meanwhile, Trump, during a White House meeting with a group of US Ambassadors confirmed by the Senate, referred to Turkey and Erdogan as a “good country, a good leader.”

The new US Ambassador to Ankara, Thomas Barack, was also present at the meeting. Barack, known as a close friend of Trump and a real estate magnate, thanked the President for appointing him to Turkey, “one of the ancient civilizations.”

In an article penned by Murat Yetkin in Yetkin Report, it is alleged that Trump might engage in bargaining over Hamas and Gaza in exchange for steps such as lifting CAATSA sanctions against Turkey.

Yetkin relays that CHP leader Ozgur Ozel, in a statement on March 18, referred to the Trump-Erdogan phone call, criticizing the lack of mention of Gaza and Israel, and accused Erdogan of “selling out the Palestinian cause for Trump.”

Recalling that Trump’s special representative Steve Witkoff told Tucker Carlson in an interview that they expect “good news” from Turkey, Yetkin underscores that Witkoff also stated elsewhere in the interview, “A terrorist organization cannot run Gaza; this is unacceptable for Israel. But their disarmament is possible. Then they can stay for a while longer and even get involved in politics.”

Yetkin asks, “Is Trump supporting Erdogan because of a plan to disarm the PKK and Hamas together?” while also noting that the Secretary of the PLO Executive Committee, Hussein al-Sheikh, met with Foreign Minister Fidan in Ankara on March 19, before Fidan flew to the US.

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DIPLOMACY

Agreement reached on Black Sea navigation safety between US, Russia, and Ukraine

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According to a statement from the White House, the US has reached an agreement with Ukraine and Russia to ensure navigational safety in the Black Sea.

It was stated that both sides agreed to refrain from using force and would not permit commercial vessels to be used for military purposes.

In return, the US will assist Russia’s return to the global market for agricultural products and fertilizer exports, reduce maritime transport insurance costs, and expand access to ports and payment systems for such operations.

Additionally, Washington has reached an agreement with Kyiv and Moscow to halt mutual attacks on energy facilities.

The White House stated, “The US will continue to facilitate negotiations to achieve a peaceful resolution between the two sides.”

Simultaneously, it insists on fulfilling US President Donald Trump’s demand to “stop the killings on both sides.”

Ukrainian Defense Minister Rustem Umerov confirmed the agreement but claimed that “Russia moving its warships outside the eastern part of the Black Sea would be considered a violation of the spirit of this agreement,” a breach of obligations to ensure freedom of navigation, and constitute “a threat to national security.”

Umerov asserted that in such a situation, Ukraine would “exercise its right to self-defense.”

Umerov also reported that the presidents of all parties agreed to implement agreements on a complete cessation of attacks on the energy infrastructure of Ukraine and Russia.

Furthermore, according to Umerov, the US confirmed it would assist with prisoner exchanges, the release of civilian detainees, and the return of forcibly displaced Ukrainian children.

A provision to this effect is also included in the White House statement.

“Effective implementation of the agreements will require additional technical consultations to coordinate all details, including ensuring monitoring and control of the agreement,” Umerov added.

Russia confirmed its agreement not to use force in the Black Sea amid the ongoing war with Ukraine.

However, Moscow insists on inspections to prevent the use of commercial vessels for military purposes.

The Kremlin also emphasized that compliance with the Black Sea ceasefire would begin after sanctions related to Russia’s food and fertilizer exports are lifted.

Specifically, this involves connecting the Russian Agricultural Bank (Rosselkhozbank) to the SWIFT system and opening necessary correspondent accounts.

Besides this, Moscow expects the removal of restrictions on food and fertilizer producers and exporters, and the elimination of obstacles for insurance companies working with such cargo.

Another point is the lifting of sanctions on Russian-flagged vessels used in the trade of these products and the removal of restrictions on their servicing in ports.

Finally, the Kremlin demanded the resumption of unobstructed supplies of agricultural machinery to Russia.

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DIPLOMACY

Athens postpones Mitsotakis-Erdoğan meeting after Imamoglu arrest

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The arrest of Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu has shaken diplomatic relations between Türkiye and Greece, leading Athens to announce the postponement of a planned meeting between the leaders of the two countries.

Greek government spokesperson Pavlos Marinakis stated, “Given these developments, it is becoming difficult to organize the High-Level Cooperation Council between Greece and Türkiye immediately.”

The High-Level Council consists of a series of meetings aimed at improving relations through “soft politics,” as progress on contentious issues such as territorial disputes has stalled.

As Kathimerini recently reported, the meeting planned between Greek leader Kyriakos Mitsotakis and Recep Tayyip Erdoğan on April 8 was not yet finalized due to the political crisis in Türkiye, even though negotiations between Athens and Ankara had reached their final stage.

The spokesperson added, “We are monitoring the developments in Türkiye. The situation remains fluid and concerning. Our stance on Imamoglu has not changed. Concessions on the rule of law and political freedoms are unacceptable, and convincing answers are needed for any concessions made.”

Marinakis mentioned that the issue could be discussed by the foreign ministers of both countries at the NATO foreign ministers’ summit in Brussels in early April.

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