Diplomacy
Britain delays implementation of ‘foreign influence agents’ legislation
After years of work, plans to register ‘foreign influence agents’ operating in the UK, similar to those in the US, have been temporarily shelved as the new Labour government in London seeks to reassess its relationship with Beijing.
The Foreign Influence Registration Scheme (FIRS) became law last year as part of efforts to protect British politics from ‘malign foreign actors.’ Countries such as Russia, Iran, and China were expected to face further scrutiny under the scheme, but its implementation has now been delayed until next year.
A government official, speaking on condition of anonymity, confirmed to POLITICO that the policy on China, including the FIRS programme, has been paused until the completion of the government’s ‘China audit,’ which is expected early next year.
Labour blames conservative government for delay
Controversy erupted last week after Labour Security Minister Dan Jarvis blamed the previous Conservative government for the delay.
Jarvis claimed that the Conservatives had “completely failed to take the necessary measures” to implement the plan and that IT solutions for registration were “not ready.”
His comments followed a letter from his Conservative predecessor, Tom Tugendhat, who questioned the delay and said he had been ready to launch the scheme in autumn 2024. Tugendhat argued that there was no reason the scheme couldn’t be launched before the end of this year, even considering the upcoming UK general election.
Is the Starmer government changing its China policy?
Conservative MP Alicia Kearns, the former chair of the Commons Foreign Affairs Committee, told POLITICO that the ‘necessary preparatory work’ had been completed ‘well in advance’ of the election, and described Labour’s claims as ‘completely unfounded.’
Kearns suggested that Labour’s ‘softening position’ on China was responsible for the delay.
Meanwhile, Foreign Secretary David Lammy visited Beijing last week as part of a broader diplomatic initiative to review economic and political relations with China.
Treasury allegedly ordered to go ‘soft’ on China
The same official, quoted earlier, indicated that the review, expected to conclude in January, will provide ministers with clear guidance on areas of policy where closer engagement with China is possible.
Another government official, also speaking anonymously, said he was not aware of the specific details of the FIRS programme but noted that the shift in approach towards China had been prompted by the Treasury.
The FIRS programme, designed to align the UK with ‘Five Eyes’ intelligence allies such as Australia and the United States, will require individuals engaging in political activities on behalf of a foreign power in the UK to register. Once a country is placed in the ‘advanced’ tier, ministers will be able to extend registration requirements to cover a wider range of activities and individuals working on behalf of foreign government-controlled organisations.
Diplomacy
EU pursues closer ties with Israel on space and air defence
The EU is turning to Israel to bolster its new initiatives in high-tech air defence and space capabilities.
Shimrit Maman, head of the Israel Space Agency, travelled to Brussels this week and met on Tuesday with European Commissioner for Startups, Research and Innovation Ekaterina Zaharieva to discuss key sectors, including artificial intelligence and robotics.
The visit took place ahead of European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen’s first major speech on space, scheduled for Thursday at a summit in Paris.
In the speech, Von der Leyen is expected to warn against mounting hostilities and emphasise the necessity of strengthening Europe’s presence in space.
“It’s very hard to do everything by yourself,” Maman told Politico, adding that the militarization of space is “already happening, it’s just we are not aware of the extent,” and noting that allies are showing growing interest in “dual-use” technologies intended for both civilian and defence purposes:
“One thing we’re working on is early-warning systems. For example, during the last wave [of missile attacks] with Iran, we saw this very clearly. How we were getting the alerts to all the civilians in Israel, and that made the casualties so low. This is part of the system. We’re working on a very holistic view, where you can alert in advance, the system alerts the citizens.”
Following several years of effective disengagement caused by political tensions surrounding the invasion of Gaza, the EU has recently begun forging closer military and technological ties with Israel through a series of agreements.
Competition from Washington and strategic rivalry with Moscow and Beijing have nevertheless underlined the requirement for allies possessing sophisticated industrial capacity.
In 2024, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen backed calls by Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk and Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis to create an EU-funded air defence shield.
Three senior officials involved in the discussions said, however, that the plans stalled after officials in the Commission and several national capitals concluded that the project would require reliance on Israeli air defence technology, which was considered too sensitive one year into the Gaza conflict.
Yet Israel’s Rafael, which is expanding its European operations significantly, has now confirmed that it will open a factory to manufacture the Iron Dome air defence system at a former Volkswagen plant in Germany.
One week ago, Greece signed a 3 billion euro agreement with the Israel Ministry of Defense.
The deal provides for the establishment of a new multi-layered air defence network designed to shoot down drones, hostile jets, and rockets.
“We see everything integrating into this multi-layer defence approach,” Maman said, highlighting satellite imagery and artificial intelligence modelling as primary focal points for joint development efforts:
“I’m not only seeing defence as ballistic missiles from Iran… think about a fire, a flash flood or even a long drought… we have a proven track record, and we’re getting really good results.”
Diplomacy
UK reassures US that new Israeli settlement sanctions are symbolic
The UK has reportedly engaged in behind-the-scenes talks to avoid a backlash from the US over anti-Israel sanctions scheduled for announcement today.
According to a report by Bloomberg, Andy Burnham’s government is expected to ban trade with Israeli settlements in the West Bank today.
Burnham is seeking to pursue a firmer stance on an issue of high importance to the governing Labour Party, though one that risks angering US President Donald Trump.
Foreign Secretary Ed Miliband will unveil a new sanctions regime targeting Israel but limited to Jewish settlements in the West Bank, according to sources familiar with the matter.
Burnham and Trump spoke by telephone on Monday, the Prime Minister’s Office said. A statement noted that the two leaders discussed a two-state solution for Israel and the Palestinian territories.
The discussion suggests that Burnham used the call to notify Trump that sanctions against Israel were imminent.
The proposals under review included a new sanctions regime with measures to block the exchange of goods and services with Israeli settlements.
Miliband also evaluated expanding existing human rights sanctions to encompass the blocking of aid, which has drawn criticism for exacerbating the humanitarian crisis in Gaza.
The Foreign Secretary further considered explicitly endorsing the International Court of Justice’s non-binding 2024 opinion that declared Israel’s occupation of territory currently recognised by the UK as the State of Palestine to be unlawful.
Even so, UK officials fear the announcement could cause an early setback in Burnham’s relationship with Trump.
To defuse a backlash from the Trump administration, British diplomats privately informed the US that the sanctions are largely symbolic and will have no tangible impact on the UK’s broader trade or security ties with Israel, according to sources familiar with the discussions.
The proposals were drawn up after Israel decided to issue tenders for the construction of 1,200 settlement housing units in an area of the West Bank.
Disputes between Israeli settlers and Palestinians have intensified in recent months as Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu faces a difficult battle to retain his seat in a general election scheduled for 27 October.
Burnham joined the leaders of Canada and five European governments, including France, Germany, and Italy, in signing a statement that condemned the housing plan as “unacceptable” and urged Netanyahu to withdraw the tender.
In a separate statement, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz condemned a call by Israeli National Security Minister Itamar Ben Gvir for “nightly assassinations” in Gaza.
Burnham is eager to demonstrate early to the Labour Party that he is adopting a more critical approach toward Israel than his predecessor, Keir Starmer.
Although Starmer hardened his stance against Israel during his two years in office, including by formally recognising the State of Palestine, his initial refusal to demand that Netanyahu halt military operations in Gaza divided the party.
This division led to a decline in Labour’s poll ratings and boosted electoral gains for the Green Party across the country.
Burnham’s return to Parliament last month led to Starmer’s resignation. Burnham apologised for Labour’s handling of Israel’s military operation in Gaza under his predecessor, stating that the party “did not adopt the right stance”.
Last month, Burnham’s new Defence Secretary, Wes Streeting, who faced intense competition from a Muslim independent candidate in his northeast London constituency at the last general election, stated that Israel had fallen “short” of international standards.
US Ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee told the BBC’s “Newsday” programme that there would “undoubtedly” be a US response.
Accusing the Labour Party of “discriminating against the Israeli government”, Huckabee said: “It is like throwing a rock and not knowing where it lands. The UK is a sovereign country and can do as it pleases, but so is the US.”
Republican Florida Congressman Randy Fine also warned that British firms would be barred from doing business with local governments in the state if sanctions were imposed.
In a post on X, Fine said: “Florida has made its stance clear. Any company—or country—that boycotts Israel will be boycotted by Florida.”
Labour MPs and Jewish groups have warned the government that any sanctions against the settlements could amount to a “de facto boycott” of Israeli goods and compromise the safety of British Jews.
Diplomacy
US drafts post-war Middle East strategy focused on Iran
The US administration is working on a post-war strategy focused on containing Iran and expanding the normalisation of relations between Israel and its neighbours.
According to Axios, although the plan remains in the draft stage, it is intended to guide the US approach to the Middle East once the war with Iran concludes and across the final two years of President Donald Trump’s term in office.
Two major events cast a shadow over the planning process: the Israeli elections scheduled for 27 October and the US midterm elections in November.
US officials state that initial work on the strategy is being conducted both at senior political levels within the Trump administration and at an interagency working level.
According to sources, Trump has held two meetings with senior advisers in recent weeks where the plan was discussed and concepts were floated.
In private conversations, Trump reportedly said he is working on “something much bigger” in the Middle East following the war with Iran.
According to sources, three primary elements have been put forward as prospective components of the strategy:
Establishing a regional alliance among US allies, guaranteed by the US, in order to contain Iran.
Pursuing a joint effort to bring the regional fallout of the 7 October 2023 Al-Aqsa Flood operation toward a conclusion by securing the next phase of Trump’s Gaza plan, signing a security agreement between Israel and Syria, and implementing the Israel-Lebanon agreement.
Expanding the Abraham Accords and reaching a normalisation agreement between Saudi Arabia and Israel.
The Trump administration hopes that the new Israeli government formed after the 27 October elections will be willing and able to cooperate on the post-war strategy.
However, some US officials emphasise that Trump will push for the implementation of this strategy regardless of the Israeli election results, even if the vote leads to political deadlock.
A source familiar with the process stated that drafting the strategy would take several more weeks. “They are working on it, but it is not finished yet,” the source said, adding:
“The aim here is to connect many moving parts in the region; how to build a regional alliance after the war. It is not yet clear whether all US allies in the region will participate in this process.”
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