Europe
Germany loses ground in global innovation race as R&D spending falls behind US and China
The German economy is falling behind its global competitors in research and development (R&D) expenditure, undermining the long-term profitability and commercial returns derived from its technological investments.
Furthermore, despite the federal government’s public declarations of support for a domestic “high-tech agenda,” public spending is increasingly being diverted toward the defense sector.
A recent study conducted by the German Economic Institute (IW) on behalf of the Bertelsmann Foundation reveals that Germany’s share of global R&D expenditure declined from 8.5% in 2008 to 5.6% in 2021.
Similarly, Germany’s share of global patent applications has fallen significantly, dropping from 21.9% in 2000 to just 15% in 2022.
Faced with these domestic headwinds, German companies are increasingly relocating their research departments abroad. This shift places German industry under intensifying pressure within key future-oriented sectors, where it is steadily losing ground, particularly to China.
While the federal research budget remains capped at 4.15% of the total federal budget—prompting complaints of stagnating innovation funding from small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs)—the official defense budget already accounts for more than 15% of federal spending and is projected to double in the near term.
Relative Decline Against the US and China
The IW study on the innovative strength of German industry assesses R&D expenditure alongside the volume of patent applications as the primary indicators of industrial innovation performance.
The authors conclude that although Germany’s absolute spending on industrial research and development has risen slightly, the country has lost substantial ground in international comparisons.
This relative decline is driven by the United States and China, both of which have accelerated their R&D spending at a much faster rate.
Consequently, Germany’s share of global R&D expenditures contracted from 8.5% in 2008 to 5.6% in 2021, while its share of global patent applications fell from 21.9% in 2000 to 15% in 2022.
This downward trend has particularly impacted the pharmaceutical, chemical, electrical, and automotive sectors. Among major industrial segments, only the German mechanical engineering sector managed to strengthen its international standing in terms of patent applications.
Foreign Control Over Key Technologies Increases
The study highlights the issue of patent ownership and control over key technologies as a matter of geopolitical and economic sensitivity.
According to the research, between 2000 and 2022, 29% of all international patents generated within Germany—amounting to approximately 189,000 filings—were registered by foreign-owned enterprises, primarily based in the US and, increasingly, China.
As a result, operational control over these patents resides outside the Federal Republic of Germany.
By contrast, German companies registered and retained control over only 102,000 patents filed abroad during the same period, leaving the country with a negative net balance in transnational patent control.
To illustrate the strategic implications of this imbalance, the study points to the defense sector. The ongoing debate surrounding Germany’s purchase of F-35 fighter jets from the US defense contractor Lockheed Martin highlights the potential risks of relying on foreign-controlled technologies. Without explicit US authorization, spare parts cannot be secured, and the aircraft may be rendered unable to take off.
Geographically, the state of Hesse recorded the highest share of foreign-controlled patent applications in Germany, at 42%. The primary drivers behind this concentration are the Opel manufacturing facilities in Rüsselsheim—which hold a vast patent portfolio and operate as part of the multinational group Stellantis—alongside the highly concentrated pharmaceutical industry in the Frankfurt am Main region.
Core German Sectors Under Pressure
A sector-by-sector analysis underscores the extent to which the German economy is falling behind in global benchmarks.
In 2021, the German electronics sector ranked sixth globally in terms of R&D investment.
Japan secured the fifth position with spending twice as high as Germany’s.
Meanwhile, China accounted for 35% of global R&D expenditure in the electronics sector, while the US maintained its global leadership.
In mechanical engineering, Germany’s share of global R&D expenditure dropped from approximately 13% in 2008 to below 8% in 2021.
China now commands nearly half of all global spending in this sector, compared to a 15% share held by the US.
Nonetheless, the German mechanical engineering sector has managed to retain its leading global position specifically in terms of patent applications.
In the automotive sector, Germany ranked third globally, with its R&D expenditure accounting for approximately 20% of the world total.
China reached a 22% share, while Japan led the global market at 25%. The US followed in fourth place with 17%.
In the chemical industry, Germany accounted for 9% of global R&D spending. The US held a 15% share, while China dominated global trends with 42% of total investment.
In the pharmaceutical sector, Germany’s share plummeted from 13.1% in 2000 to just 4.4%, placing it fourth internationally.
The top spots in pharmaceutical R&D are held by the US, China, and Japan.
Defense Spending Takes Precedence Over R&D
The federal government maintains that it is actively working to counter these negative trends. Chancellor Friedrich Merz has frequently championed a “high-tech agenda” designed to support and revitalize German industry.
“The federal government will do everything in its power to ensure that Germany remains a successful and innovative business hub,” Merz declared at the Hannover Messe trade fair in late April.
However, the allocation of funds within the federal budget indicates that Berlin’s actual priorities lie elsewhere.
The draft 2026 federal budget, which totals 525 billion euros, allocates 21.8 billion euros to the Ministry of Education and Research. In addition, the ministry is set to receive 1.1 billion euros from the “Infrastructure Special Fund.” According to the ministry, these specific funds are earmarked for initiatives “particularly in the New Space sector,” which holds high strategic importance for the defense industry.
Excluding this special fund, federal innovation spending accounts for just 4.15% of the total budget.
By comparison, the 2026 budget allocates 82.69 billion euros directly to the German Armed Forces (Bundeswehr). When combined with an additional 25.51 billion euros drawn from the military’s own “Special Fund” (Sondervermögen), total defense spending reaches approximately 108 billion euros.
By 2029, Germany’s regular defense budget is projected to rise to 152 billion euros.
The Bundeswehr’s share of the core federal budget (excluding special funds) already stands at 15.75%, and this percentage is expected to increase rapidly.
Corporates Relocate R&D Activities Abroad
As a consequence of these shifting domestic priorities and rising operational pressures, a study by professional services firm Deloitte and the Federation of German Industries (BDI) reveals that 13% of surveyed German industrial companies have already relocated their research departments abroad.
Furthermore, 35% of surveyed firms plan to follow suit within the next three years. According to the Innovation Report published by the Association of German Chambers of Commerce and Industry (DIHK), the German economy’s propensity to innovate has fallen to its lowest level since 2008.
Industry representatives attribute this decline in part to the federal government’s neglect of Germany’s traditional Mittelstand—the small and medium-sized enterprises, alongside established family-owned businesses, that serve as the backbone of the country’s export economy. Key public funding programs for these businesses have stagnated for years.
Of particular concern to the sector are the Central Innovation Program for SMEs (ZIM) and the Inno-Kom program for small businesses, both of which are administered by the Ministry for Economic Affairs and Climate Action.
“In the meantime, more money is flowing to the large players,” stated the Association of Innovative Enterprises (VIU). VIU President Uwe Möhring warned of the structural risks ahead: “In light of this ongoing reallocation of funds, we are deeply concerned about the future of project financing, which is vital for our survival.”
Europe
Europe faces $3 trillion bill for tech sovereignty as governments drop US suppliers
Europe would need to spend approximately $3 trillion over the next decade to achieve digital independence and phase out US and Asian technology providers, according to a report by Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Analyst Mandeep Singh.
This projected capital outlay encompasses the development of cloud infrastructure, the construction of artificial intelligence data centers, the training of large language models, and investments across other technological domains.
Singh’s report noted that guaranteed demand generated through a “Buy European” mechanism could serve as the single most powerful leverage point for the EU to achieve its software sovereignty objectives.
A prominent example of this shift centers on Palantir, the US-based technology firm founded in 2003 by Peter Thiel. In June, French Armed Forces Minister Sébastien Lecornu announced that France would terminate its partnership with Palantir, despite having three years remaining on its contract with the French domestic intelligence service, the DGSI. Lecornu stated: “France must possess its own tools.”
The announcement followed a decision by US President Donald Trump to restrict access to leading AI models belonging to Anthropic. Lecornu identified ChapsVision, a domestic competitor, as the replacement for Palantir.
Palantir executives were caught off guard by the development, according to Bloomberg. One company official accused Lecornu of turning critical security decisions into a “Hollywood feud.” The official noted that the contract with the DGSI, France’s internal intelligence agency, had only recently been renewed for a three-year period.
In the UK, Member of Parliament Chi Onwurah proposed terminating Palantir’s £330 million ($440 million) contract with the National Health Service (NHS).
“They have a political agenda,” Onwurah said. “Palantir represents an unacceptable vulnerability in our digital infrastructure.”
Bloomberg reported that Palantir’s position in Europe is weakening, with security agencies in Germany and Poland actively seeking local providers. The Dutch Defense Minister pledged to replace Palantir with European vendors. In July, two British startups founded by former Palantir employees secured funding aimed directly at challenging their former employer.
At the center of these developments, ChapsVision has secured contracts across French government ministries and public institutions. According to Bloomberg Intelligence estimates, the DGSI contract alone is worth at least €100 million. Politico reported in May that Germany’s domestic intelligence agency, the BfV, selected ChapsVision to replace its existing arrangement with Palantir.
In an interview, ChapsVision Chief Executive Officer Silvano Sansoni said: “Our objective is to become a European champion.”
Sansoni stated that the company is currently in talks with all sensitive clients in Poland, adding that Germany represents its primary strategic focus in the near term. Acknowledging that ChapsVision cannot immediately replace Palantir’s full capabilities for French intelligence, Sansoni said: “The technology is complex, so we will not replace Palantir tomorrow.”
Industry experts interviewed by Bloomberg highlighted potential risks associated with the sovereign push. Retired General Richard Barrons, former commander of the UK’s Joint Forces Command, remarked: “Locking Palantir out would be madness. You cut yourself off from world-leading capability.”
Nick Patience, an analyst at The Futurum Group, observed that achieving 100% sovereignty in an interconnected world is unlikely. Patience pointed to ChapsVision’s partnership with Alcatel Lucent Enterprise, a company majority-owned by the Chinese state-owned enterprise China Huaxin.
Bloomberg reported that following Trump’s decision to ban foreign access to the Fable 5 and Mythos 5 AI models, Europe and Canada resolved to urgently develop sovereign AI capabilities to avoid dependency on foreign policy decisions.
In early June, the Financial Times reported, citing sources, that the US National Security Agency (NSA) could deploy Anthropic’s Claude Mythos model to execute cyber operations.
One source noted that the system could be utilized to penetrate network infrastructure in countries such as China or Iran.
Europe
UK government conceals full cost of drug pricing deal struck with Trump administration
The British government is refusing to disclose how much a pharmaceutical pricing agreement struck with Donald Trump will cost the National Health Service (NHS).
A letter obtained by Politico and sent by the Information Commissioner’s Office (ICO) to the Nuffield Trust, an independent healthcare think tank, reveals that the Department of Health and Social Care (DHSC) accepted that releasing its impact assessment was “in the public interest,” given the “potential impacts on NHS spending.”
However, the department argued that releasing this information would “prejudice ongoing policy development, international relations, and commercial interests.”
As part of the agreement signed in December, the UK committed to doubling its spending on new medicines as a proportion of its gross domestic product in exchange for three years of tariff-free access to the US pharmaceutical market.
The deal included a 25% increase in the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence’s (NICE) annual cost threshold.
This has resulted in the NHS paying more for certain new medicines.
Reviewing the DHSC’s refusal to publish the assessment, the ICO sided with the Health Ministry, agreeing that keeping the cost information confidential better served the interests of taxpayers.
A DHSC spokesperson said:
“This government has made clear that the UK-US pharmaceutical pricing agreement will cost around £1 billion over the current Spending Review period, and that this cost will be met through the record settlement agreed for the Department of Health and Social Care.”
In its letter, the ICO stated that “key aspects of implementation are still under active consideration… meaning any impact assessment may well change as policy development progresses.”
The ICO disclosed that ongoing discussions extend beyond pharmaceutical pricing and rebate arrangements.
Officials are still negotiating how the deal will interact with the Trump administration’s forthcoming most-favored-nation (MFN) drug pricing policy.
The UK believed it had secured an exemption from the MFN policy, under which the US will match the prices of a basket of wealthy nations.
Pharmaceutical companies have warned that rather than accepting lower prices in the US, they could delay the launch of new medicines in those countries.
Diarmaid McDonald, executive director of Just Treatment, a campaign group for medicine access, said: “By the very nature of these deals with the White House, the goalposts keep moving, and it is deeply concerning that there are differences between the US and the UK over the interpretation of what has been agreed.”
According to an analysis published by the British Medical Journal (BMJ), some economists estimate that the agreement could lead to up to £45 billion being diverted from existing NHS services to fund additional pharmaceutical spending.
“DHSC argued that disclosure would undermine the safe space needed for ministers and officials to probe assumptions, test scenarios, and refine policy options while relevant discussions are ongoing,” the ICO said.
Sally Gainsbury, a policy analyst at the Nuffield Trust, said: “The risk to the NHS and the cost to public health in this deal are now indisputable. This is a very compelling reason for the public, through our elected MPs, to be able to scrutinize whether this deal aligns with the government’s assumptions regarding broader economic benefits.”
“The fact that this is an agreement we can walk away from makes it even more important,” Gainsbury added, noting that either party could withdraw from the deal with six months’ notice.
Figures across the health sector hope that the new administration led by Andy Burnham will scrutinize the deal, particularly given the prime minister’s emphasis on devolution.
“He [Burnham] said he wants to see good growth in every postcode,” Gainsbury of the Nuffield Trust said. “Can a deal that imposes such heavy costs on population health and on what the NHS can deliver to patients be considered good growth? That is my question to Andy Burnham.”
McDonald of Just Treatment argued that devolved administrations had been excluded from the negotiations:
“Nobody in the Scottish government, the Welsh government, or at Stormont in Belfast knows the details of this deal, even though their health systems will be directly affected by its outcome. Therefore, if Andy Burnham stands by his word, he must commit to opening up this negotiation process and transferring all agreed details to these devolved administrations, shifting power away from this tightly guarded negotiation in Westminster.”
Europe
EU fines Google €890 million over digital market dominance and self-preferencing
The European Commission on Thursday fined Google €890 million for anti-competitive practices in breach of the European Union’s Digital Markets Act (DMA).
The world’s leading search engine routinely displays results that primarily benefit its own enterprise in prime positions, while links belonging to rival companies appear further down the page.
In some instances, Google presents an in-house “AI-powered overview” designed to inform the user directly.
In other searches, the engine responds first with its proprietary mapping service, Google Maps, or with “sponsored products”—advertisements paid for by businesses seeking top-tier placement in search results.
While this structure serves Google’s commercial interests, it can disadvantage consumers and competing firms. Alternative mapping services or shopping portals, for example, are denied privileged access to Google’s vast user base.
The EU principally accuses Google of favoring its own digital offerings, such as Google Shopping, within Google Search.
“Similar third-party services do not enjoy the same visibility,” the Commission stated, calling for greater fairness in search indexing.
EU Competition Commissioner Teresa Ribera emphasized: “The best products should stand out because they are superior, not because they belong to the company operating the search engine.”
Brussels further accuses the tech giant of restricting developers from offering applications—some of which are less expensive—on alternative app stores outside of Google Play.
Through the imposition of this fine, the Commission is demanding that Google cease both infractions of the DMA.
Google sharply criticized the financial penalty on Thursday. Kent Walker, Google’s President of Global Affairs and Chief Legal Officer, argued that “this enforcement of the DMA once again undermines services that people rely on every day.”
The ruling, according to the company, will force it to strip away search features that European users value, such as integrated hotel price comparisons.
“This is not fair competition; it is a degradation of product quality driven by a small group of self-interested complainants,” Walker asserted.
Google contended that when users search for flights, for instance, they expect to enter specific dates and instantly review real-time pricing and availability.
The company plans to examine the decision thoroughly and stated that it retains the option to appeal.
In principle, Google holds the legal right to challenge the fine in court. Theoretically, the litigation could reach the Court of Justice of the European Union following a prolonged legal procedure.
The “gatekeeper problem”—arising when dominant platforms such as Google or Apple serve as primary entry points to the internet—has long driven concern among policymakers and consumer advocates.
“When gatekeepers prioritize their own services, it causes direct harm to rivals and consumers alike,” said Miika Blinn of the Federation of German Consumer Organisations.
The consumer advocate also drew attention to the extensive volume of personal data users are compelled to surrender to dominant digital gatekeepers.
Enacted in 2023, the DMA aims to prevent systemic tech gatekeepers from favoring their own proprietary products over comparable third-party services.
The legislation is also designed to guarantee that consumers can freely select their preferred web browsers and search engines, whether they operate an Apple device or a smartphone running Google’s Android operating system.
Through these measures, the EU seeks to prevent tech conglomerates from leveraging market dominance in one segment to expand control over adjacent sectors, continuously compounding their market power.
The regulatory framework has drawn fierce criticism from US corporations and President Donald Trump.
Apple, for instance, mounted a legal challenge contesting its designation as a “gatekeeper,” but recently lost the case before the Court of Justice of the European Union.
Meta, the parent company of Facebook, urged US President Trump to take international action against governments attempting to impose regulatory restrictions on technology firms.
Following an EU fine imposed on Elon Musk’s social media platform X, the US administration went so far as to threaten retaliatory measures.
Trump warned Brussels that he would view financial penalties levied against US tech companies as tariffs and would respond with retaliatory tariffs.
Reports indicate that European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen repeatedly delayed the DMA fine against Google to avoid alienating the US, a key and challenging trade partner.
Consequently, many industry observers view the €890 million penalty against Google as a critical litmus test of whether the EU can enforce its digital regulations despite intense foreign resistance.
The Google proceeding also illustrates the lengthy timeline of EU enforcement actions. Two years and approximately four months elapsed between the formal initiation of the case and the announcement of the fine.
For this reason, civil society groups including LobbyControl and Corporate Europe Observatory had voiced complaints prior to the announcement, alleging that the EU had “significantly delayed” enforcement of the DMA.
In 2017, under a separate antitrust proceeding, the European Commission fined Google and its parent company Alphabet €2.4 billion for favoring its Google Shopping service over rival aggregators such as Idealo.
That legal dispute subsequently advanced to the Court of Justice of the European Union, which upheld the €2.4 billion penalty in late 2024.
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