Europe
European defense overhaul: Billions sought for joint security fund

Following US President Donald Trump’s call for peace negotiations in Ukraine, suspension of military aid to Ukraine, and increased defense spending by NATO countries, alarm bells have started ringing in Brussels and Berlin.
European Commission President von der Leyen aims to mobilize a Europe-wide defense budget to continue supporting Ukraine.
In this context, Leyen proposed a plan for the “rearmament of Europe.” EU member states need to invest in a joint defense budget to protect themselves independently of US aid. According to Leyen, an amount of up to 800 billion euros could be mobilized.
Leyen’s five-point plan, announced in Brussels on Tuesday, includes easing debt rules and providing incentives for increased defense spending.
Member states will be enabled to spend more on defense without falling into a debt trap. A new fund of 150 billion euros will be created to support the 27 member states investing in defense.
The Commission stated that the new 150 billion euro joint borrowing would be directed towards building Europe-wide capabilities such as air and missile defense, artillery systems, missiles and ammunition, drones, and anti-drone systems, or meeting other needs from cyber to military mobility.
Social spending to be redirected to arms procurement
“This will help Member States pool their demands and buy together, reducing costs, fragmentation, increasing interoperability, and strengthening our defense industrial base,” Leyen said.
Leyen argued that if member states increased their defense spending by an average of 1.5% of GDP, this could create a fiscal space of nearly 650 billion euros.
The Commission also proposed that EU countries could use the money they receive from the EU budget, intended to equalize living standards across Europe, for defense purposes.
Arguing that the real question is not “whether Europe is facing real threats or whether it needs to take more responsibility for its security,” Leyen said, “The real question is whether Europe is ready to respond decisively as the situation requires.”
Europe is ready to increase its spending to help Ukraine in the short term but also to protect itself in the long term. “Now is the time to take responsibility,” Leyen said.
Recommendations from Berlin: Implement social cuts, indoctrinate the public
Government advisors and foreign policy experts in Berlin are also calling on the next German government to significantly increase the military budget, make severe cuts in social spending, and strongly indoctrinate the public (“change of mindset”).
The demands are featured in the current issue of the journal Internationale Politik (IP), published by the influential German Council on Foreign Relations (DGAP). The cover story of this issue is the question of “what the world expects from Germany after the election.”
For example, the articles state that the new government must prepare the German people “for Germany to become the leading power in Europe, diplomatically and militarily.” For this, it is necessary to “embed the turning point in people’s minds.”
Strategies to reverse the EU’s decline
According to the current issue of IP, as reported by German Foreign Policy, the EU has been characterized by “a growing decline” for some time.
According to DGAP expert Josef Janning, who has been analyzing the EU for decades, there are several reasons for this. One of these reasons is that the “consequences of supranational political interdependence” are beginning to be felt in daily life, especially in “distribution conflicts and crises.”
These are often negative, especially for weaker member states and population groups that do not belong to the national elites. Janning writes, “[This situation] contributes to the … gain in weight of right-wing national currents and parties.”
At the same time, “at the latest with the failure of the 2004 Constitutional Treaty,” the goal of “a closer union of the peoples of Europe” disappeared from real politics and is, at best, only mentioned in “ceremonial acts … and coalition agreements,” he believes.
In addition, there are no longer “strategically oriented coalitions among member states,” probably due to increasing differences in interests. Finally, it should be noted that the US, under the Trump administration, lost interest in a “stable” and “cooperative Europe.”
The dissolution of the EU as a realistic scenario
Janning notes that political entities like the EU can “continue to exist institutionally” but can also “lose their importance and integrity.”
Institutions like the EU are in danger of becoming “obsolete” if they lose their ability to “further develop” or even act actively. Therefore, “national solo efforts” should be increasingly expected.
“If these trends reach the first pillar of the EU, the internal market and the common currency,” Janning continues, “then the Union will self-destruct in an ‘abundance’ of internal conflicts.”
The author argues that in no period since the 1950s has the centrifugal dynamic been stronger and more visible than in the current situation. “While institutions and processes function as usual, the essence of integration is eroding beneath the surface,” he says, suggesting that for the first time, the failure and dissolution of the European Union “seems like a realistic scenario.”
Seeking “ways out of the erosion,” the DGAP expert argues that the EU needs “an orientation towards political unity, strategic thinking.”
A Bundeswehr capable of war: New taxes for the public for the army
According to the author, this includes the “common defense issue.” Janning believes this too, saying, “Most, if not all, depends on Germany, the economically strongest power in the center of Europe.”
While Janning insists on addressing the “common defense issue” to save the EU, Carlo Masala, Professor of International Politics at the Bundeswehr University in Munich, calls on the future German government to “realize that the foundations of Germany’s security and defense policy must be renewed,” which means a “Bundeswehr capable of war.”
According to the professor, what is needed is a significant increase in the military budget. Masala proposes, among other things, “a solidarity surcharge for defense,” amounting to “1 to 1.5%” of income tax, “to be paid by everyone working in Germany.”
Besides, Masala believes that a significant increase in the number of personnel in the Bundeswehr is necessary because there will be a “disproportionately large wave of retirements” in the next few years.
An internal memo from the German Ministry of Defense recently considered increasing the current number of 180,000 personnel to 440,000 soldiers. However, the Two Plus Four Agreement provides for an upper limit of 350,000.
The Two Plus Four Agreement is the name given to the documents signed by the Federal Republic of Germany with the German Democratic Republic and the US-United Kingdom-France-USSR, paving the way for “German reunification.”
Independently of this, not only a return to compulsory military service but also a change in the Constitution is required, for example, to extend compulsory military service to women.
Change of mindset: Be ready for German leadership
Jan Techau, Director of the Europe Program at the Eurasia Group in Berlin, also argues in favor of mass armament in IP.
According to Techau, the next German government must prepare “the Germans, the Berlin bubble, and itself … for Germany to become the leading power in Europe, diplomatically and militarily.”
The learning process towards accepting this role will be “much more difficult” because “everything is very, very expensive,” and the next Federal Chancellor will “have to make and justify dramatic budget decisions,” according to the author.
Techau states that this is “clear to everyone involved,” but before the election, no one wants to be “caught telling the truth” about it.
According to the author, what is important now is to prepare the conservatives for “new debts” and the left for “painful structural reforms”: “Otherwise, there is a risk of resistance and blockade.”
But Techau also sees it as “the real task of the next government” to prepare the public for the fact that Berlin will “have to make some unheard-of decisions in the near future.” The author does not explain what this means beyond the enormous costs of weapons and other war equipment. However, he believes that “a change in mindset, a turning point in people’s minds” is necessary.
Armament should cease to be a moral issue for Germans
Ulrike Esther Franke from the European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR) is also among those offering advice on this matter.
Franke criticizes the discussions on military issues in Germany as being “morally charged”; according to her, military experts are therefore faced with “considerable distrust,” and this situation “does not contribute to a better discussion environment.”
The author also suggests that war discussions in Germany are “driven by fear,” which she considers harmful for dealing with future “dangers.”
Franke believes that the war in Ukraine has created “a window of opportunity in the willingness to deal with defense issues”; therefore, the next government should use this to set a significant course before the “mood” changes.
Franke calls on the new German government, “Now is the time for political leadership.”
Europe
Germany’s SPD faces ‘Russia rebellion’ at party congress

Divisions within Germany’s Social Democratic Party (SPD) over rearmament and relations with Russia are set to culminate at its upcoming congress, where party leader and finance minister Lars Klingbeil faces backlash from a faction within his party.
According to a report in the Financial Times, one of the critics of the SPD leadership is the eldest son of former SPD Chancellor Willy Brandt, who still holds significant influence over the party with his Ostpolitik (Eastern Policy), a policy of rapprochement with the Soviet Union at the height of the Cold War.
Peter Brandt, a 76-year-old historian, has co-signed an SPD motion criticizing the government’s rearmament plans and advocating for “de-escalation and a gradual return to cooperation with Russia.”
The manifesto, published ahead of this week’s SPD party conference, states, “There is a long road ahead to return to a stable order of peace and security in Europe.”
While acknowledging that strengthening the defense capabilities of Germany and Europe is “necessary,” the authors emphasize that these efforts must be “part of a strategy aimed at de-escalation and the gradual restoration of trust, not a new arms race.”
Peter Brandt told the Financial Times that Klingbeil approved the new defense spending increase “without checking if it was the majority view.” He added, “This is a problem. There isn’t as clear a stance among the members as is reflected in the leadership.”
The criticism comes as Klingbeil, deputy chancellor in the coalition government led by Christian Democrat Friedrich Merz, prepares a major “funding injection” for the military, aiming to increase the country’s defense budget by 70% by 2029.
Brandt’s words are a reminder that many Social Democrats remain reluctant to fully embrace the country’s “Zeitenwende” (turning point) in defense policy, announced by former SPD Chancellor Olaf Scholz following the 2022 invasion of Ukraine.
The internal rebellion could create problems for Klingbeil, who negotiated the coalition agreement with Merz after the SPD’s worst-ever election result in February. The dissenters could make it difficult for the government, which holds a slim majority of just 13 seats, to pass legislation on the budget, arms deliveries, and the planned return to compulsory military service.
Uwe Jun, a political scientist at the University of Trier, noted that while the rebels are not a majority in the SPD, they are not a small minority either. “There is a long tradition in the SPD of people who came from the peace movement of the 1970s and 1980s,” he said. “They are critical of anything related to the military.”
Klingbeil’s reorganization of the party leadership following the election fiasco has further fueled the controversy. The 47-year-old politician is accused of consolidating his power after replacing 66-year-old Rolf Mützenich as the head of the SPD parliamentary group. Mützenich is also a signatory of the manifesto.
“Personal and political tensions are also playing a role,” said Gesine Schwan, a political scientist and SPD member who was asked to sign the motion but declined.
Klingbeil, who grew up after the fall of the Berlin Wall, has tried to shift the party’s foreign policy stance. In a series of speeches and editorials in 2022, he admitted that the party had “failed to realize that things in Russia had already been moving in a very different direction.”
The manifesto’s signatories argue that the pursuit of peace must be the priority. Ralf Stegner, who helped draft the text, caused controversy last month when it was revealed he had traveled to Azerbaijan in April to meet with Russian officials, including one under EU sanctions.
Stegner, 65, who at the time served on the parliamentary committee overseeing Germany’s intelligence service, defended the meeting, stating that MPs from Merz’s CDU had also attended to keep communication channels with Moscow open.
“You have to keep talking to everyone,” Stegner told the Financial Times. “The insinuation that this means agreeing with what others say or being a secret agent for a third party is, of course, complete nonsense.”
Stegner’s stance reflects the continued nostalgia within the SPD for Willy Brandt’s Ostpolitik. According to a party insider, members who joined the SPD under Brandt’s leadership, now in their 60s, make up 58% of the membership.
Peter Brandt, who said he never fully shared his father’s views, explained that he signed the manifesto because he believes the Russian threat is exaggerated.
“I do not agree with the idea that Russia will attack NATO,” said the younger Brandt. “The Russian army has shown weakness in the Ukraine war.”
He added that NATO is “currently superior to the Russian army in conventional terms, even without the Americans,” and called NATO’s goal of dedicating 5% of GDP to defense “unreasonable.”
Klingbeil, however, pointed out that Willy Brandt, who won the Nobel Peace Prize in 1971, also oversaw large defense budgets exceeding 3.5% of GDP.
“And ultimately, I don’t think anyone would associate Willy Brandt with someone who focused solely on military matters,” the SPD leader remarked.
Jun said Klingbeil symbolizes the “new school of thought within the party,” adding that the SPD’s younger MPs are “quite pragmatic” on Russia.
But Schwan believes Klingbeil will have to contend with the “old guard” for a while longer. “De-escalation, security, and peace policy are still part of the SPD’s DNA,” she said.
Europe
New MI6 chief’s grandfather was a Nazi collaborator known as ‘The Butcher’

The grandfather of the new head of MI6 was reportedly a Nazi spy known as “The Butcher” in German-occupied Chernihiv.
Blaise Metreweli was appointed earlier this month as the first female spy chief in the 116-year history of the Secret Intelligence Service (MI6).
According to documents cited by the Daily Mail, Metreweli’s grandfather, Constantine Dobrowolski, was a Nazi collaborator who boasted of killing Jews.
The newspaper reports that Dobrowolski, a Ukrainian, defected from the Red Army to become a chief informant for the Nazis and Adolf Hitler in the Chernihiv region.
Metreweli, 47, never knew her grandfather. He remained in Nazi-occupied Ukraine when his family fled in 1943 as the Red Army liberated the area.
Documents found in German archives reveal that Dobrowolski was known to the Nazis as “Agent No. 30.”
At one point, the Soviet Union placed a 50,000-ruble bounty on Dobrowolski’s head (approximately £200,000 today), labeling him “the greatest enemy of the Ukrainian people.”
According to the newspaper, Dobrowolski sought revenge against Russia for killing his family and confiscating their property during the 1917 revolution.
One file reportedly contains a handwritten letter from Dobrowolski to his Nazi superiors, signed “Heil Hitler.”
In another file, he is said to have boasted that he “personally participated in the destruction of the Jews” and had killed hundreds of Ukrainian soldiers.
A spokesperson for the Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office commented on the allegations, stating, “Blaise Metreweli did not know and had never met her father’s father. Blaise’s ancestors are characterized by conflict and division, and like many with Eastern European roots, she has a history that is only partially understood.”
The spokesperson suggested that it is “precisely this complex heritage” that “contributes to Blaise’s determination to prevent conflict and protect the British people from the modern threats of hostile states” as the next head of MI6.
Metreweli grew up abroad before studying anthropology at Cambridge, where she was part of the winning team in the 1997 Boat Race.
Joining MI6 in 1999, Metreweli served for two decades in Europe and the Middle East.
Metreweli currently holds the position of “Q,” the head of the technical section of MI6, made famous by the James Bond films.
Europe
Merz urges Brussels to secure a US trade deal within days

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz is demanding that Brussels sign a trade deal with the US within days.
Bringing the issue to the agenda of today’s EU leaders’ summit, Merz described the European Commission’s negotiating strategy this week as “too complex.”
Calling for greater urgency and focus in negotiations with the US president, Merz said he would convey this demand to other EU leaders, alongside Emmanuel Macron and Giorgia Meloni.
The leaders are eagerly awaiting an update from the EU’s executive body during dinner on its talks with the Trump administration.
Concerns are growing that if Brussels and Washington fail to reach an agreement, “reciprocal” 50% tariffs will be imposed on all goods starting July 9.
The bloc, which had previously dismissed the recent UK-US trade deal—a pact that imposed a 10% baseline tariff while offering some relief for car and steel exports—is now coming to terms with the reality that securing a better outcome will be challenging.
“I still hope that a trading power like the EU, with its 450 million people, will have more leverage than the UK,” a senior EU diplomat said on Wednesday.
The German chancellor stated that the priority must be to protect Europe’s key industries—particularly Germany’s automotive, manufacturing, semiconductor, pharmaceutical, steel, and aluminum sectors—from the sector-specific tariffs that Trump has either imposed or threatened to impose.
However, Trump is heavily reliant on these tariffs, having implemented the highest rates since the Great Depression of the 1930s to compel manufacturers to move production to the US and close the nation’s trillion-dollar trade deficit.
The US trade deficit with the 27 EU member states reached a total of $232 billion in 2025, accounting for approximately 19% of the total figure.
Underpinning Merz’s demands is a persistent concern that Brussels might establish a broad framework centered on a flat 10% tariff for most common goods, rather than isolating sectoral tariffs on items like cars, which he argues harms German exporters.
Another EU diplomat noted that keeping a broad-based tariff in place was “not a task we gave the European Commission,” adding, “We hope the Commission will try to find a solution for the most at-risk sectors.”
Merz’s call to “get the job done” faces two primary obstacles. First, the EU negotiating team has warned that Washington will likely offer only minor concessions, such as limited tariff reductions tied to restrictive quotas, after which full tariff rates would apply.
This is a far cry from the zero-tariff agreement Merz had initially hoped to achieve and closely resembles the UK deal, the only one struck with Trump so far.
Meanwhile, negotiations with the US on Germany’s biggest demand—automobiles—are proving particularly difficult.
Merz and German automakers are pushing for a mechanism that would allow them to offset their vehicle imports into the US with models they export from their American production facilities.
Economy Minister Katharina Reiche presented such a proposal during her visit to the US earlier this month. Both BMW and Mercedes-Benz operate large factories in the US that produce certain models for global export. However, considering the EU exports over 750,000 vehicles to the US annually, it remains unclear how much relief a limited quota agreement would provide to car manufacturers if Trump rejects this proposal.
Brussels, on the other hand, is hopeful that Trump’s long-standing desire for the EU to align with US automotive regulations will serve as a strong enough bargaining chip to ease the pressure on the auto sector.
In a scoping paper sent to member states in May, the Commission revealed it had offered to align with US regulations on autonomous vehicles. This is seen as a major concession, especially after similar discussions on automotive reciprocity led to the collapse of a transatlantic trade deal a decade ago.
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