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Robert Fico shooting: What do we know?

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Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico was shot dead yesterday as he greeted citizens outside the House of Culture in Handlová, in the west of the country.

Denník N reporter Daniel Vražda, who was in the area, said he did not see the incident but was nearby and heard several shots. Vražda then saw the prime minister being lifted from the ground by security guards, put into a car and driven away.

According to witnesses at the scene, Fico walked towards the people who were there to greet him and several shots were fired. Available information suggests that a total of four to five shots were fired, after which Fico fell to the ground.

The Prime Minister remains in a critical condition

The alleged shooter was immediately arrested at the scene.

“The perpetrator fired five shots and the prime minister is still in a critical condition,” said Interior Minister Matúš Šutaj Eštok. The first information we have shows that the attacker had a clear political motivation and that the decision (to attack the prime minister) was taken shortly after the presidential elections,” Matúš Šutaj Eštok said.

The minister added that “the protection of constitutional representatives and some media organisations, as well as political representatives of both the coalition and the opposition, will be increased in the coming days”.Fico underwent a major operation that lasted about 3.5 hours.Defence Minister Robert Kaliňák said the prime minister’s condition was “very complicated”.

“We believe he will be strong enough to overcome this trauma,” Kaliňák said, according to Dennik N.

For his part, Deputy Prime Minister Tomas Taraba told the BBC on Thursday morning that “I think he will survive in the end”, adding that the prime minister’s condition was “not life-threatening at the moment”.

Conflicting claims about the shooterInitial reports on Slovak TV channel JOJ 24 identified the attacker as Juraj Cintula, 71, one of the founders of the DÚHA (Rainbow) literary club.

Cintula was president of the literary club until 2016 and author of three books of poetry.

Until 2016, Cintula worked as a security guard at a shopping centre in Levice, but resigned after being attacked on duty.The assailant, who was also a member of the Slovak Writers’ Union, allegedly wanted to found a political party called the Movement Against Violence eight years ago.

According to the portal of a Hungarian-language newspaper in Bratislava, Juraj Cintula was a sampatizan of the “pro-Russian paramilitary group” Slovenskí Branci (SB).Photos of Cintula regularly attending meetings of the organisation were published in 2016. The Hungarian website claims that the killer was listed as an “author and publisher” on the paramilitary group’s Facebook page and that some of his writings had been published.

But this is where things get complicated. According to the article, Cintula’s writings appear to criticise refugees and the Slovak state. It is a serious contradiction that the group organises uniformed commemorations at the grave of Jozef Tiso, the head of the fascist puppet state called the First Slovak Republic between 1938 and 1945, since the SB positions itself as an organisation against Nazism and fascism.

The Új Szó news portal, citing the Markíza television channel, reported that Cintula said shortly after his arrest that he had been “planning the assassination for a month because he disagreed with the government’s policies”.

In the video broadcast by Markíza, the suspect said: “I do not agree with the government’s policies. Why are the media being targeted? Why is RTVS [Slovak National Television] being attacked? Why was [Supreme Court President Ján] Mazák fired?”

Was Fico expecting an assassination attempt?A month ago, Fico posted a video on social media in which he talked about how the “progressive media” would shoot him and his government. The video was leaked by the Austrian newspaper Der Standard.

In the video, which was part of the political struggle at the time, the prime minister criticised the texts of the “progressive media”, which he said could lead to violence against government officials.”

“I expect that this frustration, which has been intensified by Denník N. Smečko or Aktualita, will escalate to the murder of one of the ” Fico said.

It is also significant that Interior Minister Eštok referred to the presidential elections.Last March and April, Slovakia’s pro-Western former foreign minister Ivan Korčok and Peter Pellegrini, leader of the ruling Hlas party, ran for the presidency.

Pellegrini won the race in the final round. Pellegrini had attracted attention by saying that if another NATO member was attacked by Russia, he would oppose sending Slovak forces to help that country under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty. leading politicians of the government, and I am not exaggerating by a millimetre,” Fico said.

It is also significant that Interior Minister Eštok referred to the presidential elections.Last March and April, Slovakia’s pro-Western former foreign minister Ivan Korčok and Peter Pellegrini, leader of the ruling Hlas party, ran for the presidency.

Pellegrini won the race in the final round. Pellegrini had attracted attention by saying that if another NATO member was attacked by Russia, he would oppose sending Slovak forces to help that country under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty.

Some commentators have pointed out that the political atmosphere in Slovakia has been particularly harsh in recent years. In 2018, the murder of investigative journalist Ján Kuciak and his fiancée, Martina Kušnírová, sparked one of the largest protests in Slovakia’s modern history and forced then-Prime Minister Fico to resign.

Kuciak was investigating tax fraud by some businessmen with links to senior Slovak politicians.

Lubos Blaha, deputy speaker of the Slovak parliament and vice-president of Fico’s Smer party, blamed the “liberal media” and said: “On behalf of Smer, I strongly condemn what happened today in Handlová and at the same time express my great disgust at what you have done here in recent years. You, the liberal media and the political opposition.How much hatred you have spread against Robert Fico,” he said.

Fico’s stance on the war in Ukraine made the West unhappy

Pellegrini’s comments are closely aligned with those of Prime Minister Fico and his party.

Pellegrini claims that it is important for Slovakia to remain committed to the EU and NATO, but like Fico he refuses to send military aid to Ukraine.

Last January, Fico said neighbouring Ukraine was not a ‘sovereign nation’ but under the ‘absolute control’ of the United States.

The leader, who opposes military aid to Ukraine and sanctions against Russia, reiterated that he does not want Ukraine to join NATO.

Fico also accused Ukraine of being ‘one of the most corrupt countries in the world’, adding: ‘Only God knows how much of the aid sent to you has disappeared somewhere.

He argued that there was no military solution to the current conflict and that Ukraine would have to give up some of its territory.

He called for some kind of compromise that would be “very painful” for both sides: “And what do they expect? That the Russians will leave? That is unrealistic,” the Slovak leader said.

Fico cut military aid to Kiev immediately after his election victory, but at the EU summit he did not put obstacles in the way of Brussels’ aid to Kiev and a compromise was reached.

In the end, Fico announced that Slovakia would only provide humanitarian aid to Kiev and was also considering the possibility of supplying demining equipment.

The prime minister also announced that his country would help Ukraine train Ukrainian soldiers.

Together with Hungarian leader Viktor Orban, Fico was seen as a ‘bulwark’ against pro-EU and pro-US policies in Central Europe.

Europe ‘shocked’ by assassination

Fico, who took office as Slovakia’s prime minister for a fourth term in September 2023, had been criticised by Western countries, particularly the European Commission, for his “pro-Russian stance”, as well as his regulation of the media and NGOs, and the laws his government was trying to pass.

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen condemned the attack after the assassination, saying: “Such acts of violence have no place in our society and undermine democracy, our most precious common asset.”

Charles Michel, President of the Council of Europe, said in a statement in X that he was “shocked by the news” and added: “Nothing can justify violence or attacks of this kind. My thoughts are with the prime minister and his family,” he said.

The pro-Western prime minister of neighbouring Czech Republic, Petr Fiala, issued a statement on the X website shortly after the incident, describing the news as ‘shocking’.

Other European leaders, including Fico’s Hungarian counterpart Viktor Orban, also expressed their “shock” at the shooting, condemned political violence and wished Fico a speedy recovery, while Romanian President Klaus Iohannis condemned the “extremist act” that “threatens our fundamental EU values”.

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz condemned the “cowardly” attack and stressed that violence has no place in European politics.

Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni said she was “shocked” to learn of the “cowardly” attack and condemned all forms of violence as attacks on the fundamental principles of democracy and freedom.

Spanish Prime Minister and Social Democrat Pedro Sánchez also expressed outrage, saying that ‘nothing can justify violence’.

In Bulgaria, President Rumen Radev and Boyko Borisov, former prime minister and leader of the country’s largest party GERB, strongly condemned the violence, while Kostadin Kostadinov, leader of the ‘pro-Russian’ Vazrajdane party, questioned who would want to kill Fico: “In this situation, every normal European should ask two questions: Who has an interest in the death of the Slovak politician? Who will be next?” he asked.

Kostadinov also recalled that Fico had repeatedly expressed his opposition to the provision of military aid to Ukraine, Ukraine’s accession to NATO and the escalation of the military conflict in Ukraine.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenyuk condemned the attack and called for efforts to ensure that “violence does not become the norm in any country, in any form, in any sphere”.

“I was outraged to learn of the attempt on the life of the Prime Minister of the Slovak Republic, Robert Fico. There can be no justification for this heinous crime,” said Russian President Vladimir Putin, expressing his sincere support and wishing Fico a speedy recovery.

Europe

China’s critical mineral restrictions challenge EU defence expansion plans

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The European Union’s plans to expand its defence capabilities are being hindered by China’s export controls and sales restrictions on critical raw materials.

In response, EU leaders are urging member states to accelerate efforts to diversify supply chains.

According to Nikkei Asia, the European Commission announced last week that it would propose new legislation requiring companies across the bloc to broaden their supplier base in an effort to address economic imbalances, although it did not explicitly name China.

The war in Ukraine and growing uncertainty over Washington’s security guarantees have pushed European governments to increase military spending and defence production.

At the same time, according to a report published in May by Joris Teer, a policy analyst at the European Union Institute for Security Studies (EUISS), China accounts for at least 70% of global mining or refining activity in 17 of the 34 materials classified as critical by the EU. Eight of those 34 materials are currently subject to Chinese export controls.

“China is undermining Europe’s rearmament efforts,” Teer wrote. “Simply by activating this tool, China has already increased its leverage and demonstrated both the capability and willingness to restrict supply whenever it chooses.”

The Aerospace, Security and Defence Industries Association of Europe also warned that geopolitical developments and intensifying global competition for critical raw materials are further underscoring the need to strengthen European supply chains.

The organisation represents more than 4,000 companies, including Britain’s BAE Systems, France’s Thales and Germany’s Rheinmetall.

European defence manufacturers are pursuing a range of strategies, including vertical integration, recycling, diversification and stockpiling.

Rheinmetall told Nikkei Asia that it has “no dependencies” and is “well prepared” regarding critical minerals.

A company spokesperson said: “Rheinmetall has stockpiled key raw materials sufficient for several years. We have also implemented IT systems that allow us to centrally monitor and precisely manage raw material consumption across the entire group.”

Analysts, however, caution that stockpiling alone will not be sufficient. Maria Shagina, a researcher at the International Institute for Strategic Studies, said: “Stockpiling serves as an important buffer against sudden disruptions, but on its own it is unlikely to mitigate structural damage over the long term.”

Shagina added that replacing the volume and diversity of critical minerals controlled by Beijing with alternative sources would take years.

In 2024, the EU enacted the European Critical Raw Materials Act, aimed at rebuilding domestic supply chains for such minerals.

The legislation sets 2030 targets for domestic extraction, processing and recycling while limiting dependence on any single third-country supplier to 65%.

A €3 billion ($3.5 billion) fund was established last year to accelerate strategic projects.

Nevertheless, the European Court of Auditors has noted that the 2030 targets are not legally binding and that the EU remains far from achieving them.

Industry groups argue that policy inconsistencies could further slow progress.

The Cobalt Institute, which represents a sector vital to jet engines, advanced batteries and defence alloys, warned that proposed EU chemicals regulations risk undermining the industry.

“Europe has one foot in and one foot out,” said Michael Blakeney, head of government and public affairs at the London-based institute. “It says the right things, but its actions are inconsistent.”

Europe’s efforts are unfolding alongside a more aggressive US strategy to secure critical mineral supply chains.

Shagina said:

“The US is investing more capital to secure and expand capacity, taking greater financial risks and, in some cases, acquiring equity stakes. Europe, by contrast, is generally more cautious, which places it at a relative disadvantage in the competition for critical minerals.”

In April, the EU signed an agreement with the United States to coordinate supplies of critical minerals. Although some member states initially resisted over concerns that the deal could weaken the bloc’s strategic autonomy, they authorised the Commission in early June to join the US-led “Pax Silica” initiative, which coordinates investment and export-control policies.

Teer urged Europe to use ongoing US-EU-Japan negotiations as the nucleus of a broader coalition aimed at making critical mineral production outside China financially viable through state support, minimum-price mechanisms and supply rules.

“Particularly important are countries that either produce raw materials or possess significant mineral deposits, such as Malaysia, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Brazil and Indonesia, as well as countries like India with large pools of skilled labour,” he said.

Teer also argued that the EU should activate its Anti-Coercion Instrument, which allows the bloc to impose tariffs and restrictions in response to economic pressure on countries outside the union, in order to deter China from introducing further restrictions.

A European Commission spokesperson said the bloc had “long been aware of the risks associated with the EU’s dependence on critical raw materials.”

“The objective is clear: to anticipate disruptions early and reduce the EU’s vulnerabilities while strengthening our industrial and defence capacities,” the spokesperson said.

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Four European countries move to make citizenship harder to obtain

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European countries are increasingly tightening their citizenship rules. Most recently, the Norwegian government has drafted legislation that would raise the minimum residency requirement for citizenship from three years to seven.

The proposed amendments to the citizenship law were presented by the Ministry of Labour and Social Inclusion.

Under the draft legislation, stateless individuals born in Norway, as well as those who arrived in the country as children, would be required to reside in Norway for at least five years before becoming eligible for citizenship.

The government also plans to increase residency requirements for foreign nationals who are married to or cohabiting with Norwegian citizens.

Language requirements are set to become more demanding as well. The proposal would raise the required level of spoken Norwegian proficiency from A2 to B1. The new rules would apply to applicants aged between 18 and 67.

Commenting on the changes, Minister of Labour and Social Inclusion Kjersti Stenseng said: “Obtaining and holding Norwegian citizenship should be a privilege.”

The government argues that simplifying administrative procedures while simultaneously tightening eligibility criteria will help reduce the country’s large backlog of pending applications and shorten processing times.

Norway is the latest European country to announce revisions to its citizenship rules.

In Finland, the minimum residency requirement for citizenship was increased from five years to eight years on October 1, 2024.

The country also plans to introduce a mandatory citizenship test for applicants aged between 18 and 64 from the beginning of 2027.

Finnish Interior Minister Mari Rantanen said: “The introduction of a citizenship test is the final component of a comprehensive reform aimed at making citizenship requirements more stringent.”

Sweden has also approved a similar reform. Beginning in June 2026, the standard residency requirement for citizenship will increase from five years to eight years. Authorities are also introducing a financial self-sufficiency requirement for applicants and expanding the scope of security screenings.

Explaining the rationale behind the changes, Migration Minister Johan Forssell said: “It was possible to become a citizen after living in the country for five years without knowing a single word of Swedish, learning anything about Swedish society, or even having one’s own source of income.”

The most far-reaching changes have been implemented in Portugal. Portuguese President Antonio Jose Seguro has signed legislation raising the minimum residency requirement for citizenship from five years to 10 years.

For citizens of the European Union and the Community of Portuguese Language Countries, the requirement has been set at seven years.

The residency period will now be calculated from the date a residence permit is granted rather than from the date a citizenship application is submitted. The new rules will also affect the children of immigrants.

Previously, children could obtain citizenship one year after birth if their parents held residence permits. Under the new rules, at least one parent must have legally resided in the country for a minimum of five years.

The law also introduces a mandatory examination covering Portuguese history, culture, values and social structures.

Migration policies are tightening across the European Union as well. On June 17, the European Parliament approved legislation allowing irregular migrants whose asylum applications have been rejected but who cannot be returned to their countries of origin to be deported to third countries.

The new EU rules permit the establishment of migrant detention centres outside the bloc’s borders. African countries are reportedly among the options being discussed for such facilities.

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SpaceX warns EU satellite spectrum plan could disrupt connectivity in Ukraine

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SpaceX has sharply criticised a European Union plan to restrict access to satellite spectrum, arguing that the proposal risks degrading connectivity in Ukraine and disrupting emergency communications services.

In a document shared with European officials and reviewed by the Financial Times, SpaceX warned:

“This proposal significantly increases the likelihood that Europeans will be deprived of direct-to-device satellite services, or that new European operations will create global interference issues, including for emergency services such as those operating in Ukraine.”

In a proposal unveiled in May, the EU recommended reserving part of the spectrum band used for direct satellite-to-smartphone connectivity for European operators, thereby limiting the frequencies available to US and Chinese providers.

The 2 GHz frequency band in question is currently used by two US companies, Viasat and EchoStar.

SpaceX argued that the EU plan prioritises “an operator’s country of establishment over economic, technical and regulatory realities.”

When the proposal was announced, EU technology chief Henna Virkkunen defended the move, saying the bloc wanted to “increase European capacity in this sector.” She added that other parts of the frequency band would remain open to international operators, arguing that prioritising European providers was justified.

Other participants involved in discussions over the proposal said some EU officials were specifically seeking to limit Elon Musk’s Starlink satellite network.

Europe’s initiative follows a warning from Washington. In March, the US Federal Communications Commission (FCC) cautioned that it could take retaliatory measures if the EU chose to favour European satellite operators over alternatives such as Starlink.

At the time, FCC Chairman Brendan Carr told the Financial Times: “Some of the discussions in Europe regarding satellite sovereignty concern us. If Europe decides to move down that path, then, as you know, we will have to consider reciprocal measures.”

The European Commission’s proposal has not yet entered formal negotiations with EU member states or the European Parliament.

A source close to SpaceX said the company remained hopeful of influencing the outcome of the process, given concerns raised by both businesses and several European governments.

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