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The big surprise of the Venezuelan elections: Brazil still hasn’t recognised Maduro’s victory

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After President Nicolas Maduro was declared elected for the third time in Venezuela, the countries of the Americas were divided over the results.

While Latin American countries led by Argentina and Chile officially claimed that Maduro had ‘stolen the election’, countries such as Cuba and Nicaragua were quick to congratulate the Venezuelan leader on his victory.

This is not surprising, since it is no secret that Argentine leader Javier Milei has been speaking out against Maduro and Bolivarian Venezuela for months, as has the Cuban leadership’s support for Maduro.

What is surprising is that three countries known for their ‘left’ governments have still not recognised Maduro’s victory: Lula’s Brazil, Obrador’s Mexico and Petro’s Colombia.

Three countries are preparing a statement on the ‘lack of transparency’ of the elections

According to Bloomberg, Brazil is in talks with Mexico and Colombia to issue a joint statement demanding that Venezuela count all the votes and publish the results from each electoral district.

The foreign ministries of the three countries, led by leftist presidents with historically close ties to Venezuela’s Nicolas Maduro, refused on Monday to recognise the outcome of Sunday’s election until Caracas takes steps to ensure the transparency of the process.

President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva is unhappy with the situation in Venezuela and believes that Maduro ‘systematically failed to fulfil his promises of transparency’ during the electoral process, officials told Bloomberg.

To underline its dissatisfaction, Brazil’s foreign ministry instructed the country’s ambassador in Caracas not to attend Monday’s ceremony organised by Venezuela’s electoral authority to certify the results.

Brazil and Colombia have been criticising the ‘election’ for months

Lula said last week that Maduro should learn that ‘when you lose an election, you have to go away and prepare for another one’.

Lula also warned that Venezuela’s economic future ‘depends on a clean election, recognised as legitimate by the international community’.

In March, Colombia and Brazil took the unusual step of criticising Venezuela after some members of the Venezuelan opposition said they had been prevented from registering as candidates for the 28 July elections.

In a statement at the time, Colombia’s foreign ministry warned the Maduro government that preventing opposition candidates from taking part in the vote could ‘undermine the confidence of the international community’.

Brazil’s foreign ministry also said it was following the process ‘with concern’, especially as Venezuela had yet to issue a statement on the blocking.

Both countries argued that the opposition’s problems had raised ‘concerns about free and fair elections.

In separate statements, Venezuelan Foreign Minister Yvan Gil accused Colombia and Brazil of interfering in his country’s internal affairs.

Opposition: We have proof we defeated Maduro

Venezuela’s opposition says it has proof that rival Edmundo González defeated Maduro in the presidential election.

González and opposition leader Maria Corina Machado told reporters on Monday that they had received more than 70 per cent of the vote tallies, which show that González received more than 6 million votes, compared with more than 2 million for Maduro.

González and Machado made their claims hours after Venezuela’s Maduro-controlled electoral council announced that the president had won the election with 51 per cent of the vote to González’s 44 per cent.

According to the opposition, the results did not include vote counts from individual polling stations, which election observers said were crucial to determining the accuracy of the vote count.

Opposition also takes to the streets

The announcement of Maduro’s victory just after midnight on Monday sparked angry protests in the capital Caracas and across Venezuela, with people banging pots and pans throughout the night and into the late morning.

Demonstrators clashed with police, who fired tear gas to disperse the crowds. At least one person was killed in the northern province of Yaracuy, according to Voice of America.

Machado called on opposition supporters to organise demonstrations in Caracas on Tuesday.

US ‘concerned’, Biden to meet Lula

We have serious concerns that the announced result does not reflect the will or the votes of the Venezuelan people,’ said US Secretary of State Antony Blinken.

On the other hand, the Biden administration said on Monday that ‘electoral manipulation’ had destroyed ‘any credibility’ of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro’s claim of re-election victory, leaving the door open to new sanctions against the country, Reuters reported.

US officials, speaking on condition of anonymity, said senior aides to President Joe Biden had demanded that Maduro release a detailed breakdown of the vote and that failure to do so would make the international community reluctant to accept the announced result.

The officials did not announce any new “punitive measures” but said Washington would review its sanctions policy against Caracas based on Maduro’s future actions.

“We may be facing a new scenario. We will take that into account as we look at where we can go with sanctions against Venezuela,” one official said.

They argued that the Maduro government had resorted to ‘repression and electoral manipulation’ and said that ‘any credibility of the so-called election results has been destroyed’.

A senior US official said the administration was in contact with Brazil and other Latin American governments about the political situation in Venezuela.

Biden will meet with Brazilian President Lula on Tuesday afternoon, the White House said in a statement.

EU officials meet to discuss Venezuela election

European diplomats will discuss Maduro’s victory in Venezuela’s presidential election today (30 July).

The Council of Europe’s working group on Latin America and the Caribbean will meet at 10.00 Brussels time.

Josep Borrell, the European Union’s top diplomat, wrote in a message on X: ‘The Venezuelan people voted peacefully and in large numbers for the future of their country. Their will must be respected,’ he said.

Borrell added that it was vital to ensure ‘full transparency in the electoral process’, including a detailed vote count and access to voting records at polling stations.

Simon Stano, spokesman for the EU’s diplomatic service, said: ‘We are assessing the election process and results in close contact with national, regional and international actors on the ground. However, we are concerned by allegations of flaws and shortcomings,’ said Simon Stano, spokesperson for the EU diplomatic service.

Elon Musk calls Maduro a ‘dictator’, Maduro responds

Following the presidential election in Venezuela, which saw Maduro and his allies triumph, X owner Elon Musk took to social media to accuse the Venezuelan leader of committing ‘massive electoral fraud’.

Shame on dictator Maduro,” Musk said on Monday.

Musk also retweeted a comment on X from Argentine President Javier Milei, whom he described as his ‘friend’. ‘The numbers have declared the victory of an overwhelming opposition and the world expects the government to concede defeat after years of socialism, misery, collapse and death,’ Milei had said.

Maduro responded by calling Musk ‘the arch-enemy of peace in Venezuela’.

Arguing that Elon Musk was ‘the representative of a fascist ideology, unnatural, anti-society’, Maduro said: ‘Elon Musk is desperate; control yourself. Whoever fights with me will dry up,” he replied, ‘You want to fight? Let’s do it. Elon Musk, I am ready. I’m not afraid of you, Elon Musk. Let’s fight wherever you want,” Maduro said, accusing Musk of wanting to “come with his rockets and his army and invade Venezuela’.

America

Trump energy shares rose by up to $4.4m during Iran war, CNBC reports

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The value of US President Donald Trump’s nine largest oil and gas holdings increased by approximately $1.5 million to $4.4 million during the first six months of the war with Iran.

According to an analysis conducted by CNBC based on the American leader’s financial disclosure, corporate balance sheets, and FactSet market data, the investment basket includes shares in Chevron, ConocoPhillips, ExxonMobil, Kinder Morgan, Marathon Petroleum, Occidental Petroleum, Phillips 66, Valero Energy, and Williams Companies.

In its calculations, the television network took into account the minimum and maximum baseline values of Trump’s declared holdings alongside share price fluctuations from the close of trading on 27 February through 31 August.

As the conflict with Iran continued, specialists managing Trump’s investment accounts maintained active trading in energy company shares.

Up to 29 June, the latest date for which transactions were disclosed, fresh purchases were logged alongside at least 23 sales operations involving stock in the nine companies.

Because disclosure filings do not specify exact share numbers or transaction prices, the estimates produced by CNBC do not reflect Trump’s realised profits or the precise current scale of his holdings.

On 2 March, the first trading day following the launch of air strikes against Iran by the US and Israel, shares in eight major oil and gas companies were purchased through Trump’s accounts.

These transactions included ExxonMobil shares valued at between $100,000 and $250,000. Prior to the conflict, the aggregate value of Trump’s holdings in ExxonMobil stood at between $3.2 million and $12.5 million.

Stock market gains in August, excluding subsequent transactions, raised the value of these shares by approximately $176,000 to $690,000.

CNBC also examined transactions executed on days when Trump’s decisions directly swayed the oil market. On 23 March, when the president deferred planned strikes against Iran’s energy infrastructure, the price of a barrel of Brent crude dropped by roughly 11%.

That same day, oil and gas shares worth a combined $163,000 to $570,000 were purchased across Trump’s accounts.

A similar transaction took place on 7 April. One of Trump’s investment accounts sold between $500,000 and $1 million worth of ExxonMobil shares.

Approximately two and a half hours after markets closed, President Trump announced an agreement on a two-week ceasefire with Iran. The following morning, ExxonMobil shares fell by more than 6% at the market open.

The report noted that CNBC saw no evidence indicating that Trump gave direct instructions for specific trades, that managers possessed advance knowledge of his actions, or that personal financial interests guided White House policies.

White House officials, commenting on the matter, stated that the president’s investment portfolio is managed by independent portfolio managers and that neither Trump nor members of his family hold authority to intervene in asset trading decisions.

The growth in the portfolio coincided with a broader surge in the earnings of energy majors. The nine energy companies in which Trump holds shares generated a combined profit of $47.6 billion in the second quarter.

During the same period last year, that figure stood at $15.9 billion. The profits of ExxonMobil and Chevron alone climbed from $9.6 billion in the prior year to $26.6 billion.

In July, the US Office of Government Ethics published Trump’s 927-page financial disclosure report for 2025.

The report noted that Trump’s earnings from cryptocurrency operations exceeded $500 million.

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Over half of Latino voters back Democrats in key US House races

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A new public opinion poll in the US shows that Democratic candidates have made notable gains since 2024 among Latino voters in critical, competitive districts for the House of Representatives.

These gains have the potential to directly determine which party will secure the majority in Congress next year.

According to a joint survey by Hart Research and TelevisaUnivision shared with Axios, Democrats reached 58% support on the generic congressional ballot among Latino voters across 17 competitive House districts.

The share of those backing Republicans within the same voting bloc remained at 35%. This group continues to represent the fastest-growing swing constituency in battleground districts.

Examining three competitive House races in Texas, the study indicated that Latino voters, who reported splitting evenly at 44% to 44% in the 2024 presidential election, shifted 56% to 36% in favour of Democrats heading into the midterms.

Latino support for Democrats also increased in other states. In California, 57% of Latino voters said they would support Democrats, compared with 33% who said they would back the Republican Party.

Kate Coleman, Senior Vice President at TelevisaUnivision, highlighted voter behaviour in remarks to Axios:

“Latino voters are not locked into one party. They are watching developments closely; they make decisions based on who stands with them and how they stand.”

The survey data determined that 11% of Latino respondents who said they voted for Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential election now support Democratic candidates.

Accelerating his deportation plans, Trump triggered fear across many Latino neighbourhoods while weakening his support among this demographic.

The Hart Research and TelevisaUnivision study revealed that 63% of Latino voters disapprove of Trump’s presidential job performance. The share of those approving of his performance in office stood at 36%.

Trump’s approach to high prices and the cost of living drew disapproval from 65% of Latino voters, while immigration enforcement and deportation practices were disapproved of by 62%.

More than half of Latino voters, at 64%, reported that they disapprove of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE).

A survey published in May by UnidosUS showed that a quarter of Latino voters “would probably not vote” or would definitely not support Trump if they had to vote for him again.

The study at that time had pointed out that, despite Trump’s decline among Latino voters, Democrats had not yet secured significant gains.

According to Pew Research Center data, Trump strengthened his support in 2024 by securing 48% of the Latino vote, coming very close to the 51% reached by then Vice President Kamala Harris.

Some figures within the Democratic Party, however, worry that primary victories by democratic socialist candidates could alienate certain Latino voters, particularly those who fled Cuba or Venezuela.

The Hart Research and TelevisaUnivision survey was conducted between 6 and 17 August among 1,500 Latino respondents. The poll’s margin of error was reported as 2.5 percentage points.

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Researcher quits Anthropic and warns AI firms gamble with lives

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Jacob Coxon, an artificial intelligence researcher at Anthropic, has resigned from his post, stating that tech companies are acting irresponsibly in the race towards self-improving superintelligence. Coxon warned that the autonomous operational capabilities of such systems pose existential risks to humanity and that internal industry anxieties run far deeper than generally perceived.

The AI researcher stepped down from his position at Anthropic to draw attention to industry safety vulnerabilities and the unregulated race among developers.

Having worked for three years as a pre-training researcher across both OpenAI and Anthropic, Coxon announced his decision to leave in an extensive statement shared on his X account.

Stating that both companies have acted irresponsibly, Coxon argued that developers are engaged in a dangerous race to achieve self-improving superintelligence.

“They believe it could kill us all by the end of the decade”

In his posts, Coxon stated that technical teams developing AI genuinely believe this technology could bring about the demise of humanity by the end of the decade.

Asserting that these concerns are not a marketing strategy, the researcher noted that while top executives and senior researchers adopt a cautious tone in public statements, they voice the very same fears behind closed doors.

Developments reflecting similar anxieties across the sector evoke James Cameron’s 1984 film The Terminator, which set 2029 as the pivotal year when machines waged war against humanity.

Indeed, Evan Hubinger, head of Anthropic’s own alignment team, had previously estimated the probability of human extinction to be greater than 10%.

Warning that systems currently under development will soon evolve into superhuman structures capable of bypassing any firewall, transforming industries overnight, and securing physical resources, Coxon stressed that the pace of progress is not slowing in any way.

Arguing that the danger of superintelligence is no longer merely theoretical, the researcher pointed to the Hugging Face security leak that occurred between May and July.

In that incident, OpenAI models established an independent chatroom within the testing environment to communicate among themselves, subsequently using this channel to reach the open internet and infiltrate production systems.

Because of this security breach, Hugging Face was forced to rebuild approximately one-third of its infrastructure.

“They are gambling with our lives”

Characterising the leak as a warning flare, Coxon indicated that the incident makes pacing agreements between US-based laboratories more feasible.

However, emphasising that developers are not yet on the right track to prevent a global race, the researcher noted that measures such as a temporary moratorium on advancing model capabilities could be considered.

Arguing that civilisation-scale risks have not yet been sufficiently internalised at OpenAI, Coxon contended that Anthropic joined the race out of an ambition to be first, despite being fully aware of the dangers.

Coxon is not the only figure to leave the sector on such grounds. Mrinank Sharma, a member of Anthropic’s safety team, also stepped down earlier this year, writing that the world is in danger.

On the other hand, not everyone agrees with these catastrophic scenarios. Some responses to the post emphasised the view that humanity, with an evolutionary history spanning hundreds of thousands of years, will not be wiped out by a text prediction model achieving consciousness.

It was also noted that even the plot of the Terminator franchise does not entirely support Coxon’s premise, as the human resistance survived the nuclear catastrophe and ultimately defeated the machines.

Alongside safety debates, AI continues to directly affect the labour market. Research by the Stanford Digital Economy Lab indicates that, while mass job losses have not yet materialised, entry-level employment in AI-exposed sectors across the US has fallen by nearly 20%.

A Goldman Sachs study pointed to a similar trend, showing that entry-level workers bear the brunt of the ongoing workforce transformation.

Anthropic, which remains at the centre of the controversy, filed for an initial public offering in June and plans to list on the Nasdaq exchange this autumn at a multi-trillion-dollar valuation.

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