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The de facto US intervention in Haiti is under way

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Haiti’s unelected prime minister, Ariel Henry, said on Monday he would step down following the appointment of a transitional council and interim prime minister after leading the Caribbean country since the assassination of its last president in 2021.

Under Henry’s rule, armed gangs have greatly increased their wealth, influence and territory, leading to the establishment of a United Nations-backed security mission led by Kenya.

Last week, Henry travelled to Kenya to seek support. But the conflict escalated dramatically in his absence, leaving the 74-year-old neurosurgeon prime minister stranded in the US territory of Puerto Rico.

“My government will resign as soon as a (transitional) council is formed. I want to thank the Haitian people for this opportunity,” Henry said in a late-night video address.

Haitians celebrated in the streets after Henry’s statement went viral on social media, urging all Haitians to remain calm and do everything in their power to restore peace and stability as quickly as possible.

Henry’s resignation agreed with the US in Puerto Rico

Reuters quoted a senior US official as saying that Henry was free to stay in Puerto Rico or travel elsewhere, but that security in Haiti needed to improve before he could return home. The official said the resignation was agreed on Friday, revealing US involvement in the process.

Henry will be replaced by a Presidential Council of seven voting members, including two observers and representatives of various political coalitions, business, civil society and a religious community.

The council has been tasked with quickly appointing an interim prime minister; no one who wants to run in Haiti’s next elections will be able to do so.

The country has been without elected representatives since early 2023, and the next elections will be the first since 2016. Henry, who is seen by many Haitians as corrupt, has repeatedly postponed the elections, saying that security must first be restored.

The US brings the countries of the region together

Regional leaders met in nearby Jamaica on Monday to discuss the framework for the political transition process, which the US last week called for to be ‘accelerated’ as armed gangs try to overthrow the government.

US Secretary of State Antony Blinken said on Monday that the council would be tasked with addressing the ‘immediate needs’ of Haitians, ensuring the deployment of the security mission and creating the security conditions necessary for free elections.

Henry’s resignation comes amid regional talks on his request to join an international force to help police fight gangs whose brutal turf wars have fuelled the humanitarian crisis, cut off food supplies and driven hundreds of thousands from their homes.

Uncertainty of transfer in financing of ‘aid’ to Haiti

US Secretary of State Antony Blinken said on Monday that the US would provide $100 million for the force and $33 million in humanitarian aid, bringing the total US commitment to the force to $300 million.

But it was unclear how long it would take for the funds to be approved by lawmakers and transferred. A UN spokesman said that as of Monday, less than $11 million had been paid into the UN’s special trust fund and that no new contributions had been made since Haiti declared a state of emergency on 3 March.

Mexico’s foreign minister added that the country had contributed an unspecified amount of funds and called for further action to stop arms trafficking to Haiti.

Many Haitians inside and outside Haiti are wary of international intervention after previous UN missions left behind a devastating cholera epidemic and sexual abuse scandals that have never been resolved.

Gangs’ weapons come from the US

The UN believes Haitian gangs have amassed large arsenals, much of it made up of weapons smuggled from the United States.

A state of emergency was declared in Haiti earlier this month after Jimmy ‘Barbecue’ Cherizier, the leader of an alliance of armed groups, said they would unite and overthrow Henry, as clashes damaged communications and led to two prison breaks.

The UN estimates that more than 362,000 people, half of them children, have been internally displaced and thousands have been killed in the conflict since 2021, with widespread rape, torture and kidnapping for ransom.

The Financial Times writes that many of the country’s gangs are believed to receive significant support from Haiti’s elite. According to InSight Crime, which investigates criminal networks in Latin America, G-9 received half of its income from the government of President Moïse before he was assassinated in 2021.

Gang leader’s ‘bloody revolution’ statement

Cherizier, the leader of the G-9 gang in Haiti and a former policeman, threatened to go after hotel owners who hid politicians or collaborated with Henry.

Barbecue’ also demanded that the country’s next leader be elected by the people and live in Haiti with his family. Many influential Haitian politicians live abroad.

“We are not in a peaceful revolution. We are in a bloody revolution in the country because this system is an apartheid system, a bad system,” he said.

According to the FT, in the vast slums under Cherizier’s control, where there are no state services such as sewers, electricity or running water, there are murals depicting him as the Argentine revolutionary Che Guevara.

Who is the leader of the ‘Barbecue’ Cherizier gang?

A Guardian correspondent makes a similar observation. The gang leader, who claims to present himself in interviews as a “God-fearing Caribbean Robin Hood”, has paid tribute to freedom fighters such as Fidel Castro, Thomas Sankara and Malcolm X. When they met last year, he told New Yorker reporter Jon Lee Anderson: “I like Martin Luther King too. But he didn’t like to fight with guns, and I fight with guns.

In an interview with Vice in 2022, Chérizier described his favela army as ‘a socio-political structure and a force that fights for the defenceless’.

For some time now, ‘Barbecue’ has frequently taken Western media organisations into the areas under his control and given interviews.

Cherizier, the youngest of eight children whose father died when he was five, has said he was inspired by François Duvalier, the brutal dictator who ruled Haiti from 1957 to 1971. But ‘Barbecue’ claims he would ‘never slaughter’ people of the same social class as himself.

According to the UN, gangs like the G-9 now control about 80 per cent of the capital, Port-au-Prince. They extort money from businesses and kidnap residents, rich and poor, for ransom, while fighting each other for territory. With only 9,000 members, the police force is understrength.

Despite his efforts to portray himself as a pro-people politician, Cherizier is accused by the UN of taking part in several massacres, some of which took place while he was still a police officer. In one of them, more than 71 people were killed, 400 houses set on fire and at least seven women raped by gangs in the Port-au-Prince slum of La Saline in 2018.

As well as Cherizier and the G-9 gang, Johnson Andrï, known as ‘Izo’, and the 5 Seconds gang have also made a name for themselves. There are an estimated 200 gangs in Haiti, 23 of which are believed to operate in the Port-au-Prince area.

America

Trump energy shares rose by up to $4.4m during Iran war, CNBC reports

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The value of US President Donald Trump’s nine largest oil and gas holdings increased by approximately $1.5 million to $4.4 million during the first six months of the war with Iran.

According to an analysis conducted by CNBC based on the American leader’s financial disclosure, corporate balance sheets, and FactSet market data, the investment basket includes shares in Chevron, ConocoPhillips, ExxonMobil, Kinder Morgan, Marathon Petroleum, Occidental Petroleum, Phillips 66, Valero Energy, and Williams Companies.

In its calculations, the television network took into account the minimum and maximum baseline values of Trump’s declared holdings alongside share price fluctuations from the close of trading on 27 February through 31 August.

As the conflict with Iran continued, specialists managing Trump’s investment accounts maintained active trading in energy company shares.

Up to 29 June, the latest date for which transactions were disclosed, fresh purchases were logged alongside at least 23 sales operations involving stock in the nine companies.

Because disclosure filings do not specify exact share numbers or transaction prices, the estimates produced by CNBC do not reflect Trump’s realised profits or the precise current scale of his holdings.

On 2 March, the first trading day following the launch of air strikes against Iran by the US and Israel, shares in eight major oil and gas companies were purchased through Trump’s accounts.

These transactions included ExxonMobil shares valued at between $100,000 and $250,000. Prior to the conflict, the aggregate value of Trump’s holdings in ExxonMobil stood at between $3.2 million and $12.5 million.

Stock market gains in August, excluding subsequent transactions, raised the value of these shares by approximately $176,000 to $690,000.

CNBC also examined transactions executed on days when Trump’s decisions directly swayed the oil market. On 23 March, when the president deferred planned strikes against Iran’s energy infrastructure, the price of a barrel of Brent crude dropped by roughly 11%.

That same day, oil and gas shares worth a combined $163,000 to $570,000 were purchased across Trump’s accounts.

A similar transaction took place on 7 April. One of Trump’s investment accounts sold between $500,000 and $1 million worth of ExxonMobil shares.

Approximately two and a half hours after markets closed, President Trump announced an agreement on a two-week ceasefire with Iran. The following morning, ExxonMobil shares fell by more than 6% at the market open.

The report noted that CNBC saw no evidence indicating that Trump gave direct instructions for specific trades, that managers possessed advance knowledge of his actions, or that personal financial interests guided White House policies.

White House officials, commenting on the matter, stated that the president’s investment portfolio is managed by independent portfolio managers and that neither Trump nor members of his family hold authority to intervene in asset trading decisions.

The growth in the portfolio coincided with a broader surge in the earnings of energy majors. The nine energy companies in which Trump holds shares generated a combined profit of $47.6 billion in the second quarter.

During the same period last year, that figure stood at $15.9 billion. The profits of ExxonMobil and Chevron alone climbed from $9.6 billion in the prior year to $26.6 billion.

In July, the US Office of Government Ethics published Trump’s 927-page financial disclosure report for 2025.

The report noted that Trump’s earnings from cryptocurrency operations exceeded $500 million.

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Over half of Latino voters back Democrats in key US House races

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A new public opinion poll in the US shows that Democratic candidates have made notable gains since 2024 among Latino voters in critical, competitive districts for the House of Representatives.

These gains have the potential to directly determine which party will secure the majority in Congress next year.

According to a joint survey by Hart Research and TelevisaUnivision shared with Axios, Democrats reached 58% support on the generic congressional ballot among Latino voters across 17 competitive House districts.

The share of those backing Republicans within the same voting bloc remained at 35%. This group continues to represent the fastest-growing swing constituency in battleground districts.

Examining three competitive House races in Texas, the study indicated that Latino voters, who reported splitting evenly at 44% to 44% in the 2024 presidential election, shifted 56% to 36% in favour of Democrats heading into the midterms.

Latino support for Democrats also increased in other states. In California, 57% of Latino voters said they would support Democrats, compared with 33% who said they would back the Republican Party.

Kate Coleman, Senior Vice President at TelevisaUnivision, highlighted voter behaviour in remarks to Axios:

“Latino voters are not locked into one party. They are watching developments closely; they make decisions based on who stands with them and how they stand.”

The survey data determined that 11% of Latino respondents who said they voted for Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential election now support Democratic candidates.

Accelerating his deportation plans, Trump triggered fear across many Latino neighbourhoods while weakening his support among this demographic.

The Hart Research and TelevisaUnivision study revealed that 63% of Latino voters disapprove of Trump’s presidential job performance. The share of those approving of his performance in office stood at 36%.

Trump’s approach to high prices and the cost of living drew disapproval from 65% of Latino voters, while immigration enforcement and deportation practices were disapproved of by 62%.

More than half of Latino voters, at 64%, reported that they disapprove of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE).

A survey published in May by UnidosUS showed that a quarter of Latino voters “would probably not vote” or would definitely not support Trump if they had to vote for him again.

The study at that time had pointed out that, despite Trump’s decline among Latino voters, Democrats had not yet secured significant gains.

According to Pew Research Center data, Trump strengthened his support in 2024 by securing 48% of the Latino vote, coming very close to the 51% reached by then Vice President Kamala Harris.

Some figures within the Democratic Party, however, worry that primary victories by democratic socialist candidates could alienate certain Latino voters, particularly those who fled Cuba or Venezuela.

The Hart Research and TelevisaUnivision survey was conducted between 6 and 17 August among 1,500 Latino respondents. The poll’s margin of error was reported as 2.5 percentage points.

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Researcher quits Anthropic and warns AI firms gamble with lives

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Jacob Coxon, an artificial intelligence researcher at Anthropic, has resigned from his post, stating that tech companies are acting irresponsibly in the race towards self-improving superintelligence. Coxon warned that the autonomous operational capabilities of such systems pose existential risks to humanity and that internal industry anxieties run far deeper than generally perceived.

The AI researcher stepped down from his position at Anthropic to draw attention to industry safety vulnerabilities and the unregulated race among developers.

Having worked for three years as a pre-training researcher across both OpenAI and Anthropic, Coxon announced his decision to leave in an extensive statement shared on his X account.

Stating that both companies have acted irresponsibly, Coxon argued that developers are engaged in a dangerous race to achieve self-improving superintelligence.

“They believe it could kill us all by the end of the decade”

In his posts, Coxon stated that technical teams developing AI genuinely believe this technology could bring about the demise of humanity by the end of the decade.

Asserting that these concerns are not a marketing strategy, the researcher noted that while top executives and senior researchers adopt a cautious tone in public statements, they voice the very same fears behind closed doors.

Developments reflecting similar anxieties across the sector evoke James Cameron’s 1984 film The Terminator, which set 2029 as the pivotal year when machines waged war against humanity.

Indeed, Evan Hubinger, head of Anthropic’s own alignment team, had previously estimated the probability of human extinction to be greater than 10%.

Warning that systems currently under development will soon evolve into superhuman structures capable of bypassing any firewall, transforming industries overnight, and securing physical resources, Coxon stressed that the pace of progress is not slowing in any way.

Arguing that the danger of superintelligence is no longer merely theoretical, the researcher pointed to the Hugging Face security leak that occurred between May and July.

In that incident, OpenAI models established an independent chatroom within the testing environment to communicate among themselves, subsequently using this channel to reach the open internet and infiltrate production systems.

Because of this security breach, Hugging Face was forced to rebuild approximately one-third of its infrastructure.

“They are gambling with our lives”

Characterising the leak as a warning flare, Coxon indicated that the incident makes pacing agreements between US-based laboratories more feasible.

However, emphasising that developers are not yet on the right track to prevent a global race, the researcher noted that measures such as a temporary moratorium on advancing model capabilities could be considered.

Arguing that civilisation-scale risks have not yet been sufficiently internalised at OpenAI, Coxon contended that Anthropic joined the race out of an ambition to be first, despite being fully aware of the dangers.

Coxon is not the only figure to leave the sector on such grounds. Mrinank Sharma, a member of Anthropic’s safety team, also stepped down earlier this year, writing that the world is in danger.

On the other hand, not everyone agrees with these catastrophic scenarios. Some responses to the post emphasised the view that humanity, with an evolutionary history spanning hundreds of thousands of years, will not be wiped out by a text prediction model achieving consciousness.

It was also noted that even the plot of the Terminator franchise does not entirely support Coxon’s premise, as the human resistance survived the nuclear catastrophe and ultimately defeated the machines.

Alongside safety debates, AI continues to directly affect the labour market. Research by the Stanford Digital Economy Lab indicates that, while mass job losses have not yet materialised, entry-level employment in AI-exposed sectors across the US has fallen by nearly 20%.

A Goldman Sachs study pointed to a similar trend, showing that entry-level workers bear the brunt of the ongoing workforce transformation.

Anthropic, which remains at the centre of the controversy, filed for an initial public offering in June and plans to list on the Nasdaq exchange this autumn at a multi-trillion-dollar valuation.

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