Diplomacy
EU explores cooperation with Trump-backed Peace Board for Gaza aid
EU countries that shunned the “Peace Board” when its formation was announced a year ago are beginning to cooperate with the organization on humanitarian aid projects in the Gaza Strip.
According to a report in Politico, although the European Commission is cautiously embarking on projects with the group established by President Donald Trump, the Peace Board’s ambitious vision to disarm and rebuild Gaza remains largely on paper.
Even so, the Board remains a political force to be reckoned with, tied to Trump’s closest allies and too significant to ignore.
Europe is therefore seeking avenues to cooperate with the organization without fully endorsing it.
“All traditional donors are ready to work in parallel, but they are reluctant to channel money into the Peace Board,” said Norwegian Minister of Foreign Affairs Espen Barth Eide.
Although Norway is not an EU member, it coordinates with the bloc regarding donations to the Palestinians.
Eide explained that Norway would prefer to work with “established institutions” such as the World Bank.
The Peace Board does not publish its budget or organizational chart. Furthermore, despite holding an account at the World Bank, it also maintains separate accounts at JPMorgan.
“The Peace Board’s mechanisms will not be compatible with our reporting arrangements,” Eide said.
This hesitation was clearly evident on Wednesday during a briefing with Peace Board officials on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly.
At the event, Dubravka Šuica, the European Commissioner for the Mediterranean, announced that she would sign on to two European-funded projects in partnership with UN agencies and “aligned with the priorities of the Peace Board”.
Yet her characterization of the cooperation with the Board was hardly glowing. “The important thing is to remain pragmatic,” Šuica said.
In a statement, the European Commission noted: “Given the immense early recovery needs in Gaza, coordination and alignment at all levels are of course necessary to achieve concrete results on the ground.”
The EU and most of its member states refused to join the Peace Board, partly over concerns that it could supplant the UN.
Since then, European countries have invited Peace Council representatives to their meetings and attended Security Council briefings alongside Council President Nikolay Mladenov.
The joint projects mark the first concrete step toward cooperation.
This acceptance, however reluctant, extends even to the UN Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near East (UNRWA), which handles Palestinian refugees in Gaza and which Israel and the US want sidelined.
Christian Saunders, the acting head of UNRWA, said the Peace Board was “the only game in town” and added: “Everyone needs to get behind this initiative.”
Romanian Foreign Minister Oana-Silvia Țoiu struck a diplomatic tone regarding the Board’s role during an interview.
Noting that her country works in cooperation with the UN and the EU, the minister said: “Yes, where we see complementary elements, we certainly support the work being carried out at the Peace Board level.”
The minister added that she attended a meeting with Mladenov at the UN on Thursday.
This approach, however, does not enjoy unanimous support. Speaking on condition of anonymity, a French official stressed that “the UN must remain the primary platform for facilitating the delivery of humanitarian aid to Gaza, resolving disputes, and advancing the political process.”
In November of last year, the Peace Board sought and received the UN’s backing as “a transitional administration to set the framework and coordinate financing for the reconstruction of Gaza”.
Yet the Board operates independently, and critics contend this constitutes a capitulation to Trump and Israel.
“This is a doorway to Washington at the top, and to Palestinian technocrats at the bottom,” said Amjad Iraqi of the International Crisis Group, who maintains close contact with European, Arab, and Palestinian officials, though he asked “who makes the decisions” and added that “Israel is making the calls.”
Iraqi highlighted ongoing restrictions on the entry of heavy machinery and reconstruction equipment, which Israel has stated it will not permit until Hamas is disarmed.
Meanwhile, the Peace Board’s plan to disarm Hamas has fallen through. Furthermore, Israel has continued its deadly strikes against what it identifies as Hamas targets in Gaza, albeit on a smaller scale compared to last year.
An Arab diplomat from a Peace Council member state noted that the council addresses Israel on civilian casualties in a “private capacity”, adding: “Whether that is sufficient is open to debate.”
Țoiu stated that for a problem on the scale of Gaza, “major players must be involved in the process”, noting that this includes “the US as a key facilitator of developments that could emerge as pressure toward the disarmament of Hamas”.
Ali Shaath, head of the Peace Board’s Palestinian technocratic committee planned to govern Gaza, argued at Wednesday’s event that the Peace Board is needed to bring order to a “fragmented” situation.
Tens of thousands of personnel from the Palestinian Authority, municipalities, the Gaza Strip’s de facto government, and numerous UN agencies and international NGOs operate across the territory, and he stated that his committee would unite them under a single roof.
“We are committed to one principle: one authority, one law, and one gun,” Shaath said.
Mladenov also acknowledged the tensions of operating amid hostilities. At this week’s event, he stated that the Board is working on an “advanced deconfliction mechanism” to resolve security issues before they reach a “kinetic phase”.
On Wednesday, the Peace Board released a list of 66 projects with a total value of $2.45 billion that are expected to begin soon, ranging from the provision of insulated trailers to public transit support and the repair of hospitals.
The plan is to complete these projects within six months of their start date.
Jared Kushner, Trump’s son-in-law and a member of the Peace Board’s governing board, said at the same event: “What you are seeing looks very much like the establishment of a very, very large startup.”
Tom Warrick, who led post-invasion Iraq planning for the US Department of State and remains in contact with European officials, said the lack of detail is precisely what makes Europe and other potential partners nervous about the Board’s plans.
“This plan looks good on paper, but the missing piece is how we get from here to the actual starting point of most of the projects in this plan,” Warrick said.
At the Peace Board event, Mladenov hinted that little progress could be made before the Israeli elections on 27 October, stating: “The discussions we are currently holding with Israel are not easy because of the elections there.”
Mladenov emphasized that his goal remains an enduring peace that includes the disarmament of Hamas:
“We are not bound by a timeline or by dates. We are bound by verification. We want to ensure that this works.”
Diplomacy
Ex-BND head Hanning tied to former Mossad chief amid spy inquiry
August Hanning, who led Germany’s Federal Intelligence Service (BND) between 1998 and 2005, was arrested on 6 October on allegations that he obtained roughly 2,000 classified agency documents and used them during contacts with intelligence officers from a foreign state.
Accused of high treason and espionage on behalf of a foreign intelligence agency, the former spy chief is alleged to have procured the documents from former BND employee Manfred D.
Prosecutors stated that the leaked records included internal briefing notes presented to senior German officials, though the Berlin government has not yet publicly disclosed which country received the classified data.
According to an exclusive report by Jake Green for The Cradle, seized email exchanges revealed extensive ties between the arrested Hanning and former Mossad director Danny Yatom.
The correspondence shows that the two former intelligence directors built an ongoing network of contacts following their public service, combining commercial ventures, efforts to secure political influence, and intelligence links.
This dynamic has triggered debate that using personal connections and official access for private gain has left Germany’s intelligence apparatus vulnerable.
Intelligence notes for 10,000 euros and campaign proposals
According to the reviewed emails, Hanning told Yatom in a 2018 message that he could prepare an “overall assessment based on information obtained from senior German officials and intelligence agencies” concerning an unidentified candidate.
The former BND head committed to completing the report by 13 July in exchange for 10,000 euros.
Contacts between the two men subsequently expanded to cover domestic political processes in Germany. Ahead of the September 2021 federal election, Yatom asked Hanning to approach leading candidates.
Describing CIY Global as a “political campaign company”, the former Mossad chief noted that he aimed to introduce its capabilities to German politicians, and he mentioned his intention in the same exchange to transfer documents concerning a cybersecurity firm.
Cybersecurity partnership and surveillance operations across Europe
The partnership between Yatom and Hanning reached beyond political lobbying initiatives into the cybersecurity sector.
Hanning reportedly served as a consultant for World Health Energy Holdings, a cybersecurity company linked to Yatom.
Firms of this type, established or managed by former intelligence personnel, provide commercial platforms on the international market for Israeli-origin surveillance, cyber intelligence, and political influence capabilities.
The operational presence of private Israeli-based surveillance technologies across Europe has recently entered judicial records through scandals in Poland, Spain, and Greece.
Polish prosecutors announced on 12 October that data collected under the previous government via Pegasus spyware against political opponents had been transferred out of the country, adding that manufacturer NSO Group maintained access to the technical infrastructure.
In Spain, the 2022 CatalanGate investigation established that at least 65 people, including politicians, lawyers, and civil society representatives, were targeted using Pegasus or Candiru software, with Citizen Lab researchers publishing strong evidence linking the operation to Spanish authorities.
In Greece, the surveillance operation targeting journalist Thanasis Koukakis and Member of the European Parliament Nikos Androulakis was determined to have used Predator software, linked to Intellexa, a company founded by former Israeli intelligence officer Tal Dilian.
In the German espionage investigation, the traffic between Hanning and Yatom involving paid reporting, contacts with electoral candidates, and commercial partnerships does not yet provide conclusive legal evidence regarding the final destination of the roughly 2,000 classified documents.
Nevertheless, the disclosed correspondence gives German investigators a concrete line of inquiry to assess whether classified state secrets reached commercial networks tied to Israeli intelligence.
Diplomacy
Trump dismisses US envoy to Greece Kimberly Guilfoyle
US President Donald Trump has dismissed Kimberly Guilfoyle, the US ambassador in Athens, following serious press reports concerning her conduct.
White House Press Secretary Katie Zacharia told reporters during her first briefing that Guilfoyle had been asked to resign.
“She was doing a good job, but we didn’t like what we read in the press,” Trump said. “She was not a member of my family. I think she dated my son a long time ago.”
In a social media post, Guilfoyle stated: “These claims are unfounded, and I will resolutely defend my name, reputation, and integrity.” She added that she was particularly proud of the embassy’s work.
According to Kathimerini, her removal came as no surprise in Washington. Days of successive disclosures and vigorous exploitation of the matter by Democrats had been inflicting political damage on the White House ahead of the sensitive midterm elections.
The US State Department was instructed not to comment, with crisis management transferred entirely to the White House.
Reports indicate that most of the president’s team swiftly favoured Guilfoyle’s dismissal, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio was reportedly uneasy with the demonstratively warm public welcome she had staged for him.
Democrats on the House Foreign Affairs Committee have called for an investigation.
“Her resignation does not absolve her of responsibility,” the lawmakers wrote, adding: “While American families struggled to make ends meet, she used her position as a Trump administration official to enrich herself.”
Chargé d’Affaires Josh Huck will assume ambassadorial duties until a successor is chosen.
Meanwhile, Guilfoyle’s departure is expected to cause delays in agreements between Greece and the US.
These include the so-called “Rubio package”, comprising approximately $4 billion in arms deals finalised only days before the secretary of state’s arrival.
Several procedural steps still remain before the contracts can be signed.
In Athens, opposition parties are demanding answers. Dimitris Mantzos of PASOK called for a detailed briefing on the agreements reached during Rubio’s visit.
Diplomacy
IMF warns global economy is nearing the limits of its resilience
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned that the global economy’s capacity to withstand fresh shocks is coming under strain.
Worldwide growth has exceeded expectations and maintained stability despite the war in the Middle East and surging oil prices.
However, some policymakers worry that dwindling energy reserves, rising debt burdens, and a growing reliance on the artificial intelligence boom will leave the world increasingly vulnerable.
In a blog post, IMF economic counsellor Silvana Tenreyro wrote: “Without strengthening supply capacity and rebuilding policy buffers, the global economy may soon test the limits of its resilience.”
Tenreyro added:
“While tech-related investments are an important advantage against the energy shock, they concentrate risks, making global growth excessively dependent on a small number of companies, sectors, and economies.”
The artificial intelligence (AI) boom has helped offset the economic fallout of the war.
Yet a sharp reversal could leave global GDP 1.1% below the IMF’s baseline forecast by 2028.
US GDP could take an even larger hit of 1.8%.
This scenario assumes that the productivity gains promised by AI fail to materialise, triggering a pullback in investment and a correction in financial markets.
Continued investment in artificial intelligence could also fuel inflation, leading to renewed interest rate increases.
Conversely, a stronger AI investment boom coupled with faster productivity gains could lift global GDP 0.6% above the baseline forecast by 2029.
The IMF largely maintained its global growth projections despite prolonged energy disruptions stemming from the Middle East war.
However, it now expects higher inflation both this year and next year.
The IMF projects global growth of 3.1% in 2026, unchanged from its April forecast, and anticipates 3.4% in 2027, representing a 0.2 percentage point upward revision.
The fund projects that the US economy will expand by 2.3% in both years, marking the fastest growth among G7 economies. The 2027 forecast was revised upwards by 0.2 percentage points.
Global inflation is expected to reach 4.7% in 2026 before easing to 4.1% in 2027.
Driven by the adverse impact of surging energy and food prices, both inflation projections were revised upwards compared with April.
The world had managed the energy shock partly by drawing down oil reserves and rerouting supply sources.
According to the IMF, global oil inventories are declining by approximately 2.7 million barrels per day, elevating the risk of a sharp price spike.
These projections provide the backdrop for global finance officials and central bankers gathering in Bangkok this week for the annual meetings of the IMF and the World Bank.
The IMF underestimated global growth projections for three consecutive years, raising questions over whether economies have become better at weathering shocks.
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