Asia
The end of the Assad regime: Does worse replace bad?

The armed rebels ended the 50-year regime of the Assad family in Syria. The rapid advance of the opposition, while the army of the Assad regime did not show much resistance, surprised everyone — so much so that Assad’s supporters (Russia and Iran) did not find much opportunity to defend him or they considered the intervention useless.
The fact that some people say that the allies of the Assad regime traded him is still a hypothesis, and the fact of the fall cannot be properly analyzed by relying on it. Because this approach underestimates the real factors of the failure of Bashar Assad’s government, or in the worst case, ignores it by overestimating the conspiracy theory. Even if there was such a conspiracy, it can only tell a small part of the reality of the Syrian crisis, not all of it.
What has been revealed so far is not the high power of the armed rebels, but the excessive weakness of the Syrian army and its escape from the front lines of the war, which was least expected.
During the height of the war that started 2011, the army of this country showed a lot of resistance against terrorist groups ISIS and the same groups that were able to prevail over Assad, and later when Russia and Iran came in to support it and Assad were able to suppress the armed opposition with more force. With this knowledge of the Syrian army, it was less conceivable that he would simply give up the war and run away.
The most important lesson that can be learned from this event is that no matter how strong and invincible the armies appear, when they are not motivated to fight and are unable to fight, they will fall as fast as they have achieved impressive victories in the past.
Terrorist groups have proven that the key to their success is, among other factors, stubbornness, single-mindedness, and a high motivation for violence and killing. The Taliban also succeeded in continuing the war against one of the largest armies in the world with the same stubbornness and consistent terrorist motive. In several cases, the commanders of this powerful army have to admit that “we are tired of killing you.” In Syria, when Bashar Assad’s army got tired of fighting, it was the armed opposition who took the initiative in the battlefield and captured areas one after the other.
The Syrian army seemed reluctant to fight, causing a rapid fall of provinces one by one that even Assad’s supporters can’t do anything
When the army practically refused to fight with the terrorist groups, especially the Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), Bashar al-Assad’s allies (Russia and Iran) also looked at the Syrian army with reluctance and disgust and realized that it was no longer possible to save Assad.
It was because they did not act seriously in defense of the Syrian government or acted too late, which had no effect. Whatever it was, the Assad regime has collapsed with his escape from Syria and the armed opposition has dominated the situation.
The fate of this country is now in the hands of armed groups that are not only not well remembered, but also have a much worse track record compared to the Assad government.
Syria is currently a divided country, and each part of it is under the control of a militant group; Groups, some of which are not ideologically similar and have even fought with each other.
Along with numerous militia groups, from world powers (Russia and America) to regional actors such as Israel, each of them has settled in a corner of this country – Iran also had a serious and effective presence in Syria before the fall of the Bashar Assad regime, which It does not seem to have much foothold in that country after this.
Based on the ground reality, it is too soon to talk with full confidence about a better future for Syria.
Therefore, the Assad regime was only one of the actors in the multi-part country called Syria, which has now joined history. The collapse of this regime will strengthen armed groups as well as global and regional actors active in the Syrian crisis.
Right now, not much time has passed since the fall of the Assad regime, the conflict between the forces loyal to different countries and groups which some of them are being supported by the United States of America, has begun. So, the possibility that Syria will witness the escalation of civil war and geopolitical competition between global and regional powers is strongly suggested, and the symptoms of this disastrous situation are already showing themselves.
Although it is still too early to speak with full confidence about the future of Syria; But what we can say for sure based on the current reality on the ground in this country is that the difficult days of Syria have just begun.
Afghanistan’s Taliban celebrated the fall of Bashar Assad’s regime
Local sources in Paktia, Paktika, Logar and Laghman provinces say that the Taliban fighters in these provinces celebrated the fall of Bashar Assad regime and “rejoiced”.
Sources told Harici that the Taliban came to the streets around the cities of these provinces and also the Taliban fired aerial shots and played songs loudly in several districts to celebrate (HTS) victory in Syria.
On the other hand, sources in Laghman said that the Taliban distributed sweets to the people and students of schools yesterday and today. The Taliban called the rebels of HTS their “brothers” and chanted slogans against the former government of Syria, Israel and the United States. Taliban members and soldiers in Khost, Nangarhar, Panjshir, Herat and Ghor provinces also celebrated the fall of the Assad regime by distributing sweets.
The Taliban Prime Minister’s Office also in a statement said that the political commission of this group has held a meeting to discuss the recent developments in Syria and the Middle East.
Asia
Chinese navy chief and top nuclear scientist expelled from legislature

The chief of staff for the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) Navy, Vice Admiral Li Hanjun, and Liu Shipeng, the deputy chief engineer of the state-owned China National Nuclear Corporation, were removed from their positions in the country’s legislative body.
Li is the latest in a series of PLA generals and a handful of defense industry executives implicated in a widespread investigation within the military.
In a statement on Friday, the NPC Standing Committee announced, “The Navy Soldiers’ Congress has decided to remove Li Hanjun from his post as a representative to the 14th National People’s Congress.”
The Gansu People’s Congress also dismissed Liu Shipeng from his role as an NPC deputy.
Additionally, the Standing Committee revealed it had voted to remove Miao Hua, a former top general who previously oversaw the PLA’s ideological work, from the Central Military Commission (CMC), China’s highest military command body led by President Xi Jinping.
The removal of Li and Liu from their NPC memberships suggests they are facing serious disciplinary action.
China typically remains silent about purges within the military, and announcements from the NPC are one of the few indicators of such campaigns.
There is little public information available about Li and Liu, as both have worked in sensitive positions.
Before becoming the navy’s chief of staff, Li, 60, was the deputy director of the CMC’s Training and Administration Department. He was appointed to this role after serving for a year in the CMC’s Office for Reform and Organisational Structure.
In 2014, he was promoted to vice admiral upon his appointment as commander of the naval base in Fujian province, where Miao also spent a significant part of his career. At that time, he was the director of training at the China Naval Command College and was soon promoted to president of the school.
According to official media reports, nuclear scientist Liu was born into a family that “served China’s nuclear dream for three generations.”
As the deputy chief engineer at CNNC, which oversees all aspects of China’s civil and military nuclear programs, Liu also served as the Communist Party secretary and president of CNNC’s “404 base” in Gansu.
Covering an area of over 1,000 square kilometers, the base was established in 1958 and is the country’s first and largest nuclear research center. It played a crucial role in the development of China’s first atomic bomb in 1964 and its first hydrogen bomb three years later.
This secretive base is still considered a key hub for China’s nuclear deterrence and nuclear industry.
According to statements from provincial authorities, Liu was named “Gansu’s outstanding entrepreneur” in 2023.
Asia
China, US reach agreement on export controls

The Chinese Ministry of Commerce announced on Friday afternoon that Beijing and Washington have remained in close contact since the two-day trade talks in London earlier this month, confirming the details of a framework agreement.
“China will review and approve export applications for controlled items in accordance with its laws and regulations, and the US side will, in turn, lift a series of restrictive measures against China,” the ministry stated.
“We hope the US side will cooperate with China in line with the important consensus and conditions established during the conversation between the two presidents on June 5,” the statement continued.
On Thursday, US President Donald Trump said the US had “signed” a trade deal with China the previous day, without providing details.
“We signed the deal with China yesterday, right? We signed the deal with China,” Trump said at a White House event introducing a budget law. “With the China deal, we are starting to open up China,” he added.
He also mentioned that a “very big” deal, likely with India, would be signed soon.
Rare earth elements
Following the event, US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick told reporters that the US and China had signed an agreement codifying the terms decided upon in previous trade negotiations.
“They will deliver rare earth elements to us,” Lutnick said in a televised interview with Bloomberg, adding that if this commitment is fulfilled, Washington will lift its “countermeasures.”
Rare earth elements, essential for producing high-tech products, including those for the defense industry, were a major point of contention in the trade talks. China holds a near-monopoly on the supply of these minerals due to its massive share of global refining capacity.
Responding to a question on Thursday about rare earth exports, ministry spokesman He Yadong said China had approved a “certain number” of applications and would “continue to strengthen” the review and approval process for eligible applications.
He added that Beijing is willing to “strengthen communication and dialogue” with other countries on export controls and actively promote appropriate trade.
Lutnick also stated that the US plans to reach agreements with 10 major trading partners in the coming weeks. The deadline for countries to negotiate trade terms before higher tariffs are reinstated was July 9, following a 90-day suspension of import tariff hikes announced on April 2.
The two negotiating teams concluded the London talks by announcing they had agreed “in principle” on a “framework” that both sides would take home for their respective leaders to review, as they sought to get their uneasy truce, signed last month in Geneva, back on track.
The negotiations began after a highly anticipated phone call between Xi Jinping and Trump, which seemingly ended an intractable stalemate.
In the weeks following the initial agreement in Switzerland, Washington claimed China was restricting exports of critical minerals, while Beijing reacted to US restrictions on semiconductors and threats to impose visa barriers on Chinese students.
Asia
China hosts SCO defense ministers on warship amid regional tensions

Chinese Defense Minister Dong Jun hosted his Iranian counterpart and other high-level defense officials from Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) member states aboard an advanced Chinese warship, just days after the US bombed Iran’s nuclear facilities.
Iranian Defense Minister Aziz Nasirzadeh was among the defense officials welcomed by Dong on a military vessel in the coastal city of Qingdao, China, as part of a two-day SCO defense ministers’ meeting that concluded on Thursday.
According to Chinese state television CCTV, Nasirzadeh and other defense officials toured the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) Navy’s Type 052D destroyer, the Kaifeng, and later attended a reception on the ship’s deck.
Aboard the ship, Nasirzadeh thanked Beijing for “supporting Iran’s legitimate position following the recent attacks” by Israel and the US.
“We hope that China will continue to stand on the side of justice, help maintain the current ceasefire, and play a greater role in de-escalating regional tensions,” Nasirzadeh said, according to Xinhua.
In his address to the assembled ministers, Dong reportedly stated that “unilateralism, protectionism, and hegemonic and bullying acts are on the rise, seriously disrupting the international order and becoming the greatest source of chaos and conflict.”
Dong called for closer cooperation within the United Nations, the SCO, and other multilateral frameworks, urging members to unite with “more like-minded forces” to defend international justice and maintain global stability.
“SCO countries must remain true to the organization’s founding ideals, uphold the ‘Shanghai Spirit,’ and deepen practical cooperation in all areas,” Dong said. “With stronger actions, we can jointly safeguard a peaceful environment for development,” he added.
The event followed the US attacks on three of Iran’s key nuclear facilities on Saturday, which Beijing strongly condemned.
The Chinese Foreign Ministry stated that the attacks on nuclear facilities under the supervision of the International Atomic Energy Agency seriously violated the UN Charter and its principles.
Additionally, the SCO meeting coincided with a NATO leaders’ summit in The Hague. In a statement from The Hague, US President Donald Trump announced that the US would hold talks with Iran about a possible nuclear deal “in the coming week.”
Bilateral Talks
According to Xinhua, the Chinese defense minister later held separate bilateral meetings with the defense ministers of Belarus, Pakistan, Kyrgyzstan, and Russia. The state news agency reported that all parties appreciated Beijing’s efforts and significant contributions to developing SCO operational mechanisms and deepening inter-sectoral cooperation during its rotating presidency. They also expressed a strong will to further consolidate and expand military ties.
Pakistani Defense Minister Khawaja Asif praised Beijing’s role in de-escalating tensions. “Pakistan highly values its robust friendship with China and is ready to work together to implement its three global initiatives, deepen military cooperation, and help maintain regional peace and stability,” he said.
For Russian Defense Minister Andrei Belousov, this year—the 80th anniversary of the victory in World War II, the Chinese people’s war of resistance against Japanese aggression, and the world’s anti-fascist war—presents an opportunity to deepen bilateral military relations. “In line with the consensus of our leaders, we will intensify strategic communication and cooperation and contribute to global strategic stability,” he said.
Meanwhile, Indian Defense Minister Rajnath Singh also attended the Qingdao meeting. This marked the first visit by an Indian defense minister to China since the deadly border clash between the two countries in 2020.
Military trust
According to the Chinese Ministry of Defense, the SCO defense ministers’ meeting is one of the key events held during China’s rotating presidency of the SCO this year. The ministers, along with representatives from the SCO and regional anti-terrorism bodies, gathered to further strengthen military trust and deepen practical cooperation among member states.
The SCO, a 10-nation bloc comprising China, Russia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, Pakistan, India, Iran, and Belarus, currently covers approximately three-fifths of the Eurasian continent and about 43% of the world’s population.
The Beijing meeting, held under the rotating presidency of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation, highlighted China’s role as a significant international actor and the importance Tehran places on its relationship with Beijing, even as China has largely remained on the sidelines of the Israel-Iran conflict.
During a regular press conference at the Chinese Ministry of Defense on Thursday, when asked if Beijing was considering providing military support to Iran as an SCO member, ministry spokesman Zhang Xiaogang told CNN, “China is ready to cooperate with all parties to play a constructive role in maintaining peace and stability in the Middle East.”
Kaifeng destroyer
The Kaifeng destroyer, where the meeting’s reception was held, is the sixth vessel of the extended Type 052D variant and serves in the North Sea Fleet. Commissioned in April 2021, the ship is approximately 159 meters (521 feet) long, weighs 7,500 tons, and is equipped with 517C anti-stealth radar. Its expanded deck allows for the landing of the PLA Navy’s Z-20 helicopters.
The warship has conducted numerous long-range exercises, including a passage through the Tsushima Strait in April, as part of Beijing’s growing operational presence in the western Pacific.
It was publicly displayed during the 74th-anniversary celebrations of the Chinese navy in Qingdao in 2023.
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