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The Forum on Political Islam was held in Abu Dhabi

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Forum on “Countering Extremist Ideology” hosted by TRENDS in Abu Dhabi ends with call for a “comprehensive roadmap”

At the event, where Harici was among the media partners, experts highlighted common patterns of ideology-driven violence and called for a comprehensive roadmap and the strengthening of citizenship values.

Abu Dhabi – September 16, 2025The 5th Annual Political Islam Forum, organized by the TRENDS Research and Advisory Center under the theme “Together with Knowledge Against Extremism” at the Fairmont Bab Al Bahr Hotel, addressed the “shared patterns of violence” associated with ideology-driven extremism. Senior officials, academics, and researchers from the UAE, Saudi Arabia, the United Kingdom, the United States, Canada, France, Italy, India, Indonesia, Portugal, Poland, Egypt, and Jordan participated on the Forum.

Among the keynote speakers were former UK Defense Secretary Sir Liam Fox and French Senator Nathalie Goulet.

Participants emphasized that countering extremism cannot be limited to security measures but requires a multilayered approach encompassing intellectual, social, and cultural dimensions. Key recommendations included strengthening democratic values and the rule of law, distinguishing genuine grievances from ideological exploitation, opening civic channels for youth leadership and innovation, and protecting educational institutions from the influence of politicized religiosity.

In his opening remarks, TRENDS CEO Dr. Mohammed Abdullah Al-Ali stressed the need for “new intellectual maps” to reveal implicit intersections between extremist currents, adding that permanent results cannot be achieved without dismantling propaganda and recruitment mechanisms in the digital age. He called for going beyond dispersing hate speech to also exposing the “illusions that enable such discourse.”

Dr. Al-Ali pointed to the Muslim Brotherhood as an example of ideology’s capacity to merge missionary rhetoric with violent projects, noting that the Brotherhood capitalized on the digital revolution to recruit followers via online platforms. He warned that combating extremism requires a global roadmap that combines intellectual and political expertise with alliances, one that dismantles the illusions enabling groups to attract new generations. He concluded by calling for collective efforts that integrate academic research, public policy, technology, and political will, transforming platforms into spaces for narratives of coexistence and humanity rather than ideological violence.

The Mohammed Bin Zayed University for Humanities (MBZUH) became the first recipient of the TRENDS Global Award for Countering Extremist Ideology for its measurable contributions. Prof. Radwan Al-Sayyid, member of the TRENDS Scientific and Academic Council, highlighted the university’s role in promoting values of moderation, citizenship, and dialogue.

Throughout the discussions, speakers underlined that extremist movements share similar cognitive and behavioral structures—such as closed worldviews, “us versus them” divisions, leader cults, conspiracy rhetoric, and narratives legitimizing violence. Dr. Khalifa Mubarak Al-Dhaheri (MBZUH) explained that such movements adopt strategies rejecting national frameworks while relying on an alliances–disinformation–violence spiral.

Sir Liam Fox argued that the term “religious extremist” is misleading, emphasizing that they are “political actors instrumentalizing religion.” Referring to Popper’s Paradox of Tolerance, he stressed that intolerance must not be tolerated under the guise of tolerance. Senator Nathalie Goulet highlighted the overlapping violence and financing between political Islam and the far-right, drawing attention to opaque fund flows, misuse of charities, and crypto-assets.

The digital sphere was emphasized as crucial, with calls for cooperation between governments, civil society, and technology companies to run awareness campaigns against online extremist content, and to strengthen alternative narratives around pluralism and citizenship. Additional proposals included holding all state or organizational actors involved in ideological violence accountable before international law, establishing early warning networks, and expanding rehabilitation programs for former extremists.

Key Session Highlights

  • High-Level Session moderated by Paul Cruickshank (Editor-in-Chief, CTC Sentinel, West Point):
    • Fiyaz Mughal (Faith Matters) explained that extremism feeds on the fusion of real grievances and identity crises, with social media creating echo chambers that accelerate radicalization.
    • H.E. Dherar Belhoul Al Falasi (Al-Majlis Group) noted that some structures attempt to channel students into networks through boycott campaigns, thus gaining influence and funding in the education sector.
  • First Session:
    • Prof. Alessandro Ferrari (Insubria) presented the concept of “militant democracy” as a tool that safeguards freedoms while countering democracy’s enemies.
    • Prof. Radwan Al-Sayyid stressed the need for a new reading of history and that the modern nation-state is the necessary framework for fighting extremism.
    • Dr. Vael Salih highlighted common emotional mobilization, binary worldviews, and symbolic violence across movements.
    • Prof. Patrice Brodeur (Montreal) emphasized holistic cooperation across political, religious, educational, and social domains.
    • Dr. Orla Lynch (Cork) urged a focus on participation motivations.
  • Second Session:
    • Spasimir Domaradzki (Warsaw) shared Central and Eastern European experiences of dismantling extremism’s intellectual foundations.
    • Mohammed Halfan Al-Sawafi noted ideological extremism spans a broad spectrum, including nationalism and neo-Nazism.
    • Meshari Al-Taydi (Asharq Al-Awsat) called for systematizing source research.
    • Dr. Anne Speckhard (ICSV) defined terrorism’s “deadly cocktail” as group–ideology–social support–individual motivation, stressing that “group” dynamics trigger violence.
    • Aimen Dean (UK) shared methods for practically analyzing participation motivations.
  • Third Session:
    • Dr. José Pedro Zúquete (Lisbon) examined “reciprocal radicalization” between identity movements and Islamist groups in Europe.
    • Imam Mohammed Tawhidi called on religious leaders to prevent the misuse of sacred texts to justify violence.
    • Prof. Yon Machmudi (Indonesia) proposed a combination of “hard power” (law, security) and “soft power” (deradicalization, education, community empowerment).
    • Dr. Orla Lynch added that lessons from former members could inform audience-targeting strategies.
  • Fourth Session:
    • Omar Al-Bashir Al-Turabi (Al-Mesbar) explained the “supply chain” of extremist thought, built on social bases through education and charity.
    • Abdullah bin Bijad Al-Otaibi pointed to the historical continuity of extremism.
    • Hamad Al-Husani (TRENDS) stressed that some movements pose combined threats to religion, state, and society.
    • Osama Al-Dalil (Al-Ahram) suggested the term “Islamized political culpability” instead of “politicized religion” for conceptual clarity.
    • Maj. Gen. (Ret.) Saleh Al-Muaita (Jordan) called for a regional strategy separating peaceful thought from violence.

Final Declaration

The forum’s final communiqué outlined pillars of the roadmap: drafting ethical principles/charters for religious platforms and charitable work, strengthening critical thinking in education, opening civic leadership channels for youth, and establishing digital early-warning and monitoring networks. It emphasized spreading alternative narratives that reinforce pluralistic citizenship through media–academia–policy–technology cooperation.

The event was organized in collaboration with the Mohammed Bin Zayed University for Humanities and the UAE Cybersecurity Council, with media support from The National, Sky News Arabia, Al-Ain News, Harici Media, Aletihad News Center, and Al-Khaleej.

Tunç Akkoç, founder of Harici Media, and journalist Sarp Sinan Hacır attended from Türkiye.

About TRENDS

Founded in Abu Dhabi in 2014, TRENDS Research and Advisory is an independent think tank. Through research programs, publications, and regular events conducted with global partners, it aims to generate impact regionally and internationally.

Diplomacy

FIFA abandons $4.2 billion commercial stake sale following widespread revolt

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FIFA and Gianni Infantino have backed down from plans to sell a stake in the organization’s commercial and event operations following widespread backlash.

In a statement issued late Friday night, the embattled FIFA president said:

“After carefully listening to all views, it has become clear that this project, regardless of the level of support, causes divisions that are now contrary to the interests of the objective originally established. Our goal has always been, and will always be, to unite and improve. As a result, this proposal will not be implemented.”

Infantino’s proposal met with fierce resistance from UEFA, CONCACAF, and the Asian Football Confederation (AFC).

UEFA indicated that all 55 of its members would boycott FIFA competitions, including the World Cup, if the plans remained on the table.

In its statement, FIFA noted that “nobody is selling football,” and while asserting that it “acknowledges and respects the feedback and concerns expressed publicly,” emphasized that it would continue to implement suggestions.

It added that it “reaffirms its commitment to an open and democratic process of consultation.”

Shortly after FIFA issued its statement, the AFC released its own declaration of solidarity with UEFA and the Confederation of North, Central America and Caribbean Association Football (CONCACAF).

Infantino subsequently suffered two major internal blows.

First, his adviser Carlos Cordeiro resigned from his position, sharply criticizing the plan in a statement as “a bad deal for FIFA member associations, a bad deal for football, and a bad deal for the long-term future of the game.”

Then, FIFA Chief Operating Officer Kevin Lamour told the Associated Press that staff felt “deceived” by Infantino and that after raising the issue, he would “sleep better, even at the cost of losing his job.”

Lamour said:

“This is the project of a single person. Leaving aside that this project should not proceed… it is now time for the political leaders of world football to ask themselves the right questions and make the right decisions.”

These developments left Infantino cornered, and by Friday afternoon, numerous figures within the organization—speaking to The Athletic on condition of anonymity to protect their jobs—believed it was no longer a question of “if” the cord would be cut, but “when.”

Joshua Kushner’s venture capital firm Thrive had not withdrawn from the deal as of Friday night, but that became moot when FIFA management ultimately decided to kill the project via a public statement.

Joshua Kushner is the brother of Jared Kushner, the son-in-law of Donald Trump.

On Tuesday, world football’s governing body had announced its intention to establish FIFA Forward Enterprises (FFE), a new private entity to manage its flagship events, including the World Cup and the Club World Cup, with plans to sell a 21% minority stake in FFE to external investors.

The sale was targeted to generate $4.2 billion (£3.2 billion) in revenue. FIFA stated that this amount could be immediately distributed to its 211 member associations under a new funding stream named the “FIFA Fast-Forward Program” (FFFP).

Under the plan, FIFA’s total development funding would have exceeded $10 billion over the next four years.

Despite mounting criticism in recent days, FIFA confirmed that if member associations opposed the FFE plan but the proposal was accepted, the dissenting federations would each receive $20 million (£14.9 million) for the 2027–30 cycle, regardless of whether shares in FFE were sold to private investors (to be followed by $22 million for 2031–34 and $24 million for 2035–38).

However, had a given member association accepted the FFE proposal, it would have received $40 million for the 2027–30 period, with subsequent payouts remaining the same.

The three confederations that explicitly took a stand against FIFA’s plan represent 137 of the 211 FIFA member associations.

FIFA had stated that for the proposal to move forward, it required the approval of a majority of the 211 member associations as well as the 37-member FIFA Council, which consists of Infantino and eight FIFA vice presidents.

Strategic reactions and leadership crisis

South American football confederation CONMEBOL did not reject the plans in a statement on Friday, but noted that financial and commercial decisions “must always serve the interests of football and never take precedence over the essence of the game.”

According to a report by The Athletic, Infantino’s future leadership of FIFA was called into question during UEFA and CONCACAF meetings held on Thursday.

Infantino assumed the FIFA presidency in February 2016, succeeding Sepp Blatter, and was expected to run unopposed in the next election scheduled for March 2027.

There is also talk among European officials of putting forward Nasser Al-Khelaifi, the Qatari CEO of beIN Media, to run against Infantino.

Lise Klaveness, President of the Norwegian Football Federation, told VG: “My clear impression right now is that he has suffered a major loss of trust. We did not vote for him last time and were skeptical about this. There are many good aspects to FIFA, but if you take a lax approach to governance principles and rules, you lose trust quickly.”

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Defense Priorities director warns US air strategy in Middle East faces tactical limits

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The collapse of a tentative memorandum of understanding between Washington and Tehran, coupled with the diminishing strategic returns of American air power, has left the United States locked in an unsustainable, low-intensity conflict with Iran, according to Benjamin Friedman, Policy Director at the Washington-based think tank Defense Priorities.

Speaking in an interview on the YouTube channel Harici with host Sarp Sinan Hacır, Friedman attributed the failure of the short-lived US-Iran memorandum primarily to the Trump administration’s diplomatic missteps, vague draft language, and unrealistic expectations regarding a comprehensive settlement.

“Both sides really deserve some blame, but the Trump administration deserves the bulk of the blame for drafting an agreement that was so vague on key terms,” Friedman said, citing ambiguities surrounding the timeline for unfreezing Iranian assets and the scope of American commitments to restrain Israeli military operations in Lebanon.

Friedman emphasized that deep-seated mistrust in Tehran, exacerbated by repeated instances where diplomatic engagement was followed by Israeli or American military strikes, led Iranian negotiators to adopt an unyielding posture. At the same time, he noted that Iran likely miscalculated by using disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz to aggressively force leverage.

“The Trump administration remained intent on this sort of grand bargain that would restrain Iran seeking weapons development… and I think they continue to misread the Iranian willingness to sign that kind of deal,” Friedman noted, adding that Tehran viewed its leverage over the Strait of Hormuz as essential despite the risk of provoking further strikes.

Expressing deep skepticism over the prospects for a lasting diplomatic breakthrough, Friedman criticized the administration’s reliance on informal envoys such as Steve Bannon and Jared Kushner over professional diplomatic channels, predicting that the baseline outcome will remain an unpredictable, episodic conflict.

“What’s more likely is a kind of on-off-again kind of war—sort of what we’re in now, where we have occasional strikes, with the United States perhaps by accident adopting the Israeli model of ‘mowing the lawn’ periodically,” Friedman said.

Addressing the efficacy of US air power, Friedman argued that military operations against Iranian targets have reached a point of diminishing returns. While early strikes successfully eliminated critical high-value assets—such as over-the-horizon radar systems that targeted anti-ship missiles—Iran’s ballistic missile and long-range drone capabilities remain largely intact and operational.

He pointed to a recent strike on a base hosting US personnel in Jordan, launched from western Iran over a distance exceeding 1,000 kilometers, as evidence of Tehran’s sustained strike precision and the tactical limits of American interdiction efforts.

“The war is a failure for air power even in a tactical sense,” Friedman stated. “Initially, we looked at it and said we had a lot of success in destroying targets, but as more information came out, it turned out they had maybe more than half of their missiles and launchers survive the initial phase of the war.”

Friedman observed that the global proliferation of low-cost, high-precision guidance technology has permanently altered the strategic landscape, neutralizing the traditional invulnerability of forward-deployed US installations. “The precise effects of air power that used to be almost a monopoly of the United States… is actually making our posture in the region less sustainable,” he said, warning that similar vulnerabilities would be vastly amplified in any potential high-intensity conflict with China.

As an alternative to open-ended military engagement, Friedman suggested that Washington consider a complete military withdrawal from the region, even if it entails accepting Iranian transit fees on commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. “The cost of preventing that through perpetual outbursts of warfare is much higher than just accepting it,” he noted.

Turning to regional dynamics, Friedman addressed Israel’s current absence from active strike operations against Iran, characterizing it as a calculated move to preserve its own air defense interceptors while relying on Washington to bear the operational and political burdens of containment.

On European security and the broader alliance structure, Friedman offered a critical assessment of the NATO summit in Ankara and the administration’s “NATO 3.0” concept. He described the white paper led by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth as an effort to coerce European states into escalating defense expenditures and purchasing American hardware under the threat of reduced security guarantees, rather than executing a structured, strategic US posture adjustment.

“This is not a real US withdrawal; it’s a kind of pressure to up your loyalty in a particular way,” Friedman said, noting that major European powers such as Germany, France, and the UK lack a compelling existential incentive to construct independent, large-scale conventional war-fighting capabilities.

Regarding bilateral relations with Ankara, Friedman noted that US-Turkish tensions have eased considerably following the shift in American posture in Syria and progress toward resolving long-standing friction points, including the F-35 program and S-400 procurement. He added that while Israeli leadership under Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has expressed frustration over Washington’s constructive engagement with President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, the White House has maintained its strategic course despite pressure from domestic pro-Israel lobbying groups.

Addressing internal Republican Party dynamics, Friedman highlighted the evolving public stance of Vice President J.D. Vance, whose cautious criticism of Israeli influence and emphasis on divergent national interests reflects broader ideological shifts within the conservative base.

“Vance is more representative of the shift in the Republican Party,” Friedman said. “He’s criticizing them in a limited way and saying, ‘Our interests are different.’ From the perspective of those of us who would like the United States to have a more distant relationship from Israel, it’s progress.”

Looking ahead to the upcoming US midterm elections, Friedman anticipated that a loss of congressional control by the Republican Party would severely curtail the administration’s domestic executive overreach, though its structural impact on foreign policy execution and Middle Eastern operations would remain comparatively limited.

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UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham pledges full support to Ukraine in meeting with Zelenskyy

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UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham has met with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in Portsmouth, England.

Zelenskyy is the first world leader Burnham has met in person since taking office, with the prime minister committing to building a “firm partnership” between the United Kingdom and Ukraine.

Demonstrating their support, the two leaders toured a military base in Portsmouth where 200 Ukrainian troops are currently undergoing naval training exercises.

Burnham described his meeting with the Ukrainian president as “warm” and said he plans to visit Ukraine soon.

“We will build this together and address the various issues President Zelenskyy is facing, many of which we discussed today,” Burnham said.

The meeting follows an announcement by London that it will share intellectual property rights to assist Kyiv’s war effort.

The new prime minister announced that the UK will share the “Stone Cloak” electronic warfare system—which is fitted to drones to prevent detection—and will assist Ukraine in mass-producing the technology.

Burnham has focused primarily on domestic matters since replacing Keir Starmer, who faced criticism from elements within his own party for spending too much time abroad and focusing heavily on foreign affairs.

However, Burnham sought to signal continuity in Britain’s policy toward Ukraine. In one of his first phone calls after becoming prime minister last week, Burnham invited Zelenskyy to visit the UK “as soon as possible.”

Starmer spent his final full day as prime minister in Kyiv, where he announced £255 million in funding for Ukraine.

Speaking to Sky on Monday, Zelenskyy said his telephone conversation with Burnham had been “very good.”

The Ukrainian leader noted that Starmer had previously assured him that “the new government would maintain the policy of supporting Ukraine during the war.”

The new prime minister told the Ukrainian leader it was “no coincidence” that he was his first international visitor since moving into Downing Street.

“The purpose of this is to send a very clear message. We stand 100% with Ukraine, I personally stand 100% with you, and I will fully deliver on every commitment this country has made to Ukraine,” Burnham said.

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