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INTERVIEW

‘Western-centered UN no longer works, cannot resolve conflicts, needs reform’

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Hans von Sponeck, former UN Assistant Secretary General, spoke to Harici. He said that the the West centric orientation of the UN of yesterday, is no longer helpful at all in the world in which we live today.

Hans Von Sponeck is a close witness to the great suffering of the 20th and 21st centuries. His father, Hans Emil Otto Graf Sponeck, was an officer in the German army during the First World War. In World War 2, he was a general. He was executed in 1944 on suspicion of participating in the assassination attempt on Hitler.

Hans Von Sponeck, whose career at the United Nations (UN) has taken him to conflict and war zones, is a harsh critic of the organization’s structure. Appointed Humanitarian Coordinator for Iraq in 1998, Sponeck headed all UN operations in Iraq and directed the Iraqi operations of the Oil-for-Food Program. In February 2000, Sponeck resigned in protest against the UN’s Iraq sanctions policy.

Sponeck was also part of a group of 18 people who published an open letter to German Chancellor Olaf Scholz calling for no further arms aid to Ukraine.

Hans Von Sponeck answered journalist Esra Karahindiba’s questions about the UN’s role in the international order and calls for reform, the Gaza and Ukraine conflicts, and the US-Germany relationship.

‘UN: Churchill, Rosevelt and Stalin’s dream turned into a nightmare’

While multipolarity debates and the search for a new international order become widespread, the role and legitimacy of the UNSC is being discussed. In addition, calls for reform are made, saying that the UN represents the interests of a narrow group of countries. How do you evaluate the role of the UN? What kind of restructuring is needed?

Well, the answer about the current situation as far as the Security Council is concerned is to me as someone who has spent over 30 years in the United Nations is very clear What is obvious is that over these 78 years of the existence of the UN, one thing has become every year more and more clear. That is since the beginning in 1945 of this new institution called the UN, we have created the world has created, the world has allowed to create a very West Centric institution. If you reflect back what this means, it means politically, financially, geographically; the UN is located in the West. The political UN is headquartered in New York. The commercial, the financial, the economic UN is invested in two UN institutions. The International Monetary Fund and the World Bank are located in Washington. The specialized agencies, the funds and programs the operational UN, the executive UN has been located until recently exclusively in Europe and in North America. So, the entire establishment is linked to the West. And if you then know this is nothing new whatsoever is that we have had a very unilateral oriented power structure in the UN then you can understand why in the 21st century now, we have reached a situation where this is no longer in line with the current geopolitical world order. The world order today is much more diversified, is much more unfortunately also polarized. The countries that yesterday where colonies have become mature independent countries that say “wait a minute, we exist, we have a voice, we will speak out and we will do what we think is in our best interest”. That has created a very complicated dynamics in the UN system as a whole but particularly in the UN Security Council. So, what in 1945, when three old men met in Yalta on the in Crimea; Churchill, Rosevelt and Stalin, they had a dream. The dream was one, together as a team to make sure that the world order is governed in such a way that East and West have a share. Now that dream didn’t last very long. And what yesterday was a dream, today is a nightmare.

 ‘UN is today badly in need of reform’

We have a totally inoperative Security Council that has not, I repeat, not been able to solve and prevent or manage conflicts and wars. Well, let me be specific. Iraq: No, there was no solution. There was in fact an illegal invasion. Ukraine: No. Afghanistan: No. Libya: No. So, people are there now political figures, also I must add, is this new civil society is questioning, is the United Nations worth to exist. If this is the case, my answer to that is very clearly: The political United Nations, meaning the security Council the General Assembly are today badly in need of reform. If they are not reformed, they cannot play the role that the world needs. But the UN is more than a political UN. There’s also an operational UN, the specialized agencies… You talk about Ukraine, you talk about Gaza… Who is there right now? The UN agencies under grave danger, are involved in helping on the humanitarian side. That’s another face of the United Nations. Then there’s the International Court of Justice; also not very effective because both the General Assembly and the International Court of Justice are very clearly without the authority of decision making. They can only advise the international court of Justice can give you an advisory opinion about the war in Ukraine. The general Assembly can vote on the legitimacy of the Russian invasion into Ukraine but they cannot decide. So, unless these minimized ineffective two small levels of authority have to be changed in order to make a difference.

‘West centric orientation of the UN is no longer helpful’

Can you define how those reforms could be made?

There are some very easy answers. One answer is: You cannot have in 2023 a Security Council that is based on the geopolitical reality of 1945. You have five members, five permanent members in the Security Council, three of which are from the West. Africa is not represented at all in the group of permanent countries. Latin America is not at all represented in that group. Asia with over 50% of the global population has one seat with China. So, this is, I come back to what I said in the beginning, the West Centric orientation of the UN of yesterday, is no longer helpful at all in the world in which we live today.

Then, you totally agree with President Erdogan’s “the world is bigger than five” statement.

The world is bigger than five. But I would go one step further. The world is bigger than five governments. But the world has become even bigger because of the role that civil society, non-governmental organizations play today that they were not able to play yesterday.

‘If one cannot talk to president Putin today, try tomorrow’

You are one of the signatories of an open letter to Olaf Scholz, calling for no more arms aid to Ukraine. At this point today, aid packages to Ukraine are rejected even in the US Senate. Media outlets such as The Economist criticized this situation and wrote, “The indecisiveness of the Western allies strengthens the possibility of Russia winning the war in Ukraine.” How do you evaluate the latest situation? Did the aid provided to Ukraine help? Will Western Ukraine resist be sitting at the table with Russia as it heads towards defeat?

Well, if you can give me one example where a war has led to peace on the battlefield, I would have difficulty in arguing that weapons don’t make it, can make a difference. I belong to those as a person with a background in the United Nations who argues with all the power that I have, the little personal power that I have, is to “say stop increasing the opportunity to kill people on the battlefield whether it is in Gaza or whether it is in Ukraine and start remembering that peace is made through diplomacy at a round table”. There must be a round table, where there’s equality but no unilateral independent leadership. So, my point is that shipping more weapons into a battlefield, guarantees you more debt, guarantees you an extension of military confrontation, but it is not a solution, certainly not a solution that would lead to a peace between conflicting parties that must be very clear. And what is happening in Ukraine now is increasingly. That is maybe the one chance we have: a pattsituation* where both parties recognize that this will be a never-ending confrontation where no side is going to win. So, why not stop now and do what the Secretary General of the UN and others are calling for which is an armistice.

The good opportunity to start is to remember there was Turkish leadership in the establishment of humanitarian corridors between the warring parties in order to allow the export that of wheat and millet and other agricultural products. That was the one moment or the exchange of prisoners or the return of children, other examples which should have and could have and we would look to Türkiye to be an active partner in promoting this opportunity to go from a humanitarian corridor to the moment of an armistice where the weapons are not used and negotiations for an agreement to have a peaceful resolution to take place. I do not belong at all to those who say with a person like President Putin one cannot talk. If one cannot talk to President Putin today, try tomorrow and maybe the next day. Ultimately everyone, east or west north or south knows that the resolution the return to peace will be in the conference room, will be achieved in the conference room, not in the swamps, in the mud, in the snow, of two countries fighting each other in Ukraine.

‘Sanctions probably punished Germans the most’

What do you think about sanctions against Russia? It is said that there was a boomerang effect for Germany. Do you agree?

First of all, it is correct. The Germans are probably more punished because of the cost of energy than anybody else. But I would say that there is no way to end this unless you go the diplomatic route that has to take place. We have to accept that other people have different opinions and if you sit with them on the conference table that doesn’t mean you agree with them. It means you are willing to listen to them that you are trying to understand the motivation of the other side. And if you do that, then you come one step closer to a resolution.

‘You must have the courage to disagree with US’

There are criticisms that Germany’s interests do not always coincide with those of the United States and that following Washington without questioning harms Germany the most.

Well, you know if you are a member of a club, then, you think you must take a view that is consistent with the majority in that club. I would say “yes” up to a point. When principles are involved, adherence to law in adherence to national or, in this case, EU

interests, then responsible politics means that you voice your disagreement and if the other side is really an ally, in the western context for example, if the Americans would understand that we are Germany is a friend of the us at the moment, so as a friend, you must have the right to disagree. And you must have the courage because you believe in the principles of the laws that govern us nationally and internationally. That that you do not necessarily have to go the way the United States wants to go.

‘Germany is a victim of Nordstream-2 sabotage’

Actually, this critic came right especially after the Nord Stream sabotage. How do you evaluate this criticism? Can Berlin pursue a policy independent of Washington? How do you see it?

There’s a lot of criticism in Germany of the German approach to dealing with you mentioned Nordstream-2. There are a lot of quotes, facts or the other word that is being used alternative facts, there is no such thing as alternative facts. They’re only facts. And the evidence that we, as a person in the public, have suggests that Germany is a victim here that our investments in a very expensive Nordstream-2 pipeline has been destroyed. That’s one thing one can say. But maybe more important is that the sovereignty, the German sovereignty has suffered as a result of this incident. Who is behind it? One can speculate. I would argue it is definitely not Russia. Russia wouldn’t be so foolish to shoot its own foot. So, it’s other parties. Who are these other parties? There are many answers to that. I don’t want to give you an answer. But I’m satisfied to know that a lot more has to be brought into the public domain to explain to people who are very critical of this development, who caused all this. That is still ongoing. One has to see, one has to wait.

‘European media lacks investigative journalism about the route of grain exported from Ukraine’

I also want to ask you about the grain deal which was initiated by the United Nations and Türkiye; and agreed by Russia and Ukraine. We know that more than 33 million tons of grain were exported from Ukraine to different parts of the world. But at the beginning, it was promised that this deal was for the poor people in Africa and different countries. But at the end of the day, today, according to World Food Program, we know that less than 1 million ton of grain was sent to the poor countries. How do you see the outcome of this grain deal as President Putin was not eager to renew the agreement for the next term?

Well, what I what would say is, political leaders who have including Türkiye should now go public in giving us evidence. What you’re saying is what I know. And that is that an inadequate amount went where it should go and that is to countries in the saheel, in the south of the Maghreb which is badly in need because of climate change. To have these the support from Ukraine that needs to be shown, explained in simple terms and then, one has to, and that is for example a role that the United Nations could play is, World Food Program should go public and say: “These are the figures and this is what we think should be needed. There should be a reversal of this policy of shipping grain, millets, corn, whatever it is, into countries that need it but don’t need it to survive, it should go where it is needed for people to survive.” And that is missing, the media at least, the media in Europe is not adequately trying to do investigative journalism to bring this to make that very clear. “This is what happened.” “Why did it happen?” “And why do you as the politician whom we elected to parliaments wherever they are, what are you going to do about it?” That is lacking. It’s not enough information flow into the public that allows the public to take a position where they have on the basis of credible information, an opportunity to react in the interest of those people who need to benefit from what Türkiye has negotiated, which is an immensely important contribution in order to ease the tension that exists in our region.

‘Give diplomacy a chance’

By the way, China prepared a document of 9-items for peace-building between Ukraine and Russia and presented it to Moscow. And Russia said “Okay, we appreciate any country who wants to be part of the peace”. But to be realistic, how do you perceive the role of China and the global South in the negotiations between Ukraine and Russia?

As always, those who offer themselves, whether it is the global south or it is China or anyone else, one should give those parties an opportunity to pursue that road of negotiations, of cooperation. Give diplomacy a chance. Don’t, from the from the very beginning in dealing with a conflict, be unable to compromise. I think a key word in this whole conflict resolution exercise is the ability to compromise. There is no treaty that I know that isn’t the result of compromise. So let’s sit and have a compromise and agree on what needs to be done in order to create a win-win situation. It’s possible but it’s not being done. It’s again a geopolitical great game that is being played here.

‘UN is politically irresponsible in Gaza’

UN can never produce something applicable or which Israel obeys regarding the Palestine issue. Can you comment on Israel-Gaza conflict? It’s now almost 20,000 civilians killed by Israeli air strikes or land operation. The majority of them are in the field of Gaza Strip. What do you think about the future of Gaza Strip because Netanyahu government wants to settle there and control Gaza. And the United States thinks that the control of Gaza should be given to the Palestinian Authority after the war. What do you think about the future of Gaza considering that Israel does not listen to any resolution of the UN?

Does Gaza have a future? Is there a future for the Gaza that we see on our television screens? It will take decades before Gaza is habitable again, before people can live there with dignity and security. It doesn’t exist. I come from a country I am old enough to have seen the Second World War. I know what war is like. I know how painful war is like. My father was executed. My mother in a was in a camp. My grandfather died on the way into a prison camp. My half-brother was shot in the battle. So, I know what war is. I know how long it took in my family to digest what we have gone through. What we have gone through is not half as painful as what Gaza people have gone through. So, it will take a long time before Gaza mentally and physically is able to stand on its own again.

That is a tragedy that should be recognized better today than tomorrow. Because if you only recognize it tomorrow, then many more people will have died in the meantime. So, there’s urgency. And the United Nations on the humanitarian side understands that very well. They understand. On the political side, they are irresponsible. They don’t want to take the steps that are needed in order to end this. The United States has every opportunity to stop that by stopping the supply of weapons into Israel. That isn’t happening and that makes in a way the United States a party to what is a crime of the highest proportion that you butcher innocent civilians day after day with the argument that you have to retaliate for what is, of course, also a crime committed by Hamas. But it is not acceptable that you look at this situation only from the today context. Ask the question why is there a Hamas? Why is there a Hamas? Would there have been a Hamas if in 1948 the UN resolution creating two states would have been implemented for both sides, for the Israelis and for the Arabs? There wouldn’t be a Hamas today. That is forgotten very often in the discussion.

‘Uncertainty that didn’t exist before the US occupation of Iraq’

You served in Iraq. Tensions between opposing factions have risen again as Iraq now prepares for elections. Even though 20 years have passed since the occupation, the country remains fragile. The state structure is weak, politics could not be institutionalized, infrastructure could not be built. What was Iraq like when you served? What about now? What kind of country did the occupation leave behind?

I was in Iraq at a time when Iraq was completely dependent on external humanitarian assistance. People wouldn’t have survived without World Food Program. But there was an order in Iraq as difficult and as complex it was. There was an order, there was an orderly relationship between Baghdad and the Kurdish areas. There was cooperation. There wasn’t just a border and then there was nothing on the other side. There was daily contact between Bagdad and Arbil and Sulaymaniyah, the Kurdish areas. So, there was this order which worked in favor of people of at the time when I was in Baghdad, 23 million people. Now, the people in Iraq are grappling with an incredible disorder where there is fragmentation, where there are militias, they’re either Sunni related or Shia related or Kurdish related. It’s a completely open unpredictable circumstance reality in which people again are fearful for their lives, for their survival, for their future. Do you want to be a young person in Baghdad or in Mosul or in Sulaymaniyah? What future do you have? You don’t know. Maybe a good one, maybe a bad one. But there is an element of uncertainty that didn’t exist at the time when I was in Baghdad.

* a situation in which neither of two opposing groups or forces will make a move until the other one does something

INTERVIEW

Pascal Lottaz: US sanction system coming apart

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Russian President Vladimir Putin made his first foreign visit to China since leaving office. “These two men seem to be inseparable” (Le temps) and “Moscow and Beijing underline their common goal of reforming the global order” (Der Spiegel).

Meanwhile, the headlines are dominated by the “peace conference” to be hosted by Switzerland, while the Russian armed forces continue their offensive to create a “sanitary zone” in Kharkiv to protect the border regions of Belgorod and Kursk from Ukrainian long-range rocket and artillery attacks.

Dr. Pascal Lottaz is an Associate Professor for Neutrality Studies at Kyoto University’s Faculty of Law. He received his MA and PhD from the National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies (Japan) and specializes on neutral actors in international relations, especially on neutrality during the two World Wars and during the Cold War.

Let’s start with Russian President Vladimir Putin’s first foreign visit since his re-election. In Beijing, Putin and Xi signed a declaration on deepening comprehensive partnership. What do you think about the nature of relations between Russia and China?

The relationship is now definitely deepening even further but the relationship is very much one of economic nature, not military as it is sometimes portrayed in western media. Russia and China are not in an alliance, but they are partnering to enhance each other’s economic, technological, trade, etc. fortunes and build an alternative trade system from what we have known over the past 30 years after the end of the Cold War when all trade was essentially tethered to the US Dollar and US-led trade institutions. The fact that Vladimir Putin brought almost his entire government with him to China and especially the governor of the Russian central bank as well as the finance minister tells us that the talks are strategic and go very deep. My best guess is that they are working on financial mechanisms that would smoothen trade and probably function as preparatory steps towards mechanisms in the larger BRICS club.

A peace conference is being held in Switzerland without Russia’s participation. What does it mean that heads of state are meeting to discuss peace in Ukraine when one of the two main actors is not at the table?

I’m very skeptical toward this “peace summit” since it obviously can’t achieve peace. If they called it “peace process summit”, that would make more sense, because that’s even what the president of Switzerland’s federal council said what it is, a step in the process toward a peace. So, while I think the approach for a proper peace summit is wrong–which would obviously need Russia at the table, something might come out of it. And we see that some nations that are very skeptical of the West’s approach, like Hungary, also see it that way because they are willing to participate while still criticizing the approach. I think the summit was originally planned as another step in the pressure game that had been going on of naming and shaming Russia (adding in sanctions) to increase diplomatic pressure on it, since the summit is an outcome of these “Zelensky Peace Formula” meetings that had been going on several times and the rhetoric is still the same from the West at the moment, that the Zelensky Peace Formula has to be the backbone of a peace agreement.

However, what this might morph into is kind of the West’s consolidated starting point of a real peace negotiation and hence the outcome of the summit might still be useful in some sense as it might open avenues for actual negotiations. I’m not sure this is what it will be but in the most optimistic scenario, the outcome document might be something that the Russians (and some third-party mediator like China) might actually be able to work with in some sense. But maybe that’s just my hopeless optimism speaking. It’s very well possible that the entire affair will go down as simply another Western PR stunt to make it seem as if though “the whole world is against Russia” which is neither true, nor will it move the Russian’s even an inch from their course. We have seen many, many such moments in the past, and this one might become another one.

Today, the global South is back. It is a geopolitical phenomenon rather than a coherent, organized grouping. Do you think these countries represent a new pole in the world?

Absolutely. The way the Global South, as it is now called, has come to the fore is really unprecedented. This is often compared to the Nonaligned Movement of the Cold War, but what we are seeing is much bigger and stronger than that. We are seeing independent poles emerge, China and India first and foremost, but others, too, like Iran and Brazil that used to be pretty constrained by the rules of the game that the US and Europe forged, but by now they are much less constrained and are able not only to coordinate but to act in ways we haven’t seen before. The way in which Iran just was able to assert itself vis-a-vis Israel and the US would have been impossible just a few years ago. But now the US actively tries to avert yet another war because it has reached the limits of its power-projection capabilities and that is also true in the economic realm where US and EU policy is now confined to ever more sanctions (that backfire rather than coerce others) and to pleading and threatening other states, since they lack actual methods of implementation of their demands. We saw this recently with Janet Yellen going to China to beg them to export less to third markets in which the US wants to compete and then by Tony Blinken going over to demand the same but backed up with threats of even more sanctions. And sure enough, now the sanctions are coming but they won’t be able to achieve the goals since the real issue is not Chinese vehicle exports to the US, it’s that US vehicles are not competitive in 3rd markets and that’s something that’s simply out of the realm of US sanctions. So, we are seeing the US sanction system coming apart. It still carries weight but less and less so in the Global South which is now for the first time emancipating these states to go alternative routes. This is very new and the US as well as the EU are utterly unprepared for it. 500 years of Western dominance are coming to a close.

I’d also like to mention the phenomenon of Javier Milei in Argentina. What does the rise of right-wing populist or even outright fascist movements around the world have to do with the financialization of the global economy? Is this rise an anomaly or is it part of a process deliberately orchestrated by the ruling classes?

Well, Milei was able to tap into economic grievances in Argentina, of which there were plenty. I would be careful with the word “fascist” as it is not clear to me that he is aiming for that kind of state organization. To me, Milei is just an outrageous form of Margret Thatcher, who won over people with a lunatic discourse of what the economy is about—an utterly distorted view of economic reality, as I see it. Ironically enough for Argentina, his policies will most likely produce the exact opposite of what he is promising, and drive the country even deeper into financial crisis from which then only the US will be able to save it (since most of Argentina’s external debt is in USD), which, in turn, will hand over the Argentinian economy to the US (even more than before). That is very similar to what happened in Russia after 1990. But to be fair, we have to wait and see if that’s the case. I just can’t see any scenario in which ditching Argentina’s sovereign currency and “dollarizing” (or some softer form of that) is going to be beneficial to Argentina. You need a sovereign and working currency to have any kind of hold over your economy, so Milei’s policies are in my view suicidal for the political economy of Argentina. But you are right, the process will benefit a relatively small elite in Argentina that is already hard-wired into corporate US, and will profit from being the ones who sell out Argentina’s remaining national assets, or function as the middle men to control them. We see this with examples in Guatemala or even Haiti, in which very, very small elites live, work, and have their kids in Florida but still control large parts of wealth in their home countries and they are the first ones to cheer up any kind of economic coercion against their countries as long as they might produce more profits on the top. It’s capitalism at its ugliest but this is still how it works in weak, western economies.

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INTERVIEW

‘Visit of President Xi is a proof of the ironclad friendship’

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Nemanja Starović, Minister of Labor, Employment, Veteran and Social Policy of the Government of Serbia, spoke to Harici. Emphasizing that the focus of Xi Jinping and Aleksandar Vucic’s talks was on economic cooperation, Starović said Xi’s second visit to Serbia since the beginning of his term in office is “proof of the iron-clad friendship”.

Chinese President Xi Jinping concluded his five-day European tour after visits to France, Serbia and Hungary, where he held talks on trade, investment and the Ukraine war.

Journalist Dr. Esra Karahindiba has done a just-in interview with Nemanja Starović who has newly been appointed as the Minister of Labor, Employment, Veteran and Social Policy of Serbian Government. Starovic was the State Secretary of Minister of Defense of Serbia previously and replied to Harici’s questions last year.

‘Since the possibility of EU membership is distant, we make an effort to not to neglect Russia and China’

How do you comment on the current bilateral relationship between China and Serbia? What stands out the most in the process of the development of the bilateral relationship over the past years? What policy matters were prioritized in the two leaders’ discussion agenda this time? What new outcomes do you expect there to be after President Xi’s trip?

First and foremost, the visit of President Xi to Serbia, the second one since the beginning of his tenure, served as proof of the iron-clad friendship our two nations have established in the previous decade. It was also a springboard for further enhancement of our cooperation in various fields, as 29 different agreements have been signed. We are especially proud of the fact that among them was our endorsement of the Community for the Shared Future in the New Era, the new platform initiated by China, which Serbia was the first to endorse. Apart from discussing all outstanding issues on a global scale, which is a necessity whenever two experienced leaders meet, the focus of the talks was naturally on bilateral economic cooperation.

China and Serbia have strong and deep cooperation on infrastructure projects, from stadiums, to bridges, highways and railways. But would there be any room for improvement of the bilateral cooperation if there is any or say, if there is anything expected beyond from a Serbian government perspective?

Our strategic partnership substantially grew in the previous decade and that is the most visible in the field of economy. Only 12 years ago, our overall exports to China were below 10 million USD, but in the meantime they increased to beyond 1.2 billion USD. That means we managed to multiply our exports by the factor of 140 in just ten or so years. Our total trade exchange today exceeds 6 billion USD, but when the newly signed free trade agreement between Serbia and China comes into effect on July 1st, we will increase it to 10 billion USD in a very short time. For the country the size of Serbia, those figures are really significant. The People’s Republic of China is the single largest foreign investor in Serbia, with more than 5 billion USD of direct investments, on top of various infrastructure projects we jointly develop. Chinese-owned companies are among the largest exporters of our country. Looking into the future, we are very interested in the application of new, sophisticated technologies in Serbia, involving artificial intelligence, leading to the production of Chinese electrical vehicles in our country and even flying taxi-cabs.

For the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and 16+1 framework, what are the possible perspectives of the EU and Cooperation between China and Central and Eastern European Countries (CEEC) on them and if there has been any evolution of the views, how have they evolved? What are some of the biggest challenges faced by BRI and 16+1 in Europe broadly and CEEC specifically?

Having in mind our geographical location in the middle of the Balkans peninsula, which has served as a natural “highway” connecting Asia Minor with Central Europe since the dawn of time, it is both natural and rational for us to participate in BRI, which aims for increased connectivity across Euro-Asia. Part of that large initiative is infrastructure which enhances connections between ports in the Aegean and Panonian basin through Serbia and North Macedonia. Those types of projects bring huge benefits to our people. To give you just one example – by constructing a new railway between Belgrade and Budapest, we have already connected our two most populous cities, Belgrade and Novi Sad, with a high-speed railway, transforming the travel between the two cities to a pleasant 35-minute commute. We are aware that some countries have left the China-CEEC framework, mostly due to pressures coming from the outside, but we don’t have any intention of making such a move. To quote the two leaders: president Vučić, who said that “we will never turn our backs to China”; and President Xi, who stated that “for China, Serbia is the first strategic partner in Central and Eastern Europe”.

On this trip, on the day of arrival of President Xi in Serbia, it was the 25th anniversary of NATO’s bombing of the Chinese Embassy in Belgrade. How does Serbia see today’s NATO? And how are the US and its allies trying to still exert influence on either Serbia or CEEC regionally?

It was not a coincidence that President Xi decided to come to Serbia on that very date, when we remember innocent victims, three Chinese journalists, who were killed by NATO bombs on May 7th 1999, during the course of NATO aggression against Serbia. Our joint remembrance binds us even stronger. President Xi emphasized that by saying that “our friendship is forged with blood and lives”. We will never forget those dark days, but we need to forgive. Today, the NATO alliance represents our immediate neighborhood. We are bordering 8 different countries and, except for Bosnia and Herzegovina, all of them are part of NATO. We have an active role within the NATO Partnership for Peace program, but our principal position is that we are not going to become a NATO member country. Military neutrality is one of two main pillars of our foreign policy, next to political independence, and we are very proud of both. It is common knowledge that many western countries are dissatisfied concerning our sovereign path in foreign policy, and certain pressure points are being activated all the time, one being the issue of our break-away province of Kosovo and Metohija, and another one related to our rejection to impose sanctions against the Russian Federation, but we manage to stay on the course that the vast majority of our people support nevertheless.

From a Serbian perspective, how do you see the relationship between China and Serbia? How does Serbia see China’s visit to Serbia? What does it mean to Serbia?

There are strong sentiments of pride and joy regarding the visit of President Xi to Serbia. Although Serbia is not nearly as big and important on a global scale as China, our Chinese friends are always showing great respect to our country. This is the second visit of President Xi to Serbia, while the heads of certain western countries have not visited Belgrade for decades.

What are some of the policy recommendations you would have for China-Serbia relationship and beyond?

I can only say that we have taken the right approach in our relations with China, and the results we have achieved so far are tremendous. With the new Free trade agreement, we will definitely upgrade our cooperation even more. Yet, all these achievements in economic cooperation are catalyzed by excellent political cooperation. Both China and Serbia are guided by the same principles in the international arena, such as sovereign equality, peaceful co-existence and non-interference in domestic affairs. We strongly endorse the One-China policy and Beijing strongly supports our political struggle to maintain our territorial integrity.

How do you thing the fact that Serbia being a European country is one of countries having top level relationship with China? How do you think this may affect any potential partnership with the West, including the EU? Can you say that Serbia places itself among Eastern Alliance?

Our cooperation and iron-clad friendship with China is not directed against anyone, and definitely not against the European Union. Our strategic goal is to join the European Union, and we are in the advanced stage of membership negotiations. However, the end game to that process is not in sight and the goal still resembles a moving target. We fully understand that once we become an EU member state, we will need to align with the common foreign and security policy of the EU, but we are not willing to give up on our traditional friends along that long and wriggly path.

Vis-à-vis France’s position and role in the EU, NATO and the West, what joint efforts could and should be done by China. Serbia and France in addressing common challenges, from climate change to conflict resolution? How to possibly decrease the impact and interference by the West led by the US?

As I have mentioned before, we consider China an iron-clad friend. At the same time, France is one of the most prominent partners Serbia has within the EU. We are always glad to see increased cooperation between the two, but we do not interfere in their relations. Both China and France have significantly increased their investments in Serbia in previous years. One good example is our mega-project concerning the long-awaited construction of the Belgrade metro, in which both Chinese and French companies are taking part.

How you look at the Russia-Ukraine conflict? What possible scenarios do you expect for it to end? What sort of conflict resolutions could be?

If history taught us something, it is that all wars end either by a peace treaty or total annihilation of one warring side. This tragic war in Ukraine will eventually end with some kind of peace treaty, and we strongly believe that sooner it happens, the better. We consider both Russians and Ukrainians brotherly peoples and feel great pain for any loss of life on the battlefield, especially for the civilian casualties. Serbia has condemned the violation of Ukraine’s territorial integrity, but we refuse to take any part in that tragic war. If there is a role for us in the peacemaking efforts, supported by both sides, we will always be glad to provide our good services.

What is your stance in Israeli massacre in Gaza? There are several news that Serbia might be secretly sending weapons to Israel. Can you confirm or deny those allegations? And in general, why is Serbia is moderately silent on Israel-Hamas conflict?

We have strongly condemned the barbarous Hamas attack on Israeli civilians on October 7th 2023, but also share the concerns regarding the suffering of civilians in the Gaza Strip. That is yet another war in which we do not intend to participate, but are always ready to help with peacemaking efforts if asked for. On the issue of weapons, we have never engaged in secret exports of any sort to anyone. We have a long tradition of manufacturing weapons and ammunition, primarily for our own needs, but also for exports. However, we strictly abide by international regulations in that field and always tend to be very transparent. Our cooperation with Israel in that area is a long-standing one, but the overall volume of our trade in arms and ammunition with Israel cannot even be compared with the volume of trade certain countries accomplish.

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INTERVIEW

‘Israel strategically has lost in this war’

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Wadah Khanfar, Founder President of Al Sharq Forum spoke to Harici: “The current reality in the region is shameful. Because the regional states have decided to work within the ceiling that the Americans actually decide for them. And the Americans, as you know, favor the Israelis more than they favor anyone else.”

 Wadah Khanfar answered our questions on key debates such as the position of regional countries in the Gaza conflict, plans for a two-state solution, the attitude of the international community and the resolution of the Palestinian conflict.

I did a few interviews about Gaza, but one was very harsh. Daniel Levy, a senior adviser in former Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Barak’s government and a former Israeli peace negotiator, told me it was a shame for the Arabs that it was South Africa that sued Israel at the International Court of Justice. Let’s start with this comment. You are also Arab, but I am sure you will take an objective approach.

I think it is shameful, no doubt about that. Because the regional states have decided to work within the ceiling that the Americans actually decide for them. And the Americans, as you know, favor the Israelis more than they favor anyone else. So, at this stage, we are stuck in a situation whereby no one is taking proper initiative and everyone is trying to maneuver while he is standing on his own one square meter. The best they could do sometimes is make speeches which are irrelevant to the reality on the ground.

The situation in Gaza has gone beyond any conflict from 1945 until now. We have never seen starvation to death in front of the eyes of the public as it is happening today, while countries are in a state of paralysis and they only could deliver some talks in a shy way without confronting the Israelis or try to do something that breaks the norm. We are in a situation where you need something new, something challenging, something to stop the current aggression.

Unfortunately, I agree that the current reality in the region is shameful and generation after another will look back at this moment and feel ashamed of the response of our governments to the current crisis.

Several times underlined the hypocrisy issue. Are you referring to the West or actually the Saudis being hypocrite or the ones who signed Abraham Accords being hypocrite? Because they knew that when they are signing this deal with Israel, they knew which power that is going to give to Israel that Gazans and Palestinians will be backless.

I do believe that the West has advocated for the last, maybe, three centuries the values of liberalism, rule of law and justice and equality and human rights. Because of that, they were trying to introduce a global philosophy which they think that it should rule the world basically.

But we noticed that these ideals, these values have been utilized in the hand of the power in order to create some hegemony rather than actual justice and equality and rule of law. Gaza has basically uncovered that deep racism within the Western mind of how to deal with us. So there are two categories of humans in the eyes of the Western Powers; the Europeans, themselves and the Westerners, including the Americans, of course, and then the rest of the world. The rest of the world not necessarily should enjoy the same fruits of liberalism that the West should have. This is one aspect of hypocrisy. The second aspect of hypocrisy is that our governments, as you mentioned rightly, who have been trying to appease the Israelis in order to appease the Americans or to secure their thrones and to secure their regimes, have been in a way or another for also decades now following the recipes that the Americans have introduced to us.

So when the Americans lead with Abraham Accords, governments in this region applaud and follow without any assurance that this will achieve any justice to the Palestinians or national security for the region itself. So, this is why this region is in turmoil. This is why our governments are not capable of gaining legitimacy in the eyes of the public. This is why we have civil wars everywhere in this region. This is why we cannot achieve security and prosperity if we continue to follow the Western-centric approach to our own interests, to our own cases, like the case or the cause of Palestine.

Do you think that if Israel is not declared a war criminal and a genocidal state for these acts, it will not pave the way for greater disasters in the international community?

The international community is going through one of the worst tests since 1945 because in 1945 they have decided that the world should be established on new foundations. There is a United Nations and Security Council to guarantee security in the world. There is international law to guarantee that the states do not go against each other and achieve another war. Now the current reality has demolished all of that. There is no United Nations at this moment in time. It is irrelevant because at the Security Council, the Americans are vetoing every ceasefire decision, proposal. And on the other hand, the Israelis are attacking the United Nations, accusing the Secretary General of anti-Semitism. The same United Nations that in 1947 decided the partition of Palestine by a majority of 33 votes only. And at that time the United Nations had only 57 members. 33 of them voted for the partition of Palestine and the creation of Israel. Now that particular institution is attacked now as anti-Semitic. While today we have almost 200 states, 154 of them voted against Israel. So, you see how the double standards are achieving.

The international law is attacked. There is nothing called international law anymore at this stage because Israel has actually broken every paragraph in every convention and every international law without anyone holding them to account, especially the Americans who are giving them a cover. So what kind of world order do we have? This is a world order of chaos. This is a world order that will lead to much more conflicts in the future and everyone can do whatever he wants to do without regard to anyone.

Regarding the world order, some of the analysts are saying that the U.S. is no longer in the position to mediate any of the crises anywhere in the world, including the Israel-Palestine crisis or the two-state solution. There are some voices who say that China could be a good advocate for this. I’m not sure why, but maybe they just want to bring another country which is confronting the U.S.. Do you think that the power of Asia can come closer to the Middle East to solve some problems?

Not necessarily, actually. I don’t trust hegemonic powers in any way. At this moment in time, I do welcome the rise of China simply because the centrality of the American foreign policy and American hegemony in the world has led us to the current horrible reality we are in. So, this is why the challenge that China poses to the Americans is welcomed, in my opinion. But the replacement of that is not also a unipolar system where China is on top of it. What we should aspire for, as people in this region, is to have our own geopolitical center through integration amongst our nations in the Middle East where we could sit together with the Chinese and the Americans and the Russians and could negotiate a much better world order that could preserve our right.

We should not be under the mercy of the Americans or the Chinese. This is bad politics. We should look inside. We have nations like the Arabs, the Turks, the Iranians, the Kurds. In this part of the world, we have been living together for thousands of years. And we could establish a center whereby that center, politically and economically, and that could be through integration; governmental, political integration, economic integration; we could become a powerful actor in the international order like what Europe is doing. Because Europe is the most fragmented continent in the world. And after the Second World War, they realized that they need to go for integration. And now we have a European Union which could present itself as a major actor in the economic world and in the political world.

Two-state solution… There is no side who is accepting it at Israeli side. And it’s also discussed within Israeli, let’s say, intellectuals who want to defend the rights of Gazan civilians who are leftists. They also say that while there is a big fact of increasing settlements, it’s impossible to have a two-state solution because it’s a problem for Palestinians. Where are you going to have a two-state solution? Is it really realistic? What are we discussing for dozens of years now?

I think the current situation whereby the international society, especially the Americans, are resurrecting the two-state solution after 30 years of negotiations in Oslo, which we couldn’t achieve anything out of it, is only just to end the current conflict in a way that makes Israel much more relevant to the future because Israel strategically has lost in this war. The image of Israel internationally is horrible. Israel is a country that is accused of genocide. Israel is a country that is starving people to death. So, they would like to replace that image of a process where Israel is negotiating with the Palestinians. Again, another myth called the two-state solution… So, the current situation is basically trying to bring us back to where the Palestinian issue was before 7th of October. I do believe that the two-state solution will be rejected by the Israelis, as it has been rejected for the last 30 years since Oslo. You should remember that by this year, we could have been celebrating the 25th anniversary of the Palestinian state, based on the Oslo agreement, where the Israelis signed it. But nothing happened. So what kind of two-state solutions are we going to talk about? The Americans are talking about a state without sovereignty as it existed in South Africa, a state without control over borders or water or its own resources or security. So, to a large extent, they would like us to declare something called a state, which does not exist in any lexicon of international politics. It does not exist in reality at all, just to save the image of Israel.

You say that the US cannot manage this crisis anymore, and you say that you do not trust other hegemonic powers like China or Russia. Who, according to you, can solve this crisis or can hold the position of mediation?

If there is a bold regional initiative, then we could put the Americans and the international powers under the following choice. Either you stop the Israelis, or this region is going to react to you in a harsh way. The Americans are comfortable that most of our leaders… This is why the conflict will continue for now. Most likely, it will continue in different ways and shapes. We might have a truce for a few days, for a few weeks, then another conflict will arise. Even if they succeed to destroy Hamas in Gaza, there will be another generation that is going to fight for the Palestinian right, because Hamas did not exist before 1987. Before 1987, we had PLO, Palestinian Liberation Organization, and PLO found exactly the same track, that they were destroyed, but then another generation of people rose up in Palestine to defend their rights. So, it’s not an issue of Hamas. It is an issue of the rights of the Palestinians and the rights of this region to feel free, not to be under the custodianship and basically colonialism of the American and Israeli interests.

How do you see the future of Gaza? Let’s talk about the new post-war administration, how it’s going to take shape. Do you think a formula, as the US desires, a formula without Hamas is possible?

It is impossible to have a formula without Hamas in Gaza. It’s impossible to have a formula without Hamas in the Palestinian territories in Gaza and West Bank altogether. In my opinion, Hamas should join the Palestinian organization, PLO.

But PLO doesn’t like this idea.

PLO would love that if they are permitted to do so. The current balance of power internationally and maybe regionally is not pushing for that. But Hamas declared that they are willing to join PLO, and I think PLO eventually, in order to resurrect itself would do it. because PLO today is a dead body. PLO does not exist, you know. So, I’m not speaking about PNA, Palestinian National Authority, in West Bank. I’m speaking about PLO which existed as the representative of the struggle of Palestinians from the early 1960’s. This PLO should become the umbrella where all Palestinians struggle to end the occupation. And it should be reformed where it could become representative of all Palestinian sectors inside Palestine and outside Palestine. Because we have 7 million or 8 million Palestinians living in diaspora. And they have the right to be represented in PLO as well.

So, if there is a representative PLO body, Hamas would be a member of it. Then we could say as Palestinians, we have a united front that could, in the future, find a way either to establish a Palestinian state or to negotiate or to struggle or whatever. But this is a Palestinian decision, not American or Israeli decision.

And what is your opinion about post-war Gaza administration?

I think the Americans and a lot of powers in the region are pushing for technocrat government formed in West Bank and Gaza with a prime minister delegated more powers than the president of PNA, which is Mahmoud Abbas. And this technocrat government will be able to work on reconstructing Gaza and creating a period where later on elections could be held.

Unfortunately, this plan, which is bought by the Americans to a lot of actors in the region, does not answer major questions about the withdrawal of the Israeli army from Gaza or the future of the Palestinian struggle, in a sense. Because it is actually a proposal meant to end the conflict without committing Israel to a lasting solution. And this is the problem of it. If there are serious commitments coming from the Americans, forcing the Israelis to accept total withdrawal from Gaza, total end of the blockade and proper rebuilding of Gaza, then I think we will have a good deal and that could become sustainable.

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