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Herat Security Dialogue discusses ways to overcome political uncertainty in Afghanistan

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The 11th Herat Security Dialogue (HSD-XI) unfolded in Dushanbe, Tajikistan on 27-28 of November with the participation of over 120 people from 20 countries, including international organizations and representatives of various political groups and former republic government officials.

The HSD-XI held under the theme “Reimagining Afghanistan, Ways Forward”, concluded with the participants deliberating on various aspects, including the future of Afghanistan and the world’s community engagement with Afghanistan in their two-day session and several panel discussions.

The panelist discussed key issues related to Afghanistan, including gender apartheid, the rise of extremism and fundamentalism, and pushed for the support for political forces opposing the Taliban aimed at establishing an inclusive government acceptable for all.

The conference also shed light on various other important issues such as opening the way for a dialogue between politicians in exile and the Taliban, fight against terrorism, practical efforts to stop drug trafficking, good ties with the neighboring countries as well as having a society to honor the fundamental rights of girls and women.

The organizer of the conference, the Afghan Institute for Strategic Studies (AISS) had said that representatives from the United Nations, the European Union, and the Shanghai Cooperation Organization had also participated in the conference and merely played a role of observers.

Key officials from past government and foreign representatives participated in the HSD, discussing ways for a peaceful Afghanistan

During the first day of the conference, officials from the past government, opposition political figures, analysts and experts had discussed in detail the situation in Afghanistan and the focus was on the nature of interactions with the Taliban, who according to them, yet to agree for an intra-Afghan dialogue.

Head of AISS, Davood Moradian, said that this year’s discussions were solely focused on the future of Afghanistan with the Taliban as part of a solution or not. He said that what will happen if the Taliban doesn’t agree for a dialogue in order to form an inclusive government and if not, what steps should be taken in this regard.

Former Afghan Minister, Ismail Khan and a number of officials, including Afghan ambassador to Tajikistan

In his opening speech, Dr. Rangin Dadfar Spanta, former Afghan foreign minister, said that Taliban took power in August 2021 due to the inefficiency of the republic government.

Spanta expressed his dissent on the report prepared by the UN Special Coordinator Feridun Sinirlioglu, saying that Feridun has tried to present a favorable image of the Taliban in the report.

Afghan leader, Ismail Khan called on international community to pressurize the Taliban in a bid to agree on intra-Afghan talks  

“There was no need to whitewash the Taliban in the report,” Spanta added. Meanwhile, Shukria Barakzai, Afghanistan’s former envoy in Norway had questioned the UN’s dual stance, asking UN how it’s good for this organization to ask for a type of engagement or recognition of the Taliban when the Taliban doesn’t observe human rights, especially the rights of women and girls.

Chief guest, Ismail Khan, former Jihadi leader, had called on the international community to put pressure on the Taliban in order to make them agree on an opportunity for an intra-Afghan talk.

Expressing concern over world’s growing weary of the Taliban, Khan said that the current policy of Taliban will further strengthen the strongholds of resistance.

In August 2021, Khan announced war against the Taliban, but he was captured by the Taliban fighters and later on he was released and sought refuge in Iran. Now after two years, he appeared in the media once again and spoke against the Taliban. During his speech, he said that not only Iran, but the entire world has become fed up with the policy of the Taliban.

However, Karim Amin, a member of the leadership of the Hezb-e-Islami party led by Gulbuddin Hekmatyar, had somehow supported the report made by the Sinirlioglu. He said that Mr. Feridon Sinirlioglu has travelled to 15 provinces during his three months stay in Afghanistan and also met with the representatives of 17 provinces and also carried out talks with the three hundred people inside and outside of Afghanistan.

UK to envoy called on the world to reengage in Afghanistan

However, the former UK ambassador to Afghanistan, Nicholas Kay has put weight behind Sinirlioglu’s report and emphasized the need for the international community to support his’s UN-mandated assessment.

Afrasiab Khattak, a former Pakistani senator spoke about the mass deportation of Afghan migrants from Pakistan and said that this is the “policy of Pakistani generals” aimed at putting pressure on the people of Afghanistan. He said that these mass expulsions will end in instability in the region because when these people go to Afghanistan they won’t find any job and possibly be recruited by the Daes and TTP and other terrorist groups.

Panelist discussing Afghanistan issues.

Another participant, Abdullah Rahnama, A Tajik writer, has welcomed all the participants, especially the Afghans, labeling Tajikistan as their second home. Rahnama also expressed his grief over the recent earthquake in Herat province in which hundreds of people died, many more wounded and thousands of families became displaced.

Emphasized made upon a balanced international engagement for a peaceful a secure Afghanistan

In another discussion, Said Tayeb Jawad, former Afghan ambassador to Russia, has called for a pragmatic approach to Afghanistan’s issues, and called for a balanced international engagement and regional cooperation for a peaceful and secure future of Afghanistan.

In the same panel, Ashita Mittal, representative of the UN Office on Drugs and Crime in Uzbekistan, has called for a regional consensus on combating drug trafficking.  She said that there is a need for further strengthening the borders due to increase in drug trafficking and illegal financial flows.

In another round of discussion, Shah Mahmood Miakhel, former Afghan defense minister, said that the Afghan politicians in exile have failed to design a unify strategy to combat extremism in the last two years.

At the end of the session, Davood Moradain, head of AISS, expressed gratitude for Tajikistan’s support for the people of Afghanistan. He said that after the collapse of the republic system, the world has left Afghanistan but the Tajikistan government didn’t leave Afghanistan and always stand ready to support the Afghan people.

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Pentagon plans covert spy ring for economic war on China, report says

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The US Department of War (Pentagon) is reportedly planning to establish an extensive network of deep-cover agents to wage economic warfare against China and other adversaries of the US.

According to a report by The Washington Post citing six sources familiar with the initiative, the plan has not yet been put into effect. The newspaper reported that the initiative remains at the planning stage. The Pentagon, however, denies that any such initiative exists.

The report said the operatives would pose as entrepreneurs or private sector employees while concealing their ties to the US government. The network’s mission would be to gather economic intelligence and counter China.

The programme is led by Tom Rakusa, who spent 39 years at the CIA. Rakusa serves as a senior adviser to Deputy Secretary of Defence Steve Feinberg.

The proposed spy network is seen as part of a broader policy by the Donald Trump administration to sharpen economic competition with other countries.

The US is already resorting to tariffs, export controls, and investment in strategic sectors, alongside expanding its economic intelligence gathering.

According to The Washington Post, the new initiative demonstrates the Pentagon’s growing influence under the Trump administration. The department is currently seeking a record budget of $1.5 trillion.

Trade war flares up again with Trump’s return to the White House

The trade friction between the US and China flared up again following Donald Trump’s return to the White House. In April 2025, Washington raised tariffs on Chinese goods to as much as 145%, and Beijing retaliated with tariffs of up to 125%.

In May, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio described China as the primary geopolitical challenge facing Washington. Rubio said that to avoid war, the two sides needed to manage their conflict of interests.

In July, Chinese expert Zheng Yongnian did not simply warn that underestimating the US could prove to be a “fatal mistake”; he stated it explicitly.

According to Zheng’s assessment, the US maintains its primacy through the role of the dollar, its military superiority, and its technological advantages.

Even so, the two sides agreed in June to declare a truce and lower tariffs. In autumn 2026, the US and China extended their trade truce until 10 January 2027.

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the extension would give the parties more time to discuss economic issues.

Trade deals do not eliminate the strategic contradictions between the two countries. Financial Times columnist Rana Foroohar likened the race between the two nations for commercial, technological, and geopolitical influence to the 19th-century “Great Game” between the Russian and British empires.

Foroohar cited China’s standing in shipbuilding and commercial maritime transport, as well as its expanding footprint in overseas ports, among its key advantages.

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Japan plans curbs on short-term home sales to cool urban prices

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Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) plans to restrict short-term property trading to rein in surging home prices in major urban centres, particularly Tokyo.

Led by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, the party aims to make support for working households a core priority ahead of local elections scheduled for April next year.

The LDP’s research commission on housing and land policy met on Wednesday to discuss the issue.

According to a report by the Nikkei Asia newspaper, Commission Chair and LDP lawmaker Midori Matsushima said at the opening of the meeting: “Prices of newly built condominiums across Tokyo’s 23 wards have doubled over the past decade. We must work on measures ensuring that people who wish to live in these homes can actually afford to buy them.”

Homeownership in the capital has become virtually unattainable for broad segments of the population. According to data from the Real Estate Economic Institute, the average sale price of a newly built condominium in Tokyo’s 23 wards rose %18.5 in fiscal 2025 compared with the previous year, reaching 137.84 million yen (around $872,000).

Meanwhile, statistics from the Ministry of Labour show that the average annual income of a full-time worker in the capital remained at 6.78 million yen in fiscal 2025. This widening gap between incomes and residential property prices is directly shaping political priorities.

During its campaign for the House of Representatives election in February, the LDP pledged to curb speculative transactions across metropolitan Tokyo and other regions. Earlier this month, a party project team focused on policies concerning foreign nationals also submitted a recommendation urging the government to introduce immediate tax measures against rising home prices.

Under current legislation, profits realized from properties sold within five years of acquisition are classified as “short-term capital gains”. These returns face a tax rate approaching %40, including income tax and local inhabitant tax.

Although this rate is twice the approximately %20 levied as “long-term capital gains” tax on properties held for more than five years, several party members argue it remains insufficient to deter speculation. Calls to tighten the framework may be considered as part of the annual tax reform package to be drafted in December alongside the LDP’s coalition partner, the Japan Innovation Party.

The ruling bloc wants to present concrete housing pledges to voters heading to the polls in April across numerous urban centres, including 22 of Tokyo’s wards where local assembly terms expire.

“We need to support families with children, who are typically at the stage of purchasing a home,” a senior LDP official said.

Opposition parties are also preparing alternative proposals that target not only prospective homebuyers, but also residents forced into the rental market by high property prices and now affected by escalating rents.

Tax steps take precedence over limits on foreign buyers

Several countries seeking answers to housing affordability pressures have imposed direct restrictions on foreign purchasers. In South Korea, real estate policies played a major part in the declining public approval ratings of President Lee Jae Myung.

In August 2025, authorities in Seoul introduced an approval requirement for foreign nationals buying homes in the capital and adjacent areas, while also mandating that buyers reside in the properties for at least two years.

Canada and Australia have enacted temporary bans on foreign residential purchases, while Singapore levies a %60 additional stamp duty on foreign buyers.

The role of overseas investors in Japan’s property market also drew debate during the February election. However, restrictions aimed directly at foreign nationals are viewed as potentially conflicting with international trade and services agreements.

Consequently, rather than imposing restrictions based on the nationality of buyers, the government is discussing tax measures aimed at speculative real estate deals, such as rapid resales.

Fears that sharp market measures could shake regional banks

Concerns have also surfaced that aggressive steps to force down prices could harm the wider national economy.

A senior LDP tax official cautioned that a steep drop in land prices could weaken local financial institutions, warning: “We must consider the impact on regional banks.”

The real estate sector accounts for roughly %18 of total lending by Japanese banks. This proportion sits well above the %10 level recorded during Japan’s bubble economy of the mid-to-late 1980s.

At certain regional banks, property lending accounts for nearly half of total loan portfolios.

According to March 2025 data from the Financial Services Agency, approximately one-quarter of all loans extended by regional banks to the real estate sector are concentrated directly in Tokyo’s five central wards.

Buoyant asset valuations, supported in part by rising stock indices, have underpinned strong public approval for the Takaichi administration. Observers note that property interventions designed to cool the market could drag down equity prices and weaken the government’s standing.

A senior official on the LDP research commission stressed that decision-makers must act with caution regarding the scope and timing of any measures intended to bring price increases under control.

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South Korea plans $120B spend on eight US nuclear power plants

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South Korea will spend $120 billion to construct eight nuclear power plants in the US under an agreement that provides for $350 billion in investments in exchange for lower tariffs.

The South Korean government also announced that Seoul and Washington will begin examining a liquefied natural gas (LNG) project in Alaska comprising a large-scale pipeline to transport natural gas from the north of the state to the south, alongside the construction of an LNG terminal for exports overseas.

Seoul stated that a decision regarding the LNG project will be made following a commercial feasibility study. However, US President Donald Trump said that South Korea would invest $54 billion in the project, pointing to an apparent lack of full coordination between the two sides on the matter.

Trade and Industry Minister Kim Jung-kwan said in a statement: “This announcement opens a new horizon of cooperation where the two countries join forces to develop joint commercial ventures in strategic areas directly linked to economic security and future sectors such as artificial intelligence, nuclear energy, and LNG.”

“We will adhere to the principle of prioritising national interests and investing solely in commercially viable projects,” Kim said.

Speaking at the White House, Trump characterised South Korea’s plans as “one of the largest energy infrastructure investments in American history”.

The announcement followed a meeting between Trump and South Korean President Lee Jae Myung roughly one year ago at the APEC Economic Leaders’ Meeting held in South Korea, where they agreed on the creation of a $350 billion investment fund.

Under that agreement, $150 billion was allocated to the shipbuilding sector and $200 billion to other sectors. In return, the US announced it would reduce tariffs imposed on goods imported from South Korea from 25% to 15%.

Under the nuclear power project, South Korea’s state-controlled utility will build two plants in the US, while Pennsylvania-based Westinghouse Electric will construct six plants.

According to the South Korean government, this will mark the first instance in which a foreign country builds its own nuclear power plants in the US.

South Korean firms are also evaluating the possibility of acquiring a stake in Westinghouse as part of negotiations over sharing profits generated by the project.

South Korea additionally announced that it will build a $22.3 billion natural gas-fired power plant in Texas with a capacity of 6,472 megawatts.

The facility will be designed to supply electricity directly to nearby data centres. The project’s first phase is targeted to begin commercial operations in 2029, with full-capacity operations slated for 2032.

Seoul also disclosed that it had agreed to allow the US to receive 50% of the profits generated by the projects until South Korea recoups all of its investments.

After South Korea fully recovers its total investment amount, 90% of the profits will go to the US.

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