Asia
Taiwan braces for second Trump term
With Donald Trump securing a second term as U.S. president this week, the Taiwanese government, which heavily relies on U.S. support for defense, is preparing to enhance relations with Washington. Trump previously suggested that Taiwan should pay the U.S. for its defense support and has criticized Taiwan for impacting the U.S. chip industry.
Trump’s approach to Taiwan is among the most significant questions facing his new administration. While the U.S. officially respects Beijing’s sovereignty under the One-China Principle and does not formally recognize Taiwan’s independence, it remains Taipei’s main political and security ally and continues to bolster Taiwan’s defense by providing weapons and training its forces.
Taiwanese leaders Lai Ching-te and Foreign Minister Lin Chia-lung quickly extended their congratulations to Trump. Lin remarked that Taiwan, a global semiconductor leader, would play a vital role in helping Trump realize his “Make America Great Again” mission.
“We are confident we will work well with the new Trump administration,” a senior government official told Nikkei Asia on the condition of anonymity.
The official added that China will likely work to fuel skepticism about the U.S.-Taiwan relationship and President Lai but noted that during Trump’s previous term, many high-level officials had productive interactions and cooperation with Taiwan.
However, Trump is known for his transactional diplomacy and emphasis on trade tariffs. Taiwan will closely monitor his cabinet selections—particularly in the foreign and defense departments—as well as his stance on the Ukraine conflict, demands on security partners in Europe and Asia, and whether he will intensify the U.S.-China trade war.
Analysts expect Taiwan to call for increased defense spending and to accelerate military reforms.
“President Trump’s ‘peace through strength’ approach means our adversaries will be deterred and our allies will carry a greater share of the global security burden,” said Ivan Kanapathy, a former senior national security official under Trump.
Taiwan’s Defense Minister Wellington Koo emphasized that, regardless of the election outcome, it’s crucial to ensure the U.S. understands Taiwan’s commitment to self-defense and recognizes Taiwan’s economic and strategic significance.
Some leaders within Taiwan’s Kuomintang Party (KMT), which advocates for closer ties with China, have voiced reservations about increasing defense expenditures. KMT legislator Weng Hsiao-ling recently told Nikkei Asia that he opposed a substantial boost in the defense budget.
Chieh-Ting Yeh, director of the U.S. Taiwan Watch think tank, suggested that Taiwan should engage beyond diplomatic channels, reaching out to influential figures in Wall Street, Silicon Valley, and other sectors familiar with Trump.
“Taiwan’s leaders need to connect with people who know Trump personally and have his ear,” Yeh commented at the Taiwan Foreign Correspondents Club (TFCC), acknowledging the likely policy unpredictability.
Courtney Donovan Smith, a commentator and former president of the American Chamber of Commerce in Taichung, pointed out that some members of Trump’s first administration supported Taiwan, partly as leverage against China. Smith noted that National Security Advisor John Bolton and Secretary of State Mike Pompeo were strong advocates for Taiwan.
After Lai posted on X about the enduring Taiwan-U.S. partnership rooted in shared values and regional stability, former national security adviser Robert O’Brien thanked him, hinting at the continuity of their alliance.
A confidential memo from a prominent U.S. consulting firm—seen by Nikkei Asia—lists O’Brien as Trump’s likely Secretary of State and Pompeo as a probable Secretary of Defense candidate. Additionally, Republican Senator Tom Cotton, another defense contender, has called for “strategic clarity” in U.S.-Taiwan relations, replacing the current “strategic ambiguity” and explicitly promising U.S. intervention should China attack Taiwan.
Experts note that Taiwan’s de facto representation in the U.S. will be pivotal in maintaining bilateral relations. Sources suggest Taiwan might consider appointing a new de facto U.S. ambassador, possibly replacing Alexander Yui given the changing diplomatic landscape.
Taiwan’s newly appointed deputy ambassador Andrea Yi-Shan Yang, seen as a key intermediary, brings valuable experience, having collaborated closely with President Lai and Foreign Minister Lin.
“Yang is an exceptional diplomat, capable of communicating Taiwan’s priorities effectively in Washington,” commented Raymond Sung, vice-president of the Prospect Foundation, during a speech at the TFCC. He added, “If Trump’s senior appointments are handled by professionals rather than political outsiders, Taiwan’s relationship with the U.S. will remain secure.”
In a separate TFCC session, Taiwan’s Environment Minister Peng Chi-ming expressed optimism about ongoing cooperation in technology and climate policy with the U.S., despite Trump’s previous withdrawal from the Paris Agreement.
“I believe Taiwan’s contributions in supply chain stability and semiconductor production will ensure continuity in the U.S.-Taiwan relationship,” Peng stated. He emphasized that private-sector initiatives are driving progress in climate technology, with Taiwan playing an essential role in supporting renewable energy and EV infrastructure.
Similarly, Economic Minister Kuo Jyh-huei pledged support for Taiwanese companies seeking to diversify production away from China, in light of potential U.S.-China trade tensions.
According to Nick Marro of the Economist Intelligence Unit, any future trade war could accelerate Taiwan’s shift toward Southeast Asia or India. However, he noted that Taiwan’s reliance on China’s manufacturing advantages—such as its low-cost ecosystem and talent pools—will likely prevent a significant exodus of Taiwanese firms from the Chinese market.
Asia
Chinese Politburo signals cautious confidence as Beijing pivots toward targeted tech support
The mid-year meeting of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Politburo has long served as a critical evaluation point for Beijing. The session provides the central government with an opportunity to review developments from the first half of the year and steer the country toward a more realistic economic course in the months ahead.
The latest statement from the top leadership signals cautious confidence. The release indicates that policymakers are favoring a stable, targeted approach over the broad-based stimulus measures that characterized previous years. As China manages its economic transition, the post-Covid era of aggressive spending has clearly drawn to a close. In its place, a strategic and structural approach has taken hold, prioritizing resilience and stability over short-term capital injections.
According to the outcomes of the Politburo meeting, the policy orientation will continue to target specific sectors. Financial support will be directed away from the property market and toward high-tech emerging industries such as artificial intelligence and semiconductors. In the real estate sector, the objective remains stabilizing market confidence and keeping debt risks under control.
Infrastructure investment is likewise being reshaped around the concept of “new infrastructure.” The focus is no longer solely on concrete and physical structures; smart power grids, information technology networks, and data infrastructure have taken precedence.
This approach signifies an investment in future competitiveness rather than simply pumping capital into the economy’s more stagnant sectors. Serving as a new driver of growth, digital infrastructure fulfills a dual purpose: supporting domestic demand in the short term while safeguarding technological competitiveness over the long term.
Finally, Beijing is signaling a more conciliatory posture in international trade. The Chinese leadership aims to establish a more balanced trade framework to mitigate concerns voiced by trade partners such as the European Union over what has been termed “China Shock 2.0.”
As the administration prepares for critical leadership changes next year, its primary focus will remain on stability across both economic and social spheres.
China continues to strike a balance between realistic growth targets and systemic restructuring, maintaining policy leeway to absorb potential external shocks. Beijing’s economic strategy reflects a pragmatic assessment of both domestic and international challenges.
Struggling with weak demand, the domestic economy is not yet in a position to anchor national growth independently. Expansion continues to rely heavily on a record trade surplus alongside the impressive export performance of high-tech and clean energy sectors. However, this reliance has drawn pushback from several trading partners.
To stimulate domestic economic activity and ease trade tensions, Beijing unveiled its first standalone five-year plan focused on consumption. Released in July by the National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Commerce, the plan targets an increase in retail sales to 60 trillion yuan (approximately $8.9 trillion) by 2030. This represents an increase of roughly 20% compared to 2025 levels.
To improve profit margins for small businesses, regulatory authorities are tackling the issue of “involution”—described as excessive internal competition—by curbing platform monopolies and preventing destructive price wars. While these structural adjustments may take longer to yield results, they are viewed as a more sustainable and effective alternative to direct cash handouts.
Asia
Chinese chipmaker profits surge 2,500% on explosive AI computing demand
Major Chinese microchip manufacturers saw their profits surge by 2,579.5% in the first half of 2026, driven by unprecedented demand for artificial intelligence and computing capacity.
Data from China’s National Bureau of Statistics, cited by the South China Morning Post (SCMP), underscored the industry’s sharp upward trajectory.
Yu Weining, senior statistician at China’s National Bureau of Statistics, explained that this surge is directly connected to the accelerating integration of artificial intelligence across various sectors.
Yu noted that this process has increased the need for computing capacity. The demand for computational processes also lifted profits across the entire electronics industry by 97% year-on-year.
Profits of major Chinese industrial enterprises with an annual revenue exceeding 20 million yuan ($2.9 million) rose 18.7% in the first six months of the year, reaching 4 trillion yuan.
In the first half of 2025, before the global data center construction process had begun, industrial profits had dropped by 1.8% to 3.4 trillion yuan, while profit growth in the electronics sector remained at 3.5%.
The SCMP reported that the global AI boom has generated explosive demand for high-performance computing systems and memory chips, causing a structural pivot in China’s industrial landscape.
Data showed that integrated circuit production in the first half of the year grew by 23% year-on-year to reach approximately 280 billion units.
This figure means that the country produced an average of more than 1.5 billion chips per day.
The profit growth is also corroborated by forecasts from China’s leading chipmakers. Shenzhen Longsys Electronics, one of the largest memory module manufacturers, expects its profits to increase by more than 600-fold in the first half of the year.
Flash memory maker GigaDevice projects that its net profit will surge by approximately 1,099% year-on-year due to supply shortages and rising product prices.
Chinese companies in the AI chip segment are also demonstrating strong profit growth, albeit at a more moderate pace compared to the memory market.
Hygon Information Technology, which develops central processing units and computing units for artificial intelligence, projects that its profits will rise by up to 52.3%.
CXMT hits record high on Shanghai Stock Exchange
Shares of Chinese chipmaker CXMT gained more than 500% on their first day of trading on the Shanghai Stock Exchange on July 27, jumping from 8.66 yuan to 55 yuan.
As a result of this sharp surge in its shares, CXMT’s market valuation reached 3.65 trillion yuan ($539 billion), making the company China’s most valuable publicly traded firm.
At the peak of the rally—even though quoted prices underwent a slight correction toward the close of the trading day—CXMT surpassed Tencent, which was trading on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange with a market capitalization of $514 billion.
Asia
Massive student movement over exam leaks forces resignation of India’s education minister
Indian public examination reform proposals follow education minister’s resignation after nationwide youth protests
India’s federal government introduced legislation in parliament on Monday to amend the law governing public examinations, days after the “Cockroach” movement forced the resignation of Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan following nationwide youth protests.
The bill incorporates enhanced sanctions, including longer prison sentences and higher fines for those found responsible for exam leaks and irregularities.
The demonstrations are widely viewed as the most significant youth-led challenge faced by Prime Minister Narendra Modi since he took office in 2014.
What triggered the protests?
Nearly 2 million students took the National Eligibility cum Entrance Test (NEET), an undergraduate medical entrance examination, in May. The federal National Testing Agency cancelled the exam on May 12 following allegations that question papers had been leaked. The examination was re-administered on June 21.
Young people took to the streets to protest against examination fraud, youth unemployment, and a perceived lack of future prospects.
According to a BBC report, the unemployment rate among university and college graduates aged 15 to 25 in the country stands at a critically high level of 40%. The addition of corruption in public examinations to existing economic strain broke the patience of the youth.
Abhijeet Dipke, founder of the Cockroach Public Party (CJP) movement, led the protests.
The movement derived its name from remarks made in May by Supreme Court Judge Surya Kant, who used the terms “cockroach” and “parasite” in a derogatory reference to unemployed youth and protesters. Young demonstrators adopted the insult as a symbol and named their movement after it.
How the movement unfolded
Young protesters organized street demonstrations demanding the resignation of Education Minister Pradhan. Dipke, who initiated the movement in New Delhi, subsequently organized protests in other parts of the country.
Sonam Wangchuk, one of the protesters, began a hunger strike at the demonstration site in support of the movement. As his physical condition deteriorated, authorities forcibly transferred him to a hospital.
The reaction to Wangchuk’s forcible removal from the protest site caused crowds at the venue to expand rapidly.
Tens of thousands of protesters faced tear gas and baton charges by police while attempting to march on parliament. Some demonstrators engaged in clashes with law enforcement officers.
CJP leaders held talks with ministers from the Modi government, who requested time to evaluate the protesters’ demands internally.
Modi called for unity among lawmakers in the ruling coalition to implement strict measures against exam paper leaks, punish those responsible, and establish a secure, leak-proof system.
Opposition representatives led by Rahul Gandhi staged a sit-in at the entrance of Modi’s official residence demanding Pradhan’s resignation. They were briefly detained by police before being released.
Opposition lawmakers supporting the student protesters disrupted proceedings in parliament. Demonstrations expanded to other regions of the country, including the financial hub of Mumbai.
In his first direct statement regarding the protests, published in a post on X, Modi announced that special courts would be established to prosecute individuals involved in exam paper leaks. Protesters rejected the proposal.
Movement leaders held a second round of talks with the government after Wangchuk ended his 26-day hunger strike.
Following those discussions, the government requested time until the afternoon of the following day to respond to the demand for Pradhan’s resignation.
Education Minister Pradhan subsequently announced his resignation, stating that he was stepping down in light of the situation at the protest site and across the country, as well as to prevent “external forces” from exploiting the environment.
On July 26, Modi announced the creation of a task force headed by technology entrepreneur Nandan Nilekani to overhaul the country’s examination system.
On Monday, July 27, the government presented a bill to parliament proposing amendments to the law governing public examinations. The legislation introduces stiffer penalties for offenders, including extended prison terms and increased monetary fines.
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