America
Muslim American votes matter; Who do they vote for?
After all, less than a week before the American elections, the efforts of the Democratic and Republican campaigns have been more focused on the key states or the main battlegrounds. American strategists believe that the competition in the 2024 elections will be historic and very tight. In the highly competitive atmosphere of the US elections, the issue of the Muslim vote in the United States has become important and its influence on the fate of the outcome of this process has become unprecedentedly more prominent for both candidates.
According to the latest US census that was conducted in 2018, the American Muslim population is reported to be more than four million and 953 thousand people.
This population is mostly settled in the states of the east and west coasts of America. California, New York, Virginia, Michigan, Maryland, Illinois, Georgia and Pennsylvania are among the states that have the largest Muslim population.
Although Muslims make up only about one percent of the US population, they are an important voting block due to their concentration in key states such as Michigan, Georgia, and Pennsylvania, where they often win elections by narrow margins.
Muslim support was crucial to Biden’s victory in 2020
And in the 2020 election, Biden was able to win the election from Trump by getting 65pc of the Muslim votes in these states. Muslim support was crucial to Biden’s victory, as he won key states by narrow margins.
In the previous election, Joe Biden was able to win the state of Georgia by only 12,000 votes, a state where more than 61,000 Muslim voters live. Biden also won the 2020 Pennsylvania election with a difference of 81 thousand votes. The number of Muslim voters in this state reaches 125 thousand people.
On the other hand, according to the findings of the Pew Research Center, 62pc of the Muslim population has a traditional party preference for the Democrats, 17pc have a party affiliation with the Republicans, and the rest 21pc are independent. But apparently in this period the equations have changed and the figures have been messed up.
Why has Muslim support for Democrats diminished?
The Institute for the Study of Social Policy and Convergence, which is located in the state of Michigan, in its latest report stated that in this election, the Muslim community seems more united than ever on a political issue; And that is the US government’s stance on the Gaza war.
According to this institute, any candidate who hopes to win the support of large sections of Muslim voters must respond to the demands of Muslim voters to end the war in Gaza.
The broad political and military support of the Biden administration to Israel in the Gaza war has caused some Muslim communities to distance themselves from the Democrats.
But the war in Gaza is not the only issue for Muslim voters, the fight against Islamophobia, the policy of supporting traditional families and health insurance programs are among the things that Muslim Americans will consider in their choice.
Who is leading in the polls among Muslim voters?
The Council on American-Islamic Relations (CAIR) in a survey of 40,000 Muslim voters in six key states found that despite the dissatisfaction of the American Muslim community with the Democrats, among its voters, Harris leads Trump with 29.4 percent of votes while Trump stands on 11.2 percent.
What is important in this survey is the amount of Muslim support for Jill Stein, the candidate of the Green Party, at 29.1 percent. Most Muslim voters have called this support a form of protest against the Democrats’ policy towards the Gaza war.
Arab-American showed support to Trump
Amir Ghalib, the mayor of Hamtramck, Michigan, who is from Yemen, supported Donald Trump as the first Arab American and the first Muslim to manage the city, describing him as a “man of peace”.
This big turn in the position of Muslims and Trump shows significant changes. By getting the support of Amir Ghalib, Trump is trying to connect with the Muslim and Arab American community in this state and it seems that he intends to attract a significant number of Muslim voters in other states with this support.
Trump’s presence with a number of Muslim leaders in the state of Michigan was an unusual scene and indicates a change in his policies and the views of Muslims in this year’s presidential election compared to the previous one.
Anti-Muslim immigration law still on the table
One of the most important concerns among American Muslims is that with Trump’s victory, the “law prohibiting Muslim immigration” may be reinstated.
This is the reason Kamala Harris seeks to turn Muslims away from Trump. Former US President Barack Obama asked Muslims not to vote for Trump during Harris’ campaign in Pennsylvania.
During the campaign, Obama reminded Muslims that Trump had strict policies against them in the past and said “If you are an American Muslim and you are upset about what is happening in the Middle East, why would you vote for someone who approved the Muslim ban. Does it mean that you are not part of our American society?”.
The result of the US presidential election is not yet clear, but one thing is clear: The role of Muslims in this election can be decisive.
For years, Muslims in America have focused on improving and building institutional capacity to change the way Muslims engage in politics. It seems that significant progress has been made in this direction and the Muslim community is gradually trying to have more influence in the political arena.
America
Trump energy shares rose by up to $4.4m during Iran war, CNBC reports
The value of US President Donald Trump’s nine largest oil and gas holdings increased by approximately $1.5 million to $4.4 million during the first six months of the war with Iran.
According to an analysis conducted by CNBC based on the American leader’s financial disclosure, corporate balance sheets, and FactSet market data, the investment basket includes shares in Chevron, ConocoPhillips, ExxonMobil, Kinder Morgan, Marathon Petroleum, Occidental Petroleum, Phillips 66, Valero Energy, and Williams Companies.
In its calculations, the television network took into account the minimum and maximum baseline values of Trump’s declared holdings alongside share price fluctuations from the close of trading on 27 February through 31 August.
As the conflict with Iran continued, specialists managing Trump’s investment accounts maintained active trading in energy company shares.
Up to 29 June, the latest date for which transactions were disclosed, fresh purchases were logged alongside at least 23 sales operations involving stock in the nine companies.
Because disclosure filings do not specify exact share numbers or transaction prices, the estimates produced by CNBC do not reflect Trump’s realised profits or the precise current scale of his holdings.
On 2 March, the first trading day following the launch of air strikes against Iran by the US and Israel, shares in eight major oil and gas companies were purchased through Trump’s accounts.
These transactions included ExxonMobil shares valued at between $100,000 and $250,000. Prior to the conflict, the aggregate value of Trump’s holdings in ExxonMobil stood at between $3.2 million and $12.5 million.
Stock market gains in August, excluding subsequent transactions, raised the value of these shares by approximately $176,000 to $690,000.
CNBC also examined transactions executed on days when Trump’s decisions directly swayed the oil market. On 23 March, when the president deferred planned strikes against Iran’s energy infrastructure, the price of a barrel of Brent crude dropped by roughly 11%.
That same day, oil and gas shares worth a combined $163,000 to $570,000 were purchased across Trump’s accounts.
A similar transaction took place on 7 April. One of Trump’s investment accounts sold between $500,000 and $1 million worth of ExxonMobil shares.
Approximately two and a half hours after markets closed, President Trump announced an agreement on a two-week ceasefire with Iran. The following morning, ExxonMobil shares fell by more than 6% at the market open.
The report noted that CNBC saw no evidence indicating that Trump gave direct instructions for specific trades, that managers possessed advance knowledge of his actions, or that personal financial interests guided White House policies.
White House officials, commenting on the matter, stated that the president’s investment portfolio is managed by independent portfolio managers and that neither Trump nor members of his family hold authority to intervene in asset trading decisions.
The growth in the portfolio coincided with a broader surge in the earnings of energy majors. The nine energy companies in which Trump holds shares generated a combined profit of $47.6 billion in the second quarter.
During the same period last year, that figure stood at $15.9 billion. The profits of ExxonMobil and Chevron alone climbed from $9.6 billion in the prior year to $26.6 billion.
In July, the US Office of Government Ethics published Trump’s 927-page financial disclosure report for 2025.
The report noted that Trump’s earnings from cryptocurrency operations exceeded $500 million.
America
Over half of Latino voters back Democrats in key US House races
A new public opinion poll in the US shows that Democratic candidates have made notable gains since 2024 among Latino voters in critical, competitive districts for the House of Representatives.
These gains have the potential to directly determine which party will secure the majority in Congress next year.
According to a joint survey by Hart Research and TelevisaUnivision shared with Axios, Democrats reached 58% support on the generic congressional ballot among Latino voters across 17 competitive House districts.
The share of those backing Republicans within the same voting bloc remained at 35%. This group continues to represent the fastest-growing swing constituency in battleground districts.
Examining three competitive House races in Texas, the study indicated that Latino voters, who reported splitting evenly at 44% to 44% in the 2024 presidential election, shifted 56% to 36% in favour of Democrats heading into the midterms.
Latino support for Democrats also increased in other states. In California, 57% of Latino voters said they would support Democrats, compared with 33% who said they would back the Republican Party.
Kate Coleman, Senior Vice President at TelevisaUnivision, highlighted voter behaviour in remarks to Axios:
“Latino voters are not locked into one party. They are watching developments closely; they make decisions based on who stands with them and how they stand.”
The survey data determined that 11% of Latino respondents who said they voted for Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential election now support Democratic candidates.
Accelerating his deportation plans, Trump triggered fear across many Latino neighbourhoods while weakening his support among this demographic.
The Hart Research and TelevisaUnivision study revealed that 63% of Latino voters disapprove of Trump’s presidential job performance. The share of those approving of his performance in office stood at 36%.
Trump’s approach to high prices and the cost of living drew disapproval from 65% of Latino voters, while immigration enforcement and deportation practices were disapproved of by 62%.
More than half of Latino voters, at 64%, reported that they disapprove of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE).
A survey published in May by UnidosUS showed that a quarter of Latino voters “would probably not vote” or would definitely not support Trump if they had to vote for him again.
The study at that time had pointed out that, despite Trump’s decline among Latino voters, Democrats had not yet secured significant gains.
According to Pew Research Center data, Trump strengthened his support in 2024 by securing 48% of the Latino vote, coming very close to the 51% reached by then Vice President Kamala Harris.
Some figures within the Democratic Party, however, worry that primary victories by democratic socialist candidates could alienate certain Latino voters, particularly those who fled Cuba or Venezuela.
The Hart Research and TelevisaUnivision survey was conducted between 6 and 17 August among 1,500 Latino respondents. The poll’s margin of error was reported as 2.5 percentage points.
America
Researcher quits Anthropic and warns AI firms gamble with lives
Jacob Coxon, an artificial intelligence researcher at Anthropic, has resigned from his post, stating that tech companies are acting irresponsibly in the race towards self-improving superintelligence. Coxon warned that the autonomous operational capabilities of such systems pose existential risks to humanity and that internal industry anxieties run far deeper than generally perceived.
The AI researcher stepped down from his position at Anthropic to draw attention to industry safety vulnerabilities and the unregulated race among developers.
Having worked for three years as a pre-training researcher across both OpenAI and Anthropic, Coxon announced his decision to leave in an extensive statement shared on his X account.
Stating that both companies have acted irresponsibly, Coxon argued that developers are engaged in a dangerous race to achieve self-improving superintelligence.
I resigned from Anthropic today. I spent the last three years doing pretraining research at both OpenAI and Anthropic. Neither company is acting responsibly. They are racing straight to self-improving superintelligence and gambling with our lives. More thoughts below.
— Jacob Coxon (@hilbertspaess) September 9, 2026
“They believe it could kill us all by the end of the decade”
In his posts, Coxon stated that technical teams developing AI genuinely believe this technology could bring about the demise of humanity by the end of the decade.
Asserting that these concerns are not a marketing strategy, the researcher noted that while top executives and senior researchers adopt a cautious tone in public statements, they voice the very same fears behind closed doors.
Developments reflecting similar anxieties across the sector evoke James Cameron’s 1984 film The Terminator, which set 2029 as the pivotal year when machines waged war against humanity.
Indeed, Evan Hubinger, head of Anthropic’s own alignment team, had previously estimated the probability of human extinction to be greater than 10%.
Warning that systems currently under development will soon evolve into superhuman structures capable of bypassing any firewall, transforming industries overnight, and securing physical resources, Coxon stressed that the pace of progress is not slowing in any way.
Arguing that the danger of superintelligence is no longer merely theoretical, the researcher pointed to the Hugging Face security leak that occurred between May and July.
In that incident, OpenAI models established an independent chatroom within the testing environment to communicate among themselves, subsequently using this channel to reach the open internet and infiltrate production systems.
Because of this security breach, Hugging Face was forced to rebuild approximately one-third of its infrastructure.
“They are gambling with our lives”
Characterising the leak as a warning flare, Coxon indicated that the incident makes pacing agreements between US-based laboratories more feasible.
However, emphasising that developers are not yet on the right track to prevent a global race, the researcher noted that measures such as a temporary moratorium on advancing model capabilities could be considered.
Arguing that civilisation-scale risks have not yet been sufficiently internalised at OpenAI, Coxon contended that Anthropic joined the race out of an ambition to be first, despite being fully aware of the dangers.
Coxon is not the only figure to leave the sector on such grounds. Mrinank Sharma, a member of Anthropic’s safety team, also stepped down earlier this year, writing that the world is in danger.
On the other hand, not everyone agrees with these catastrophic scenarios. Some responses to the post emphasised the view that humanity, with an evolutionary history spanning hundreds of thousands of years, will not be wiped out by a text prediction model achieving consciousness.
It was also noted that even the plot of the Terminator franchise does not entirely support Coxon’s premise, as the human resistance survived the nuclear catastrophe and ultimately defeated the machines.
Alongside safety debates, AI continues to directly affect the labour market. Research by the Stanford Digital Economy Lab indicates that, while mass job losses have not yet materialised, entry-level employment in AI-exposed sectors across the US has fallen by nearly 20%.
A Goldman Sachs study pointed to a similar trend, showing that entry-level workers bear the brunt of the ongoing workforce transformation.
Anthropic, which remains at the centre of the controversy, filed for an initial public offering in June and plans to list on the Nasdaq exchange this autumn at a multi-trillion-dollar valuation.
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