Middle East
Ankara ‘tolerates’ harsh statements of Damascus
Foreign Minister Mevlüt Çavoğlu will go to the United States tomorrow ahead of a meeting between foreign ministers of Turkey and Syria, scheduled at the end of January or the beginning of February within the scope of the Ankara-Damascus normalization process. Regarding Damascus’s accusation of Turkey’s being an “occupier,” AK Party Spokesperson Ömer Çelik stated, “Some radical phrases are uttered, and presumptuous sentences are also uttered, but the line of diplomacy must be kept intact, and the channels of collaboration must be kept intact.”
Efforts continue on the diplomatic front to lead up to a meeting between President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Syrian President Bashar Assad. Çavuşoğlu will meet with the foreign ministers of the other two actors in Syria, the United States, and Iran, as part of the normalization process. With Ankara’s request, the Turkish-Syrian dialogue began through Moscow’s mediation and advanced with the meeting of the two countries’ defense ministers. Although the United States declared it is against Turkey’s efforts to thaw ties with Syria, Iran has voiced its support for the normalization between Ankara and Damascus.
Received by Assad in Damascus last Friday, Iran’s Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian will meet with Çavuşoğlu in Ankara. In his meeting with Assad, the Iranian minister said, “any dialogue between Syria and Turkey, if serious, is a positive step for the benefit of both countries and the region.” During the meeting, the Syrian president remarked, “the basis of all the attitudes of the Syrian state is always to protect the interests of the Syrian people, and Syria would not go forward in dialogue with Turkey unless it aims at ending the occupation and halting support for terrorist organizations.” Assad also briefed Putin’s Special Representative for Syria, Aleksandr Lavrentyev, during his time in Damascus, stating that “in order for the meetings with the Turkish side to be fruitful,” it must be based on the end of “the occupation,” i.e., Turkey’s military presence in northern Syria.
“Terrorist groups, not Turkey, pose the threat”
The attitude of Damascus and the expected meeting of the two countries’ foreign ministers were asked last night to the AK Party Deputy Chairman and Spokesperson Ömer Çelik. “Some work on steps with Syria is almost completed,” said Çelik, adding, “When these are finalized, the foreign ministers will meet. I want to say to our interlocutors in Syria, ‘The main threat to them is terrorist organizations. The Republic of Turkey is not a threat to them.’ We defend Syria’s territorial integrity in the strongest possible way. What we desire in Syria is no conflict, no bloodshed, no small terror statelets established by the terrorist organizations, and that the Syrian people see their own future through a political solution within the scope of the constitutional process. It is not Turkey that threatens Syria’s territorial integrity; it is terrorist organizations. Turkey carried out this intervention when those terrorist organizations settled in Syria and began to threaten the national security of the Republic of Turkey. All our interventions are legal. What needs to be done today is: Advance these political negotiations, as well as implement joint mechanisms with Syria to clear Syrian territory of terrorist groups. We have the required experience in this whole process. Some radical phrases are uttered, and presumptuous sentences are also uttered, but the line of diplomacy must be kept intact, and the channels of collaboration must be kept intact. Our will is in that direction. Turkey is not an occupier there.”
“Damascus does not have the means to crush the YPG”
Presidential Spokesperson İbrahim Kalın told a group of international media representatives, in response to a question regarding Damascus’s attitude, that the operation in Syria is possible at any time. Mazloum Kobani, the leader of the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), a branch of the PKK/YPG, also stated that they take Turkey’s “threats” seriously. “We expect an attack in February,” he told Amberin Zaman of Al-Monitor and added, “The town of Kobani is a likely target because of its symbolic meaning for Kurds world over. Turkey is heading for elections, and we are aware that President Erdogan wants to rally nationalist support and he appears to believe that attacking Rojava again can serve this purpose.”
“The United States showed itself to be against any military operation by Turkey, but America’s efforts are falling short,” he stated, “they need to do more.” Pointing out that Russia is trying to solve existing problems in Syria by bringing Turkey and the Syrian regime around the same table, Kobani does not believe such attempts can succeed because the Syrian regime will, according to him, never compromise on its own demands, which are Turkey’s withdrawal of all its troops from Syrian soil and that of its support for the armed Sunni opposition groups. Kobani, on the other hand, is confident that the Syrian regime would yield to Turkey’s demands to “crush” the PKK/YPG, for Damascus neither has the means to do this nor are circumstances favorable to any such plans.
Middle East
US waives human rights terms on $320m military aid to Egypt
The US State Department stated that it has waived human rights conditions on more than $300 million in military aid to Egypt.
The statement emphasised that this decision was taken in consideration of Cairo’s “helpful role” since the outbreak of the war against Iran.
Egypt began receiving substantial support from the US after signing a peace treaty with Israel in 1979.
Since the late 1980s, the country has received approximately $1.3 billion annually in US military assistance.
A portion of this aid is subject to conditions related to human rights and democracy, which can be waived on national security grounds.
Withholding funds, including during the administration of former US President Joe Biden, has caused tension between Cairo and Washington in the past.
A letter dated 21 September and addressed to various congressional committees, obtained by Reuters, stated that Secretary of State Marco Rubio “decided to waive the certification requirement under the fiscal year 2025 Foreign Military Financing programme for Egypt of $320 million.”
This waiver was subsequently confirmed by the State Department.
An accompanying memorandum justifying the decision stated that this portion of military aid was “essential for counterterrorism, border security, or non-proliferation programmes, or otherwise important to the national security interests of the United States.”
The memorandum, dated 4 September and bearing Rubio’s signature, stated: “Exercising this waiver authority is critical to the US-Egypt relationship and to US national security priorities, particularly given the helpful role Egypt has played in the aftermath of Operation Epic Fury.”
“Operation Epic Fury” is the designation used by the US military for the campaign launched jointly with Israel against Iran in late February.
The State Department memorandum, whose authenticity was confirmed by two sources in Washington familiar with the letter, did not provide detailed information regarding what was termed Egypt’s “helpful role”.
The State Department’s annual decision on military aid to Egypt typically covers funds allocated for the preceding fiscal year, which ends on 30 September.
A State Department spokesperson stated that Rubio waived the certification in the interest of US national security and that the US continues to cooperate with the Egyptian government across a range of issues.
In an emailed statement, the spokesperson said: “This waiver recognizes the importance of maintaining security cooperation with Egypt at a time of significant security challenges in the region.”
The Egyptian Ministry of Foreign Affairs did not immediately comment on the matter.
The spillover effects of the Iran war have imposed a heavy toll on US security partners, including Egypt.
Owing to rising fuel prices and other disruptions, the Egyptian economy is passing through a difficult period.
Under the Biden administration, the US withheld portions of the annual military allocation on multiple occasions over Egypt’s human rights record.
In 2024, following the Hamas-led 7 October attack on Israel and the subsequent war in Gaza, the Biden administration set aside human rights conditions, disbursing the entire $1.3 billion allocation to Egypt for the first time in its tenure.
Human rights organisations have long accused Egypt, under the administration of President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, of widespread human rights abuses, including torture and enforced disappearances.
This week, Egyptian police detained six journalists from a fact-checking and investigative media outlet, accusing them of spreading false information on behalf of the banned Muslim Brotherhood.
Egyptian authorities state that they have taken steps to address human rights issues. Sisi said stability is paramount and that the government supports human rights by working to provide for basic needs.
Middle East
Britain expands curbs on arms exports to Israel over Gaza risks
Britain has significantly broadened its military export restrictions targeting Israel, suspending or rejecting more than 80 licences for items the IDF could use in Gaza.
This figure is nearly triple the number affected when the policy was first introduced in September 2024.
United Kingdom Minister of State for the Middle East Stephen Doughty said that as part of what he described as a “tighter system” for assessing exports to Israel, more than 50 further export applications have been refused since approximately 30 licences were initially suspended.
Under the initial decision taken in September 2024, 30 of roughly 350 licences were suspended after the British government concluded there was a “clear risk” that certain military exports could be used to commit or facilitate serious violations of international humanitarian law in Gaza.
The affected equipment included components for military aircraft, drones, naval systems, and targeting gear.
Doughty said additional measures adopted this month established what he termed a “double safeguard” mechanism within the approvals process.
Export applications must now be assessed both against existing international humanitarian law criteria and in light of Britain’s position on the legality of Israel’s presence in the Palestinian territories.
“We have so far suspended or refused more than 80 licences,” Doughty said, adding that he had personally examined each licence.
Despite the wider restrictions, British-origin parts entering the international F-35 fighter jet supply chain continue to be largely exempt.
The UK government argues that preventing British-made components from entering the global F-35 pool could undermine the programme as a whole and have serious consequences for the security of the UK and its allies.
Direct exports of F-35 parts intended specifically for Israel remain suspended.
Doughty defended maintaining the supply of components via the international programme, arguing that halting it could have severe ramifications for the broader European and allied security architecture.
Foreign Affairs Committee Chair Emily Thornberry challenged this position, arguing that the issue was political rather than purely legal.
Thornberry suggested adopting an approach similar to the Dutch model, under which components entering the international supply chain could be flagged as “not intended for aircraft bound for Israel”.
The initial suspension was implemented in September 2024 by then Foreign Secretary David Lammy.
Lammy stressed at the time that the measure did not constitute an arms embargo and applied solely to items assessed as usable in military operations in Gaza.
Since then, the policy has been tightened further under Prime Minister Andy Burnham.
The expanded export restrictions follow the Burnham government’s adoption of a more confrontational policy toward the Israeli government.
Foreign Secretary Ed Miliband drew sustained applause at the Labour Party’s annual conference in Liverpool after delivering a sharp critique of the Netanyahu government’s policies and defending the decision to ban trade with Israeli settlements in the West Bank.
Accusing Israel of committing war crimes in Gaza, Miliband stated that the British government heard public outrage over the conflict, telling delegates: “We hear you. You were right.”
Middle East
Netanyahu holds secret UAE talks with Saudi Arabia and Arab officials
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu met with representatives of Gulf and Arab nations that lack diplomatic ties with Israel, including Saudi Arabia, during his weekend visit to the United Arab Emirates.
Sources close to the gathering told the Israeli newspaper Yedioth Ahronoth on Monday that representatives from Morocco, Libya, Jordan, and Qatar also took part in the meeting.
Netanyahu made a unannounced visit to Abu Dhabi on Sunday, where he met with the country’s leader, Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan.
According to Israeli media, this marked the first time the United Arab Emirates officially confirmed a visit by Netanyahu.
The meeting was arranged by Mossad Director Roman Goffman “at the request of Saudi Arabia, which asked for Israel’s assistance against Houthi attacks in the Red Sea region,” according to Yedioth Ahronoth.
The discussions addressed Iran and the Houthi militia. The newspaper added that the Arab states heard from Israel that “Israel is prepared to assist countries in the region with air defence systems, just as it aided the UAE during the conflict with Iran.”
Conflict in Yemen intensified in September when Ansarullah militiamen launched a rapid offensive that seized Yemen’s entire Red Sea coastline, including the vital maritime corridor of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.
The Yemeni resistance also imposed a blockade on Saudi Arabia’s energy exports and staged multiple attacks against the kingdom.
Saudi Arabia reportedly sought military assistance from the US to counter Ansarullah.
Washington declined to attack the Houthis directly, but announced that it would provide intelligence and targeting support.
Reporting on the same visit, The Jerusalem Post said Netanyahu spent six hours in the UAE and that the principal subject of his discussions with MBZ was Iran.
Citing sources familiar with the matter, the newspaper added that the trip came “after Netanyahu exerted heavy pressure on the United Arab Emirates to arrange a meeting ahead of the Israeli elections on 27 October.”
Separately, the Associated Press, citing a person with direct knowledge of the meeting, reported that Netanyahu’s visit to the UAE was arranged in part to ask MBZ to deny reports that he had warned the Israeli prime minister of an impending Hamas threat prior to 7 October 2023.
According to Israeli media, Netanyahu’s office denied the AP report, issuing the following statement:
“Fake news. The visit focused solely on strengthening ties between the two countries and on regional issues.”
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