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MIDDLE EAST

Concerns over Iran’s successful test-launched ballistic missile

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Iran has successfully launched a 2,000km-range (1,243m) ballistic missile days after its arch-enemy Israel called for more action to stop Iran from becoming a nuclear state.

Iran claimed that this missile has the capability to reach Israel and US bases in the region as Iran now becomes one of the biggest missile programs in the Middle East.

Iranian Deputy Defence Minister General Seyyed Mehdi Farahi said that the newly-unveiled “Khorramshahr-4” missile is capable of neutralizing enemy cyber-attacks, claiming that countering the missile is not possible.

Speaking in an IRIB TV program, Farahi said that Iran in the last 40 years has achieved many successes under the pressures and sanctions. “We developed many missiles and defense systems in the span of time and the Khorramshahr-4 missile is one of them.”

A day earlier, Iranian Defense Minister Mohammadreza Ashtiani said that this missile has the ability to evade radar detection and penetrate enemy air defense systems.

He called the successful launch of the missile in the interest of peace and regional stability, and emphasized that they will defend from Iran and its achievements.

“This is the most capable missile that so far Iran has made,” said Farahi, claiming that Tehran has the capability to produce missiles with a range of more than 2,000 kilometers.

There are some concerns

Iran has made it clear that developing such missiles are an important deterrent and retaliatory force against the US, and Israel in the region. Israel is utterly not happy with such a missile test and on Tuesday a top Israeli general raised the prospect of “action” against Iran to revive the country’s stalled 2015 nuclear deal.

The negotiations have been frozen since last September and Iran claimed the US is not interested in the talk but the West says Tehran’s has been accelerating nuclear advances.

But Iran denies the claim and also removed surveillance cameras and other monitoring equipment at nuclear sites that were put in place under a 2015 nuclear agreement between Iran and six world powers.

Iran took the decision last year as the deal unraveled following the US withdrawal in 2018.

The then US President Donald Trump withdrew from the Iran nuclear agreement in 2018, causing Iran to intensify nuclear activities. It was agreed in the agreement that the US will remove sanctions on Iran and in return Tehran will stop enriching its nuclear program.

US and France express worrisome on Iran’s missile test

The US and France accused Iran of violating a UN Security Council resolution endorsing the 2015 nuclear deal after it successfully test-launched the ballistic missile.

French Foreign Ministry spokesperson Anne-Claire Legendre said that such tests “are all the more worrying in the context of the continuing escalation of Iran’s nuclear program.”

A handout picture from Iran’s Defense Ministry shows a 4th generation Khorramshahr ballistic missile being launched in Iran, May 25, 2023.

During her daily briefing, Legendre added that Iran’s activities pose serious and increased non-proliferation risks without any credible civilian justification

US State Department spokesperson Matthew Miller also came up with a similar remake and said that Iran’s “development and proliferation of ballistic missiles poses a serious threat to regional and international security.”

“Despite the restrictions on Iran’s missile-related activities under UN Security Council Resolution 2231, Iran continues to seek a range of missile technologies from foreign suppliers and to conduct ballistic missile tests in defiance of the resolution,” Miller added.

He furthered, “an Iran with a nuclear weapon would likely act even more provocatively, and that’s why we are so committed to preventing Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon.”

Why this missile test is more in spotlight

The US, France and Israel are the countries that immediately reacted to Iran’s missile launch. This time it’s not about Israel alone, but also about the safety of Europe as Iran has been accused of supplying Russia with armed drones and missiles. Russian media somehow herald the success of this missile test.

This comes as the Ukrainian president had recently called on Iran to stop supplying Moscow with drones, a remark which earned harsh criticism.

Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Nasser Kanaani blasted the accusations made by Volodymyr Zelensky, calling them “a worthless political show” aimed at provoking the US and certain European states to supply Kiev with more military equipment. Kanaani added that Iran has always expressed its opposition to the war in Ukraine.

Iran had repeatedly denied supplying any drones to Russia, but Tehran admitted it had provided a small number before the Ukraine-Russia war began.

Zelensky said that drones helped a lot Russia against Ukraine, however, Iran asked for a thorough probe into the matter.

Last November, Tehran wanted to have a meeting with Ukrainian military officials to revise their findings regarding the drones, but at the last minute, Kieve canceled the schedule.

MIDDLE EAST

‘Turkey-Syria negotiations to be held in Baghdad’

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The Syrian daily al-Watan reports that the first round of talks between Syria and Turkey to normalise bilateral relations will take place in Baghdad.

Turkish and Syrian officials are expected to meet in the Iraqi capital Baghdad to restore diplomatic relations between Syria and Turkey, which were severed more than 12 years ago, after President Erdogan said there was “no reason not to meet with Syria”.

Press TV quoted an unnamed official as saying that the meeting would be the first step in a long process of negotiations leading to a political agreement, al-Watan reported.

According to the sources, Ankara has asked Moscow and Baghdad to pave the way for Turkish diplomats to sit at the negotiating table with the Syrian side without a third party. They also asked that the meetings be closed to the press.

Al-Watan noted that the Turkish-Syrian rapprochement and the initiative to restore diplomatic relations have received wide support from Arab countries, especially Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, as well as Russia, China and Iran.

Mutual statements

President Erdoğan said on Friday: “There is no reason not to re-establish diplomatic relations with Syria. We can do it again as we did in the past. We have no intention of interfering in Syria’s internal affairs. As you know, there is no reason why we should not re-establish diplomatic relations with Mr Assad, as we did in the past, down to family meetings”.

During a meeting with Russia’s special envoy to Syria, Aleksander Lavrentiev, in Damascus on 26 June, Syrian leader Assad said he was open to initiatives to normalise relations with Turkey.

“Syria is open to all attempts to normalise Syrian-Turkish relations on the basis of respect for the sovereignty and territorial integrity of the Syrian state and within the framework of the fight against all forms of terrorism,” SANA quoted Assad as saying.

New mediator Iraq

While Turkish-Iraqi relations are developing positively, Baghdad’s mediation role in the normalisation of Turkish-Syrian relations is attracting attention. On 31 May, during a visit to Turkey, Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shiya al-Sudani said that he was working on reconciliation between Ankara and Damascus. Asked if he had spoken to Erdogan or Assad about this issue, Sudani replied: “Certainly, negotiations on this issue are continuing. And God willing, there will be some steps in this regard soon”.

In June, an Iraqi government source told Iraqi media that Baghdad would soon host officials from both countries in Baghdad as part of efforts to reconcile Syria and Turkey.

What happened?

Turkey severed all diplomatic ties with Syria in 2012 following the outbreak of war in 2011 and supported armed opposition groups in the northwest of the country.

Since 2016, Turkish forces have carried out a series of military operations and established a ‘safe zone’ in the north of the country, claiming that terrorist organisations such as PKK-ISIS threaten Turkey’s security.

The normalisation of relations between Ankara and Damascus began on 28 December 2022 with a Russian-mediated meeting between the Turkish and Syrian defence ministers in Moscow, the highest-level meeting between the two sides since 2011.

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MIDDLE EAST

Imran Khan accuses Pakistan army chief of cover-up of assassination plot against him

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Former Pakistani prime minister Imran Khan has stepped up his criticism of Pakistani army chief Asim Munir’s attempt to seize political power from his prison cell, The Intercept reports, citing several sources close to Khan.

The report also contains new allegations about Khan’s history with Munir. According to those in contact with the detained prime minister, Khan is making new allegations that he violated an agreement to remain neutral in Pakistani politics in exchange for accepting Munir’s appointment as army chief.

The deposed prime minister also claims that Munir conspired with his civilian political rivals, including former prime minister Nawaz Sharif, to work against him in exchange for dropping corruption charges that forced Sharif into exile.

According to the report, the escalating personal conflict between Khan and Munir is also an important part of the dialogue. Khan alleges that Munir ordered agents of Pakistan’s notorious Inter-Services Intelligence to kill him, and that the general covered up the assassination attempts by suppressing a police investigation and hiding CCTV footage.

While Khan’s fate remains the biggest unanswered question in the country’s politics, prison communiqués allegedly show that the situation was fuelled by animosity between Khan and Munir.

Khan’s allegations against Munir were shared with The Intercept by a number of sources close to him, who requested anonymity to protect their safety.

The correspondence allegedly includes surveillance footage and other evidence that Munir hatched a plan to have Khan killed in a raucous courtroom on 18 March 2023.

According to sources close to the former prime minister, Khan accused Munir of covering up the plot against him.

Among Khan’s supporters who believe his personal safety is at risk are Pakistani-Americans who recently lobbied Senator Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) to contact the Pakistani government about his safety.

As well as accusing Munir of betraying his trust and plotting to kill him, Khan has repeatedly claimed from prison that the general is leading the country towards a repeat of the traumatic partition of 1971.

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MIDDLE EAST

Israeli, Arab generals hold secret meeting

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Israeli Chief of Staff Hayzi Halevi met with his counterparts from various Arab armies in Bahrain to discuss regional security cooperation, two sources with direct knowledge of the meeting told Axios.

The meeting, which took place under the auspices of the US Central Command (CENTCOM), was not made public due to sensitivities surrounding the war in Gaza.

The meeting, which took place in Manama on Monday, was attended by CENTCOM commander Michael Erik Kurilla and Halevi, as well as senior generals from Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Jordan and Egypt.

According to Barak Ravid’s report, the meeting was a sign that military dialogue and cooperation between Israel and the Arab countries continues under the umbrella of CENTCOM, despite harsh public criticism of Israel’s military operations in Gaza.

The IDF and CENTCOM did not comment on the meeting.

CENTCOM and the Pentagon have recently sought to increase air defence cooperation with regional militaries.

The US success in countering Iran’s unprecedented missile and drone attack on Israel on 13 April is seen as a result of this work.

US officials say that cooperation with Israel and Arab countries in the region allows them to gather intelligence and receive early warning of an attack. This cooperation includes the active involvement of Jordan and Saudi Arabia in intercepting missiles and drones that pass through their airspace after being fired at Israel from Iran, Iraq and Yemen, they said.

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