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MIDDLE EAST

Concerns over Iran’s successful test-launched ballistic missile

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Iran has successfully launched a 2,000km-range (1,243m) ballistic missile days after its arch-enemy Israel called for more action to stop Iran from becoming a nuclear state.

Iran claimed that this missile has the capability to reach Israel and US bases in the region as Iran now becomes one of the biggest missile programs in the Middle East.

Iranian Deputy Defence Minister General Seyyed Mehdi Farahi said that the newly-unveiled “Khorramshahr-4” missile is capable of neutralizing enemy cyber-attacks, claiming that countering the missile is not possible.

Speaking in an IRIB TV program, Farahi said that Iran in the last 40 years has achieved many successes under the pressures and sanctions. “We developed many missiles and defense systems in the span of time and the Khorramshahr-4 missile is one of them.”

A day earlier, Iranian Defense Minister Mohammadreza Ashtiani said that this missile has the ability to evade radar detection and penetrate enemy air defense systems.

He called the successful launch of the missile in the interest of peace and regional stability, and emphasized that they will defend from Iran and its achievements.

“This is the most capable missile that so far Iran has made,” said Farahi, claiming that Tehran has the capability to produce missiles with a range of more than 2,000 kilometers.

There are some concerns

Iran has made it clear that developing such missiles are an important deterrent and retaliatory force against the US, and Israel in the region. Israel is utterly not happy with such a missile test and on Tuesday a top Israeli general raised the prospect of “action” against Iran to revive the country’s stalled 2015 nuclear deal.

The negotiations have been frozen since last September and Iran claimed the US is not interested in the talk but the West says Tehran’s has been accelerating nuclear advances.

But Iran denies the claim and also removed surveillance cameras and other monitoring equipment at nuclear sites that were put in place under a 2015 nuclear agreement between Iran and six world powers.

Iran took the decision last year as the deal unraveled following the US withdrawal in 2018.

The then US President Donald Trump withdrew from the Iran nuclear agreement in 2018, causing Iran to intensify nuclear activities. It was agreed in the agreement that the US will remove sanctions on Iran and in return Tehran will stop enriching its nuclear program.

US and France express worrisome on Iran’s missile test

The US and France accused Iran of violating a UN Security Council resolution endorsing the 2015 nuclear deal after it successfully test-launched the ballistic missile.

French Foreign Ministry spokesperson Anne-Claire Legendre said that such tests “are all the more worrying in the context of the continuing escalation of Iran’s nuclear program.”

A handout picture from Iran’s Defense Ministry shows a 4th generation Khorramshahr ballistic missile being launched in Iran, May 25, 2023.

During her daily briefing, Legendre added that Iran’s activities pose serious and increased non-proliferation risks without any credible civilian justification

US State Department spokesperson Matthew Miller also came up with a similar remake and said that Iran’s “development and proliferation of ballistic missiles poses a serious threat to regional and international security.”

“Despite the restrictions on Iran’s missile-related activities under UN Security Council Resolution 2231, Iran continues to seek a range of missile technologies from foreign suppliers and to conduct ballistic missile tests in defiance of the resolution,” Miller added.

He furthered, “an Iran with a nuclear weapon would likely act even more provocatively, and that’s why we are so committed to preventing Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon.”

Why this missile test is more in spotlight

The US, France and Israel are the countries that immediately reacted to Iran’s missile launch. This time it’s not about Israel alone, but also about the safety of Europe as Iran has been accused of supplying Russia with armed drones and missiles. Russian media somehow herald the success of this missile test.

This comes as the Ukrainian president had recently called on Iran to stop supplying Moscow with drones, a remark which earned harsh criticism.

Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Nasser Kanaani blasted the accusations made by Volodymyr Zelensky, calling them “a worthless political show” aimed at provoking the US and certain European states to supply Kiev with more military equipment. Kanaani added that Iran has always expressed its opposition to the war in Ukraine.

Iran had repeatedly denied supplying any drones to Russia, but Tehran admitted it had provided a small number before the Ukraine-Russia war began.

Zelensky said that drones helped a lot Russia against Ukraine, however, Iran asked for a thorough probe into the matter.

Last November, Tehran wanted to have a meeting with Ukrainian military officials to revise their findings regarding the drones, but at the last minute, Kieve canceled the schedule.

MIDDLE EAST

Türkiye to double electricity exports to Iraq, reaching 600 MW

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Türkiye is set to double its electricity exports to Iraq, raising the capacity to 600 megawatts. As summer approaches, the Baghdad administration is seeking alternative energy sources to replace those from Iran, which is currently under US sanctions.

The Iraqi Ministry of Electricity announced on Sunday that “All necessary logistical and infrastructure preparations have been completed to increase the electricity supply capacity via the Iraq-Türkiye interconnection line to 600 megawatts.”

During a visit to Iraq, Minister of Energy and Natural Resources Alparslan Bayraktar met with various officials, including Iraqi Minister of Electricity Ziyad Ali Fadel. The Iraqi Ministry of Electricity stated that Bayraktar confirmed the electricity supply would increase “in the coming months.”

The National reported that in July of last year, Baghdad and Ankara inaugurated the electricity line, which currently supplies 300 MW of electricity to Iraq.

Under the “maximum pressure” campaign against Iran initiated by US President Donald Trump, Washington revoked the waiver last week that permitted Iraq to import energy from Iran.

Despite being the second-largest producer in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), Iraq struggles to meet its electricity demand due to decades of war, mismanagement, and corruption. Former Iraqi Prime Minister Mustafa Kazimi said in 2020 that the country had spent at least $60 billion on the electricity sector since the US-led invasion in 2003.

Baghdad sources approximately one-third of its electricity from Iran. Iraq buys 50 million cubic meters of natural gas and 500 megawatts of electricity daily from Iran. Iraqi officials have stated that US sanctions will only impact electricity imports.

Since 2018, Washington has granted waivers allowing Iraq to import energy from Iran for specific periods, typically ranging from 45 to 120 days. However, the US seeks to reduce Iraq’s reliance on Iran and continues to apply pressure to achieve this.

Iraq has taken steps in recent years to develop its natural gas resources and address the deficit in the electricity sector. According to the Iraqi Ministry of Oil, the country’s natural gas reserves are approximately 3.714 billion cubic meters.

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MIDDLE EAST

New Syrian constitution draft sparks controversy over Islamic law

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Ahmed Shara, the leader of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) administration in Syria, signed a declaration outlining the basic provisions of the interim constitution. The de facto administration in northern Syria, led by the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDG) which signed an agreement with HTS earlier this week, rejected the articles in the draft constitution, stating that they are “identical to the laws on which the Ba’ath regime is based.”

In a statement made on behalf of the de facto administration, which calls itself the “Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria” under the leadership of the SDG, it was stated, “Months after the fall of the Ba’ath regime and despite the joy of the Syrian people who rebelled against this regime and its oppressive practices, a ‘Draft Constitution’ declaration was published in Damascus.”

The statement claimed that the articles in the draft constitution are “identical to the laws on which the Ba’ath regime is based” and are “far from the reality and diversity of Syria.”

It was stated that the draft constitution excludes the main components of Syria’s national structure, including Kurds, Arabs, Assyrians, and other ethnic and religious groups, and that they reject and condemn the draft in its current form.

“This so-called constitutional framework does not reflect the demands of the Syrian people and its various communities,” the statement said. “The Syrian people revolted against such practices, and a return to this outdated approach will further deepen the nation’s wounds.”

The statement continued: “The correct constitution that should be in place is one prepared and agreed upon by all communities. We hope that some exclusive, narrow-minded views and thoughts do not take us back to square one. Only in this way can it serve as the foundation for a sustainable democratic future in Syria.”

An agreement was reached between the HTS administration and the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDG) on Monday, March 10. The agreement, signed between Ahmed Shara, the leader of the HTS administration, and Mazlum Abdi, the leader of the SDG, envisioned the integration of the SDG into Syrian state institutions.

Yesterday, three days after the agreement with the SDG, Shara signed a 53-article declaration outlining the basic provisions of the interim constitution. According to the declaration, the constitution includes the article, “The religion of the President is Islam, and Islamic law (fiqh) is the main source of legislation.”

The constitution, which envisages a five-year transition period, grants Shara, who is declared the “interim President,” executive power, the authority to appoint one-third of the legislative body, and the power to appoint judges to the constitutional court. Shara will also have the power to declare a state of emergency. Additionally, all political party activities in the country are suspended until the political parties law comes into effect.

According to Anadolu Agency, the highlights of the interim constitutional declaration are as follows:

– Article 1: The Syrian Arab Republic is a fully independent and sovereign state. Its geographical and political unity is indivisible, and no part of it can be relinquished.

– Article 2: The religion of the President is Islam, and Islamic law (fiqh) is the main source of legislation. Freedom of belief is guaranteed. The state respects all heavenly religions and guarantees freedom of worship. However, this freedom must not violate public order.

– Article 6: All citizens have equal rights and obligations before the law. Discrimination based on race, religion, gender, or lineage is prohibited.

– Article 7: The personal status of religious communities is protected and applied in accordance with their beliefs and Sharia. It is regulated within the framework of existing laws.

– Article 8: The state regulates the national economy based on social justice, free competition, and the prevention of monopolies. It supports production sectors, encourages investment, and protects investors to strengthen sustainable development.

– Article 13: The state guarantees freedom of expression, thought, press, publication, and media. These rights are regulated by law to protect public order and respect the rights of others.

– Article 14: The state recognizes the right to political participation and the freedom to form parties based on national foundations. A commission will be formed to prepare the party law, and party activities will be suspended until this law comes into effect.

– Article 15: The state commits to protecting human rights and fundamental freedoms in accordance with international conventions and humanitarian norms.

– Article 16: The state protects the family as the foundation of society and commits to supporting motherhood and childhood.

– Article 17: The state commits to protecting the social status and active role of women and protecting them from all forms of violence and discrimination.

– Article 18: The state commits to protecting children from abuse and mistreatment and ensuring their access to education and health services.

– Article 20: The People’s Assembly is appointed by the President and performs legislative duties until a permanent constitution is adopted and new parliamentary elections are held.

– Article 27: The President is the head of state, the commander-in-chief of the armed forces, and the highest authority responsible for the administration of the country.

– Article 35: The judiciary is independent. Judges are bound only by law and their conscience.

– Article 36: No crime or punishment can be applied without a legal regulation. Everyone is presumed innocent until proven guilty. Extraordinary courts cannot be established.

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MIDDLE EAST

US, Israel explore African locations for Palestinian resettlement from Gaza

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According to a report by the Associated Press (AP), based on US and Israeli officials, the US and Israel have contacted officials from three East African countries to resettle Palestinians displaced from Gaza, within the framework of Trump’s proposed plan for the post-war period.

According to the AP, the discussions held with Sudan, Somalia, and Somaliland, which seceded from Somalia, demonstrate the determination of the US and Israel to implement this plan, which has sparked serious reactions and debates. The fact that these countries are impoverished and, in some cases, shaken by violence casts a shadow over Trump’s goal of resettling Palestinians in a “beautiful area,” according to the AP.

Sudanese officials stated that they rejected the proposals from the US, while officials from Somalia and Somaliland told the AP they were unaware of any contacts.

Two Sudanese officials confirmed that the Trump administration approached the government about accepting Palestinians. One of the officials said that the contacts began before Trump took office, with offers of military assistance against the RSF, post-war reconstruction, and other incentives. Both officials said the Sudanese government rejected the idea. One official stated, “This proposal was immediately rejected. No one has brought up this issue again.”

According to Trump’s plan, more than 2 million Palestinians living in Gaza will be permanently relocated to other regions. The plan envisages the US taking control of Gaza, conducting a comprehensive cleansing process, and developing the area as a real estate project.

Previously seen as a fantasy of the Israeli far-right, this idea was described as a “bold vision” by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu after Trump raised it at a White House meeting last month.

Palestinians in Gaza rejected the proposal and did not accept Israel’s claims that migration would be voluntary. Arab countries also strongly opposed the plan, proposing an alternative reconstruction plan that envisions Palestinians remaining in the region. Human rights groups also state that forcing or pressuring Palestinians to migrate could constitute a potential war crime.

Despite this, the White House announced that it “stands behind Trump’s vision.”

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