Diplomacy
Details emerge of Trump peace plan demanding Ukraine cede Donbass
The US administration is working on a new peace plan that demands significant concessions from Kyiv to end the war in Ukraine.
According to information from sources familiar with the matter cited by the Financial Times and Axios, the draft, prepared with the participation of Steven Witkoff and Kirill Dmitriev, proposes that Ukraine cede the entire Luhansk and Donetsk regions (Donbass) to Russia and halve its military presence.
New borders on the ground
According to details published by Axios, the plan demands the withdrawal of the Ukrainian army from 14% of the Donbass territory it currently controls. The goal is to transform this area into a “demilitarized zone” where neither side will station soldiers or weapons.
In return, Moscow would freeze the front line in the Zaporizhzhia and Kherson regions and could agree to return some territories if negotiations progress successfully.
Under Trump’s plan, the US and other countries would recognize Crimea and Donbass as Russian territory.
Although Ukraine would not be formally required to recognize this situation, Kyiv would be required to accept Russian as a state language and lift restrictions on the activities of the Russian Orthodox Church.
The Financial Times reports that the plan includes banning certain types of weapons for the Ukrainian army, halting the supply of Western-made long-range missiles, and preventing the deployment of any foreign military forces on Ukrainian territory.
Kyiv is “concerned”
Financial Times correspondent Christopher Miller claims that Trump’s proposal is “tantamount to Ukraine’s surrender.”
A source speaking to Axios explained the logic of American officials: “Ukraine is going to lose Donbass anyway, so it’s in their interest to make the deal now.”
Officials in Kyiv find Trump’s proposal “unacceptable” in its current form. American officials have reportedly communicated the details of the plan to Rustem Umerov, the head of Ukraine’s National Security and Defense Council.
As part of the process, Steven Witkoff was scheduled to meet with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in Ankara. However, Zelenskyy canceled this meeting.
According to a Ukrainian source who spoke to Axios, Zelenskyy wants to discuss Trump’s plan with European leaders.
An American official stated that Zelenskyy brought his own plan to Ankara, which was agreed upon with EU countries, but that this plan would never be supported by Russia.
Who are the architects of the plan?
The Wall Street Journal wrote that US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, the President’s Special Representative Steven Witkoff, and Trump’s son-in-law, businessman Jared Kushner, are working on this new plan to resolve the conflict between Moscow and Kyiv. NBC confirmed that Vice President J.D. Vance is also involved.
According to published reports, this team has held consultations with Kirill Dmitriev, the Russian President’s Special Representative for International Cooperation. Dmitriev reportedly traveled to the US at the end of last month and discussed the concept with Witkoff.
WSJ sources note that the Trump administration is following an approach similar to the Gaza resolution process: preparing a comprehensive plan and then pressuring the conflicting parties to accept it.
The newspaper states that the work began after Trump instructed his aides to prepare new proposals that “contain incentives for both sides.”
For Russia, this incentive is defined as the resumption of economic relations with the West, and for Ukraine, it is reconstruction aid.
A senior American official told NBC, “The plan aims to provide security guarantees to both sides to achieve a lasting peace. It contains elements that Ukraine wants and needs.”
The official stated that the plan has been in development for several weeks and has received Trump’s approval.
According to the FT, Kyiv is demanding substantial changes to the plan. In a statement regarding the media reports, Volodymyr Zelenskyy signaled his readiness to cooperate with Washington, stating that “only Trump and the US have enough power to finally end the war.”
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov argued that there have been no “innovations” since the meeting between Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump in Alaska.
“No, in this case, there are no innovations in addition to what we call the ‘spirit of Anchorage’,” Peskov said.
Diplomacy
Greece’s Marinakis says paying Hormuz transit fees beats enduring Red Sea shipping crisis detour
Evangelos Marinakis, one of Greece’s leading shipowners, has announced that he is prepared to pay up to $200,000 per transit to keep the Strait of Hormuz open to civilian maritime traffic.
Speaking to the Financial Times, Marinakis stated that paying a transit fee would be a far better option for him than having the strait closed to navigation.
As the chairman of Capital Maritime Group, which controls a fleet of 185 vessels including approximately 35 tankers, Marinakis emphasized that shipowners have been forced to use alternative routes around the Cape of Good Hope for years due to attacks launched by the Houthis in the Red Sea, a detour that has generated substantial additional costs.
The Greek shipowner indicated that paying a transit fee of $100,000 or $200,000, depending on the size of the cargo or the vessel, is far more reasonable than enduring the current logistical challenges. He added that such payments could offset all the losses experienced so far.
Following US strikes on Iran and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, the Tehran administration had introduced transit fees of up to $2 million for certain vessels transiting the waterway.
In May, Iran announced the establishment of a state agency tasked with managing the Strait of Hormuz. It was stated that the institution in question would provide real-time updates regarding maritime activities in the waterway.
Ebrahim Azizi, the chairman of the Iranian Parliament’s National Security and Foreign Policy Commission, had noted that only commercial vessels and countries cooperating with Iran would be able to benefit from the facilities provided under this “professional mechanism.”
US President Donald Trump has explicitly opposed the imposition of transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz. In a statement on the matter, Trump said, “We want the strait to be open. We do not want any transit fees to be charged. This is an international waterway.”
On the other hand, the draft text of a planned 60-day ceasefire extension agreement between the parties stipulates that the Strait of Hormuz will remain open without any transit fees being demanded.
According to the draft details reviewed by Axios, the US in return commits to lifting the blockade it has imposed on Iranian ports. The Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, however, announced that the management of the Strait of Hormuz has been excluded from the scope of the agreement with the US, asserting that the issue will be addressed solely by littoral states.
Diplomacy
Pashinyan promises aid to farmers hit by Russian import restrictions
Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan has pledged compensation for Armenian farmers affected by restrictions on exports to Russia.
According to Sputnik Armenia, Pashinyan made the announcement during an election campaign meeting in the Gegharkunik region.
Speaking at the event, Pashinyan said the subsidies would be designed to offset losses incurred by producers.
The prime minister also acknowledged that some Armenian products had failed to meet required quality standards, adding that such companies would receive support aimed at improving product quality.
Addressing alternative markets for Armenian exports, Pashinyan said several Armenian business delegations were already engaged in negotiations abroad.
He added that Armenia had received offers for the purchase of roses as well as fresh fruits and vegetables.
Pashinyan argued that Armenia’s agricultural output was not particularly large, describing this as an advantage under current circumstances. According to the prime minister, “a respected supermarket chain in Europe” would be capable of selling the entire volume of these products on its own.
Russia’s Federal Service for Veterinary and Phytosanitary Surveillance (Rosselkhoznadzor) imposed temporary restrictions on imports of stone fruits and grapes from Armenia effective July 2.
The ban covers cherries, sour cherries, apricots, plums, peaches and nectarines, among other products.
On the same day, a temporary suspension was also introduced on certification procedures for live fish shipments from Armenia. Russian authorities had previously restricted the entry of flower products originating from Armenia into the Russian market.
In addition, Russia’s Federal Service for Surveillance on Consumer Rights Protection and Human Wellbeing (Rospotrebnadzor) halted the import of all consignments of Jermuk mineral water from Armenia.
In a statement, the agency said levels of bicarbonate, chloride and sulfate ions in the mineral water exceeded established limits and could mislead consumers regarding the product’s medicinal properties.
The Russian regulator argued that the growing number of violations stemmed from the abolition of Armenia’s Agriculture Ministry and the transfer of its responsibilities to the Economy Ministry.
Rosselkhoznadzor further stated that Armenia’s Economy Ministry was experiencing structural problems and was unable to adequately perform the supervisory functions assigned to it.
Diplomacy
Zelenskyy urges US to grant Ukraine license to produce Patriot missiles
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said he has asked the United States to grant Ukraine a license to manufacture missiles for the Patriot air defence system.
In a post on social media platform X, Zelenskyy argued that current US production of missile defence interceptors is insufficient and could contribute to crises in different parts of the world.
“Producing 60-65 missiles a month is nothing compared with the challenges we face today. This is no secret, and Russia knows it as well,” Zelenskyy wrote. “We need to expand production. As I requested from the previous US administration, I am asking the current administration to grant Ukraine a license to produce Patriot missiles.”
Zelenskyy said US companies possess advanced technologies that are not available in Ukraine, while Kyiv could contribute its extensive battlefield experience in return.
He also argued that granting such a license would benefit not only Ukraine, but also the Middle East and any country Washington chooses to support.
Washington pledges to maintain defence support
Zelenskyy’s remarks came a day after US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said on May 30 that Washington would continue supporting Ukraine’s defence capabilities and ensure military shipments to Kyiv continue.
“We want them to be able to defend themselves, and we will find a way to help them do that,” Hegseth said.
Several days earlier, Yuriy Ihnat, spokesperson for the Ukrainian Air Force, warned that the country’s air defence forces were experiencing a shortage of missiles.
“Due to certain supply problems, we are practically at starvation levels when it comes to missiles today,” Ihnat said.
Concerns persist over air defence missile stocks
In April, Zelenskyy warned that Ukraine’s stockpile of air defence missiles could be exhausted at any moment.
He said that under current conditions, air defence missiles were more critical for Ukraine than the air defence systems themselves.
Highlighting what he described as a critical shortage of Patriot missiles, Zelenskyy said: “We are facing a deficit now that could hardly be worse.”
Concerns that Ukraine could face a severe shortage of US-made air defence missiles had previously been reported by Reuters.
The situation was expected to worsen as the United States and its allies depleted significant portions of their arsenals during tensions with Iran, a point Zelenskyy also underscored.
In a separate statement in January, Zelenskyy said Ukraine lacked sufficient missiles for both US- and European-made air defence systems.
The Ukrainian leader said he had been forced to personally secure every package of missiles from European countries and the United States.
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