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Michael DiMino, the Pentagon’s new Middle East chief, favors withdrawal from the region

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Former CIA analyst Michael DiMino was sworn in on Monday as the US Assistant Secretary of Defense for the Middle East. During his tenure at Defense Priorities, a Washington think tank founded with funding from the libertarian Koch brothers, DiMino expressed skepticism about US commitments in the Middle East, including its relationships with partners such as Israel. The think tank describes itself as a “center for realism and restraint.”

The new deputy secretary has urged the Biden administration to “put pressure” on Israel to deliver more aid to Gaza. DiMino also believes that the US does not have “vital or existential” interests in the Middle East and supports an “offshore stabilization” policy for the withdrawal of US troops from Iraq and Syria. In a February webinar, he stated that Washington’s two primary interests in the region—natural resources and combating the “terrorist” threat—are “exaggerated.”

“We’re really there to counter Iran, and that’s at the behest of the Israelis and the Saudis,” DiMino said of the US military presence in Iraq and Syria.

‘Offshore balancing’: US strategy for adapting to ‘multipolarity’

“Offshore balancing” is an international relations term that views “multipolarity,” where international relations are dominated by several superpowers, as an opportunity rather than a threat. Proponents of this strategy argue that attempts to maintain US hegemony as the world’s sole superpower will lead other states to unite against the US, ultimately reducing its relative power. Instead, the US should adopt a “burden-shifting strategy,” where other nations take responsibility for maintaining regional balances of power and addressing local issues.

In a 2016 article for Foreign Affairs, John J. Mearsheimer and Stephen M. Walt summarized this concept: “Washington would abandon ambitious efforts to reshape other societies by pursuing an ‘offshore balancing’ strategy and focus on what really matters: preserving US dominance in the Western Hemisphere and countering potential hegemons in Europe, Northeast Asia, and the Persian Gulf. Instead of policing the world, the US would encourage other countries to take the lead in checking rising powers, intervening only when necessary.”

DiMino echoed this sentiment, stating, “I’m certainly in favor of moving closer to offshore stabilization, reducing US security commitments in the region. Withdrawing troops is one way to do that.”

DiMino argues that the ‘aggressor’ is Israel, not Iran

In comments first reported by Jewish Insider, DiMino suggested that Israel has been the more aggressive party in the region, while Iran has been “quite moderate.” Following Iran’s ballistic missile retaliation against Israel in October, he stated that Tel Aviv was “trying to change the facts on the ground as much as they can,” while the Iranians would “try to hold their own.”

In a January 2024 article for the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft, another Koch-backed think tank, DiMino argued that the US should provide more aid to Gaza and engage diplomatically with the Houthis in Yemen. He wrote, “This would also require increasing diplomatic pressure on the Israeli government to allow more aid into Gaza, a step the Biden administration is unwilling to take.”

In November 2023, DiMino predicted that Hamas would continue to rule in the Gaza Strip in any post-conflict scenario. “It is difficult to imagine a viable alternative to Hamas under Gaza’s status quo, and something similarly radical is likely to grow from its ruins,” he wrote.

At the Pentagon, DiMino will report to Elbridge Colby, Trump’s choice for Secretary of Defense for Policy. Colby, who served in the Defense Department during Trump’s first term, advocates for strengthening Israel while shifting US priorities to the Indo-Pacific region.

Witkoff praises Qatar

In a Wednesday interview with Fox News, Steve Witkoff, the US Special Envoy to the Middle East, was asked about a Hamas spokesman’s claim that the Palestinian organization was “ready for dialogue with the United States and ready to deal with America on everything” following the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas in exchange for hostages. “If it’s true, I think it’s a good thing,” Witkoff replied.

Witkoff, a billionaire property investor and personal friend of Trump, praised Qatar and Qatari Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al-Thani for their role in the negotiations. “Qatar has been extremely helpful,” Witkoff said, adding that Sheikh Mohammed’s “communication skills with Hamas have been indispensable here.”

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NATO buys AI-powered military system from Palantir

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NATO has purchased an artificial intelligence-based military system from Palantir, the US software company headed by Donald Trump supporter Peter Thiel and with strong Pentagon connections.

The alliance’s choice comes at a time of increased concern among European members about a possible US withdrawal, following Trump’s threat to stop protecting the continent unless capitals significantly increase defense spending.

NATO is also racing to keep pace with the development of artificial intelligence military capabilities by rivals such as China. According to the alliance’s statement on Monday, Palantir’s Maven Smart System (MSS NATO) uses generative artificial intelligence, machine learning, and large language models to provide “commanders with a secure, shared operational capability” and will be used to support NATO operations.

Such “battlefield management systems” allow teams of 20-50 soldiers to do the work of reviewing battlefield data that previously required teams of hundreds or even thousands of personnel in recent conflicts such as Afghanistan and Iraq.

Noah Sylvia, an analyst at the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI), a London-based think tank, told the Financial Times (FT), “It can replace all those teams doing quite boring tasks.”

Sylvia noted that France had developed “Artemis,” which he described as “not a competitor but a domestic alternative” to Palantir’s Maven system, to avoid dependence on the US.

NATO is moving quickly to enhance its defense technology capabilities. According to the alliance, the completion of this contract, which was “one of the fastest contracts in NATO history,” took only six months, and the system is expected to be operational within the next 30 days.

Sylvia said, “To have it procured in six months is insane by defense standards. Software usually takes years to procure, certify, and then deploy, and by that time, it’s usually out of date.”

NATO announced that this acquisition, which “demonstrates a strong and lasting partnership between the North American and European technology base,” was completed last month. The financial terms of the deal were not disclosed, but it is likely to be one of Palantir’s most significant defense contracts this year.

Thiel, one of Silicon Valley’s most prominent figures, was a leading supporter of Trump’s initial presidential candidacy in 2016 and played a major role in the selection of JD Vance, his vice president, as Trump’s vice-presidential candidate. Thiel is a pioneer of the “techno-libertarian” group in Silicon Valley and is known for his anti-democratic views.

According to federal records, Palantir has won more than $2.7 billion in US government contracts since 2009, with more than $1.3 billion of that from the Department of Defense. Palantir’s market capitalization has surpassed the total of the Pentagon’s traditional top 5 contractors.

The company’s shares have increased by more than 300% in the last 12 months, as investors expect the company to benefit from the Trump administration’s defense spending, as well as commercial customers using artificial intelligence systems.

The US Army is also using its own version of Palantir’s Maven technology and signed a five-year contract for $99.8 million for this technology last September.

A similar system was also used in Ukraine. Maven is used to combine satellite imagery with other battlefield intelligence sources, scan targets, and use machine learning to accelerate attacks.

The Pentagon’s Project Maven system dates back to 2017, when Google began using its technology. Google later withdrew from the program in 2018 after thousands of its employees protested the use of artificial intelligence in warfare.

Palantir provides NATO with a customized version of Maven that provides a platform where other software applications and data sources can be integrated.

Palantir’s senior advisor Shon Manasco said, “We are proud to support NATO’s effort to enhance its deterrence by establishing an AI-backed warfighting platform. This partnership underscores the alliance’s commitment to fearlessly lead in technological innovation.”

NATO said that MSS NATO will “enhance intelligence fusion, targeting, battlefield awareness, operational planning, and decision-making processes.”

General Markus Laubenthal, Chief of Staff at NATO’s military headquarters Shape [Supreme Headquarters Allied Powers Europe] in Belgium, said, “ACO [Allied Command Operations] is at the forefront of embracing technologies that make NATO more agile, adaptable, and responsive to emerging threats.”

Laubenthal added that innovation is the foundation of NATO’s warfighting capability.

The commander also praised MSS NATO for its capacity to “leverage complex data, accelerate decision-making,” and add “real operational value.”

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Apple dodges crisis as Trump delays tariffs

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US President Donald Trump stated that he would continue to impose tariffs on phones, computers, and popular consumer electronics products, considering the weekend’s exemption a procedural step in his broader effort to reshape US trade.

The delay, announced late Friday and exempting a range of popular electronic products from the 125% tariff applied to China and the 10% fixed rate applied worldwide, is temporary and part of a long-standing plan to apply a different and specific tax to the sector.

Shortly after finishing a round of golf on Sunday, Trump posted on social media, “NOBODY is getting ‘off the hook.’”

According to Trump, the exempted products are “just being moved into a different Tariff ‘bucket,’” and the administration will take “a look” at semiconductors and the entire electronic supply chain.

Speaking to reporters on Air Force One, Trump said that decisions would be made soon, with details on the tariff rate for semiconductors to be announced within the next week.

However, Trump also signaled that he is open to discussions with companies regarding the scope of the sectoral tariff on semiconductors and products based on them, such as iPhones and tablets.

“We’re going to discuss it, but we’re also going to talk to the companies. You have to have a certain flexibility. Nobody should be so rigid,” Trump said.

Friday’s pause appears to be a temporary victory for Apple and other manufacturers, particularly those relying on Chinese production.

According to a report in Bloomberg, Apple has managed to avert its biggest crisis since the pandemic, at least for now.

Trump’s 125% tariffs on goods manufactured in China threatened to disrupt the supply chain as severely as the Covid-19 pandemic did five years ago.

By exempting many popular consumer electronics on Friday night, the US President handed Apple a major win. These products include iPhones, iPads, Macs, Apple Watches, and AirTags.

A new and lower sectoral tariff may also be applied to goods containing semiconductors, but a 20% tariff is still applied to electronic products shipped from China.

Until Trump reinstates tariffs on electronic products, the surprise exemption is a win for Apple and the consumer electronics industry, which still largely depends on China for production.

Before the latest exemption, the iPhone maker had a plan: adjusting its supply chain to produce more US-bound iPhones in India, where they would be subject to much lower taxes.

Apple executives believed this would be a short-term solution to avoid Chinese tariffs and prevent high price increases.

Given that iPhone facilities in India are producing at a rate of more than 30 million iPhones per year, production in this country alone could meet a significant portion of American demand. Apple sells approximately 220 million to 230 million iPhones annually these days, with about one-third going to the US.

Implementing such a change smoothly would have been difficult, especially as the company is already approaching production of the iPhone 17, which is primarily to be manufactured in China. Fears had grown in Apple’s operations, finance, and marketing departments about the impact on the new phones’ launch in the fall.

According to Bloomberg, the company would have to accomplish the daunting task of moving more iPhone 17 production to India or elsewhere in just a few months.

In this case, it would probably have to raise prices (which is still possible) and fight with suppliers for better profit margins.

Another concern for Apple was: How would China retaliate if the company increased its production outside of China even faster?

Apple derives approximately 17% of its revenue from this country and operates dozens of stores, making it an outlier among US-based companies.

According to Morgan Stanley estimates, the iPhone is Apple’s biggest money-maker, and approximately 87% of these products are manufactured in China. About four out of every five iPads and 60% of Macs are also produced in this country.

Together, these products account for approximately 75% of Apple’s annual revenue. Yet, the company now produces almost all of its Apple Watches and AirPods in Vietnam. Some iPads and Macs are also produced in this country, and Mac production is expanding in Malaysia and Thailand.

According to Morgan Stanley estimates, the company makes approximately 38% of its iPad sales and about half of its Mac, Apple Watch, and AirPods revenue in the US.

It is unlikely that Apple will completely decouple from China, which has been its manufacturing hub for decades. Even if Trump forced Apple to manufacture iPhones in the US, the lack of domestic engineering and manufacturing capabilities could make this nearly impossible in the short term.

On the other hand, according to US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, smartphones and other electronic devices that won exemptions will be part of the new tax applied to semiconductors.

Speaking on ABC’s “This Week” on Sunday, Lutnick signaled that the tariff delay was temporary and reiterated Trump’s long-standing plan to apply a different, specific tax to the sector.

Since the announcement of the tariff wave on April 2, Apple and other tech companies’ lobbyists have been pressing the White House for exemptions.

But discussions have become more urgent in recent days after a series of retaliations between Washington and Beijing led to a 145% tax on imports from China.

The potential impact has become even more acute after Trump halted higher tariffs on other countries. This meant an advantage for Apple’s competitor, Samsung Electronics, which produces its phones outside of China.

Apple and other companies have emphasized to the Trump administration that while they are willing to increase their investments in the US, there is little benefit to moving final assembly to this country.

Instead, they argue that the US should focus on bringing back higher-value jobs and encouraging investment in areas such as semiconductor manufacturing.

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Pentagon cancels $4 billion in it contracts amid spending review

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The Pentagon has terminated $4 billion in IT services contracts with companies such as Deloitte, Accenture, and Booz Allen Hamilton as part of the Trump administration’s ongoing liquidation of consulting expenditures.

According to a note released Thursday by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, the contracts were identified as “unnecessary expenditures on third-party consultants” that could be handled more efficiently by Pentagon employees.

Hegseth stated that the contracts represented “$5.1 billion in wasteful spending” and that the cancellations would result in “approximately $4 billion in estimated savings.” Over $1 billion has already been paid out.

The Pentagon canceled contracts with Accenture, Deloitte, Booz Allen, and other firms related to the Defense Health Agency and also terminated a separate Air Force contract with Accenture.

Hegseth also ordered the termination of 11 other consulting contracts “supporting Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion (DEI), Climate, Covid-19 response, and other non-essential activities.”

Despite the cuts, US President Donald Trump and Hegseth had earlier this week pledged a $1 million budget for the defense ministry for the first time.

The contract cuts come amid an escalating attack on consulting groups by the General Services Administration (GSA), which helps coordinate government acquisitions.

Last month, ten major firms, including Deloitte, IBM, and Booz Allen, were asked to identify potential savings as part of a “consultant spending review,” but their responses were deemed “demeaning” by the administration.

As a result, the companies were given a new deadline of April 18 to identify further cuts, restructure contracts based on “outcome-based” or “shared savings” models, and offer the federal government a “credit” for revenues the GSA considers excessive during the Biden administration.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated in a podcast last month that reducing government contractors would be one of the administration’s biggest sources of savings, singling out Booz Allen, which derives almost all of its revenue from government contracts, as one of the companies embroiled in “fraud” allegations.

Booz Allen stated this week that it “welcomes the challenge to create better value” for US taxpayers and that it is “engaging in good faith in a much-needed process to help the government improve efficiency. We look forward to demonstrating our capabilities to the administration.”

The cancellations by Hegseth come as Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) increasingly targets what it sees as “outrageous spending” on consulting contracts.

Last week, DOGE lauded the termination of “Google AdWords management” and “global consulting and support services” contracts for the Pacific island nation of Palau.

On Thursday, the GSA also reached an agreement with Google to lower the cost of software and services, including artificial intelligence tools, for the federal government.

The consulting cuts also coincide with a period in which the Pentagon is reducing its civilian workforce by laying off 5% to 8% of employees it deems “not mission-critical.”

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