Middle East
No survivors in helicopter crash: Iran to hold elections in 50 days
Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi and Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdullahiyan have been died in a helicopter crash.
Iranian state television announced that there were no survivors in yesterday’s helicopter crash involving President Riyadh. While the wreckage of the helicopter was reached after 15 hours, it was stated that Raisi and Foreign Minister Abdullahiyan, Tabriz Governor Malek Rahmati and Iranian leader Khamenei’s representative in Tabriz Mohammad Ali Al-i Hashim were among those killed in the accident.
It was noted that 2 senior military officials of the Revolutionary Guards Army and 3 crew members on board Raisi’s helicopter also lost their lives in the accident.
Akıncı UAV provides support
President Raisi had flown by helicopter yesterday to attend the opening of a dam on the Iran-Azerbaijan border.
Iranian state television announced that an accident had occurred when Raisi’s helicopter made a hard landing on its way back from the region.
Search and rescue teams reported that work was continuing with difficulty due to adverse weather conditions, and that Iran had requested an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) from Turkey to conduct aerial searches.
The Akıncı UAV, which was used by Turkey in the search for the helicopter crash, had detected the heat source, believed to be the wreckage of the helicopter, and shared its coordinates with the Iranian authorities.
Iranian state television announced that there were no signs of life at the wreckage site of the helicopter carrying Iranian President Rice and Foreign Minister Abdullahiyan, which had been found by the Akıncı UAV.
First vice president takes over temporarily
Article 131 of the Iranian constitution stipulates that in the event of the death of the president or the failure to elect a new president, the first vice president, appointed by the country’s supreme leader (Ali Khamenei), will assume the powers and responsibilities of the president.
The Expediency Council, consisting of the speaker of the parliament, the head of the judiciary and the first vice-president, i.e. the heads of the legislative, executive and judicial branches, is responsible for organising the process of electing a new president within a maximum of 50 days.
Who is Ebrahim Raisi?
President Ebrahim Raisi, known as a lawyer and cleric, was born on 14 December 1960 in Mashhad, Iran.
After the 1979 revolution, Raisi began his career in 1981 as the public prosecutor of Khelet. He quickly rose through the ranks, becoming Deputy Prosecutor General of Tehran at the age of 25.
Raisi was a member of the four-man committee that decided on the execution of imprisoned opponents of the regime in 1988, on the orders of the Iranian revolutionary leader Khomeini.
After Khomeini’s death, Raisi, who rose rapidly in the state authorities during the era of Ali Khamenei, served as Tehran’s chief prosecutor between 1989 and 1994. In 1994, Raisi was appointed head of the State Supervisory Organization, a position he held for 10 years.
In 2004, Raisi was appointed First Deputy Head of the Judiciary. In 2014, Raisi was appointed as the Prosecutor General of Iran and in 2016 he was appointed by Khamenei as the President of the Imam Reza Shrine and Complex Foundation in the city of Mashhad.
Raisi, who was also a candidate in the presidential election held on 19 May 2017, lost the election to then-President Hassan Rouhani.
Raisi was appointed head of the judiciary in March 2019 after his predecessor, Ayatollah Amouli Sadeq Larijani, was dismissed by Khamenei and appointed head of the Council for the Promotion of Maslahat of the Order.
In the elections held in Iran on 18 June 2021, Raisi won by a landslide with 62% of the vote and became the 8th president of Iran. Raisi’s presidency was marked by a foreign policy that prioritised relations with neighbouring countries. During this period, relations with Saudi Arabia were re-established after 7 years.
Raisi was placed on the US sanctions list in November 2019 for his alleged role in the execution of political prisoners and the suppression of social unrest in 2009.
Ebrahim Raisi’s name has been mentioned as a possible successor to Khamenei.
Who is Hossein Amir-Abdullahiyan?
Known for his conservative identity, Hossein Amir-Abdullahiyan was born in 1964 in Damgan, Simnan Province, Iran.
He graduated from the Department of International Relations at Tehran University in 1991 and is fluent in Persian, Arabic and English. He served for a time as ambassador to Bahrain under former president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad.
Abdullahiyan, who later served as deputy foreign minister for Arab and African affairs under Ahmadinejad and Hassan Rouhani, became foreign minister in August 2021, succeeding former foreign minister Javad Zarif, whom he also served as deputy for three years.
Prior to becoming Foreign Minister, Abdullahiyan was Special Assistant to the Speaker of the Parliament Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf for International Relations.
During Abdullahiyan’s tenure as foreign minister, Iran reached an agreement with Saudi Arabia on the resumption of diplomatic relations and the mutual opening of embassies in March 2023, 7 years after tensions between Tehran and Riyadh.
Middle East
US waives human rights terms on $320m military aid to Egypt
The US State Department stated that it has waived human rights conditions on more than $300 million in military aid to Egypt.
The statement emphasised that this decision was taken in consideration of Cairo’s “helpful role” since the outbreak of the war against Iran.
Egypt began receiving substantial support from the US after signing a peace treaty with Israel in 1979.
Since the late 1980s, the country has received approximately $1.3 billion annually in US military assistance.
A portion of this aid is subject to conditions related to human rights and democracy, which can be waived on national security grounds.
Withholding funds, including during the administration of former US President Joe Biden, has caused tension between Cairo and Washington in the past.
A letter dated 21 September and addressed to various congressional committees, obtained by Reuters, stated that Secretary of State Marco Rubio “decided to waive the certification requirement under the fiscal year 2025 Foreign Military Financing programme for Egypt of $320 million.”
This waiver was subsequently confirmed by the State Department.
An accompanying memorandum justifying the decision stated that this portion of military aid was “essential for counterterrorism, border security, or non-proliferation programmes, or otherwise important to the national security interests of the United States.”
The memorandum, dated 4 September and bearing Rubio’s signature, stated: “Exercising this waiver authority is critical to the US-Egypt relationship and to US national security priorities, particularly given the helpful role Egypt has played in the aftermath of Operation Epic Fury.”
“Operation Epic Fury” is the designation used by the US military for the campaign launched jointly with Israel against Iran in late February.
The State Department memorandum, whose authenticity was confirmed by two sources in Washington familiar with the letter, did not provide detailed information regarding what was termed Egypt’s “helpful role”.
The State Department’s annual decision on military aid to Egypt typically covers funds allocated for the preceding fiscal year, which ends on 30 September.
A State Department spokesperson stated that Rubio waived the certification in the interest of US national security and that the US continues to cooperate with the Egyptian government across a range of issues.
In an emailed statement, the spokesperson said: “This waiver recognizes the importance of maintaining security cooperation with Egypt at a time of significant security challenges in the region.”
The Egyptian Ministry of Foreign Affairs did not immediately comment on the matter.
The spillover effects of the Iran war have imposed a heavy toll on US security partners, including Egypt.
Owing to rising fuel prices and other disruptions, the Egyptian economy is passing through a difficult period.
Under the Biden administration, the US withheld portions of the annual military allocation on multiple occasions over Egypt’s human rights record.
In 2024, following the Hamas-led 7 October attack on Israel and the subsequent war in Gaza, the Biden administration set aside human rights conditions, disbursing the entire $1.3 billion allocation to Egypt for the first time in its tenure.
Human rights organisations have long accused Egypt, under the administration of President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, of widespread human rights abuses, including torture and enforced disappearances.
This week, Egyptian police detained six journalists from a fact-checking and investigative media outlet, accusing them of spreading false information on behalf of the banned Muslim Brotherhood.
Egyptian authorities state that they have taken steps to address human rights issues. Sisi said stability is paramount and that the government supports human rights by working to provide for basic needs.
Middle East
Britain expands curbs on arms exports to Israel over Gaza risks
Britain has significantly broadened its military export restrictions targeting Israel, suspending or rejecting more than 80 licences for items the IDF could use in Gaza.
This figure is nearly triple the number affected when the policy was first introduced in September 2024.
United Kingdom Minister of State for the Middle East Stephen Doughty said that as part of what he described as a “tighter system” for assessing exports to Israel, more than 50 further export applications have been refused since approximately 30 licences were initially suspended.
Under the initial decision taken in September 2024, 30 of roughly 350 licences were suspended after the British government concluded there was a “clear risk” that certain military exports could be used to commit or facilitate serious violations of international humanitarian law in Gaza.
The affected equipment included components for military aircraft, drones, naval systems, and targeting gear.
Doughty said additional measures adopted this month established what he termed a “double safeguard” mechanism within the approvals process.
Export applications must now be assessed both against existing international humanitarian law criteria and in light of Britain’s position on the legality of Israel’s presence in the Palestinian territories.
“We have so far suspended or refused more than 80 licences,” Doughty said, adding that he had personally examined each licence.
Despite the wider restrictions, British-origin parts entering the international F-35 fighter jet supply chain continue to be largely exempt.
The UK government argues that preventing British-made components from entering the global F-35 pool could undermine the programme as a whole and have serious consequences for the security of the UK and its allies.
Direct exports of F-35 parts intended specifically for Israel remain suspended.
Doughty defended maintaining the supply of components via the international programme, arguing that halting it could have severe ramifications for the broader European and allied security architecture.
Foreign Affairs Committee Chair Emily Thornberry challenged this position, arguing that the issue was political rather than purely legal.
Thornberry suggested adopting an approach similar to the Dutch model, under which components entering the international supply chain could be flagged as “not intended for aircraft bound for Israel”.
The initial suspension was implemented in September 2024 by then Foreign Secretary David Lammy.
Lammy stressed at the time that the measure did not constitute an arms embargo and applied solely to items assessed as usable in military operations in Gaza.
Since then, the policy has been tightened further under Prime Minister Andy Burnham.
The expanded export restrictions follow the Burnham government’s adoption of a more confrontational policy toward the Israeli government.
Foreign Secretary Ed Miliband drew sustained applause at the Labour Party’s annual conference in Liverpool after delivering a sharp critique of the Netanyahu government’s policies and defending the decision to ban trade with Israeli settlements in the West Bank.
Accusing Israel of committing war crimes in Gaza, Miliband stated that the British government heard public outrage over the conflict, telling delegates: “We hear you. You were right.”
Middle East
Netanyahu holds secret UAE talks with Saudi Arabia and Arab officials
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu met with representatives of Gulf and Arab nations that lack diplomatic ties with Israel, including Saudi Arabia, during his weekend visit to the United Arab Emirates.
Sources close to the gathering told the Israeli newspaper Yedioth Ahronoth on Monday that representatives from Morocco, Libya, Jordan, and Qatar also took part in the meeting.
Netanyahu made a unannounced visit to Abu Dhabi on Sunday, where he met with the country’s leader, Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan.
According to Israeli media, this marked the first time the United Arab Emirates officially confirmed a visit by Netanyahu.
The meeting was arranged by Mossad Director Roman Goffman “at the request of Saudi Arabia, which asked for Israel’s assistance against Houthi attacks in the Red Sea region,” according to Yedioth Ahronoth.
The discussions addressed Iran and the Houthi militia. The newspaper added that the Arab states heard from Israel that “Israel is prepared to assist countries in the region with air defence systems, just as it aided the UAE during the conflict with Iran.”
Conflict in Yemen intensified in September when Ansarullah militiamen launched a rapid offensive that seized Yemen’s entire Red Sea coastline, including the vital maritime corridor of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.
The Yemeni resistance also imposed a blockade on Saudi Arabia’s energy exports and staged multiple attacks against the kingdom.
Saudi Arabia reportedly sought military assistance from the US to counter Ansarullah.
Washington declined to attack the Houthis directly, but announced that it would provide intelligence and targeting support.
Reporting on the same visit, The Jerusalem Post said Netanyahu spent six hours in the UAE and that the principal subject of his discussions with MBZ was Iran.
Citing sources familiar with the matter, the newspaper added that the trip came “after Netanyahu exerted heavy pressure on the United Arab Emirates to arrange a meeting ahead of the Israeli elections on 27 October.”
Separately, the Associated Press, citing a person with direct knowledge of the meeting, reported that Netanyahu’s visit to the UAE was arranged in part to ask MBZ to deny reports that he had warned the Israeli prime minister of an impending Hamas threat prior to 7 October 2023.
According to Israeli media, Netanyahu’s office denied the AP report, issuing the following statement:
“Fake news. The visit focused solely on strengthening ties between the two countries and on regional issues.”
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