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Ebrahim Raisi was not only the president  

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The death of Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi in a helicopter crash on Sunday has shocked the Middle East in particular and the broader world in general.

The death of Raisi was confirmed 17 hours after the helicopter carrying him and his high-ranking delegation disappeared. It was officially confirmed that all the passengers, Raisi and his foreign minister, Hossein Amir Abdullahian, have died. However, Raisi’s death does not leave a power vacuum in Iran and according to the constitution, the first vice President Mohammad Mokhber to assume power next and he is responsible to hold elections within 50 days.

Raisi has been considered as one of the closest figures to Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran. This relationship was so close that some observers believed that Raisi could be the successor of Khamenei after his death.

Who was Raisi and how did he become the president of Iran?

Ebrahim Raisi was born in 1964 in the Noghan district of Mashhad. Based on the information of Raisi’s official website, his father, Hujjatul Islam Haji Raees Al Sadati, was also a cleric in Mashhad. Raisi studied in the religious schools of Mashhad and then went to the city of Qom, the center of religious schools of Iran, where he studied in the field of religious sciences.

While studying in the religious schools of Qom, he established a relationship with the opposition clerics of Mohammad Reza Shah and joined the group of young supporters of Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini. After the victory of the revolution, Raisi climbed the ladder of power with impressive speed.

He was only 20 years old when he became the prosecutor of the cities of Karaj and Hamadan, and from 1361 to 1363 he was the prosecutor of Hamadan province. An important official who had a lot of authority in Iran’s “revolutionary” system.

In the same period and at the age of 23, he married the daughter of one of the most influential clerics in Iran. Raisi’s marriage with the daughter of Ayatollah Seyyed Ahmad Alam Al-Hadi, the Friday imam of Mashhad, further strengthened Raisi’s position.

Raisi was appointed deputy prosecutor of the Tehran Revolution in 1998 and held the position of Tehran prosecutor.

Raisi, after five years as head of the Tehran Prosecutor’s Office, became the head of the “General Inspection Organization”. After that, he was the first deputy of the Judiciary for ten years, and in 2013 he became the Attorney General of Iran and then he was in charge of “Astan Quds Razavi”, which is one of the closest institutions to the leader of Iran.

Failure in the elections and victory in the judiciary

In 2017, Raisi entered the presidential election race against Hassan Rouhani. In this election, Rouhani defeated Raisi by winning 57pc of the votes. Although Raisi entered the field with Khamenei’s support, he managed to get only 38pc of the votes and lost to the reformist rival.

A helicopter carrying Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi and other senior officials crashed in the northwestern part of Iran on May 19, 2024. APA

The defeat of the candidate supported by the leader of the Islamic Republic had hurt the position of the concervatives in the balance of power against the reformists. But Khamenei made up for this failure by appointing a head of the judiciary. At the same time, Raisi also won the vice presidency of the Council of Leadership Experts. In case of the death of Iran’s religious leader, this council is responsible for appointing a new leader.

This promotion made Raisi one step closer to the presidency of Iran and further established his position among the fundamentalists.

In the presidential election, finally, Raisi won the election without a serious opponent and won 62pc of the votes. This election had the lowest level of participation in the history of Iran.

Raisi and the presidency

Raisi started his government with the slogan of “improving the economy and solving the country’s problems” and supporting diplomatic programs to remove international sanctions.

On the other hand, Raisi’s government faced serious challenges due to the bankrupt economy and increasing foreign sanctions.

But in the field of foreign policy, the President’s government was able to establish better relations with Saudi Arabia, the main rival of Iran in the Islamic world.

The embassies of the two countries were reopened in Tehran and Riyadh after seven years, and diplomatic relations between these two long-time rivals were terminated.

Meanwhile, the Gaza war and Israel’s attack on the Iranian consulate in Damascus brought the proxy war between Iran and Israel to a critical and unprecedented stage. For the first time, Iran went to the brink of direct war with Israel and in response to Israel’s attack on its consulate, it launched 300 missiles and drones towards Israel.

Middle East

Qatar and UAE LNG tankers go dark in Strait of Hormuz to evade security risks

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Qatar and United Arab Emirates liquefied natural gas (LNG) tankers are turning off their transponders in the Strait of Hormuz, shifting their logistical strategies in response to ongoing military conflict in the Middle East and the closure of the strategic waterway.

According to a Bloomberg report citing industry sources and vessel-tracking data, as time and patience run thin for both nations, tankers have begun operating under radio silence to conceal their movements and secure their LNG shipments.

The report noted that neither Qatar nor Abu Dhabi, the federal emirate of the UAE, is subject to international sanctions. Despite this, state-owned QatarEnergy and Abu Dhabi National Oil Co. (ADNOC) are employing these “going dark” tactics to minimize security risks for their vessels and crews transiting the Strait of Hormuz.

Vessel-tracking data revealed that in May, at least four Qatari LNG vessels and four tankers linked to Abu Dhabi-based ADNOC transited the Strait of Hormuz without transmitting tracking signals. Sources speaking to Bloomberg stated that Qatari authorities requested captains of state-owned and chartered tankers to turn off their Automatic Identification System (AIS) transponders when navigating around the Ras Laffan port—the world’s largest LNG export terminal—as well as when transiting or exiting the Persian Gulf.

The implemented security measures extend beyond turning off transponders. Sources reported that vessels have been instructed to transit the gulf in pairs to enhance security, and tanker captains who refused to comply with the “shadow” navigation protocols have been replaced.

Industry sources speaking to Bloomberg warned that the increase in covert transits undermines the fundamental rules of international maritime trade and transforms these shipping routes into high-risk areas.

They emphasized that until recently, every cargo in the LNG sector could be tracked in real time, but these newly adopted tactics have eliminated that transparency.

Saul Kavonic, a senior energy analyst at energy consultancy MST Marquee, commented on the situation, saying: “It is entirely natural for Persian Gulf LNG producers to try to avoid Iranian attacks and consequently adopt shadow fleet methods. This could persist as long as Iran continues to control and threaten transits through the Strait of Hormuz. This practice may continue for a long time even after a peace agreement is signed.”

Following the start of US and Israeli attacks on Iran, the Tehran government closed the Strait of Hormuz, a choke point for approximately 20% of global oil shipments and 30% of global liquefied natural gas.

After negotiations in Islamabad failed, US President Donald Trump announced on April 13 that he would impose a blockade on Iranian ports. In late May, he announced that the blockade was lifted as part of the planned peace treaty process with Tehran.

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Israeli defense exports hit record $19.2 billion fueled by regional conflicts

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The Israeli Ministry of Defense has announced that international demand for military systems manufactured in the country and deployed in regional conflicts has reached unprecedented levels.

In an official statement, the ministry declared that exports of military equipment and weaponry have hit an all-time high for the fifth consecutive year.

According to the disclosed data, export volume reached $19.2 billion in 2025, representing an approximate 30% increase compared to the previous year. The figures demonstrate that the country’s defense exports have doubled over the past five years and quadrupled over the past decade.

Data shared by the ministry indicates that missile, rocket, and air defense systems secured the largest share of military sales contracts signed throughout 2025.

Sales in this sector accounted for 29% of the total trade volume. The ministry noted that the vast majority of these agreements fell into the category of “mega-contracts”—each valued at a minimum of $100 million—and that these large-scale deals constituted 53% of the total export volume.

The Ministry of Defense directly attributed this export growth to ongoing regional military operations.

The statement argued that global demand was driven by results achieved on the ground and the “combat-proven” performance of Israeli-made systems across all fronts, including the “Rising Lion” operation launched against Iran in June 2025.

Since October 7, 2023, Israel has conducted simultaneous military operations across multiple fronts in Gaza, Yemen, Lebanon, Syria, and Iran.

The military equipment and ammunition described as “combat-tested” in the ministry’s report continue to be deployed in active conflict zones, most notably in Lebanon.

Among the defense firms highlighted during this period is the Israel-based company Xtend, which has drawn attention for its unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs).

Systems developed by the company have reportedly been utilized in operations in Gaza and for targeted assassinations. International reports revealed that an Xtend UAV was used to locate Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar, who was killed in October 2024.

Earlier in the year, Eric Trump, son of US President Donald Trump, announced that he would make significant investments in Xtend’s technology and support the company’s merger with the Florida-based JFB Construction Holdings.

Meanwhile, airstrikes and bombings conducted by the Israeli military continue to drive up civilian casualties in Gaza and Lebanon. In Lebanon alone, attacks over the past few months have claimed more than 3,400 lives. Thousands of deaths have also been reported in US-backed military operations carried out in Iran.

Studies published in the medical journal The Lancet project that the total death toll in Gaza, when including both direct and indirect fatalities, could reach hundreds of thousands.

During this period, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), which has supported Israel’s operations, emerged as one of the largest buyers of Israeli-origin weapons.

The Gulf nation is reported to have procured billions of dollars in military equipment from Israel over the past five years. According to US sources, the Abu Dhabi and Tel Aviv administrations have established a joint fund to develop and procure new weapons systems.

On the other hand, as Tel Aviv continues to market its air defense systems globally, military tensions along the Lebanese border persist.

Hizbullah kamikaze drones have reportedly targeted Iron Dome batteries positioned at Israeli locations near the Lebanese border. The Israeli military has reportedly faced difficulties intercepting these attacks, with dozens of Israeli soldiers killed in Hizbullah strikes launched since March 2.

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Report challenges official assessments of damage from Iranian attacks on US military assets

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BBC Verify, the verification unit of the BBC, published a detailed investigation on June 1 based on satellite imagery and video analysis that found Iranian retaliatory strikes had successfully hit and damaged at least 20 US military facilities across the Middle East since the start of the war launched against Iran by the United States and Israel.

The findings suggest that the scale and accuracy of Iran’s retaliatory attacks were significantly greater than previously acknowledged by US officials. Some independent analysts estimate that the number of affected bases may be as high as 28.

The military facilities targeted were reportedly spread across eight Gulf countries: Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Qatar, Kuwait, Iraq, Jordan, Bahrain and Oman.

Material losses in the region are said to include three THAAD missile defense batteries, each valued at approximately $1 billion and regarded as a cornerstone of the regional defense network.

Expert assessments also identified at least 42 aircraft that were destroyed or severely damaged, including F-35 fighter jets, MQ-9 Reaper drones and an E-3 Sentry airborne early warning and surveillance aircraft valued at $700 million.

According to military analysts, Iran achieved these results by altering its tactics. Rather than relying on large-scale, high-volume barrages, Tehran reportedly shifted to using smaller, more precise salvos concentrated on high-value infrastructure targets.

The shift in strategy was said to have exploited what was described as a degree of complacency within the US military during the early stages of the conflict.

US military commanders reportedly failed to relocate aircraft and other military assets at strategic installations such as Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia despite previous attacks on those facilities, a factor that is said to have increased losses. Commenting on the strikes, Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei declared that the Middle East was no longer a “safe place” for US bases.

The White House had previously claimed that Iran’s military capabilities had been almost entirely eliminated.

However, the Pentagon’s latest estimates place the cost of the war at $29 billion.

A substantial portion of that expenditure is reportedly being directed toward repairing heavily damaged military equipment and replenishing significantly depleted munitions stockpiles. Former military officials have warned that damaged air defense systems in the region “cannot be replaced quickly or easily.”

The heavy consumption of interceptor missiles during the conflict has also left other US facilities across the Gulf increasingly vulnerable to future Iranian precision-guided missile attacks, according to the assessments cited.

The Washington administration is also reported to have sought restrictions on satellite imagery providers in an effort to conceal the extent of the damage and limit criticism.

However, the “smoking craters” and flattened aircraft hangars featured in the BBC report appear to contradict official US assertions, illustrating what the report described as the true scale of the destruction on the ground.

Iran also announced that it struck a US air base in Kuwait with missiles and drones on Sunday night in retaliation for attacks by US forces on Iranian military targets over the weekend, which Tehran said constituted a violation of the ceasefire.

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