Asia
Does US have an alternative to the Taliban?
Two decades ago, NATO forces led by the United States entered Afghanistan to dismantle al-Qaeda. At that time, the main target for the United States was the al-Qaeda group led by Osama bin Laden, not the Taliban – but because the Taliban did not hand Osama over to the US, the Taliban still became the US target. Although some Taliban leaders at the time opposed this decision by the group’s previous leader, Mullah Mohammad Omar, the main decision-maker was the leader himself.
According to American experts, the likelihood of NATO’s war in Afghanistan being prolonged was low; but the war continued and, in addition to material losses, it also caused human losses for NATO. After more than twenty years, the United States and the West decided to end this war and prevent financial costs and casualties of their military forces in Afghanistan.
In addition, as the Taliban were not the main target of the US presence in Afghanistan, there were also differences among American officials about eradicating the Taliban from the geography of Afghanistan. For this reason, the ground was prepared for the Taliban to flee to Pakistan. Pakistan’s ISI served as a guiding light for the US on how to deal with the Taliban. This guidance was also true for the Mujahideen leaders.
The US and Pakistan maintain an opposition and alternative bloc for each ruling group in Afghanistan to challenge and replace the government’s rule when necessary. The relocation of Taliban leaders to the border areas of Pakistan was one of those cases, so that one day they would be brought onto the stage as pawns in the US and Pakistan’s game in Afghanistan, and as soon as they achieved their goals, they would have another group ready. In this regard, the US began negotiations with the Taliban to bring them back to power. The Taliban, as a proxy group, are moving forward with the goals and plans of the US and the guidance of the ISI.
There have been disagreements among American officials regarding the Taliban’s return to power, with American senators occasionally expressing their dissatisfaction openly; however, for the Trump administration in the current situation, the Taliban are a suitable option for governance in Afghanistan for the following reasons:
First:
Trump is moving hastily in achieving his goals, and for this approach, he needs a single group that is strict and consistent in its decisions. Also, financial cost is of great importance to Trump, and the Taliban has been the cheapest group in implementing America’s plans in the region.
Second:
The Taliban opponents, many of whom are members of the former Afghan government, have spent their valuable time with the United States at this historical juncture, and there is currently no opportunity for them to play an absolute role. But this does not mean that they are eliminated from the political games of Afghanistan. Tomorrow, if the Taliban oppose the decisions of the United States even slightly, the Americans will put the groups opposing the Taliban against them.
Third:
The groups opposing the Taliban are living in a state of disorganization. They do not have a coherent plan or idea regarding their stand against the Taliban. Some talk about negotiating and engaging with the Taliban, and some talk about military confrontation; but in reality, they are pursuing their own personal and group interests. Also, the meetings they have held regarding Afghanistan have been mostly verbal in nature and no practical steps have been taken.
Fourth:
The groups opposing the Taliban are more divided among themselves than they are against the Taliban. Before they have liberated Afghanistan from the clutches of the Taliban, they are looking for the type of future system and its internal structures. Therefore, it is clear that the meetings are purely media-related. They have continued this approach for the past twenty years to stay in power and gain wealth. They also undermined their trust with their international partners. The Americans know well that if these individuals are supported again, it will not only be costly, but will also challenge America’s regional plans.
Unfortunately, the main loser in this game is the Afghan people
But the main losers in the game between the US and the Taliban are the Afghan people, who have been turned into the walking dead for more than three years under the Taliban rule and do not have access to their most basic rights. Women have been deprived of the right to education and work, and the geography of Afghanistan has been turned into a prison.
The Taliban have no domestic legitimacy, they are not capable of governing and providing social services. In addition, the level of public dissatisfaction with the Taliban government is increasing with each passing day. In the situation of oppression that the Taliban have created, the public supports any kind of uprising against this group and is trying to overthrow it. The Taliban themselves are aware of the public’s dissatisfaction with it; on this basis, they rule the country by force of arms.
Given the above, America has no alternative to the Taliban in Afghanistan. But the question that arises is – will the Taliban survive?
Given the internal disagreements within the Taliban over decision-making, it seems unlikely that the Taliban will continue to function as a unified force with a single leadership. The Taliban’s “spell of unity” may be broken unless the interests of the US and the ISI deem otherwise. Recently, the Center for Contemporary Afghan Studies in Moscow published a report from its research that suggests that another civil war awaits Afghanistan.
First, war and peace depend on the interests of America and other great powers. Supposedly, if a war is coming, it will not be between the opposition and the Taliban, but within the Taliban group, and the people will be on the opposing side of both branches of the Taliban and will try to destroy this group. In Afghanistan, any group that does not have internal legitimacy and rules with the help of foreign countries is bound to collapse sooner or later.
Ultimately, the US and other major powers do not have a suitable alternative for Afghanistan in the current situation. The Taliban, with all their problems, have been beneficial to US interests in the region and Afghanistan. But the Taliban are on a path that is contrary to the interests of the people, which is not in the interest of this group. In addition, based on the assumptions of realism on which foreign policy is based, interests take precedence over any value for the US. If America’s interests lie in the Taliban today, tomorrow perhaps a better group will be found.
Asia
Chinese Politburo signals cautious confidence as Beijing pivots toward targeted tech support
The mid-year meeting of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Politburo has long served as a critical evaluation point for Beijing. The session provides the central government with an opportunity to review developments from the first half of the year and steer the country toward a more realistic economic course in the months ahead.
The latest statement from the top leadership signals cautious confidence. The release indicates that policymakers are favoring a stable, targeted approach over the broad-based stimulus measures that characterized previous years. As China manages its economic transition, the post-Covid era of aggressive spending has clearly drawn to a close. In its place, a strategic and structural approach has taken hold, prioritizing resilience and stability over short-term capital injections.
According to the outcomes of the Politburo meeting, the policy orientation will continue to target specific sectors. Financial support will be directed away from the property market and toward high-tech emerging industries such as artificial intelligence and semiconductors. In the real estate sector, the objective remains stabilizing market confidence and keeping debt risks under control.
Infrastructure investment is likewise being reshaped around the concept of “new infrastructure.” The focus is no longer solely on concrete and physical structures; smart power grids, information technology networks, and data infrastructure have taken precedence.
This approach signifies an investment in future competitiveness rather than simply pumping capital into the economy’s more stagnant sectors. Serving as a new driver of growth, digital infrastructure fulfills a dual purpose: supporting domestic demand in the short term while safeguarding technological competitiveness over the long term.
Finally, Beijing is signaling a more conciliatory posture in international trade. The Chinese leadership aims to establish a more balanced trade framework to mitigate concerns voiced by trade partners such as the European Union over what has been termed “China Shock 2.0.”
As the administration prepares for critical leadership changes next year, its primary focus will remain on stability across both economic and social spheres.
China continues to strike a balance between realistic growth targets and systemic restructuring, maintaining policy leeway to absorb potential external shocks. Beijing’s economic strategy reflects a pragmatic assessment of both domestic and international challenges.
Struggling with weak demand, the domestic economy is not yet in a position to anchor national growth independently. Expansion continues to rely heavily on a record trade surplus alongside the impressive export performance of high-tech and clean energy sectors. However, this reliance has drawn pushback from several trading partners.
To stimulate domestic economic activity and ease trade tensions, Beijing unveiled its first standalone five-year plan focused on consumption. Released in July by the National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Commerce, the plan targets an increase in retail sales to 60 trillion yuan (approximately $8.9 trillion) by 2030. This represents an increase of roughly 20% compared to 2025 levels.
To improve profit margins for small businesses, regulatory authorities are tackling the issue of “involution”—described as excessive internal competition—by curbing platform monopolies and preventing destructive price wars. While these structural adjustments may take longer to yield results, they are viewed as a more sustainable and effective alternative to direct cash handouts.
Asia
Chinese chipmaker profits surge 2,500% on explosive AI computing demand
Major Chinese microchip manufacturers saw their profits surge by 2,579.5% in the first half of 2026, driven by unprecedented demand for artificial intelligence and computing capacity.
Data from China’s National Bureau of Statistics, cited by the South China Morning Post (SCMP), underscored the industry’s sharp upward trajectory.
Yu Weining, senior statistician at China’s National Bureau of Statistics, explained that this surge is directly connected to the accelerating integration of artificial intelligence across various sectors.
Yu noted that this process has increased the need for computing capacity. The demand for computational processes also lifted profits across the entire electronics industry by 97% year-on-year.
Profits of major Chinese industrial enterprises with an annual revenue exceeding 20 million yuan ($2.9 million) rose 18.7% in the first six months of the year, reaching 4 trillion yuan.
In the first half of 2025, before the global data center construction process had begun, industrial profits had dropped by 1.8% to 3.4 trillion yuan, while profit growth in the electronics sector remained at 3.5%.
The SCMP reported that the global AI boom has generated explosive demand for high-performance computing systems and memory chips, causing a structural pivot in China’s industrial landscape.
Data showed that integrated circuit production in the first half of the year grew by 23% year-on-year to reach approximately 280 billion units.
This figure means that the country produced an average of more than 1.5 billion chips per day.
The profit growth is also corroborated by forecasts from China’s leading chipmakers. Shenzhen Longsys Electronics, one of the largest memory module manufacturers, expects its profits to increase by more than 600-fold in the first half of the year.
Flash memory maker GigaDevice projects that its net profit will surge by approximately 1,099% year-on-year due to supply shortages and rising product prices.
Chinese companies in the AI chip segment are also demonstrating strong profit growth, albeit at a more moderate pace compared to the memory market.
Hygon Information Technology, which develops central processing units and computing units for artificial intelligence, projects that its profits will rise by up to 52.3%.
CXMT hits record high on Shanghai Stock Exchange
Shares of Chinese chipmaker CXMT gained more than 500% on their first day of trading on the Shanghai Stock Exchange on July 27, jumping from 8.66 yuan to 55 yuan.
As a result of this sharp surge in its shares, CXMT’s market valuation reached 3.65 trillion yuan ($539 billion), making the company China’s most valuable publicly traded firm.
At the peak of the rally—even though quoted prices underwent a slight correction toward the close of the trading day—CXMT surpassed Tencent, which was trading on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange with a market capitalization of $514 billion.
Asia
Massive student movement over exam leaks forces resignation of India’s education minister
Indian public examination reform proposals follow education minister’s resignation after nationwide youth protests
India’s federal government introduced legislation in parliament on Monday to amend the law governing public examinations, days after the “Cockroach” movement forced the resignation of Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan following nationwide youth protests.
The bill incorporates enhanced sanctions, including longer prison sentences and higher fines for those found responsible for exam leaks and irregularities.
The demonstrations are widely viewed as the most significant youth-led challenge faced by Prime Minister Narendra Modi since he took office in 2014.
What triggered the protests?
Nearly 2 million students took the National Eligibility cum Entrance Test (NEET), an undergraduate medical entrance examination, in May. The federal National Testing Agency cancelled the exam on May 12 following allegations that question papers had been leaked. The examination was re-administered on June 21.
Young people took to the streets to protest against examination fraud, youth unemployment, and a perceived lack of future prospects.
According to a BBC report, the unemployment rate among university and college graduates aged 15 to 25 in the country stands at a critically high level of 40%. The addition of corruption in public examinations to existing economic strain broke the patience of the youth.
Abhijeet Dipke, founder of the Cockroach Public Party (CJP) movement, led the protests.
The movement derived its name from remarks made in May by Supreme Court Judge Surya Kant, who used the terms “cockroach” and “parasite” in a derogatory reference to unemployed youth and protesters. Young demonstrators adopted the insult as a symbol and named their movement after it.
How the movement unfolded
Young protesters organized street demonstrations demanding the resignation of Education Minister Pradhan. Dipke, who initiated the movement in New Delhi, subsequently organized protests in other parts of the country.
Sonam Wangchuk, one of the protesters, began a hunger strike at the demonstration site in support of the movement. As his physical condition deteriorated, authorities forcibly transferred him to a hospital.
The reaction to Wangchuk’s forcible removal from the protest site caused crowds at the venue to expand rapidly.
Tens of thousands of protesters faced tear gas and baton charges by police while attempting to march on parliament. Some demonstrators engaged in clashes with law enforcement officers.
CJP leaders held talks with ministers from the Modi government, who requested time to evaluate the protesters’ demands internally.
Modi called for unity among lawmakers in the ruling coalition to implement strict measures against exam paper leaks, punish those responsible, and establish a secure, leak-proof system.
Opposition representatives led by Rahul Gandhi staged a sit-in at the entrance of Modi’s official residence demanding Pradhan’s resignation. They were briefly detained by police before being released.
Opposition lawmakers supporting the student protesters disrupted proceedings in parliament. Demonstrations expanded to other regions of the country, including the financial hub of Mumbai.
In his first direct statement regarding the protests, published in a post on X, Modi announced that special courts would be established to prosecute individuals involved in exam paper leaks. Protesters rejected the proposal.
Movement leaders held a second round of talks with the government after Wangchuk ended his 26-day hunger strike.
Following those discussions, the government requested time until the afternoon of the following day to respond to the demand for Pradhan’s resignation.
Education Minister Pradhan subsequently announced his resignation, stating that he was stepping down in light of the situation at the protest site and across the country, as well as to prevent “external forces” from exploiting the environment.
On July 26, Modi announced the creation of a task force headed by technology entrepreneur Nandan Nilekani to overhaul the country’s examination system.
On Monday, July 27, the government presented a bill to parliament proposing amendments to the law governing public examinations. The legislation introduces stiffer penalties for offenders, including extended prison terms and increased monetary fines.
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