Asia
Does US have an alternative to the Taliban?
Two decades ago, NATO forces led by the United States entered Afghanistan to dismantle al-Qaeda. At that time, the main target for the United States was the al-Qaeda group led by Osama bin Laden, not the Taliban – but because the Taliban did not hand Osama over to the US, the Taliban still became the US target. Although some Taliban leaders at the time opposed this decision by the group’s previous leader, Mullah Mohammad Omar, the main decision-maker was the leader himself.
According to American experts, the likelihood of NATO’s war in Afghanistan being prolonged was low; but the war continued and, in addition to material losses, it also caused human losses for NATO. After more than twenty years, the United States and the West decided to end this war and prevent financial costs and casualties of their military forces in Afghanistan.
In addition, as the Taliban were not the main target of the US presence in Afghanistan, there were also differences among American officials about eradicating the Taliban from the geography of Afghanistan. For this reason, the ground was prepared for the Taliban to flee to Pakistan. Pakistan’s ISI served as a guiding light for the US on how to deal with the Taliban. This guidance was also true for the Mujahideen leaders.
The US and Pakistan maintain an opposition and alternative bloc for each ruling group in Afghanistan to challenge and replace the government’s rule when necessary. The relocation of Taliban leaders to the border areas of Pakistan was one of those cases, so that one day they would be brought onto the stage as pawns in the US and Pakistan’s game in Afghanistan, and as soon as they achieved their goals, they would have another group ready. In this regard, the US began negotiations with the Taliban to bring them back to power. The Taliban, as a proxy group, are moving forward with the goals and plans of the US and the guidance of the ISI.
There have been disagreements among American officials regarding the Taliban’s return to power, with American senators occasionally expressing their dissatisfaction openly; however, for the Trump administration in the current situation, the Taliban are a suitable option for governance in Afghanistan for the following reasons:
First:
Trump is moving hastily in achieving his goals, and for this approach, he needs a single group that is strict and consistent in its decisions. Also, financial cost is of great importance to Trump, and the Taliban has been the cheapest group in implementing America’s plans in the region.
Second:
The Taliban opponents, many of whom are members of the former Afghan government, have spent their valuable time with the United States at this historical juncture, and there is currently no opportunity for them to play an absolute role. But this does not mean that they are eliminated from the political games of Afghanistan. Tomorrow, if the Taliban oppose the decisions of the United States even slightly, the Americans will put the groups opposing the Taliban against them.
Third:
The groups opposing the Taliban are living in a state of disorganization. They do not have a coherent plan or idea regarding their stand against the Taliban. Some talk about negotiating and engaging with the Taliban, and some talk about military confrontation; but in reality, they are pursuing their own personal and group interests. Also, the meetings they have held regarding Afghanistan have been mostly verbal in nature and no practical steps have been taken.
Fourth:
The groups opposing the Taliban are more divided among themselves than they are against the Taliban. Before they have liberated Afghanistan from the clutches of the Taliban, they are looking for the type of future system and its internal structures. Therefore, it is clear that the meetings are purely media-related. They have continued this approach for the past twenty years to stay in power and gain wealth. They also undermined their trust with their international partners. The Americans know well that if these individuals are supported again, it will not only be costly, but will also challenge America’s regional plans.
Unfortunately, the main loser in this game is the Afghan people
But the main losers in the game between the US and the Taliban are the Afghan people, who have been turned into the walking dead for more than three years under the Taliban rule and do not have access to their most basic rights. Women have been deprived of the right to education and work, and the geography of Afghanistan has been turned into a prison.
The Taliban have no domestic legitimacy, they are not capable of governing and providing social services. In addition, the level of public dissatisfaction with the Taliban government is increasing with each passing day. In the situation of oppression that the Taliban have created, the public supports any kind of uprising against this group and is trying to overthrow it. The Taliban themselves are aware of the public’s dissatisfaction with it; on this basis, they rule the country by force of arms.
Given the above, America has no alternative to the Taliban in Afghanistan. But the question that arises is – will the Taliban survive?
Given the internal disagreements within the Taliban over decision-making, it seems unlikely that the Taliban will continue to function as a unified force with a single leadership. The Taliban’s “spell of unity” may be broken unless the interests of the US and the ISI deem otherwise. Recently, the Center for Contemporary Afghan Studies in Moscow published a report from its research that suggests that another civil war awaits Afghanistan.
First, war and peace depend on the interests of America and other great powers. Supposedly, if a war is coming, it will not be between the opposition and the Taliban, but within the Taliban group, and the people will be on the opposing side of both branches of the Taliban and will try to destroy this group. In Afghanistan, any group that does not have internal legitimacy and rules with the help of foreign countries is bound to collapse sooner or later.
Ultimately, the US and other major powers do not have a suitable alternative for Afghanistan in the current situation. The Taliban, with all their problems, have been beneficial to US interests in the region and Afghanistan. But the Taliban are on a path that is contrary to the interests of the people, which is not in the interest of this group. In addition, based on the assumptions of realism on which foreign policy is based, interests take precedence over any value for the US. If America’s interests lie in the Taliban today, tomorrow perhaps a better group will be found.
Asia
Pentagon plans covert spy ring for economic war on China, report says
The US Department of War (Pentagon) is reportedly planning to establish an extensive network of deep-cover agents to wage economic warfare against China and other adversaries of the US.
According to a report by The Washington Post citing six sources familiar with the initiative, the plan has not yet been put into effect. The newspaper reported that the initiative remains at the planning stage. The Pentagon, however, denies that any such initiative exists.
The report said the operatives would pose as entrepreneurs or private sector employees while concealing their ties to the US government. The network’s mission would be to gather economic intelligence and counter China.
The programme is led by Tom Rakusa, who spent 39 years at the CIA. Rakusa serves as a senior adviser to Deputy Secretary of Defence Steve Feinberg.
The proposed spy network is seen as part of a broader policy by the Donald Trump administration to sharpen economic competition with other countries.
The US is already resorting to tariffs, export controls, and investment in strategic sectors, alongside expanding its economic intelligence gathering.
According to The Washington Post, the new initiative demonstrates the Pentagon’s growing influence under the Trump administration. The department is currently seeking a record budget of $1.5 trillion.
Trade war flares up again with Trump’s return to the White House
The trade friction between the US and China flared up again following Donald Trump’s return to the White House. In April 2025, Washington raised tariffs on Chinese goods to as much as 145%, and Beijing retaliated with tariffs of up to 125%.
In May, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio described China as the primary geopolitical challenge facing Washington. Rubio said that to avoid war, the two sides needed to manage their conflict of interests.
In July, Chinese expert Zheng Yongnian did not simply warn that underestimating the US could prove to be a “fatal mistake”; he stated it explicitly.
According to Zheng’s assessment, the US maintains its primacy through the role of the dollar, its military superiority, and its technological advantages.
Even so, the two sides agreed in June to declare a truce and lower tariffs. In autumn 2026, the US and China extended their trade truce until 10 January 2027.
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the extension would give the parties more time to discuss economic issues.
Trade deals do not eliminate the strategic contradictions between the two countries. Financial Times columnist Rana Foroohar likened the race between the two nations for commercial, technological, and geopolitical influence to the 19th-century “Great Game” between the Russian and British empires.
Foroohar cited China’s standing in shipbuilding and commercial maritime transport, as well as its expanding footprint in overseas ports, among its key advantages.
Asia
Japan plans curbs on short-term home sales to cool urban prices
Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) plans to restrict short-term property trading to rein in surging home prices in major urban centres, particularly Tokyo.
Led by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, the party aims to make support for working households a core priority ahead of local elections scheduled for April next year.
The LDP’s research commission on housing and land policy met on Wednesday to discuss the issue.
According to a report by the Nikkei Asia newspaper, Commission Chair and LDP lawmaker Midori Matsushima said at the opening of the meeting: “Prices of newly built condominiums across Tokyo’s 23 wards have doubled over the past decade. We must work on measures ensuring that people who wish to live in these homes can actually afford to buy them.”
Homeownership in the capital has become virtually unattainable for broad segments of the population. According to data from the Real Estate Economic Institute, the average sale price of a newly built condominium in Tokyo’s 23 wards rose %18.5 in fiscal 2025 compared with the previous year, reaching 137.84 million yen (around $872,000).
Meanwhile, statistics from the Ministry of Labour show that the average annual income of a full-time worker in the capital remained at 6.78 million yen in fiscal 2025. This widening gap between incomes and residential property prices is directly shaping political priorities.
During its campaign for the House of Representatives election in February, the LDP pledged to curb speculative transactions across metropolitan Tokyo and other regions. Earlier this month, a party project team focused on policies concerning foreign nationals also submitted a recommendation urging the government to introduce immediate tax measures against rising home prices.
Under current legislation, profits realized from properties sold within five years of acquisition are classified as “short-term capital gains”. These returns face a tax rate approaching %40, including income tax and local inhabitant tax.
Although this rate is twice the approximately %20 levied as “long-term capital gains” tax on properties held for more than five years, several party members argue it remains insufficient to deter speculation. Calls to tighten the framework may be considered as part of the annual tax reform package to be drafted in December alongside the LDP’s coalition partner, the Japan Innovation Party.
The ruling bloc wants to present concrete housing pledges to voters heading to the polls in April across numerous urban centres, including 22 of Tokyo’s wards where local assembly terms expire.
“We need to support families with children, who are typically at the stage of purchasing a home,” a senior LDP official said.
Opposition parties are also preparing alternative proposals that target not only prospective homebuyers, but also residents forced into the rental market by high property prices and now affected by escalating rents.
Tax steps take precedence over limits on foreign buyers
Several countries seeking answers to housing affordability pressures have imposed direct restrictions on foreign purchasers. In South Korea, real estate policies played a major part in the declining public approval ratings of President Lee Jae Myung.
In August 2025, authorities in Seoul introduced an approval requirement for foreign nationals buying homes in the capital and adjacent areas, while also mandating that buyers reside in the properties for at least two years.
Canada and Australia have enacted temporary bans on foreign residential purchases, while Singapore levies a %60 additional stamp duty on foreign buyers.
The role of overseas investors in Japan’s property market also drew debate during the February election. However, restrictions aimed directly at foreign nationals are viewed as potentially conflicting with international trade and services agreements.
Consequently, rather than imposing restrictions based on the nationality of buyers, the government is discussing tax measures aimed at speculative real estate deals, such as rapid resales.
Fears that sharp market measures could shake regional banks
Concerns have also surfaced that aggressive steps to force down prices could harm the wider national economy.
A senior LDP tax official cautioned that a steep drop in land prices could weaken local financial institutions, warning: “We must consider the impact on regional banks.”
The real estate sector accounts for roughly %18 of total lending by Japanese banks. This proportion sits well above the %10 level recorded during Japan’s bubble economy of the mid-to-late 1980s.
At certain regional banks, property lending accounts for nearly half of total loan portfolios.
According to March 2025 data from the Financial Services Agency, approximately one-quarter of all loans extended by regional banks to the real estate sector are concentrated directly in Tokyo’s five central wards.
Buoyant asset valuations, supported in part by rising stock indices, have underpinned strong public approval for the Takaichi administration. Observers note that property interventions designed to cool the market could drag down equity prices and weaken the government’s standing.
A senior official on the LDP research commission stressed that decision-makers must act with caution regarding the scope and timing of any measures intended to bring price increases under control.
Asia
South Korea plans $120B spend on eight US nuclear power plants
South Korea will spend $120 billion to construct eight nuclear power plants in the US under an agreement that provides for $350 billion in investments in exchange for lower tariffs.
The South Korean government also announced that Seoul and Washington will begin examining a liquefied natural gas (LNG) project in Alaska comprising a large-scale pipeline to transport natural gas from the north of the state to the south, alongside the construction of an LNG terminal for exports overseas.
Seoul stated that a decision regarding the LNG project will be made following a commercial feasibility study. However, US President Donald Trump said that South Korea would invest $54 billion in the project, pointing to an apparent lack of full coordination between the two sides on the matter.
Trade and Industry Minister Kim Jung-kwan said in a statement: “This announcement opens a new horizon of cooperation where the two countries join forces to develop joint commercial ventures in strategic areas directly linked to economic security and future sectors such as artificial intelligence, nuclear energy, and LNG.”
“We will adhere to the principle of prioritising national interests and investing solely in commercially viable projects,” Kim said.
Speaking at the White House, Trump characterised South Korea’s plans as “one of the largest energy infrastructure investments in American history”.
The announcement followed a meeting between Trump and South Korean President Lee Jae Myung roughly one year ago at the APEC Economic Leaders’ Meeting held in South Korea, where they agreed on the creation of a $350 billion investment fund.
Under that agreement, $150 billion was allocated to the shipbuilding sector and $200 billion to other sectors. In return, the US announced it would reduce tariffs imposed on goods imported from South Korea from 25% to 15%.
Under the nuclear power project, South Korea’s state-controlled utility will build two plants in the US, while Pennsylvania-based Westinghouse Electric will construct six plants.
According to the South Korean government, this will mark the first instance in which a foreign country builds its own nuclear power plants in the US.
South Korean firms are also evaluating the possibility of acquiring a stake in Westinghouse as part of negotiations over sharing profits generated by the project.
South Korea additionally announced that it will build a $22.3 billion natural gas-fired power plant in Texas with a capacity of 6,472 megawatts.
The facility will be designed to supply electricity directly to nearby data centres. The project’s first phase is targeted to begin commercial operations in 2029, with full-capacity operations slated for 2032.
Seoul also disclosed that it had agreed to allow the US to receive 50% of the profits generated by the projects until South Korea recoups all of its investments.
After South Korea fully recovers its total investment amount, 90% of the profits will go to the US.
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