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US elections with zero focus on Afghanistan

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From the year 2001 onwards, it may have happened less often that the issue of Afghanistan was not prominent in the presidential elections of the United States. In the election campaigns of the 2024 presidential election of this country, the candidates of both the Republican and Democratic parties have not addressed the situation in Afghanistan under the Taliban rule, and according to experts, these candidates, in order to gain popular votes, focus more on the two issues, with withdrawal of Afghanistan and the Doha Agreement.

A country (US) that was a strategic partner of Afghanistan for two decades, unlike the previous elections, in 2024 election campaigns no comments were made addressing the current fragile situation of Afghanistan.

Donald Trump, the Republican candidate, and Kamala Harris, the Democratic candidate, discussed more about the withdrawal of American troops from Afghanistan and the signing of the Doha Agreement. They raised these topics only to use it as a powerful tool to criticize and blame each other and use it as a play card in the election campaigns.

Does US elections have any impact on the situation in Afghanistan?

Both the candidates have not mentioned anything about Afghanistan, especially at the time when the girls were banned from going to schools and women prevented from workplaces. Both Harris and Trump did not even mention the situation of Afghanistan. What was important for them was the withdrawal of US troops and the Doha agreement.

It is a historic fact that the Doha agreement was signed during the presidency of Donald Trump and was implemented during the presidency of Biden. So they used this to blame each other, and now it seems that both of them don’t have any specific foreign policy for Afghanistan.  

Therefore, it is important for the Afghan people to know that for the Americans, the interests of their own country are important. With this, either Trump or Harris will focus on Afghanistan.

Some believe that the war in Ukraine and the situation in the Middle East have caused Afghanistan to be marginalized from the United States’ foreign policy agenda.

Afghanistan is somehow on the margins, on the margins even of foreign policy of the US. Today, America is paying more attention to Ukraine and Gaza, and other issues are not that valuable to them, and probably due to this low value, the Americans were pulled out of Afghanistan.

Trump and Harris both promised victory to their supporters.

According to the Reuters, the supporters and fans of Harris are optimistic about her victory, while Trump, referring to recent polls, said that he is optimistic about his victory.

“If we take our people out, it’s over,” Trump said at his final campaign rally in Grand Rapids, Michigan. “There’s nothing they can do about it.”

On the other hand, according to Reuters, one of the reasons for the optimism of Harris’ fans is the announcement of the results of the poll on Saturday, which showed that she surpassed Trump.

In the end, whoever declared as the winner of the US election, nothing significantly will change in the situation of Afghanistan as the new US president will work for the interest of the US alone, and that is it.

MIDDLE EAST

Pakistan airstrikes in Afghanistan kill 46 people, Taliban warns retaliation

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Pakistan has carried out airstrikes targeting three positions in neighboring Afghanistan late on Tuesday night, and apparently the target was against Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) armed group in Paktika province – the Taliban defense official warned of retaliation.

However, Pakistan’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs or the country’s military media wing, the Inter-Services Public Relations (ISPR) has remained silent over the airstrike so far.

But the Taliban spokesman said that the strikes occurred in the Barmal district, near Pakistan’s South Waziristan tribal district in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province, in which 46 people, mostly women and children, lost their lives. He also confirmed that the casualties included those refugees who recently came to Paktiak from Waziristan of Pakistan.

Taliban spokesman Zabihullah Mujahid said that Pakistan targeted four locations in Barmal district and said that six others were wounded in the attack.

Taliban called the airstrikes against international principles and clear aggression against Afghanistan.

Taliban defense ministry also coiffured the attacks and said that civilians had been targeted. Ministry spokesman Enayat Khowarazm said the Pakistani army bombed Barmal district, in which a number of children and other civilians were killed and injured.

“The Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan considers this barbaric act to be against all international principles and a clear aggression, and strongly condemns it. The Pakistani side should know that such arbitrary measures are not a solution to any problem,” Khowarazam said.

Speaking to Harici, Khowarazam said that “Islamic Emirate will not leave this cowardly act unanswered. We consider the defense of our territory as our inalienable right.”

Afghan Defense Minister vowed to retaliated Pakistan’s airstrikes that killed 46 people and wounded six others.

This is the second such incident this year in Afghanistan that came just hours as Pakistan’s Special Envoy for Afghanistan Mohammad Sadiq is already in Kabul and met with top Taliban leadership.

Sadiq met with Interior and Foreign Ministries in Kabul, where both sides discussed issues related to the bilateral topics, including security and border issues. Is there any connection between Sadiq’s visit to Kabul and Pakistan’s airstrikes. What message Pakistan wants to deliver to the Taliban leadership at a time when its special envoy is already in Kabul meeting with Taliban leaders. And most importantly, what message will Sadiq leave when he departs Kabul back to Islamabad.

Pakistan apparently failed to handle the TTP issue through diplomatic channels and went to take military action.  

Pakistan has always used two tools against Afghanistan. On the one hand, they proceed with a diplomatic approach, but on the other hand, they have used intelligence to exert pressure. Pakistan’s recent action is a contradiction, but the reality is that the army makes this decision, not the diplomatic system.

Meanwhile, the Taliban’s diplomatic weakness has made the ground favorable for Pakistan’s military intervention and attacks. In order to defend such attacks, it is necessary to form a legitimate and popular system in Afghanistan.

Islamabad’s relations with the Taliban have gone through significant ups and downs in the past three years. During this period, the Pakistani army has repeatedly targeted what they believe to be the positions of the Pakistan’s Taliban TTP in Afghanistan.

The meetings of Pakistan’s special representative Sadiq with Taliban officials in Kabul were encouraging – but the attack of the Pakistani army in Paktika will have a very negative effect on his trip. Such measures are not the solution and both sides should end the tensions through dialogue.

Islamabad has repeatedly warned about the presence and use of TTP in Afghanistan against Pakistan’s security and has continuously emphasized that they have provided the Taliban with the necessary evidence that TTP is planning attacks from Afghanistan.

Now, however, it is believed that Pakistan is trying to impose diplomacy to force the Taliban to act against the TTP in Afghanistan, but the Taliban have always denied the presence and activities of the TTP inside Afghanistan.

Increasing attacks in Pakistan by TTP fighters since Taliban takeover

Pakistan has repeatedly accused the Taliban government for harboring TTP, and also Islamabad claims that they carried out enormous cross-border attacks targeting security forces.

Last week, TTP claimed responsibility for killing at least 16 Pakistani forces in South Waziristan. After the attack, the Pakistan army said that TTP conducts its operation from Afghan sanctuaries, and the claim comes when the Taliban deny providing refuge to the TTP fighters.

During his briefing at the UNSC meeting last week, Usman Iqbal Jadoon said that thousands of TTP fighters have sought shelter in Afghanistan.

“The TTP, with 6,000 fighters, is the largest listed terrorist organisation operating in Afghanistan. With safe havens close to our border, it poses a direct and daily threat to Pakistan’s security,” Jadoon said at the UN briefing.

North Waziristan, a region bordering Paktika, where Pakistan conducted airstrikes against TTP fighters, has historically been a stronghold for different militant groups.

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Houthi threats target U.S. amid Israel and Saudi coalition’s military actions

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As the United States and Israel prepare to launch a comprehensive operation against the Houthis, the Arab coalition, backed by the UAE and Saudi Arabia, has initiated a military offensive in the city of Taiz, located in southwestern Yemen.

In a statement issued by the Taiz Military Unit affiliated with the Arab coalition, it was reported that eight Houthi fighters were killed during an attack on a position held by army forces in the air defense front, northwest of the city center. Additionally, the statement noted that 15 Houthi personnel were wounded, while no details were provided regarding casualties on the side of the army units.

A subsequent statement released by the army yesterday claimed that the Houthi attack on the same front had been successfully repelled.

The city of Taiz holds strategic importance due to its location along a key road connecting it to the southern provinces, including Aden. The Houthis have maintained control over the capital Sanaa and several other regions since September 2014. In response, the Saudi Arabia-led coalition has supported the Yemeni government against the Houthis since March 2015.

With the withdrawal of Hezbollah from the conflict following a ceasefire, the overthrow of the Assad administration in Syria, and the decision by Iraqi militia forces to cease attacks on Israel, the Houthis remain the only group actively targeting Israel as a response to the violence in Gaza. In this context, both Israel and the United States are reportedly preparing for a large-scale operation against the Houthis, targeting their positions intermittently.

The Houthis, in turn, have escalated their threats, warning of potential strikes on U.S. targets in the Middle East if military operations in Yemen persist. Mohammed Ali al-Houthi, a member of the group’s Supreme Political Council, declared in a video posted on his X account (formerly Twitter):

“We warn the Americans not to target Yemen. Otherwise, we will attack American interests in the Middle East regardless of any red lines.”

He further stated:

“Either Israel’s attacks on Gaza and Yemen will stop, or we will target sensitive American targets that can ‘convey our message.’”

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HTS Foreign Minister warns Iran in first official statement

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In response to a statement by Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the newly established government in Damascus under the leadership of HTS issued a strong warning. Khamenei had commented, “Syrian youth have nothing left to lose. We foresee the emergence of a strong movement in Syria.” In his first public message since taking office, Asaad Hassan Shaybani, Foreign Minister of the Syrian interim government, emphasized Syria’s sovereignty and territorial integrity.

Posting on his official X account, Shaybani called on Iran to respect the sovereignty and the will of the Syrian people. He stated, “Iran must respect the will of the Syrian people, the sovereignty, and territorial integrity of the country. We warn Iran to refrain from spreading chaos in Syria and hold it responsible for the consequences of recent statements.”

Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, speaking in Tehran, described the ongoing crisis in Syria as the result of foreign intervention. “A rebel group in Syria, with the planning and help of foreign powers, has used the weaknesses within the Syrian state to plunge it into chaos,” Khamenei remarked. Drawing parallels with Lebanon, he added, “Noting that Hezbollah emerged during the Lebanese civil war, we predict that a strong and honorable movement will emerge in Syria. Syrian youth, having nothing left to lose—their schools, universities, homes, and streets being unsafe—must mobilize with determination, stand against the architects of insecurity, and prevail over them.”

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