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US move brings Netanyahu to his knees, not Israel

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The US abstention for the first time on the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) resolution calling for a ceasefire in Gaza has further strained Biden-Netanyahu relations, which have been tense for some time. Netanyahu cancelled the programme of the Israeli delegation that was due to travel to the US to discuss the Rafah operation plan. The US, which does not want to stop Israel’s attack on Gaza but wants to save its own damaged image and bring Netanyahu to his knees, claimed that the UNSC resolution was not binding, which drew the reaction of the UN.

The US abstained from yesterday’s call for a ceasefire after rejecting 6 of the UNSC resolutions calling for a ceasefire since Israel’s attacks on Gaza began, making it the first time since 7 October that the UNSC has called for an emergency ceasefire in Gaza.

In the draft resolution prepared by non-permanent UNSC members Algeria, Ecuador, Guyana, Japan, Malta, Mozambique, South Korea, Sierra Leone, Slovenia and Switzerland, the phrase “permanent ceasefire” was agreed. At the last moment, the US delegation requested an amendment to the text of the draft resolution, replacing the word “permanent” with “durable”. This is believed to have given the US more flexibility in the ceasefire process.

The resolution, which calls for “an immediate ceasefire during Ramadan that is respected by all parties, leading to a permanent and sustainable ceasefire, and the immediate and unconditional release of all hostages,” also calls for access for humanitarian and medical assistance to the hostages.

Reaction from Israel

Following the decision, Israeli Foreign Minister Yisrael Katz said: “Israel will not stop firing. We will destroy Hamas”. Netanayhu announced that he had cancelled the delegation’s visit to Washington for the Rafah operation in light of the US abstention. The Israeli opposition blamed Netanyahu for the US abstention.

Why did the US take this step now?

US President Joe Biden, the leader of the Democrats, is facing criticism from his own base as well as on the international stage over the ongoing Israeli attacks in Gaza, which do not spare civilians. Biden is the target of criticism both for his support of Israel and for his inability to rein in Netanyahu. Biden is trying to take careful steps to mitigate the criticism, but not to confront the Israel lobby, which is known to be quite strong. For some time, Biden has been urging Netanyahu to present a credible and coherent vision for post-war Gaza and to prepare a realistic plan for a ground operation in Rafah that would not harm civilians. But the Netanyahu government, which rejected the US plans for the next day, has failed to explain its own vision, nor has it been able to present a convincing plan for Rafah. To sum up, the US does not want Israel to stop the Gaza operation altogether, but to limit it to the extent that civilian casualties are reduced, or at least to present a vision along these lines.

Netanyahu, who rejects all US demands, hopes to stall Washington until the presidential elections in November. The Biden administration has taken several steps to “teach” the Israeli prime minister a lesson for his intransigence. First, he hosted Benny Gantz, a member of the war cabinet and possible next Israeli prime minister, in Washington, despite Netanyahu’s opposition. Then Biden’s close friend, Democratic Senator Chuck Schumer, said that Israel should go to elections, which was applauded by Biden. Since these moves by the Biden administration were aimed at Netanyahu, they did not elicit a reaction from the Israel lobby.

The reason for the “non-binding” statement

The abstention on the UNSC resolution, however, may not be greeted with the same optimism. Even if it puts Netanyahu in a difficult situation, it has consequences for Israel.

Indeed, in the wake of this resolution, which provoked Israel’s reaction, the Washington administration surprisingly claimed that the UNSC resolution was not binding and reiterated its support for Israel. White House National Security Communications Advisor John Kirby said that they did not veto the Gaza resolution because of the combination of the demand for a ceasefire and the release of all hostages and the reference to the ongoing hostage negotiations. On the other hand, Kirby explained that they abstained from voting “yes” because Hamas was not condemned in the text of the bill, saying, “Our vote does not represent a change in our policy.Noting that they had seen the release of hostages as the most important part of the ceasefire agreement from the beginning, Kirby said, “We continue to stand behind Israel.We continue to provide them with the resources and military capabilities they need to defend themselves against Hamas. Nothing in this non-binding resolution has changed in terms of what Israel can and cannot do in terms of self-defence.

The US had put a similar resolution, which it claimed was non-binding, to a vote in the UN Security Council, but it was not adopted due to the vetoes of Russia and China.

The US claim that the resolution is non-binding is linked to the fact that the resolution uses the phrase “a ceasefire is requested” instead of “decides on the need for a ceasefire” according to Article 7 of the UN Charter.However, under Article 25 of the UN Charter, resolutions do not have to refer to Article 7 to be binding.

The US “non-binding” statement drew the reaction of the UN and other countries.UN deputy spokesman Farhan Haq said: “All UN Security Council resolutions are international law. Just as international law is binding, so are UNSC resolutions”. UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres also stressed that “this resolution must be implemented, its failure is inexcusable”.

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Qatar to fund Syrian public sector salaries

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Qatar will provide a monthly grant of $29 million for three months to support the economic recovery of the new administration led by HTS in Syria.

Syrian Finance Minister Muhammed Barniyeh announced that Qatar would provide support for the payment of salaries for public sector employees. The minister stated that this aid is exempt from US sanctions.

In a statement to the state news agency SANA on Wednesday night, Syrian Finance Minister Muhammed Barniyeh said, “We thank the government of Qatar for its generous grant to cover a portion of current salary and wage payments.”

Barniyeh stated that the aid would be $29 million per month for three months and would cover salaries in sectors such as health, education, and social services, as well as non-military pensions.

Emphasizing that this mechanism is exempt from US sanctions, Barniyeh also thanked the US Department of the Treasury for its swift response on the matter.

Since overthrowing the Bashar al-Assad administration in December, the interim administration has increased its diplomatic contacts aimed at lifting US and EU sanctions.

Finance Minister Barniyeh said he hoped this financial support would be “the beginning of new steps.” Barniyeh stated that the aid would be managed through the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) and covers approximately one-fifth of current public salaries, which is 20%.

Qatar is among the leading regional supporters of the new interim government in Syria, alongside Turkey. In January, diplomatic sources reported that Qatar was working on a plan to finance the new administration in Syria to increase public salaries.

In addition to this move, Qatar, along with Saudi Arabia, decided in recent weeks to assume a portion of Syria’s debts to the World Bank Group.

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Syria’s interim president confirms indirect talks with Israel

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France has become the first European country to host Syria’s interim President, Ahmed Shara. Appearing before cameras with Macron in Paris, Shara announced that indirect talks between Syria and Israel are ongoing.

France, Syria’s former colonial power, hosted Ahmed Shara, who assumed the role of interim President, for official talks in Paris, aligning with its goal of increasing influence in the country. Shara met with President Emmanuel Macron in France, arriving with special permission from the United Nations.

Topics discussed during the meeting included post-war reconstruction and economic cooperation, as well as Israeli attacks. A Syrian government official stated that the meeting focused on these areas.

A statement from the Elysee Palace said, “This meeting is part of France’s historical commitment to the Syrian people who desire peace and democracy.”

France aims to increase its effectiveness in Syria following Russia’s long-standing influence. French companies are also striving to be involved in significant projects during the reconstruction process. Last week, the French logistics giant CMA CGM signed an agreement covering the right to develop and operate the Port of Latakia for 30 years.

Responding to questions about Israel’s attacks on Syria during the joint press conference held after the meeting, Shara said that indirect talks between the two countries are continuing. “Indirect talks with Israel are ongoing. This is an initiative aimed at de-escalating the situation before it gets out of control,” he stated.

Describing Israel’s interventions as “random and irregular,” Shara used the following expressions:

“Israel violated the 1974 agreement. From the moment we arrived in Damascus, we conveyed to all parties that Syria is committed to the 1974 agreement and that the UN-affiliated UNDOF forces should return to the blue line in the Golan. We are trying to exert pressure by communicating with all countries that have relations with Israel, so that Israel does not interfere in Syria’s internal affairs, violate its airspace, and bomb certain facilities. In this way, events can be prevented from getting out of control.”

Reuters had reported that the United Arab Emirates (UAE) was mediating secret security and intelligence-focused contacts between Israel and Syria.

Speaking about EU sanctions on Syria, Shara said that keeping these sanctions in place after the overthrow of the Bashar al-Assad administration was “unjust.” “These sanctions were imposed because of the crimes committed by the previous regime. However, there is no longer any justification for continuing these sanctions,” Shara said, emphasizing that the security of Syrians is their highest priority.

Responding to a question about foreign fighters in Syria, Shara said that these individuals would be subject to Syrian laws and that they had pledged not to pose a threat to neighboring countries or their home countries.

He also noted that some foreign fighters have married Syrian women and had children, stating, “These individuals can obtain citizenship if they meet the legal requirements defined in the Syrian Constitution. This matter should be resolved in a respectful and dignified manner, befitting those who support the Syrian people.”

French President Macron, for his part, stated that if Syria maintains its current political trajectory, they will work towards the gradual lifting of European Union sanctions.

“I told the President that if he continues on this path, we will also gradually lift European sanctions and will try to convince our American partners in this regard,” he said.

“The stability and unity of Syria are of great importance for the stability of the Middle East and for the security of the French and Europeans,” Macron said, emphasizing the necessity of cooperation with Syria in the fight against ISIS.

Macron also advocated for a joint fight against Hezbollah, stating, “A significant part of our cooperation is to intensify the fight against Hezbollah, counter the influence of Iran and its proxy elements in the region, and contribute to the stability of Syria and Lebanon.”

Macron also criticized Israel’s attacks on Syria, saying, “I do not think you can ensure your own security by violating the territorial integrity of your neighbors. Bombings and violations are bad practices. I will not apply a double standard to anyone on this matter,” he added, stating that a closer dialogue with Israel should be established.

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France seeks larger role in Syria as Shara visits Paris

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Syria’s transitional President Ahmed Shara is scheduled to meet with French President Emmanuel Macron in Paris today.

According to a report from Reuters, Shara received special travel permission from the United Nations despite being on a sanctions list due to his leadership of HTS.

French officials indicated that discussions would cover ensuring Syria’s sovereignty and security, the status of minorities following recent attacks on Alawites and Druze, efforts to combat ISIS, and coordinating economic support, including humanitarian aid and the potential easing of sanctions.

An official from the Elysee Palace commented, “Given the significant challenges Syria faces, it is clear that support is anticipated from France and other international partners.” The official also stressed that Paris is not overlooking Shara’s past jihadist affiliations and that its demands regarding the transition process remain unchanged.

France, which severed diplomatic ties with the Assad regime in 2012, welcomed its collapse and began fostering relations with the transitional government. President Macron recently held a trilateral video conference with Shara and Lebanese President Joseph Aoun.

Last month, Paris took a preliminary step towards reopening its embassy in Damascus by appointing a chargé d’affaires with a small diplomatic team.

Separately, a Reuters report noted that as the US began its withdrawal from the region and the new Syrian leadership sought to consolidate control under Damascus, France acted as a mediator between Shara and the SDF.

An official from the French presidency confirmed that consultations with Washington are ongoing concerning the US withdrawal process and France’s potential to assume a more prominent role in the region.

The World Bank estimates the cost of Syria’s reconstruction will exceed $250 billion. The Shara administration urgently requires sanctions relief to revitalize the economy, severely damaged by 14 years of conflict. The US, EU, and UK had imposed stringent economic sanctions on the Assad regime.

Syria hopes the EU will not renew these sanctions. Renewal requires the unanimous agreement of all 27 member states. However, options such as a limited extension or the removal of certain key entities, like the Central Bank of Syria, from the list are also being considered.

The Elysee official stated, “One of the primary obstacles is the presence of US sanctions, which hinder the transitional government’s ability to engage in reconstruction and attract foreign investment.”

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