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Xi warns Trump Taiwan could push US-China ties toward conflict

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Chinese President Xi Jinping told Donald Trump that the United States and China should be “partners, not rivals,” while warning that disagreements over Taiwan could push bilateral relations onto a dangerous path and even trigger conflict.

The two leaders met in Beijing on Thursday for a long-anticipated summit focused on the Strait of Hormuz blockade, Taiwan, trade and opportunities for US businesses.

At the start of the talks, Xi said trade negotiations had made progress, but warned that any dispute over Taiwan could steer China-US relations in a perilous direction. Xi’s remarks on Taiwan were notably blunt, while Trump described the summit as “perhaps the greatest summit ever held.”

Xi said China and the United States “must create a new paradigm for relations between major powers.”

“The two countries should be partners, not rivals. We should help each other succeed … and find the right way for major countries to coexist,” he said.

The first visit to China by a US president in roughly nine years has taken on added significance as Trump faces falling approval ratings amid the Iran war.

Trump praises Xi: “You have a great leader”

Trump opened the talks by praising Xi during a ceremony at Beijing’s Great Hall of the People, an imperial-era symbol where children welcomed the US president with flowers and flags.

“You have a great leader. Sometimes people don’t want me to say that, but I say it anyway,” Trump said in brief opening remarks. “Some say this could be the greatest summit ever held.”

Trump also introduced the business delegation accompanying him.

“We have the greatest businessmen in the world … and they are here today to pay their respects to you,” he said.

State television showed Xi descending the steps of the Great Hall overlooking Tiananmen Square as Trump arrived with a convoy of black presidential vehicles. Trump greeted Cai Qi, a close Xi ally and member of the seven-man Politburo Standing Committee, along with Foreign Minister Wang Yi and economic chief He Lifeng.

Xi shook hands with members of Trump’s delegation, including US Ambassador to Beijing David Perdue, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. Leading US business executives, including Apple CEO Tim Cook, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang, Tesla CEO Elon Musk and Citigroup CEO Jane Fraser, stood immediately behind US officials.

The two leaders held bilateral talks covering the Iran war, Taiwan, rare earths and artificial intelligence. They also agreed to expand cooperation in trade and agriculture and exchanged views on developments in the Middle East, Ukraine and the Korean Peninsula.

Later, Xi said Chinese and US economic and trade teams had achieved “generally balanced and positive results” during talks in South Korea on Wednesday. Those discussions were aimed at preserving the fragile trade truce reached last October between the world’s two largest economies and establishing mechanisms for future trade and investment.

Xi was due to host Trump for a state dinner later in the evening, with Trump’s son Eric also attending. On Friday, Trump is scheduled to have tea and a working lunch with Xi before departing for the United States.

Taiwan warning

Xi also addressed Taiwan. Although both the United Nations and the United States officially recognize Taiwan as part of China, Washington continues to supply arms to the island.

China reiterated on Wednesday its strong opposition to US arms sales to Taiwan, while uncertainty remains over a $14 billion package awaiting Trump’s approval.

Xi told Trump that Taiwan was the most important issue facing the two countries and warned that mishandling it could place the entire China-US relationship in an extremely dangerous position, potentially leading the two countries toward collision or even conflict.

Joe Mazur, a geopolitical analyst at consultancy Trivium China, said Beijing had issued harsh warnings on Taiwan before, but described Xi’s comments as particularly notable.

“He is clearly telling the US side: if you do not take this seriously, you are going to get yourselves into trouble,” Mazur said.

Chinese state media, which often criticizes the United States sharply, adopted a positive tone ahead of the meeting. In an editorial published Thursday, the Communist Party-backed Global Times said “head-of-state diplomacy plays an irreplaceable strategic guiding role in China-US relations” and added that “the future of China-US relations is bright.”

Trump said on Wednesday that his “first request” to Xi would be to create a more favorable environment for major US companies. At the same time, he said he expected to discuss the Strait of Hormuz crisis with the Chinese leader. Washington hopes Beijing, as Iran’s main oil customer, could pressure Tehran to keep the waterway open.

Xi, meanwhile, may seek concessions from Trump, including limits on arms sales to Taiwan or a softer US diplomatic stance on Taiwanese independence.

William Yang, a senior analyst at the International Crisis Group, said senior government officials in Taiwan, Japan and the Philippines were “concerned” about how Trump would handle Xi’s demands regarding Taiwan. Those concerns have intensified as US military attention in Asia becomes increasingly strained by the Middle East conflict.

Challenges

Analysts say the relationship between the two sides remains burdened by difficult issues.

The United States has imposed sanctions on Chinese refineries purchasing Iranian oil, while China has introduced new rules providing for severe penalties against any company or individual capable of disrupting supply chains domestically or abroad.

At the height of last year’s trade war, Chinese export restrictions on rare earths caused major industrial disruptions in the United States, Europe, India and elsewhere.

Trump also said he would raise the case of businessman Jimmy Lai, who was imprisoned following the 2019 Hong Kong protests.

Republican Senator Steve Daines of Montana, who visited China last week, said Washington hoped to reach agreements with Beijing involving Boeing aircraft, beef and soybean purchases.

“Boeing has not received a single order in the past nine years. There could be a major aircraft deal with Boeing,” Daines said.

Shifting power dynamics

Power dynamics have shifted since Trump’s last visit to Beijing in 2017. At the time, China gave the US president an exceptionally lavish استقبال and placed billions of dollars in orders for US goods.

But Ali Wyne, senior adviser for US-China relations at the International Crisis Group, said Trump now acknowledges China’s growing status, noting that he revived the term “G2” during talks with Xi at the APEC summit in South Korea in October.

Trump enters the talks from a weakened position. US courts have curtailed his ability to impose sweeping tariffs on exports from China and other countries. The Iran war has also fueled inflationary pressures in the United States, increasing the risk that Trump’s Republican Party could lose control of one or both chambers of Congress in November’s midterm elections.

Although China’s economy also faces difficulties, Xi is not under comparable economic or political pressure. Still, both sides appear committed to maintaining the trade truce agreed last October, under which Trump suspended tariffs of several hundred percentage points on Chinese goods while Xi eased restrictions on rare earth supplies.

Xi is also expected to make a reciprocal visit to the United States later this year, which would mark his first trip to the country since Trump began his second term in 2025.

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Pentagon plans covert spy ring for economic war on China, report says

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The US Department of War (Pentagon) is reportedly planning to establish an extensive network of deep-cover agents to wage economic warfare against China and other adversaries of the US.

According to a report by The Washington Post citing six sources familiar with the initiative, the plan has not yet been put into effect. The newspaper reported that the initiative remains at the planning stage. The Pentagon, however, denies that any such initiative exists.

The report said the operatives would pose as entrepreneurs or private sector employees while concealing their ties to the US government. The network’s mission would be to gather economic intelligence and counter China.

The programme is led by Tom Rakusa, who spent 39 years at the CIA. Rakusa serves as a senior adviser to Deputy Secretary of Defence Steve Feinberg.

The proposed spy network is seen as part of a broader policy by the Donald Trump administration to sharpen economic competition with other countries.

The US is already resorting to tariffs, export controls, and investment in strategic sectors, alongside expanding its economic intelligence gathering.

According to The Washington Post, the new initiative demonstrates the Pentagon’s growing influence under the Trump administration. The department is currently seeking a record budget of $1.5 trillion.

Trade war flares up again with Trump’s return to the White House

The trade friction between the US and China flared up again following Donald Trump’s return to the White House. In April 2025, Washington raised tariffs on Chinese goods to as much as 145%, and Beijing retaliated with tariffs of up to 125%.

In May, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio described China as the primary geopolitical challenge facing Washington. Rubio said that to avoid war, the two sides needed to manage their conflict of interests.

In July, Chinese expert Zheng Yongnian did not simply warn that underestimating the US could prove to be a “fatal mistake”; he stated it explicitly.

According to Zheng’s assessment, the US maintains its primacy through the role of the dollar, its military superiority, and its technological advantages.

Even so, the two sides agreed in June to declare a truce and lower tariffs. In autumn 2026, the US and China extended their trade truce until 10 January 2027.

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the extension would give the parties more time to discuss economic issues.

Trade deals do not eliminate the strategic contradictions between the two countries. Financial Times columnist Rana Foroohar likened the race between the two nations for commercial, technological, and geopolitical influence to the 19th-century “Great Game” between the Russian and British empires.

Foroohar cited China’s standing in shipbuilding and commercial maritime transport, as well as its expanding footprint in overseas ports, among its key advantages.

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Japan plans curbs on short-term home sales to cool urban prices

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Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) plans to restrict short-term property trading to rein in surging home prices in major urban centres, particularly Tokyo.

Led by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, the party aims to make support for working households a core priority ahead of local elections scheduled for April next year.

The LDP’s research commission on housing and land policy met on Wednesday to discuss the issue.

According to a report by the Nikkei Asia newspaper, Commission Chair and LDP lawmaker Midori Matsushima said at the opening of the meeting: “Prices of newly built condominiums across Tokyo’s 23 wards have doubled over the past decade. We must work on measures ensuring that people who wish to live in these homes can actually afford to buy them.”

Homeownership in the capital has become virtually unattainable for broad segments of the population. According to data from the Real Estate Economic Institute, the average sale price of a newly built condominium in Tokyo’s 23 wards rose %18.5 in fiscal 2025 compared with the previous year, reaching 137.84 million yen (around $872,000).

Meanwhile, statistics from the Ministry of Labour show that the average annual income of a full-time worker in the capital remained at 6.78 million yen in fiscal 2025. This widening gap between incomes and residential property prices is directly shaping political priorities.

During its campaign for the House of Representatives election in February, the LDP pledged to curb speculative transactions across metropolitan Tokyo and other regions. Earlier this month, a party project team focused on policies concerning foreign nationals also submitted a recommendation urging the government to introduce immediate tax measures against rising home prices.

Under current legislation, profits realized from properties sold within five years of acquisition are classified as “short-term capital gains”. These returns face a tax rate approaching %40, including income tax and local inhabitant tax.

Although this rate is twice the approximately %20 levied as “long-term capital gains” tax on properties held for more than five years, several party members argue it remains insufficient to deter speculation. Calls to tighten the framework may be considered as part of the annual tax reform package to be drafted in December alongside the LDP’s coalition partner, the Japan Innovation Party.

The ruling bloc wants to present concrete housing pledges to voters heading to the polls in April across numerous urban centres, including 22 of Tokyo’s wards where local assembly terms expire.

“We need to support families with children, who are typically at the stage of purchasing a home,” a senior LDP official said.

Opposition parties are also preparing alternative proposals that target not only prospective homebuyers, but also residents forced into the rental market by high property prices and now affected by escalating rents.

Tax steps take precedence over limits on foreign buyers

Several countries seeking answers to housing affordability pressures have imposed direct restrictions on foreign purchasers. In South Korea, real estate policies played a major part in the declining public approval ratings of President Lee Jae Myung.

In August 2025, authorities in Seoul introduced an approval requirement for foreign nationals buying homes in the capital and adjacent areas, while also mandating that buyers reside in the properties for at least two years.

Canada and Australia have enacted temporary bans on foreign residential purchases, while Singapore levies a %60 additional stamp duty on foreign buyers.

The role of overseas investors in Japan’s property market also drew debate during the February election. However, restrictions aimed directly at foreign nationals are viewed as potentially conflicting with international trade and services agreements.

Consequently, rather than imposing restrictions based on the nationality of buyers, the government is discussing tax measures aimed at speculative real estate deals, such as rapid resales.

Fears that sharp market measures could shake regional banks

Concerns have also surfaced that aggressive steps to force down prices could harm the wider national economy.

A senior LDP tax official cautioned that a steep drop in land prices could weaken local financial institutions, warning: “We must consider the impact on regional banks.”

The real estate sector accounts for roughly %18 of total lending by Japanese banks. This proportion sits well above the %10 level recorded during Japan’s bubble economy of the mid-to-late 1980s.

At certain regional banks, property lending accounts for nearly half of total loan portfolios.

According to March 2025 data from the Financial Services Agency, approximately one-quarter of all loans extended by regional banks to the real estate sector are concentrated directly in Tokyo’s five central wards.

Buoyant asset valuations, supported in part by rising stock indices, have underpinned strong public approval for the Takaichi administration. Observers note that property interventions designed to cool the market could drag down equity prices and weaken the government’s standing.

A senior official on the LDP research commission stressed that decision-makers must act with caution regarding the scope and timing of any measures intended to bring price increases under control.

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South Korea plans $120B spend on eight US nuclear power plants

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South Korea will spend $120 billion to construct eight nuclear power plants in the US under an agreement that provides for $350 billion in investments in exchange for lower tariffs.

The South Korean government also announced that Seoul and Washington will begin examining a liquefied natural gas (LNG) project in Alaska comprising a large-scale pipeline to transport natural gas from the north of the state to the south, alongside the construction of an LNG terminal for exports overseas.

Seoul stated that a decision regarding the LNG project will be made following a commercial feasibility study. However, US President Donald Trump said that South Korea would invest $54 billion in the project, pointing to an apparent lack of full coordination between the two sides on the matter.

Trade and Industry Minister Kim Jung-kwan said in a statement: “This announcement opens a new horizon of cooperation where the two countries join forces to develop joint commercial ventures in strategic areas directly linked to economic security and future sectors such as artificial intelligence, nuclear energy, and LNG.”

“We will adhere to the principle of prioritising national interests and investing solely in commercially viable projects,” Kim said.

Speaking at the White House, Trump characterised South Korea’s plans as “one of the largest energy infrastructure investments in American history”.

The announcement followed a meeting between Trump and South Korean President Lee Jae Myung roughly one year ago at the APEC Economic Leaders’ Meeting held in South Korea, where they agreed on the creation of a $350 billion investment fund.

Under that agreement, $150 billion was allocated to the shipbuilding sector and $200 billion to other sectors. In return, the US announced it would reduce tariffs imposed on goods imported from South Korea from 25% to 15%.

Under the nuclear power project, South Korea’s state-controlled utility will build two plants in the US, while Pennsylvania-based Westinghouse Electric will construct six plants.

According to the South Korean government, this will mark the first instance in which a foreign country builds its own nuclear power plants in the US.

South Korean firms are also evaluating the possibility of acquiring a stake in Westinghouse as part of negotiations over sharing profits generated by the project.

South Korea additionally announced that it will build a $22.3 billion natural gas-fired power plant in Texas with a capacity of 6,472 megawatts.

The facility will be designed to supply electricity directly to nearby data centres. The project’s first phase is targeted to begin commercial operations in 2029, with full-capacity operations slated for 2032.

Seoul also disclosed that it had agreed to allow the US to receive 50% of the profits generated by the projects until South Korea recoups all of its investments.

After South Korea fully recovers its total investment amount, 90% of the profits will go to the US.

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