Diplomacy
The Forum on Political Islam was held in Abu Dhabi
Forum on “Countering Extremist Ideology” hosted by TRENDS in Abu Dhabi ends with call for a “comprehensive roadmap”
At the event, where Harici was among the media partners, experts highlighted common patterns of ideology-driven violence and called for a comprehensive roadmap and the strengthening of citizenship values.
Abu Dhabi – September 16, 2025 — The 5th Annual Political Islam Forum, organized by the TRENDS Research and Advisory Center under the theme “Together with Knowledge Against Extremism” at the Fairmont Bab Al Bahr Hotel, addressed the “shared patterns of violence” associated with ideology-driven extremism. Senior officials, academics, and researchers from the UAE, Saudi Arabia, the United Kingdom, the United States, Canada, France, Italy, India, Indonesia, Portugal, Poland, Egypt, and Jordan participated on the Forum.

Among the keynote speakers were former UK Defense Secretary Sir Liam Fox and French Senator Nathalie Goulet.
Participants emphasized that countering extremism cannot be limited to security measures but requires a multilayered approach encompassing intellectual, social, and cultural dimensions. Key recommendations included strengthening democratic values and the rule of law, distinguishing genuine grievances from ideological exploitation, opening civic channels for youth leadership and innovation, and protecting educational institutions from the influence of politicized religiosity.

In his opening remarks, TRENDS CEO Dr. Mohammed Abdullah Al-Ali stressed the need for “new intellectual maps” to reveal implicit intersections between extremist currents, adding that permanent results cannot be achieved without dismantling propaganda and recruitment mechanisms in the digital age. He called for going beyond dispersing hate speech to also exposing the “illusions that enable such discourse.”
Dr. Al-Ali pointed to the Muslim Brotherhood as an example of ideology’s capacity to merge missionary rhetoric with violent projects, noting that the Brotherhood capitalized on the digital revolution to recruit followers via online platforms. He warned that combating extremism requires a global roadmap that combines intellectual and political expertise with alliances, one that dismantles the illusions enabling groups to attract new generations. He concluded by calling for collective efforts that integrate academic research, public policy, technology, and political will, transforming platforms into spaces for narratives of coexistence and humanity rather than ideological violence.
The Mohammed Bin Zayed University for Humanities (MBZUH) became the first recipient of the TRENDS Global Award for Countering Extremist Ideology for its measurable contributions. Prof. Radwan Al-Sayyid, member of the TRENDS Scientific and Academic Council, highlighted the university’s role in promoting values of moderation, citizenship, and dialogue.
Throughout the discussions, speakers underlined that extremist movements share similar cognitive and behavioral structures—such as closed worldviews, “us versus them” divisions, leader cults, conspiracy rhetoric, and narratives legitimizing violence. Dr. Khalifa Mubarak Al-Dhaheri (MBZUH) explained that such movements adopt strategies rejecting national frameworks while relying on an alliances–disinformation–violence spiral.
Sir Liam Fox argued that the term “religious extremist” is misleading, emphasizing that they are “political actors instrumentalizing religion.” Referring to Popper’s Paradox of Tolerance, he stressed that intolerance must not be tolerated under the guise of tolerance. Senator Nathalie Goulet highlighted the overlapping violence and financing between political Islam and the far-right, drawing attention to opaque fund flows, misuse of charities, and crypto-assets.
The digital sphere was emphasized as crucial, with calls for cooperation between governments, civil society, and technology companies to run awareness campaigns against online extremist content, and to strengthen alternative narratives around pluralism and citizenship. Additional proposals included holding all state or organizational actors involved in ideological violence accountable before international law, establishing early warning networks, and expanding rehabilitation programs for former extremists.

Key Session Highlights
- High-Level Session moderated by Paul Cruickshank (Editor-in-Chief, CTC Sentinel, West Point):
- Fiyaz Mughal (Faith Matters) explained that extremism feeds on the fusion of real grievances and identity crises, with social media creating echo chambers that accelerate radicalization.
- H.E. Dherar Belhoul Al Falasi (Al-Majlis Group) noted that some structures attempt to channel students into networks through boycott campaigns, thus gaining influence and funding in the education sector.
- First Session:
- Prof. Alessandro Ferrari (Insubria) presented the concept of “militant democracy” as a tool that safeguards freedoms while countering democracy’s enemies.
- Prof. Radwan Al-Sayyid stressed the need for a new reading of history and that the modern nation-state is the necessary framework for fighting extremism.
- Dr. Vael Salih highlighted common emotional mobilization, binary worldviews, and symbolic violence across movements.
- Prof. Patrice Brodeur (Montreal) emphasized holistic cooperation across political, religious, educational, and social domains.
- Dr. Orla Lynch (Cork) urged a focus on participation motivations.
- Second Session:
- Spasimir Domaradzki (Warsaw) shared Central and Eastern European experiences of dismantling extremism’s intellectual foundations.
- Mohammed Halfan Al-Sawafi noted ideological extremism spans a broad spectrum, including nationalism and neo-Nazism.
- Meshari Al-Taydi (Asharq Al-Awsat) called for systematizing source research.
- Dr. Anne Speckhard (ICSV) defined terrorism’s “deadly cocktail” as group–ideology–social support–individual motivation, stressing that “group” dynamics trigger violence.
- Aimen Dean (UK) shared methods for practically analyzing participation motivations.
- Third Session:
- Dr. José Pedro Zúquete (Lisbon) examined “reciprocal radicalization” between identity movements and Islamist groups in Europe.
- Imam Mohammed Tawhidi called on religious leaders to prevent the misuse of sacred texts to justify violence.
- Prof. Yon Machmudi (Indonesia) proposed a combination of “hard power” (law, security) and “soft power” (deradicalization, education, community empowerment).
- Dr. Orla Lynch added that lessons from former members could inform audience-targeting strategies.
- Fourth Session:
- Omar Al-Bashir Al-Turabi (Al-Mesbar) explained the “supply chain” of extremist thought, built on social bases through education and charity.
- Abdullah bin Bijad Al-Otaibi pointed to the historical continuity of extremism.
- Hamad Al-Husani (TRENDS) stressed that some movements pose combined threats to religion, state, and society.
- Osama Al-Dalil (Al-Ahram) suggested the term “Islamized political culpability” instead of “politicized religion” for conceptual clarity.
- Maj. Gen. (Ret.) Saleh Al-Muaita (Jordan) called for a regional strategy separating peaceful thought from violence.

Final Declaration
The forum’s final communiqué outlined pillars of the roadmap: drafting ethical principles/charters for religious platforms and charitable work, strengthening critical thinking in education, opening civic leadership channels for youth, and establishing digital early-warning and monitoring networks. It emphasized spreading alternative narratives that reinforce pluralistic citizenship through media–academia–policy–technology cooperation.
The event was organized in collaboration with the Mohammed Bin Zayed University for Humanities and the UAE Cybersecurity Council, with media support from The National, Sky News Arabia, Al-Ain News, Harici Media, Aletihad News Center, and Al-Khaleej.
Tunç Akkoç, founder of Harici Media, and journalist Sarp Sinan Hacır attended from Türkiye.
About TRENDS
Founded in Abu Dhabi in 2014, TRENDS Research and Advisory is an independent think tank. Through research programs, publications, and regular events conducted with global partners, it aims to generate impact regionally and internationally.

Diplomacy
South Korea begins first commercial voyage via Northern Sea Route
South Korea is launching its first commercial container ship voyage to Europe via the Northern Sea Route passing through Russian territorial waters. With this step, which shortens travel time by approximately 35%, the Seoul administration aims to transform the Arctic route into a regular trade corridor by 2030 and turn Busan into a key maritime hub.
South Korea is sending a container ship to Europe via the Arctic Northern Sea Route passing through Russian territorial waters for the first time.
Planned in the shadow of potential tensions in the Seoul administration’s relations with Western nations, this voyage represents the country’s first commercial shipping step on the route in question.
According to reports by the Reuters and Yonhap agencies, the container vessel named PanStar Acro is scheduled to set sail on 22 August.
According to VesselFinder data, the Panama-flagged vessel, which has a capacity of 2,758 TEU, is carrying a cargo of 837 TEU comprising automotive spare parts and chemical products.
Carrying its cargo measured in TEU—a unit referring to the volume of a standard 20-foot container—the ship is scheduled to depart at approximately 20:00 local time (14:00 Türkiye time).
Advancing north along Kamchatka and crossing the Bering Sea to enter the Northern Sea Route, the ship will call at the ports of Felixstowe in the United Kingdom, Rotterdam in the Netherlands, and Gdansk in Poland. The entire voyage is expected to take between 40 and 45 days.
South Korean President Lee Jae-myung has made Arctic maritime transport one of the country’s priorities. The Seoul administration plans to turn Busan into a key maritime hub through this route and make the Arctic region a regular trade passage by 2030.
According to calculations by South Korean officials, the Arctic route reduces navigation time by roughly 35%.
Nevertheless, the project carries the risk of complicating relations with Western allies who are attempting to isolate Russia internationally due to the conflict in Ukraine.
It is reported that the Seoul administration has held consultations with Moscow regarding the process, including the provision of assistance in possible emergencies such as the vessel becoming trapped in ice.
According to data from Norway’s High North Logistics Center, 88 vessels carried out a total of 103 transit passages last year on the route, which was used by 43 ships in 2022 and 97 ships in 2024.
The primary maritime traffic on the Arctic route was provided by Russia and China. Scientists point out that while melting glaciers facilitate navigation, increasing maritime traffic accelerates global warming.
As the shortest waterway between the European part of Russia and the Far East region, the Northern Sea Route lies entirely within the Arctic Ocean and partly within the seas of the Pacific Ocean, situated within Russian borders.
Transit permits for the route are issued by the Russian State Atomic Energy Corporation, Rosatom.
Igor Tonkovidov, head of the Russian shipping company Sovcomflot, had previously proposed resuming cooperation between Russia and South Korea in the field of Northern Sea Route transportation.
Tonkovidov had called for revisiting the delivery to the Russian company of three Arctic-class liquefied natural gas tankers ordered from South Korea’s DSME shipyard.
Valued at $872.1 million, corresponding to approximately 74.24 billion roubles, this contract could not be fulfilled due to sanctions imposed following the start of the military operation.
South Korea is not the only country in the Asian region utilising the Northern Sea Route. At the beginning of August, Rosatom granted transit permission to seven vessels belonging to the Chinese shipping company Sea Legend.
Rosatom Director General Alexey Likhachev stated that the company aims to establish a regular line with weekly sailings throughout the navigation season.
Last year, China officially commissioned the world’s first Arctic express route connecting China and Europe. Within this framework, the container vessel Istanbul Bridge departed from the Port of Ningbo-Zhoushan and sailed to the Port of Felixstowe.
Stating that the surge in activity on the Northern Sea Route comes amid a crisis environment in the Strait of Hormuz, Likhachev noted that the Chinese company’s initiative confirms the growing demand for the Arctic passage and represents a new phase in this route becoming a transport artery of global significance.
Diplomacy
Blackwater founder Erik Prince creates air defence venture with Kyiv
Erik Prince, the founder of the private military contractor Blackwater—which operates today under the name Academi—has established a new enterprise, Vectus Air Defense Systems, that applies a paid subscription model to its air defence systems.
According to a report by the Financial Times (FT), the new company will operate on an “air defence as a service” principle based on software subscriptions. Under multi-year contracts, it will design, install, and maintain multi-layered air defence systems.
The company positions its air defence systems as a more cost-effective alternative to Patriot-type anti-missile systems deployed against inexpensive unmanned aerial vehicles in Middle Eastern conflicts.
Vectus products will integrate technologies from the US, Ukraine, Israel, and other nations, including sensors, electronic warfare tools, interceptor drones, and high-rate-of-fire heavy autocannons.
The company was founded in partnership with Swarmer, a Ukrainian drone software development group. Swarmer, which is among the founding investors of Vectus, holds a 20% stake in the firm.
The FT reported that the two companies will collaborate on counter-drone technologies, including sensors and swarm systems. According to the report, Prince currently serves as the non-executive chairman of Swarmer.
In a statement to Axios, Prince said: “It is clear the threat is rapidly evolving, and private sector demand for such solutions is very high. We must drastically lower defence costs and enable clients to take the protection of critical facilities into their own hands.”
A representative for Prince stated that the prominent entrepreneur spent the past year meeting with technology suppliers and prospective clients across Ukraine, the Middle East, Africa, and Latin America.
According to the representative, the developed air defence systems offer the most viable solution for major commercial and civilian installations that either do not wish to entrust, or cannot entrust, their security entirely to the state.
An ally of US President Donald Trump, Prince has a long-standing involvement in the defence sector.
Having established his private security firm in 1997, Prince’s company Blackwater signed $2 billion in government security contracts between 1997 and 2010, including the protection of US Department of State personnel.
The company carried out approximately 100,000 missions during the administrations of George W. Bush and Barack Obama.
Certain operations conducted by Blackwater, however, drew fierce criticism.
An incident in September 2007, in which company personnel opened fire on a crowd in Baghdad’s Nisour Square—killing 17 Iraqi civilians and severely wounding 20 others—provoked massive public outrage.
US courts convicted three employees on 15 separate counts of manslaughter in 2014 and 2019.
Following the Blackwater era, Prince established Presidential Airways, a global aviation transport company operating more than 75 aircraft across emerging markets, and Frontier Resource Group, a private investment firm focused on natural resource ventures.
A primary operational focus of this investment firm involved providing logistics to oil and mining companies in remote and hazardous regions of Africa.
In 2014, Prince acquired a 25% stake in the Austrian aviation company Airborne Technologies.
Entities affiliated with Prince sought to modify Thrush 510G agricultural crop-duster aircraft by outfitting them with surveillance equipment, machine guns, armour, and rocket pods.
The Guardian reported in September of last year that Prince planned to acquire a Ukrainian drone manufacturer. At the time, the Blackwater founder was seen engaging with local drone producers in Kyiv.
The newspaper noted that Prince’s interest in Ukraine was long-standing, recalling that in 2020 he had submitted a multi-billion-dollar proposal through his private security firm to resolve the crisis in the Donbas, though the deal never materialised.
As subsequently reported by The Guardian, Prince joined the board of directors of Swarmer, a Ukrainian start-up specialising in autonomous drone swarm management.
The Blackwater founder described the company as a venture “born in the crucible of modern combat”.
Diplomacy
US formally redesignates Hezbollah as Iranian proxy under sanctions
The US has officially changed its designation of Hezbollah to identify it as a “proxy of Iran”.
Executive Order 13224 now explicitly states that Hezbollah is sanctioned for acting for or on behalf of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps-Quds Force (IRGC-QF).
Speaking to Al Arabiya, a US State Department official argued that this change underscores how Hezbollah operates with almost no regard for Lebanese sovereignty, the Lebanese people, or the Lebanese state.
The official continued:
“This decision formally recognizes that Hezbollah’s military operations, external security apparatus, and major financing networks function as an extension of the IRGC-QF—Iran’s primary instrument for executing terrorist activity beyond its borders. Hezbollah is not a Lebanese resistance movement.”
Pointing to repeated oaths of loyalty and allegiance by Hezbollah officials to Iran’s Supreme Leader, the official maintained that the Quds Force also exerts a decisive influence over the group’s military and strategic decisions.
The official stated that Washington remains committed to “disrupting the networks that allow Iran to use Hezbollah as an instrument to undermine Lebanese sovereignty, threaten regional stability, and advance Tehran’s terrorist agenda.”
The official further accused Hezbollah of dragging Lebanon into destructive wars with Israel twice within the last two years, stating that the group remains an obstacle to Lebanon’s sovereignty, stability, and economic recovery.
“The disarmament and dismantling of Hezbollah is vital for any credible path forward for Lebanon, and we are working with our partners to advance this goal,” the US State Department official said.
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