Connect with us

Diplomacy

China’s tariff cuts for Africa boost trade and support wider yuan adoption

Published

on

China’s decision to eliminate tariffs on imports from most African countries, combined with rapidly expanding trade flows, appears set to boost the use of the yuan across the continent, supporting Beijing’s broader objective of building alternatives to the Western financial system.

Customs data show that China-Africa trade grew by approximately 18% last year. The removal of tariffs on imports from 53 African countries in May is expected to further increase trade flows and encourage payments denominated in yuan.

Research by the International Monetary Fund indicates that yuan usage tends to rise alongside growing trade ties with China. On Wednesday, Beijing announced new measures aimed at promoting the global use of its currency.

From Nigerian cattle bone pellets and Kenyan avocado oil to South African apples, Chinese ports are receiving greater volumes of African cargo following the tariff cuts. The trend is increasing demand for payments and currency exchanges between the yuan and local African currencies.

Although reliable data on yuan usage in Africa remain limited, adoption is being supported by expanding trade with China, new payment platforms and efforts by some countries to shift debt obligations into lower-cost currencies.

Birju Sanghrajka, chief executive of Standard Chartered Kenya, said yuan transactions were increasing but added that there were still few signs that the currency was displacing the dollar.

“We see it as complementary,” Sanghrajka said.

South Africa-based Standard Bank became the first African commercial bank to connect to China’s Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS) in November and processed $500 million in transactions during its first four months on the network.

“The transactions we have seen were mainly driven by import and export activities between China and Africa,” said Ives Yang, head of transaction banking sales at Standard Bank CIB.

“We are working to expand CIPS to more countries,” he added.

Beijing says the tariff exemptions are intended to support African exports.

“In an environment where unilateralism and protectionism are creating difficulties and challenges for African countries, China is leveraging the advantages of its enormous market,” Chinese Commerce Ministry spokesman He Yadong said.

Trade flow perspective

Bankers say the shift toward the yuan reflects growing trade volumes rather than a direct challenge to the dominance of the US dollar.

Standard Chartered Kenya has begun issuing yuan-denominated letters of credit. According to Sanghrajka, this allows Kenyan clients to obtain discounts by avoiding conversion costs associated with the dollar.

China and several other countries, including Russia, have promoted payment channels that bypass the dollar. The trend has drawn warnings from US President Donald Trump against abandoning the US currency.

“Part of what we are seeing globally today concerns how the dominance of the dollar can be reduced,” said Muda Yusuf, chief executive of Nigeria’s Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise, adding that China is actively promoting yuan-based payment systems.

“When you export to them, you receive your payment in yuan,” Yusuf said.

Reducing foreign exchange risk

According to the African Export-Import Bank, which signed an agreement last year to connect to CIPS, China now accounts for 20% of Africa’s external trade, up from 5% two decades ago.

Other institutions are also seeking to capitalize on the trend.

Togo-based Ecobank, which operates in 34 African countries, and the Bank of China are working to launch a payment product this year that will facilitate transactions between the yuan and local African currencies.

“China is building its own payment and settlement rails that can make transactions almost instantaneous,” said Ecobank Chief Executive Jeremy Awori.

The development is welcome news for investors such as Qu Ming, a Chinese national who owns Kenya-based Sanmark Limited. Moving from dollar-denominated transactions to yuan payments could benefit the avocado oil producer, which employs 50 people.

“This will help us because of the exchange rate,” Qu said, adding that borrowing costs could also decline because yuan interest rates are lower.

China’s position as the largest bilateral creditor to countries including Senegal, Ethiopia and Kenya is also contributing to wider yuan adoption across Africa.

Last year, Kenya converted three Chinese-financed railway construction loans from dollars into yuan, reducing annual interest costs by approximately $215 million. Zambia has announced that from late 2025 it will begin accepting mining royalties and taxes from Chinese companies in yuan to strengthen its reserves and help service debt owed to China.

Avocado exports to China

According to Chinese government officials, the country’s yuan-denominated imports and exports rose 14% year-on-year in April to 4.38 trillion yuan ($647 billion). However, authorities did not provide a separate figure for Africa.

The trend is also visible in Kenya. Avocado exports to China’s vast consumer market have increased from 10 to 20 containers per week in 2022 to around 200 containers today. Volumes are expected to reach 1,000 containers by 2030, putting China on par with Europe, which has long been Kenya’s largest export market.

Speaking at a packing facility just outside Nairobi, Sunripe Managing Director Thiku Shah said China could surpass Europe between 2030 and 2035. He also said a shift by Kenya toward yuan-denominated financing could accelerate the currency’s use in trade.

“If we can invoice in yuan, if banks can accept payment in yuan, and if we can find a buyer for the yuan we hold, that would be perfect,” Shah said.

Diplomacy

EU drafts emergency trade support package for Armenia to counter Russian import bans

Published

on

The European Union is preparing emergency trade measures to support the Armenian economy following a series of import restrictions imposed by Russia.

The European Commission is working on a trade support program for Armenia to offset the impact of the Russian-imposed restrictions, according to a Financial Times report citing sources familiar with the matter.

Under the planned measures, tariffs on Armenian exports to the EU would be reduced. The framework, which covers approximately 20 product categories, is estimated to have an annual volume of around €420 million.

Sources indicated that the proposal could be formally presented in the coming weeks.

“The European Commission will propose autonomous trade measures to help more Armenian businesses access new market opportunities in the EU and to support the most affected sectors of the country’s economy,” European Commission Spokesperson Olof Gill said.

However, sources noted that the plan could encounter certain obstacles. Specifically, the export of Armenian brandy may trigger disputes with French producers.

Furthermore, Armenia’s landlocked geography complicates the transportation of perishable goods to European markets.

In late May, Russia banned the import of floral products from Armenia. The Russian Federal Service for Veterinary and Phytosanitary Supervision (Rosselkhoznadzor) also halted the import and domestic distribution of all batches of Jermuk mineral water, citing exceedances of permitted levels of ions, chlorides, and sulfates.

The Russian restrictions also targeted brandies and wines from three Armenian producers, which Moscow alleged failed to meet mandatory standards. Additionally, limits were placed on imports of fresh tomatoes, cucumbers, greens, and strawberries.

Armenia’s Food Safety Inspection Body subsequently announced that it was conducting investigations to determine the causes of the restrictions and resolve the issue.

Following these developments, Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan stated that the government was prepared to compensate affected farmers for their losses.

In early June, temporary restrictions on the import of stone fruits and grapes from Armenia came into effect. Cherries, sour cherries, apricots, plums, peaches, and nectarines were included in the ban.

A temporary ban on certification procedures for live fish destined for export to Russia was also put into effect.

Armenian Economy Minister Gevorg Papoyan announced on June 11 that Yerevan had applied to the Eurasian Economic Commission (EEC) regarding the barriers encountered in exporting goods to Russia.

Armenia remains a member of the Eurasian Economic Union (EEU) while simultaneously pursuing closer integration with the European Union.

Following the imposition of the Russian restrictions, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen announced that the EU was preparing support for Yerevan in response to “economic pressure,” which includes financial assistance exceeding €50 million.

Continue Reading

Diplomacy

Iran discloses 14-point draft US peace accord detailing sanctions relief, regional security measures

Published

on

Iran’s official news agency, Mehr, has published the 14-point contents of a draft peace agreement reached between Iran and the United States. The document covers multiple critical issues, ranging from the cessation of military activities by both parties and the lifting of sanctions, to the status of the Strait of Hormuz and nuclear negotiations.

According to Mehr, the 14-point draft text includes the following provisions:

  1. The immediate and permanent cessation of military activities on all fronts, including Lebanon.
  2. A commitment by the US to refrain from interfering in Iran’s internal affairs and to respect Iranian sovereignty.
  3. The complete lifting of the naval blockade within 30 days.
  4. A commitment by the US to withdraw its troops from the regions surrounding Iran.
  5. The reopening of the Strait of Hormuz within 30 days, subject to Iran’s approval.
  6. The suspension of sanctions targeting the sale of petroleum, petrochemical products, and their derivatives, alongside granting Iran full access to its financial assets.
  7. The presentation by the US and its allies of reconstruction plans for Iran valued at a minimum of $300 billion.
  8. The holding of negotiations within 60 days to reach a final agreement on nuclear issues and to fully lift US primary and secondary sanctions, as well as resolutions of the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Board of Governors.
  9. Iran’s reaffirmation of its commitment to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) and its pledge not to produce nuclear weapons.
  10. A commitment by the US not to increase its military presence in the region and to refrain from imposing new sanctions.
  11. The release of $24 billion of Iran’s frozen funds during the 60-day final negotiation process, with half of this amount to be provided to Iran before negotiations begin.
  12. The establishment of a monitoring mechanism to oversee the implementation of the agreement.
  13. The endorsement of the final agreement by a UNSC resolution.
  14. Final negotiations will not commence until half of Iran’s frozen funds are released, sanctions on Iranian oil are suspended, and the naval blockade is lifted. The final agreement will only cover the future of enriched materials and uranium enrichment, the lifting of sanctions, and Iran’s economic development program. Discussions regarding Iran’s missile program and its support for resistance groups are strictly excluded from the agenda.

According to a report by the Financial Times (FT), citing a source, under the terms of the agreement, the Strait of Hormuz will be gradually reopened to maritime traffic during the first 30 days following the signing of the accord as mines are cleared. Furthermore, Iran has committed to refraining from charging transit fees for vessels for a period of 60 days, while the US will lift its naval blockade in return.

The newspaper also reported that the agreement includes Iran’s renunciation of acquiring or developing nuclear weapons. Tehran and Washington will conduct negotiations within 60 days to determine the steps to be taken regarding Iran’s existing stockpiles of enriched uranium.

The FT noted that Iran currently possesses more than 9 metric tons of enriched uranium, of which approximately 440 kilograms has been enriched to near-weapons-grade levels.

Sources speaking to the newspaper stated that the easing of sanctions against Iran would be gradual and contingent upon progress made in the negotiations that will commence after the signing of the agreement.

The signing of the peace agreement between the US and Iran has been confirmed by US President Donald Trump, Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, and Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi. The official signing ceremony is scheduled to take place on Friday, June 19.

Meanwhile, Iran’s Fars news agency, citing a report from the Secretariat of the Supreme National Security Council of Iran, reported that Tehran was preparing to cancel the negotiations, but was persuaded to proceed after Trump made concessions.

“Following the attack on Beirut, Iran had canceled the negotiations and was prepared to strike the Zionist regime. However, in the end, last-minute concessions by the US President—including promises regarding the preservation of Lebanon’s territorial integrity, the withdrawal of Israeli soldiers, including from Lebanon, and the lifting of the blockade—convinced Tehran to abandon this decision,” the report stated.

Previously, US President Donald Trump announced that the agreement would first be signed electronically, after which the parties would meet face-to-face within a week at a location in Europe to sign the accord.

Pakistani Prime Minister Sharif indicated that the ceremony would take place in Switzerland.

Continue Reading

Diplomacy

OPEC oil output falls to lowest level since 2000 amid Iran disruption

Published

on

OPEC oil production fell in May to its lowest monthly level in more than two decades, according to a Reuters survey.

The decline was driven by a US naval blockade that curtailed Iranian exports and by reduced shipments from other Gulf producers following Iran’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

According to the survey, output from OPEC’s 11 members fell by 1.06 million barrels per day from the previous month to 16.13 million bpd. Reuters data show this was the lowest monthly level recorded since at least 2000.

The figure was well below levels seen during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, when collapsing demand triggered a sharp downturn in oil markets. Production data from the United Arab Emirates, which left OPEC on May 1, were not included in the total.

The survey found that the steepest production decline occurred in Iran, reflecting the impact of the US blockade launched on April 13. Iranian crude oil and condensate exports fell to their lowest level in at least six years. Saudi Arabia’s output also continued to decline.

By contrast, sources surveyed by Reuters said Iraq managed to increase production due to stronger domestic consumption. Output in Venezuela and Nigeria also rose during the month.

Eight members of the broader OPEC+ alliance had agreed to raise production quotas for May. However, the conflict involving Iran and the US blockade prevented those increases from materializing.

The Reuters survey is based on oil-flow data from LSEG, shipment information from firms including Kpler, data provided by oil companies and OPEC sources, and information from industry consultants.

Continue Reading

MOST READ

Turkey