Middle East
Does India take advantage of current rising tensions between Pakistan and Afghanistan?

At the height of the current tensions between the Afghan Taliban and Pakistan, India condemned Pakistan’s airstrikes in Paktika province in eastern Afghanistan with a delay of two weeks. India is the second country that has officially reacted to these attacks.
In a statement, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of India supported the position of the Taliban and condemned the killing of civilians in Pakistan’s attacks. Delhi made no mention of Pakistan’s claim that it had struck four hideouts of the Pakistani Taliban (TTP), a group that has become a security problem for the Pakistani military. Delhi ironically said that “Islamabad always blames its neighbors.”
Pakistan traditionally holds India and Afghanistan responsible for internal insurgencies and attacks by terrorist and separatist groups on its soil. Recently, Pakistani officials accused the Afghan Taliban of colluding with India to destabilize Pakistan.
Trust-building
India’s new stance can be described as a clever political game or even political opportunism. India, which has always considered the Taliban as Pakistan’s proxy force in the region and was one of the main supporters of the former Afghan government, now plans to use the tension between the Afghan Taliban and Pakistan to get closer to the Taliban.
Over the past three years, New Delhi has tried to reduce its longstanding mistrust with the Taliban. Expelling the ambassador and diplomats of the previous government from Delhi, handing over the Afghan embassy and consulates in India to the Taliban, cutting ties with former allies such as the leaders of the resistance front, and stopping the issuance of visas to former officials have been part of this trust building and rapprochement.
Revival of lost influence
Afghanistan has always been important for Delhi due to its geographical proximity to Pakistan. Pakistan says that Delhi’s purpose in getting closer to Afghanistan was to destabilize the tense areas in Pakistan, especially in Balochistan and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa.
India has traditionally supported Afghan governments against Pakistan. Due to the dispute with Pakistan over the “Durand Line”, Afghanistan has had enough incentive to get closer to India. India has also provided various economic, technical and diplomatic assistance to Afghanistan to strengthen this relationship.
With the return of the Taliban, India was forced to close its embassy and consulates in Kabul, Balkh, Herat, Nangarhar and Kandahar provinces. Following this, India severed all ties – even people-to-people links – with Afghanistan.
Thousands of Afghan students were prevented from continuing their studies in Indian universities due to lack of visas. After the political collapse in Afghanistan, many believed that the history of India’s influence in Afghanistan was also over.
But the Taliban, unlike the previous period, is trying to establish relations with all countries in the region and is not dependent on a particular country, and took steps to strengthen relations with India.
Yaqoob Mujahid, the Minister of Defense of the Taliban, in an unprecedented statement said that the Taliban is ready to send its forces to India for training. India also responded to the goodwill of the Taliban by sending its diplomats to Kabul.
Recently, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi discussed with Iran’s President Masoud Pezeshkian about expanding relations with Afghanistan through Chabahar port. The government of Iran said that “the talk about Afghanistan was made because of the interest of the Indian side.”
India is seriously trying to reduce the Taliban’s dependence on Pakistan and strengthen its relations through Chabahar.
Approaching the enemy border
The importance of India’s efforts to improve relations with the Taliban and open a foothold in Afghanistan should be seen from the eyes of Pakistan. Islamabad has consistently complained about India’s diplomatic presence in Afghanistan, especially in its border areas.
Pakistan considers India a vital threat and does not accept the country’s proximity to its borders. In the previous government of Afghanistan, relations between Kabul and Islamabad were cold.
Pakistani officials had repeatedly expressed concern about the activities of Indian consulates in Jalalabad and Kandahar in meetings with Afghan leaders. Even some Pakistani leaders had made cooperation in securing peace and stability in Afghanistan conditional on reducing relations with India and closing the country’s embassies in the mentioned cities.
Analysts are unanimous on the point that Pakistan considers Afghanistan as a barrier or an area free of Indian influence. This country has continuously supported the paramilitary groups and the subversive central government in order to establish a pro-Pakistan government.
India sees an opportunity to expand its influence in Afghanistan in the worsening relations between Islamabad and the Taliban. However, it is not clear how far this tension will make the Afghan Taliban rely on Delhi.
What is certain is that Pakistan finds the closeness of the Taliban and India intolerable, just as it was angry about the close relations of the former Afghan government with New Delhi.
Of course, we should not ignore the fact that the Afghan Taliban is as much a double-edged sword for Delhi as it is for Pakistan. Because the Afghan Taliban has not cut off its relations with militant and terrorist groups.
Strengthening the Afghan Taliban also means strengthening Pakistani militant Islamist groups, which Delhi considers a tool in the hands of Pakistan and a threat to its national security.
Rising unrest in Pakistan by TTP, a close ally of the Afghani Taliban has benefited India
In recent decades, part of India’s strategy in Afghanistan has been to weaken Pakistan. Supporting separatist groups and creating unrest in Pakistan is an important part of this policy.
Rising unrest in Pakistan by the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), a close ally of the Afghan Taliban, has benefited India. From 2020 until now, the level of insecurity in Pakistan has increased steadily and 2024 was the most unstable year in Pakistan in a decade.
Pakistan believes that the insecurity and violence in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa is organized from the soil of Afghanistan and that the Afghan Taliban have collaborated with India.
Understanding the depth of these tensions, India has taken steps to intensify the differences between the Afghan and Pakistani Taliban by supporting the Taliban. India seeks to increase the dependence of the Afghan Taliban on New Delhi in order to exploit these relations in the long run to weaken Pakistan.
The statement of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of India can probably increase Islamabad’s skepticism towards the Taliban. To solve the problem of militants, Pakistan has increased military and political pressure on the Taliban. However, this pressure will make the Afghan Taliban more inclined towards Delhi.
Despite the absence of three years in the diplomatic arena of Afghanistan, India has been able to advance its goals. Pakistan has suffered the most from the recent developments in Afghanistan. The increase in insecurity in Pakistan is largely related to the events after the fall of the republican system in Afghanistan.
Middle East
Israel, Jordan cooperate to counter Iran’s retaliatory attack

The first wave of retaliation from Tehran, following Israel’s morning attack on Iran, was intercepted in Jordanian airspace.
According to CNN, Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) spokesperson Effie Defrin stated that Iran had launched over 100 unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) toward Israeli territory. It can take up to seven hours for such drones to travel from Iran to Israel.
Defrin remarked, “All [air] defense systems are working to intercept the threats. This is a different kind of event from what we have experienced before, and we expect difficult hours ahead. We must show resilience and patience.”
Around 9:30 AM in Tel Aviv (9:30 AM TRT), an IDF official informed the press that the Israeli military had begun shooting down the Iranian drones.
Approximately two hours later, the IDF announced it had “brought the situation under control,” though it did not specify whether all the drones had been downed, according to Times of Israel correspondent Emanuel Fabian.
Jordanian Air Force jets and air defense systems shot down several missiles and drones that entered Jordanian airspace on Friday morning, as reported by the state news agency, Petra.
Citing a military source from the General Command of the Jordanian Armed Forces, Petra reported that Royal Jordanian Air Force aircraft were on “high alert” to protect the country’s airspace and ensure the safety of the nation and its citizens.
The source added that the interception operation was based on military assessments indicating a high probability that the missiles and drones could fall on Jordanian territory and populated areas, potentially causing loss of life.
According to the report, the Jordanian Armed Forces declared they would not permit any violation of the country’s airspace under any circumstances.
Following Israel’s attack on Iran, both Jordan and Iraq announced the closure of their airspace and the suspension of all flights.
Last year, the United Kingdom took action to protect Israel during Iran’s retaliatory strike. However, uncertainty surrounds whether a similar move was made this time, despite claims to the contrary. During that previous incident, the US, the United Kingdom, France, and Jordan worked together to thwart Iran’s retaliation.
British ministers and officials convened on Friday morning to determine their response. Sources familiar with the meetings, who spoke to The Guardian, initially indicated that a decision was made early in the morning for the UK not to assist in downing the drones or intervene militarily. However, they later stated that “this decision was not yet clear.”
Middle East
Israeli official reveals US used nuclear talks to deceive Iran

A senior Israeli official has revealed that the US and Israel engaged in a joint operation to deceive Iran ahead of attacks on its nuclear program.
According to the official, who spoke to The Jerusalem Post (JP), the nuclear negotiations scheduled for Sunday were part of a deception tactic used against Iran.
Early Friday morning, Iranian state television announced that the country would not participate in the nuclear talks with the US scheduled for Sunday, or in any negotiations until further notice.
Israeli officials were concerned that statements made by US President Donald Trump on the evening of June 12, which hinted that Israel “could attack,” had alerted the Iranians.
This statement, made around 7:00 PM Israel time just hours before the attacks, was perceived as a green light for Israel.
Fears that this announcement could expose the attack operation prompted Trump to tweet at midnight, stating, “The US is seeking a diplomatic solution.”
Israel’s nighttime attacks on Iran resulted in the deaths of numerous soldiers, nuclear scientists, and civilians, including the Iranian Chief of General Staff and a commander of the Revolutionary Guards.
In a statement following the attack, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio claimed that the US “did not participate” in Israel’s strike, asserting that Israel had attacked Iran unilaterally.
President Donald Trump, however, threatened Iran against any retaliation.
Middle East
Israel strikes Iran’s nuclear program, killing high-level commanders

Israel launched a comprehensive air operation early this morning, targeting Iran’s nuclear and ballistic missile program. In the operation, codenamed “Rising Lion,” Israeli warplanes struck nuclear and military facilities in strategic cities such as Tehran, Tabriz, the Natanz nuclear facility in Isfahan, Lorestan, Kermanshah, and Hamedan. High-ranking Iranian commanders and nuclear scientists were killed in the attacks.
This attack is considered the most serious military intervention Iran has faced since its war with Iraq in the 1980s. The development has brought the two long-confronting countries to the brink of an all-out war.
It was reported that many people were killed and wounded in the attacks, where some residential buildings in Tehran were also hit. The Subashi Radar Center, crucial to Iran’s radar infrastructure, military barracks in Kermanshah, and the Khosravi Border Crossing were among the points struck. A military base in Lorestan, five separate targets in Tabriz, and the Natanz Uranium Enrichment Facility were also focal points of the attack.
According to the Israeli press, the first wave of the operation targeted air defense systems, surface-to-surface missile batteries, and military command centers such as the Iranian General Staff Headquarters. Speaking to CNN, journalist Barak Ravid reported that Israel’s intelligence agency, Mossad, also conducted covert sabotage operations against Iran’s air defense infrastructure concurrently with the attacks.
Israel claims that Iran currently possesses enough enriched uranium to produce 15 nuclear bombs.
Netanyahu: Our future is in jeopardy
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu defended the legitimacy of the attack, stating, “If we do not act now, we will have no future.” Netanyahu noted that Iran plans to produce 20,000 ballistic missiles within the next six years, emphasizing that these missiles could reach Israel in minutes.
Israeli Army Spokesperson Major General Effie Defrin announced that approximately 200 fighter jets participated in the attack, striking about 100 targets. As the operation continued, it was reported that Iran sent more than 100 unmanned aerial vehicles to Israel, and Israeli air defense systems were activated.
Israel, Iran, Iraq, and Jordan have temporarily closed their airspace to flights. A state of emergency has been declared in the country.
High-ranking commanders and scientists killed
Iranian state television confirmed that Revolutionary Guards Commander Major General Hossein Salami and Chief of the General Staff of the Iranian Armed Forces Major General Mohammad Bagheri were killed in the attacks. The Tasnim News Agency reported that nuclear scientists Fereydoon Abbasi, Mohammad Mehdi Tehranchi, Abdolhamid Monouchehr, Ahmad Reza Zolfaghari, Amir Hossein Faghihi, and Motlabizadeh also lost their lives.
Retaliation from Iran
As the operation continued, it was reported that Iran sent more than 100 unmanned aerial vehicles toward Israel, and Israeli air defense systems were activated. The Israeli military warned the public to remain in shelters and follow civil defense instructions. Israeli Chief of General Staff Eyal Zamir said, “This operation has been planned for a long time. I cannot guarantee absolute success. Iran’s reaction may be different from what we are used to.”
Numerous airlines are moving their passenger aircraft out of Ben Gurion Airport in Tel Aviv. Israeli airlines El Al, Israir, and Arkia announced they have moved their planes out of the country. According to Flightradar24 data, some of Israir’s planes have flown to Southern Cyprus, while El Al’s aircraft have headed to airports in Europe. Many airlines are also canceling flights in the region.
A source from AJet, a subsidiary of Turkish Airlines, told Reuters that flights to Iran, Iraq, and Jordan have been canceled until Monday.
Khamenei: This regime will face a heavy punishment
Following the attack, Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei stated, “The Zionist regime committed a crime on our soil this morning, targeting residential areas. This regime will face a severe punishment.” He added, “The martyred commanders and scientists will be replaced by their comrades and successors. This regime has hastened its own end.”
Iran: The US is also responsible
The Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs also held the US responsible for Israel’s attacks. In a statement, the ministry said, “The Zionist regime’s aggressive actions against Iran could not have been carried out without the coordination and permission of the US.” The statement continued: “The US will also be responsible for the consequences of this adventure.”
The statement also emphasized that Iran reserves its right to legitimate self-defense under the relevant articles of the UN Charter.
US: We were not involved in the attack
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, in a statement regarding the attack, said, “Israel informed us that this operation was necessary for self-defense purposes. However, the US did not participate in this attack.” Rubio added that the US’s priority is the protection of American forces in the region.
The US had evacuated some of its diplomats from Baghdad before the attack and offered military personnel’s families in the region the option of voluntary evacuation.
Israel’s military capacity strained
According to the Times of Israel, the operation pushed the Israeli army’s logistical capabilities to their limits. Aging aerial tankers were used to reach Iran. While it remains unclear whether Israeli planes entered Iranian airspace directly, it is assessed that the attacks may have been carried out with long-range “standoff” missiles launched from other countries. Eyewitnesses in Iraq reported hearing the sound of jets during the attack.
Timing debate in the shadow of Gaza
The operation was carried out while the Gaza war, which has been ongoing for 20 months in Israel and has been met with public backlash, continues. According to the Times of Israel, experts suggest Netanyahu may have chosen this timing for the attack to divert attention from Gaza. Despite this, the threat from Iran is widely perceived as real by the Israeli public. Even opposition leader Yair Lapid, who had submitted a motion to the Knesset to topple Netanyahu’s government just yesterday, gave Netanyahu his “full support.” However, public opinion could change rapidly if an Iranian retaliation leads to increased casualties or disrupts daily life.
Indeed, Netanyahu stated, “There is no such thing as a free war,” suggesting that Israelis may need to stay in shelters longer than they are accustomed to.
Attack was anticipated
The possibility of an Israeli strike on Iran, citing its nuclear activities, had been discussed for weeks. A day before the attack, US President Donald Trump had stated, “Such an attack seems very likely.” When the strike began, the US Embassy in Israel instructed all American personnel to “remain in place.”
Meanwhile, the US National Security Council is set to convene under President Trump’s leadership. It is not yet known whether Trump will make a public statement regarding the attack.
Oil prices rise
Oil prices surged by more than 7% following Israel’s attack on Iran after last evening’s close. As of 04:10 Turkish time, the price of a barrel of Brent crude rose by 7.40% to $74.49. In the same minutes, a barrel of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil climbed by 7.86% to $73.39.
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