Asia
India plans to increase water drawing from Indus river
India plans to significantly increase the amount of water it draws from a major river that feeds farmland in Pakistan’s lower basin. This move, according to four people familiar with the matter who spoke to Reuters, is part of retaliatory measures holding Islamabad responsible for a deadly attack on tourists in April. The Indus Treaty has still not come into effect.
Delhi suspended its participation in the 1960 Indus Waters Treaty, which regulates the use of the Indus river system, after an incident in India’s Kashmir region where 26 civilians were killed, an event India described as a terrorist act. Pakistan denied involvement, but although the two nuclear-armed neighbors signed a ceasefire agreement last week after the most severe clashes in decades, the treaty has not re-entered force.
Following the April 22 attack, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi instructed officials to speed up the planning and execution of projects on the Chenab, Jhelum, and Indus rivers, which are three water sources within the Indus river system allocated for Pakistan’s use.
Two people said one of the significant plans being discussed is to double the length of the Ranbir canal on the Chenab river, which extends from India to Pakistan’s agricultural heartland, Punjab. The canal was built in the 19th century, long before the treaty was signed.
India is permitted to draw a limited amount of water from the Chenab river for irrigation purposes, but the expanded canal, which experts say could take years to build, would increase India’s water drawing capacity from approximately 40 cubic meters per second currently to 150 cubic meters per second.
Details of the Indian government’s discussions regarding the expansion of Ranbir had not been previously reported. The discussions began last month and are continuing after the ceasefire, said one of the individuals.
The ministries of water and external affairs, as well as Modi’s office, did not respond to Reuters’ questions. NHPC, India’s state-owned hydroelectric company which carries out many projects in the Indus system, also did not respond to an email requesting comment.
In a fiery speech this week, Modi said, without referring to the treaty, “Water and blood cannot flow together.” Indian Ministry of External Affairs spokesperson Randhir Jaiswal told reporters on Tuesday that India would “suspend the treaty until Pakistan credibly and irreversibly denies its support for cross-border terrorism.”
Pakistan’s ministries of water and foreign affairs did not respond to requests for comment. Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar told lawmakers this week that the government had written a letter to India stating that the suspension of the treaty was illegal and that Islamabad considered the treaty to be in force.
Islamabad had announced after India suspended the treaty in April that it would consider “attempts to stop or divert the flow of water belonging to Pakistan” as “an act of war.”
Approximately 80% of Pakistan, including nearly all hydroelectric projects serving its 250 million population, is dependent on the Indus river system.
David Michel, a water security expert at the Washington-based Center for Strategic and International Studies, said that Delhi’s efforts to build dams, canals, or other infrastructure facilities that would block or divert significant amounts of water flow from the Indus river system to India would “take years to materialize.”
However, Pakistan experienced a preview of the pressure it could face from India: After India began maintenance work on some Indus projects, water levels at a key intake point in Pakistan briefly dropped by up to 90% in early May.
The Indus system originates near Lake Mansarovar in Tibet, flows through some of the world’s most geopolitically tense regions, passes through northern India and eastern and southeastern Pakistan, and empties into the Arabian Sea.
The treaty is considered one of the world’s most successful water-sharing agreements, having survived several major wars and long-standing tensions between India and Pakistan.
Islamabad had previously opposed several Indian projects in the Indus system, while Delhi had stated after the Kashmir attack that it had been trying to renegotiate the treaty since 2023 to take into account population growth and the increasing need for clean hydro energy.
The treaty largely limits India to building low-impact hydroelectric projects on the three rivers allocated primarily to Pakistan. Delhi is free to use the waters of the other three rivers, which are tributaries of the Sutlej, Beas, and Ravi rivers, as it wishes.
According to two government documents seen by Reuters and interviews with five people familiar with the matter, in addition to the plans to expand the Ranbir canal, India is also considering projects that would reduce the amount of water flowing from the rivers allocated to Pakistan to that country.
An undated note prepared by a state company for officials evaluating irrigation plans stated that water from the Indus, Chenab, and Jhelum rivers could be “distributed” to rivers in three northern Indian states.
One of the individuals, who said that this document, details of which had not been previously made public, was prepared for discussions with energy ministry officials after the April 22 attack, also stated that Delhi had prepared a list of hydroelectric projects in its Jammu and Kashmir region aiming to increase the current capacity of 3,360 MW to 12,000 MW.
Delhi also prepared a list of hydroelectric projects in the Jammu and Kashmir region. These projects aim to increase the current capacity of 3,360 MW to 12,000 MW.
The list prepared by the Ministry of Power and seen by Reuters was undated. A person familiar with the document said the list was prepared before the Kashmir incident but was actively being discussed by government officials.
According to two people close to the matter, the planned projects include dams, which would be a first for India in the Indus river system, capable of storing large amounts of water.
According to the Ministry of Power document, India has identified at least five potential storage projects, four of which are located on tributaries of the Chenab and Jhelum rivers.
Pakistan’s Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb told Reuters on Monday, “Water should not be used as a weapon. We do not want to consider any scenario that does not take into account the re-entry into force of this agreement.”
Asia
Chinese Politburo signals cautious confidence as Beijing pivots toward targeted tech support
The mid-year meeting of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Politburo has long served as a critical evaluation point for Beijing. The session provides the central government with an opportunity to review developments from the first half of the year and steer the country toward a more realistic economic course in the months ahead.
The latest statement from the top leadership signals cautious confidence. The release indicates that policymakers are favoring a stable, targeted approach over the broad-based stimulus measures that characterized previous years. As China manages its economic transition, the post-Covid era of aggressive spending has clearly drawn to a close. In its place, a strategic and structural approach has taken hold, prioritizing resilience and stability over short-term capital injections.
According to the outcomes of the Politburo meeting, the policy orientation will continue to target specific sectors. Financial support will be directed away from the property market and toward high-tech emerging industries such as artificial intelligence and semiconductors. In the real estate sector, the objective remains stabilizing market confidence and keeping debt risks under control.
Infrastructure investment is likewise being reshaped around the concept of “new infrastructure.” The focus is no longer solely on concrete and physical structures; smart power grids, information technology networks, and data infrastructure have taken precedence.
This approach signifies an investment in future competitiveness rather than simply pumping capital into the economy’s more stagnant sectors. Serving as a new driver of growth, digital infrastructure fulfills a dual purpose: supporting domestic demand in the short term while safeguarding technological competitiveness over the long term.
Finally, Beijing is signaling a more conciliatory posture in international trade. The Chinese leadership aims to establish a more balanced trade framework to mitigate concerns voiced by trade partners such as the European Union over what has been termed “China Shock 2.0.”
As the administration prepares for critical leadership changes next year, its primary focus will remain on stability across both economic and social spheres.
China continues to strike a balance between realistic growth targets and systemic restructuring, maintaining policy leeway to absorb potential external shocks. Beijing’s economic strategy reflects a pragmatic assessment of both domestic and international challenges.
Struggling with weak demand, the domestic economy is not yet in a position to anchor national growth independently. Expansion continues to rely heavily on a record trade surplus alongside the impressive export performance of high-tech and clean energy sectors. However, this reliance has drawn pushback from several trading partners.
To stimulate domestic economic activity and ease trade tensions, Beijing unveiled its first standalone five-year plan focused on consumption. Released in July by the National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Commerce, the plan targets an increase in retail sales to 60 trillion yuan (approximately $8.9 trillion) by 2030. This represents an increase of roughly 20% compared to 2025 levels.
To improve profit margins for small businesses, regulatory authorities are tackling the issue of “involution”—described as excessive internal competition—by curbing platform monopolies and preventing destructive price wars. While these structural adjustments may take longer to yield results, they are viewed as a more sustainable and effective alternative to direct cash handouts.
Asia
Chinese chipmaker profits surge 2,500% on explosive AI computing demand
Major Chinese microchip manufacturers saw their profits surge by 2,579.5% in the first half of 2026, driven by unprecedented demand for artificial intelligence and computing capacity.
Data from China’s National Bureau of Statistics, cited by the South China Morning Post (SCMP), underscored the industry’s sharp upward trajectory.
Yu Weining, senior statistician at China’s National Bureau of Statistics, explained that this surge is directly connected to the accelerating integration of artificial intelligence across various sectors.
Yu noted that this process has increased the need for computing capacity. The demand for computational processes also lifted profits across the entire electronics industry by 97% year-on-year.
Profits of major Chinese industrial enterprises with an annual revenue exceeding 20 million yuan ($2.9 million) rose 18.7% in the first six months of the year, reaching 4 trillion yuan.
In the first half of 2025, before the global data center construction process had begun, industrial profits had dropped by 1.8% to 3.4 trillion yuan, while profit growth in the electronics sector remained at 3.5%.
The SCMP reported that the global AI boom has generated explosive demand for high-performance computing systems and memory chips, causing a structural pivot in China’s industrial landscape.
Data showed that integrated circuit production in the first half of the year grew by 23% year-on-year to reach approximately 280 billion units.
This figure means that the country produced an average of more than 1.5 billion chips per day.
The profit growth is also corroborated by forecasts from China’s leading chipmakers. Shenzhen Longsys Electronics, one of the largest memory module manufacturers, expects its profits to increase by more than 600-fold in the first half of the year.
Flash memory maker GigaDevice projects that its net profit will surge by approximately 1,099% year-on-year due to supply shortages and rising product prices.
Chinese companies in the AI chip segment are also demonstrating strong profit growth, albeit at a more moderate pace compared to the memory market.
Hygon Information Technology, which develops central processing units and computing units for artificial intelligence, projects that its profits will rise by up to 52.3%.
CXMT hits record high on Shanghai Stock Exchange
Shares of Chinese chipmaker CXMT gained more than 500% on their first day of trading on the Shanghai Stock Exchange on July 27, jumping from 8.66 yuan to 55 yuan.
As a result of this sharp surge in its shares, CXMT’s market valuation reached 3.65 trillion yuan ($539 billion), making the company China’s most valuable publicly traded firm.
At the peak of the rally—even though quoted prices underwent a slight correction toward the close of the trading day—CXMT surpassed Tencent, which was trading on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange with a market capitalization of $514 billion.
Asia
Massive student movement over exam leaks forces resignation of India’s education minister
Indian public examination reform proposals follow education minister’s resignation after nationwide youth protests
India’s federal government introduced legislation in parliament on Monday to amend the law governing public examinations, days after the “Cockroach” movement forced the resignation of Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan following nationwide youth protests.
The bill incorporates enhanced sanctions, including longer prison sentences and higher fines for those found responsible for exam leaks and irregularities.
The demonstrations are widely viewed as the most significant youth-led challenge faced by Prime Minister Narendra Modi since he took office in 2014.
What triggered the protests?
Nearly 2 million students took the National Eligibility cum Entrance Test (NEET), an undergraduate medical entrance examination, in May. The federal National Testing Agency cancelled the exam on May 12 following allegations that question papers had been leaked. The examination was re-administered on June 21.
Young people took to the streets to protest against examination fraud, youth unemployment, and a perceived lack of future prospects.
According to a BBC report, the unemployment rate among university and college graduates aged 15 to 25 in the country stands at a critically high level of 40%. The addition of corruption in public examinations to existing economic strain broke the patience of the youth.
Abhijeet Dipke, founder of the Cockroach Public Party (CJP) movement, led the protests.
The movement derived its name from remarks made in May by Supreme Court Judge Surya Kant, who used the terms “cockroach” and “parasite” in a derogatory reference to unemployed youth and protesters. Young demonstrators adopted the insult as a symbol and named their movement after it.
How the movement unfolded
Young protesters organized street demonstrations demanding the resignation of Education Minister Pradhan. Dipke, who initiated the movement in New Delhi, subsequently organized protests in other parts of the country.
Sonam Wangchuk, one of the protesters, began a hunger strike at the demonstration site in support of the movement. As his physical condition deteriorated, authorities forcibly transferred him to a hospital.
The reaction to Wangchuk’s forcible removal from the protest site caused crowds at the venue to expand rapidly.
Tens of thousands of protesters faced tear gas and baton charges by police while attempting to march on parliament. Some demonstrators engaged in clashes with law enforcement officers.
CJP leaders held talks with ministers from the Modi government, who requested time to evaluate the protesters’ demands internally.
Modi called for unity among lawmakers in the ruling coalition to implement strict measures against exam paper leaks, punish those responsible, and establish a secure, leak-proof system.
Opposition representatives led by Rahul Gandhi staged a sit-in at the entrance of Modi’s official residence demanding Pradhan’s resignation. They were briefly detained by police before being released.
Opposition lawmakers supporting the student protesters disrupted proceedings in parliament. Demonstrations expanded to other regions of the country, including the financial hub of Mumbai.
In his first direct statement regarding the protests, published in a post on X, Modi announced that special courts would be established to prosecute individuals involved in exam paper leaks. Protesters rejected the proposal.
Movement leaders held a second round of talks with the government after Wangchuk ended his 26-day hunger strike.
Following those discussions, the government requested time until the afternoon of the following day to respond to the demand for Pradhan’s resignation.
Education Minister Pradhan subsequently announced his resignation, stating that he was stepping down in light of the situation at the protest site and across the country, as well as to prevent “external forces” from exploiting the environment.
On July 26, Modi announced the creation of a task force headed by technology entrepreneur Nandan Nilekani to overhaul the country’s examination system.
On Monday, July 27, the government presented a bill to parliament proposing amendments to the law governing public examinations. The legislation introduces stiffer penalties for offenders, including extended prison terms and increased monetary fines.
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