Asia
India plans to increase water drawing from Indus river

India plans to significantly increase the amount of water it draws from a major river that feeds farmland in Pakistan’s lower basin. This move, according to four people familiar with the matter who spoke to Reuters, is part of retaliatory measures holding Islamabad responsible for a deadly attack on tourists in April. The Indus Treaty has still not come into effect.
Delhi suspended its participation in the 1960 Indus Waters Treaty, which regulates the use of the Indus river system, after an incident in India’s Kashmir region where 26 civilians were killed, an event India described as a terrorist act. Pakistan denied involvement, but although the two nuclear-armed neighbors signed a ceasefire agreement last week after the most severe clashes in decades, the treaty has not re-entered force.
Following the April 22 attack, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi instructed officials to speed up the planning and execution of projects on the Chenab, Jhelum, and Indus rivers, which are three water sources within the Indus river system allocated for Pakistan’s use.
Two people said one of the significant plans being discussed is to double the length of the Ranbir canal on the Chenab river, which extends from India to Pakistan’s agricultural heartland, Punjab. The canal was built in the 19th century, long before the treaty was signed.
India is permitted to draw a limited amount of water from the Chenab river for irrigation purposes, but the expanded canal, which experts say could take years to build, would increase India’s water drawing capacity from approximately 40 cubic meters per second currently to 150 cubic meters per second.
Details of the Indian government’s discussions regarding the expansion of Ranbir had not been previously reported. The discussions began last month and are continuing after the ceasefire, said one of the individuals.
The ministries of water and external affairs, as well as Modi’s office, did not respond to Reuters’ questions. NHPC, India’s state-owned hydroelectric company which carries out many projects in the Indus system, also did not respond to an email requesting comment.
In a fiery speech this week, Modi said, without referring to the treaty, “Water and blood cannot flow together.” Indian Ministry of External Affairs spokesperson Randhir Jaiswal told reporters on Tuesday that India would “suspend the treaty until Pakistan credibly and irreversibly denies its support for cross-border terrorism.”
Pakistan’s ministries of water and foreign affairs did not respond to requests for comment. Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar told lawmakers this week that the government had written a letter to India stating that the suspension of the treaty was illegal and that Islamabad considered the treaty to be in force.
Islamabad had announced after India suspended the treaty in April that it would consider “attempts to stop or divert the flow of water belonging to Pakistan” as “an act of war.”
Approximately 80% of Pakistan, including nearly all hydroelectric projects serving its 250 million population, is dependent on the Indus river system.
David Michel, a water security expert at the Washington-based Center for Strategic and International Studies, said that Delhi’s efforts to build dams, canals, or other infrastructure facilities that would block or divert significant amounts of water flow from the Indus river system to India would “take years to materialize.”
However, Pakistan experienced a preview of the pressure it could face from India: After India began maintenance work on some Indus projects, water levels at a key intake point in Pakistan briefly dropped by up to 90% in early May.
The Indus system originates near Lake Mansarovar in Tibet, flows through some of the world’s most geopolitically tense regions, passes through northern India and eastern and southeastern Pakistan, and empties into the Arabian Sea.
The treaty is considered one of the world’s most successful water-sharing agreements, having survived several major wars and long-standing tensions between India and Pakistan.
Islamabad had previously opposed several Indian projects in the Indus system, while Delhi had stated after the Kashmir attack that it had been trying to renegotiate the treaty since 2023 to take into account population growth and the increasing need for clean hydro energy.
The treaty largely limits India to building low-impact hydroelectric projects on the three rivers allocated primarily to Pakistan. Delhi is free to use the waters of the other three rivers, which are tributaries of the Sutlej, Beas, and Ravi rivers, as it wishes.
According to two government documents seen by Reuters and interviews with five people familiar with the matter, in addition to the plans to expand the Ranbir canal, India is also considering projects that would reduce the amount of water flowing from the rivers allocated to Pakistan to that country.
An undated note prepared by a state company for officials evaluating irrigation plans stated that water from the Indus, Chenab, and Jhelum rivers could be “distributed” to rivers in three northern Indian states.
One of the individuals, who said that this document, details of which had not been previously made public, was prepared for discussions with energy ministry officials after the April 22 attack, also stated that Delhi had prepared a list of hydroelectric projects in its Jammu and Kashmir region aiming to increase the current capacity of 3,360 MW to 12,000 MW.
Delhi also prepared a list of hydroelectric projects in the Jammu and Kashmir region. These projects aim to increase the current capacity of 3,360 MW to 12,000 MW.
The list prepared by the Ministry of Power and seen by Reuters was undated. A person familiar with the document said the list was prepared before the Kashmir incident but was actively being discussed by government officials.
According to two people close to the matter, the planned projects include dams, which would be a first for India in the Indus river system, capable of storing large amounts of water.
According to the Ministry of Power document, India has identified at least five potential storage projects, four of which are located on tributaries of the Chenab and Jhelum rivers.
Pakistan’s Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb told Reuters on Monday, “Water should not be used as a weapon. We do not want to consider any scenario that does not take into account the re-entry into force of this agreement.”
Asia
China hosts SCO defense ministers on warship amid regional tensions

Chinese Defense Minister Dong Jun hosted his Iranian counterpart and other high-level defense officials from Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) member states aboard an advanced Chinese warship, just days after the US bombed Iran’s nuclear facilities.
Iranian Defense Minister Aziz Nasirzadeh was among the defense officials welcomed by Dong on a military vessel in the coastal city of Qingdao, China, as part of a two-day SCO defense ministers’ meeting that concluded on Thursday.
According to Chinese state television CCTV, Nasirzadeh and other defense officials toured the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) Navy’s Type 052D destroyer, the Kaifeng, and later attended a reception on the ship’s deck.
Aboard the ship, Nasirzadeh thanked Beijing for “supporting Iran’s legitimate position following the recent attacks” by Israel and the US.
“We hope that China will continue to stand on the side of justice, help maintain the current ceasefire, and play a greater role in de-escalating regional tensions,” Nasirzadeh said, according to Xinhua.
In his address to the assembled ministers, Dong reportedly stated that “unilateralism, protectionism, and hegemonic and bullying acts are on the rise, seriously disrupting the international order and becoming the greatest source of chaos and conflict.”
Dong called for closer cooperation within the United Nations, the SCO, and other multilateral frameworks, urging members to unite with “more like-minded forces” to defend international justice and maintain global stability.
“SCO countries must remain true to the organization’s founding ideals, uphold the ‘Shanghai Spirit,’ and deepen practical cooperation in all areas,” Dong said. “With stronger actions, we can jointly safeguard a peaceful environment for development,” he added.
The event followed the US attacks on three of Iran’s key nuclear facilities on Saturday, which Beijing strongly condemned.
The Chinese Foreign Ministry stated that the attacks on nuclear facilities under the supervision of the International Atomic Energy Agency seriously violated the UN Charter and its principles.
Additionally, the SCO meeting coincided with a NATO leaders’ summit in The Hague. In a statement from The Hague, US President Donald Trump announced that the US would hold talks with Iran about a possible nuclear deal “in the coming week.”
Bilateral Talks
According to Xinhua, the Chinese defense minister later held separate bilateral meetings with the defense ministers of Belarus, Pakistan, Kyrgyzstan, and Russia. The state news agency reported that all parties appreciated Beijing’s efforts and significant contributions to developing SCO operational mechanisms and deepening inter-sectoral cooperation during its rotating presidency. They also expressed a strong will to further consolidate and expand military ties.
Pakistani Defense Minister Khawaja Asif praised Beijing’s role in de-escalating tensions. “Pakistan highly values its robust friendship with China and is ready to work together to implement its three global initiatives, deepen military cooperation, and help maintain regional peace and stability,” he said.
For Russian Defense Minister Andrei Belousov, this year—the 80th anniversary of the victory in World War II, the Chinese people’s war of resistance against Japanese aggression, and the world’s anti-fascist war—presents an opportunity to deepen bilateral military relations. “In line with the consensus of our leaders, we will intensify strategic communication and cooperation and contribute to global strategic stability,” he said.
Meanwhile, Indian Defense Minister Rajnath Singh also attended the Qingdao meeting. This marked the first visit by an Indian defense minister to China since the deadly border clash between the two countries in 2020.
Military trust
According to the Chinese Ministry of Defense, the SCO defense ministers’ meeting is one of the key events held during China’s rotating presidency of the SCO this year. The ministers, along with representatives from the SCO and regional anti-terrorism bodies, gathered to further strengthen military trust and deepen practical cooperation among member states.
The SCO, a 10-nation bloc comprising China, Russia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, Pakistan, India, Iran, and Belarus, currently covers approximately three-fifths of the Eurasian continent and about 43% of the world’s population.
The Beijing meeting, held under the rotating presidency of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation, highlighted China’s role as a significant international actor and the importance Tehran places on its relationship with Beijing, even as China has largely remained on the sidelines of the Israel-Iran conflict.
During a regular press conference at the Chinese Ministry of Defense on Thursday, when asked if Beijing was considering providing military support to Iran as an SCO member, ministry spokesman Zhang Xiaogang told CNN, “China is ready to cooperate with all parties to play a constructive role in maintaining peace and stability in the Middle East.”
Kaifeng destroyer
The Kaifeng destroyer, where the meeting’s reception was held, is the sixth vessel of the extended Type 052D variant and serves in the North Sea Fleet. Commissioned in April 2021, the ship is approximately 159 meters (521 feet) long, weighs 7,500 tons, and is equipped with 517C anti-stealth radar. Its expanded deck allows for the landing of the PLA Navy’s Z-20 helicopters.
The warship has conducted numerous long-range exercises, including a passage through the Tsushima Strait in April, as part of Beijing’s growing operational presence in the western Pacific.
It was publicly displayed during the 74th-anniversary celebrations of the Chinese navy in Qingdao in 2023.
Asia
Japan’s prime minister skips NATO summit amid alliance strain

In the fifth month of Donald Trump’s second administration, the United States and its most crucial ally in the West Pacific, Japan, appear to be out of sync.
On Monday, Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba announced he would not attend this week’s NATO summit in the Netherlands. Additionally, he neither supported nor condemned Trump’s decision over the weekend to attack Iran’s nuclear facilities.
These are just the latest signs of discord that have emerged in recent weeks. Japanese Foreign Minister Takeshi Iwaya is set to visit Washington for a QUAD foreign ministers’ meeting with his counterparts from India and Australia later this month, but the expected two-plus-two meeting of US and Japanese foreign and defense ministers will not take place.
A US official told Nikkei Asia in late May that an inter-agency agreement had been reached on the US side to demand that Japan increase its defense spending to 3% of its gross domestic product (GDP) as part of ongoing trade negotiations aimed at reducing tariffs.
However, a new figure of “3.5%” began circulating in Washington after US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth met with his Australian counterpart, Richard Marles, during the Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore on May 30.
A Pentagon statement released two days after the meeting said, “Secretary Hegseth conveyed that Australia needs to increase its defense spending to 3.5% of its GDP as soon as possible.”
US officials, led by Under Secretary of Defense for Policy Elbridge Colby, began stating that the new “fixed demand” for Asian allies was 3.5%.
Last week, Pentagon spokesman Sean Parnell formalized this by issuing a statement indicating that European allies had set a new “global standard” for US alliances at 5% of GDP. This statement was related to NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte’s recently announced spending targets of 3.5% for military procurements and 1.5% for related infrastructure.
A Japanese official told Nikkei that Tokyo was open to discussions on increasing defense spending, but the process appeared disorderly. Officials noted that Washington had not officially communicated any figures to Japan. It was also reported that Japanese officials had difficulty communicating directly with Colby.
Another Japanese official stated that if Japan were to increase its defense spending (currently 1.8% of GDP, with plans to reach 2% by fiscal year 2027), it would be a sovereign decision by Tokyo and would need to be explained with justifications that could be presented to the Japanese public.
Zack Cooper, a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute think tank, said the Trump administration had been “pretty inconsistent” in its approach to Japan, and this uncertainty would create a challenge for the alliance.
“Ishiba’s cancellation of the NATO meeting and the two-plus-two meeting, when put together, certainly form a concerning set of signals,” he said.
Cooper assessed, “To me, this suggests that Tokyo wants to wait for the upper house elections [on July 20] rather than engage directly with the Trump administration.”
Asia
US cries to China as Washington begins airstrikes in Iran

While the Middle East is going through one of its most tense periods, the world has been shocked by the news of a direct attack by the United States on Iran’s nuclear facilities. Washington has announced that Iran’s nuclear facilities no longer exist. At the same time, Tehran has warned in a strong tone that it will respond to this aggression.
This action was immediately met with widespread regional and international reactions. The United Nations, the European Union, global powers such as Russia and China, and America’s traditional allies in the West each took their own stance.
At an emergency meeting of the United Nations, Secretary-General Antonio Guterres described the move as a dangerous turn in an already crisis-ridden region. A wave of criticism has also emerged within the United States, with some describing the attack as successful.
At the same time, a number of lawmakers from both the Republican and Democratic parties consider Trump’s action to be without congressional authorization and unconstitutional.
Some reactions:
Russian envoy: US attack carried out without any provocation from Iran.
US Representative: The Iranian regime should not have nuclear weapons.
Iran’s ambassador to the Security Council: America once again sacrificed its security for Benjamin Netanyahu.
Israeli Ambassador to the Security Council: America changed the course of history by attacking Iran.
Rafael Grossi, the head of the International Atomic Energy Agency: Military attacks should not be carried out on nuclear facilities, saying he is ready to immediately travel to all countries regarding this case.
UK UN envoy: Military action alone cannot address concerns about Iran’s nuclear program, saying his country was not involved in Iran attack, referred to concerns about Iran’s nuclear program and said that military action alone cannot permanently address concerns about Iran’s nuclear program. He called on Iran to exercise restraint and urged the parties involved to return to the negotiating table.
France: Now is the time to end the attacks and return to negotiations.
But now why US cries to China for help to reopen Strait of Hormuz
Soon after a US airstrike in three locations, Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most important shipping routes. Now this move puts the US in trouble and US Secretary of State Marco Rubio has called on China to prevent Iran from closing the Strait of Hormuz.
However, it seems that the US is too late and according to Iran’s state-run Press TV, the decision was made by Iran’s Supreme National Security Council.
The US understands that any disruption on the supply of oil would have profound consequences for the economy and wants to play an emotional card with China to convince Iran to reopen the route as Beijing is also one of the largest buyers of Iranian oil.
It is reported that 20 percent of the world’s oil passes through the Strait of Hormuz, and major oil and gas producing countries in the Middle East use this route to export energy.
Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump has said that regime change is inevitable if the Islamic Republic cannot “make Iran great again.” His statement came following US military strikes on Iranian military facilities.
Iran: Game is not over even assuming the complete destruction of the nuclear sites
Ali Shamkhani, advisor to Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the religious leader of Iran, has said in response to the US attacks that even assuming the complete destruction of the nuclear sites, the “game is not over”.
“Even assuming the complete destruction of the sites, the game is not over; because the enriched materials, indigenous knowledge, and political will remain intact,” he said.
He noted that “now the political and operational initiative with the right to self-defense is in the hands of the side that knows how to play smart and avoids blind shooting.”
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