Europe
Cracks appear in the CDU’s ‘firewall’ against Germany’s far-right AfD
Three former high-ranking politicians and officials from Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s party have said it is time for conservatives to develop a new strategy for dealing with the AfD, seriously intensifying the internal debate over the “firewall” strategy.
The “firewall” (Brandmauer) means that mainstream German parties refuse to form coalitions with “radical” parties like the Alternative for Germany (AfD) at the federal and state levels or to pass laws with their help.
Although this firewall has significant cracks at the local level, especially in the eastern states, Merz has largely adhered to this policy since taking office.
German officials have faced harsh criticism, including from members of the Trump administration. In Munich last February, Elon Musk joined a conversation with US Vice President JD Vance and AfD leader Alice Weidel, where Vance criticized the firewall as “a tool to disenfranchise voters.”
Speaking to Stern magazine last week, conservative figures opened a debate on the CDU/CSU bloc’s stance toward the AfD.
“The higher the firewall, the stronger the AfD becomes,” said historian and former Merz advisor Andreas Rödder. According to Rödder, conservatives should be “willing to engage in dialogue” with the AfD, provided the party agrees to certain conditions and abandons its “extremist” positions.
Former CSU General Secretary and former Defense Minister Karl-Theodor zu Guttenberg argues that excluding the AfD only serves to strengthen it, stating, “It is not possible to demystify through boycotting.”
The main argument of conservatives advocating for a rethink of the firewall strategy can be summarized as follows: allowing AfD politicians to oppose the system from the outside “without engaging in the complex compromises inherent to politics” does nothing but strengthen the party.
At the same time, the conservatives’ refusal to cooperate with the AfD forces the CDU/CSU to govern with left-wing parties, providing the far-right with more material for attacks.
The situation is further complicated as the AfD increasingly emerges as the leading party in polls. Peter Tauber, Angela Merkel’s former general secretary, also believes that establishing a “new relationship” with the AfD is “necessary from a state policy perspective.” Stern notes that a previously unknown feeling has emerged within the CDU/CSU bloc: the fear of a “split.”
Researchers from the Berlin Science Center and Harvard University evaluated a total of 11,053 district and municipal council meetings between 2019 and 2024. The result: nearly one-fifth (19%) of AfD motions received approval from the CDU and other “democratic” parties.
These motions concerned personnel issues, substantive proposals, and budgets. “Apparently, the AfD has long been in power in local governments as well,” comments Stern.
Two Mondays ago, Udo Witschas, the CDU district chairman in Bautzen, Saxony, caused a scandal in the district council. He was asked to comment on a photograph taken during a motorcycle trip with Karsten Hilse, an AfD district council member and Member of the Federal Parliament who is under surveillance by the Office for the Protection of the Constitution.
Witschas had not hidden the photo; on the contrary, he had hung it in his office and shared it online. Witschas said he could not understand the excitement. According to him, Hilse was not “far-right.” In his view, there is not a single “right-wing, left-wing, or extremist” person in the district council.
AfD politicians are naturally pleased with the conservatives’ concerns. Bernd Baumann, the AfD’s parliamentary group leader, told POLITICO Bulletin that the CDU is in a “self-inflicted existential crisis.”
“First, it campaigns with right-wing positions taken from the AfD. After being elected, it builds a firewall against the AfD. In coalition with the SPD, it implements the exact opposite of its election promises,” Baumann said.
Co-chairwoman Weidel is also certain that the CDU cannot continue on this path. “The Union will no longer be able to reject us. I see a changed CDU after the short-lived Merz era as a potential partner,” Weidel told Stern.
Historian Rödder wants the CDU to finally impose “its own game” on the AfD while it still has the strength. In this context, he says the party should signal a “readiness for conditional dialogue” to the AfD.
“If the AfD respects the red lines and clearly distances itself from far-right positions and figures, seeking dialogue and conducting a tough debate on the matter is a valuable democratic endeavor. Strategically, it is also wiser to throw the fire of the directional debate at the AfD,” says Rödder.
According to the historian, only in this way can the AfD be forced to decide “which direction it wants to go: extremist or democratic?”
On the other hand, a large part of the CDU leadership is still distancing itself from Rödder’s ideas, fearing that his theses will be the beginning of the end for the “firewall.”
Leading Christian Democrats vehemently oppose the impression that the party is looking for a way to politically utilize a calculated right-wing majority.
CDU deputy chairwoman Karin Prien warns, “The AfD is the exact opposite of the middle class [bürgerlich].” Therefore, there can be no middle-class majority with the AfD.
Kiel’s state premier, Daniel Günther, says, “We have a clear stance against the AfD, and that will not change. Anyone who takes democratic responsibility seriously cannot do business with a party that undermines our institutions and trust in the state.”
Chancellor Friedrich Merz has also reaffirmed the firewall against the AfD.
Following a closed-door CDU meeting in Berlin, Merz said that the two parties differ not in details but in “fundamental political beliefs” and suggested that the AfD wants to destroy the CDU.
Europe
China’s critical mineral restrictions challenge EU defence expansion plans
The European Union’s plans to expand its defence capabilities are being hindered by China’s export controls and sales restrictions on critical raw materials.
In response, EU leaders are urging member states to accelerate efforts to diversify supply chains.
According to Nikkei Asia, the European Commission announced last week that it would propose new legislation requiring companies across the bloc to broaden their supplier base in an effort to address economic imbalances, although it did not explicitly name China.
The war in Ukraine and growing uncertainty over Washington’s security guarantees have pushed European governments to increase military spending and defence production.
At the same time, according to a report published in May by Joris Teer, a policy analyst at the European Union Institute for Security Studies (EUISS), China accounts for at least 70% of global mining or refining activity in 17 of the 34 materials classified as critical by the EU. Eight of those 34 materials are currently subject to Chinese export controls.
“China is undermining Europe’s rearmament efforts,” Teer wrote. “Simply by activating this tool, China has already increased its leverage and demonstrated both the capability and willingness to restrict supply whenever it chooses.”
The Aerospace, Security and Defence Industries Association of Europe also warned that geopolitical developments and intensifying global competition for critical raw materials are further underscoring the need to strengthen European supply chains.
The organisation represents more than 4,000 companies, including Britain’s BAE Systems, France’s Thales and Germany’s Rheinmetall.
European defence manufacturers are pursuing a range of strategies, including vertical integration, recycling, diversification and stockpiling.
Rheinmetall told Nikkei Asia that it has “no dependencies” and is “well prepared” regarding critical minerals.
A company spokesperson said: “Rheinmetall has stockpiled key raw materials sufficient for several years. We have also implemented IT systems that allow us to centrally monitor and precisely manage raw material consumption across the entire group.”
Analysts, however, caution that stockpiling alone will not be sufficient. Maria Shagina, a researcher at the International Institute for Strategic Studies, said: “Stockpiling serves as an important buffer against sudden disruptions, but on its own it is unlikely to mitigate structural damage over the long term.”
Shagina added that replacing the volume and diversity of critical minerals controlled by Beijing with alternative sources would take years.
In 2024, the EU enacted the European Critical Raw Materials Act, aimed at rebuilding domestic supply chains for such minerals.
The legislation sets 2030 targets for domestic extraction, processing and recycling while limiting dependence on any single third-country supplier to 65%.
A €3 billion ($3.5 billion) fund was established last year to accelerate strategic projects.
Nevertheless, the European Court of Auditors has noted that the 2030 targets are not legally binding and that the EU remains far from achieving them.
Industry groups argue that policy inconsistencies could further slow progress.
The Cobalt Institute, which represents a sector vital to jet engines, advanced batteries and defence alloys, warned that proposed EU chemicals regulations risk undermining the industry.
“Europe has one foot in and one foot out,” said Michael Blakeney, head of government and public affairs at the London-based institute. “It says the right things, but its actions are inconsistent.”
Europe’s efforts are unfolding alongside a more aggressive US strategy to secure critical mineral supply chains.
Shagina said:
“The US is investing more capital to secure and expand capacity, taking greater financial risks and, in some cases, acquiring equity stakes. Europe, by contrast, is generally more cautious, which places it at a relative disadvantage in the competition for critical minerals.”
In April, the EU signed an agreement with the United States to coordinate supplies of critical minerals. Although some member states initially resisted over concerns that the deal could weaken the bloc’s strategic autonomy, they authorised the Commission in early June to join the US-led “Pax Silica” initiative, which coordinates investment and export-control policies.
Teer urged Europe to use ongoing US-EU-Japan negotiations as the nucleus of a broader coalition aimed at making critical mineral production outside China financially viable through state support, minimum-price mechanisms and supply rules.
“Particularly important are countries that either produce raw materials or possess significant mineral deposits, such as Malaysia, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Brazil and Indonesia, as well as countries like India with large pools of skilled labour,” he said.
Teer also argued that the EU should activate its Anti-Coercion Instrument, which allows the bloc to impose tariffs and restrictions in response to economic pressure on countries outside the union, in order to deter China from introducing further restrictions.
A European Commission spokesperson said the bloc had “long been aware of the risks associated with the EU’s dependence on critical raw materials.”
“The objective is clear: to anticipate disruptions early and reduce the EU’s vulnerabilities while strengthening our industrial and defence capacities,” the spokesperson said.
Europe
Four European countries move to make citizenship harder to obtain
European countries are increasingly tightening their citizenship rules. Most recently, the Norwegian government has drafted legislation that would raise the minimum residency requirement for citizenship from three years to seven.
The proposed amendments to the citizenship law were presented by the Ministry of Labour and Social Inclusion.
Under the draft legislation, stateless individuals born in Norway, as well as those who arrived in the country as children, would be required to reside in Norway for at least five years before becoming eligible for citizenship.
The government also plans to increase residency requirements for foreign nationals who are married to or cohabiting with Norwegian citizens.
Language requirements are set to become more demanding as well. The proposal would raise the required level of spoken Norwegian proficiency from A2 to B1. The new rules would apply to applicants aged between 18 and 67.
Commenting on the changes, Minister of Labour and Social Inclusion Kjersti Stenseng said: “Obtaining and holding Norwegian citizenship should be a privilege.”
The government argues that simplifying administrative procedures while simultaneously tightening eligibility criteria will help reduce the country’s large backlog of pending applications and shorten processing times.
Norway is the latest European country to announce revisions to its citizenship rules.
In Finland, the minimum residency requirement for citizenship was increased from five years to eight years on October 1, 2024.
The country also plans to introduce a mandatory citizenship test for applicants aged between 18 and 64 from the beginning of 2027.
Finnish Interior Minister Mari Rantanen said: “The introduction of a citizenship test is the final component of a comprehensive reform aimed at making citizenship requirements more stringent.”
Sweden has also approved a similar reform. Beginning in June 2026, the standard residency requirement for citizenship will increase from five years to eight years. Authorities are also introducing a financial self-sufficiency requirement for applicants and expanding the scope of security screenings.
Explaining the rationale behind the changes, Migration Minister Johan Forssell said: “It was possible to become a citizen after living in the country for five years without knowing a single word of Swedish, learning anything about Swedish society, or even having one’s own source of income.”
The most far-reaching changes have been implemented in Portugal. Portuguese President Antonio Jose Seguro has signed legislation raising the minimum residency requirement for citizenship from five years to 10 years.
For citizens of the European Union and the Community of Portuguese Language Countries, the requirement has been set at seven years.
The residency period will now be calculated from the date a residence permit is granted rather than from the date a citizenship application is submitted. The new rules will also affect the children of immigrants.
Previously, children could obtain citizenship one year after birth if their parents held residence permits. Under the new rules, at least one parent must have legally resided in the country for a minimum of five years.
The law also introduces a mandatory examination covering Portuguese history, culture, values and social structures.
Migration policies are tightening across the European Union as well. On June 17, the European Parliament approved legislation allowing irregular migrants whose asylum applications have been rejected but who cannot be returned to their countries of origin to be deported to third countries.
The new EU rules permit the establishment of migrant detention centres outside the bloc’s borders. African countries are reportedly among the options being discussed for such facilities.
Europe
SpaceX warns EU satellite spectrum plan could disrupt connectivity in Ukraine
SpaceX has sharply criticised a European Union plan to restrict access to satellite spectrum, arguing that the proposal risks degrading connectivity in Ukraine and disrupting emergency communications services.
In a document shared with European officials and reviewed by the Financial Times, SpaceX warned:
“This proposal significantly increases the likelihood that Europeans will be deprived of direct-to-device satellite services, or that new European operations will create global interference issues, including for emergency services such as those operating in Ukraine.”
In a proposal unveiled in May, the EU recommended reserving part of the spectrum band used for direct satellite-to-smartphone connectivity for European operators, thereby limiting the frequencies available to US and Chinese providers.
The 2 GHz frequency band in question is currently used by two US companies, Viasat and EchoStar.
SpaceX argued that the EU plan prioritises “an operator’s country of establishment over economic, technical and regulatory realities.”
When the proposal was announced, EU technology chief Henna Virkkunen defended the move, saying the bloc wanted to “increase European capacity in this sector.” She added that other parts of the frequency band would remain open to international operators, arguing that prioritising European providers was justified.
Other participants involved in discussions over the proposal said some EU officials were specifically seeking to limit Elon Musk’s Starlink satellite network.
Europe’s initiative follows a warning from Washington. In March, the US Federal Communications Commission (FCC) cautioned that it could take retaliatory measures if the EU chose to favour European satellite operators over alternatives such as Starlink.
At the time, FCC Chairman Brendan Carr told the Financial Times: “Some of the discussions in Europe regarding satellite sovereignty concern us. If Europe decides to move down that path, then, as you know, we will have to consider reciprocal measures.”
The European Commission’s proposal has not yet entered formal negotiations with EU member states or the European Parliament.
A source close to SpaceX said the company remained hopeful of influencing the outcome of the process, given concerns raised by both businesses and several European governments.
-
Europe2 weeks agoAfD says Ukraine should compensate Germany over Nord Stream sabotage
-
Asia2 weeks agoPentagon adds Alibaba, Baidu and BYD to list of firms with alleged Chinese military ties
-
Opinion1 week agoA voice rising from New Delhi: BRICS’s manifesto for a new world order
-
Europe2 weeks agoToyota and JLR warn EU ‘Made in Europe’ rules could threaten jobs and investment
-
America2 weeks agoWorld Cup referee from Somalia denied entry to US as immigration scrutiny intensifies
-
Middle East1 week agoMine clearing in Strait of Hormuz could delay shipping traffic for up to 50 days
-
America7 days agoData leak exposes Peter Thiel’s secret ‘Dialog’ network of politicians, regulators, and tech elites
-
Diplomacy1 week agoIran discloses 14-point draft US peace accord detailing sanctions relief, regional security measures
