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MIDDLE EAST

EU and US pile on pressure for Gaza ceasefire

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In a first, EU leaders have called for a ceasefire in Gaza, while a US draft resolution calling for an immediate ceasefire in Gaza linked to the release of all prisoners will be put to a vote in the UN Security Council today. Arab ministers met in Cairo with US Secretary of State Blinken, who is on a tour of the Middle East, to discuss the need for a ceasefire in Gaza, followed by a period of concrete action towards a two-state political solution. Blinken reportedly urged Qatar to threaten to expel Hamas from Doha if it did not agree to a prisoner exchange.

European Union (EU) leaders ended five months of deep divisions at the Middle East session of their summit in Brussels, adopting a joint statement on Gaza.

“The European Council calls for an immediate ‘humanitarian pause’ to allow for a durable ceasefire, the unconditional release of all prisoners and the delivery of humanitarian aid,” the statement said, expressing dismay at the unprecedented civilian casualties and critical humanitarian situation in Gaza.

“The European Council is deeply concerned about the dire humanitarian situation in Gaza and its disproportionate impact on the civilian population, in particular children, and the risk of imminent famine,” it said.

It stressed that full, rapid, safe and unhindered humanitarian access to Gaza by all routes is essential for the large-scale delivery of life-saving assistance and essential services to the civilian population. “Urgent measures must be taken to prevent further population displacement and to provide safe shelter for the population to ensure that civilians are protected at all times,” the statement said.

Call to refrain from attacks on Rafah

The statement called on Israel to refrain from ground attacks that would worsen the already dire humanitarian situation in Rafah and prevent the delivery of urgently needed basic services and humanitarian aid.

Stressing the importance of respecting and implementing the legally binding decision of the International Court of Justice of 26 January, the statement said that violations of international humanitarian law must be thoroughly and independently investigated and accountability ensured.

The statement noted the vital role of the United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near East (UNRWA).

West Bank and East Jerusalem

“The EU calls for an immediate end to violence in the West Bank and East Jerusalem and for safe access to holy sites. The European Council strongly condemns the violence perpetrated by extremist settlers”.

It condemned Israel’s decision to further expand illegal settlements in the occupied West Bank and called for this decision to be reversed.

On the other hand, Arab ministers conveyed their views on the ceasefire and political solution in Gaza to US Secretary of State Antony Blinken, who visited Egypt as part of his Middle East tour.

According to a written statement issued by the Egyptian Foreign Ministry, Blinken met in Cairo with Egyptian Foreign Minister Samih Shukri, Saudi Foreign Minister Faisal bin Farhan, Qatari Foreign Minister Mohammed bin Abdurrahman, Jordanian Foreign Minister Ayman al-Safedi, United Arab Emirates (UAE) Minister of State for International Cooperation Affairs Rim al-Hashemi, and Palestine Liberation Organisation (PLO) Executive Committee Secretary-General Hussein al-Sheikh.

During the meeting, the crisis in Gaza and efforts to reach a ceasefire were discussed, and the rejection of attempts to liquidate the Palestinian issue or force the Palestinians to emigrate and the attack on Rafah were stressed. They also stressed the inevitability of a two-state solution and the establishment of a Palestinian state. The Arab ministers told Blinken that a ceasefire must be achieved in Gaza, followed by a phase of concrete actions aimed at a political solution through the two-state formula.

The meeting agreed to convene an urgent meeting of experts from the participating countries in the coming days to identify concrete and coordinated steps to resolve the humanitarian crisis in Gaza.

On the other hand, according to CNN, US officials said that Blinken sent a message to Hamas that it risked being expelled from Doha, where its senior members are based, unless it agreed to a hostage swap and a ceasefire deal to end the conflict in Gaza.

The message was delivered by Blinken to Qatari Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Mohammed bin Abdurrahman Al Thani at a meeting in Washington on 5 March, officials said.

US officials said Qatar, which has played a mediating role with Washington in efforts to reach a ceasefire agreement, “understood the message and showed no major reaction”.

It was not known whether Qatari officials had relayed the warning to Hamas leaders.

The US, Qatar and Egypt are mediating a prisoner swap and ceasefire deal between Hamas and Israel.

US draft resolution to be voted on at UNSC

The UN Security Council (UNSC) is scheduled to vote today on a draft resolution that the US has been negotiating for some time.

The draft resolution, seen by AA, condemns all forms of terrorism and commends the initiatives taken by Egypt and Qatar.

Noting the importance of turning the ceasefire into a sustainable one, the draft resolution states that “Hamas and other terrorist and extremist groups do not represent the Palestinian people” and that Hamas “has been declared a terrorist organisation by some member states”.

Stressing that Gaza is part of the territories occupied in 1967, the draft resolution supports a two-state solution.

“It is important to achieve an immediate and durable ceasefire in order to protect civilians on all sides, to provide necessary humanitarian assistance, to alleviate suffering and to ensure that this ceasefire is accompanied by the release of all remaining prisoners,” the draft resolution says.

Noting that the ceasefire should be seen as an opportunity to create conditions for a more sustainable cessation of hostilities, the draft resolution calls for intensified diplomatic efforts in this direction.

The draft resolution calls on all parties to abide by international law and humanitarian law, and calls for the protection of civilians and civilian infrastructure and the provision of humanitarian access.

The draft resolution opposes the forcible transfer of civilians in Gaza, stating that this would violate international law, international humanitarian law and international human rights law.

Elected members of the UN Security Council also prepare draft resolution

The 10 elected members of the UN Security Council are also preparing a draft resolution on the situation in Gaza.

The text, known as the “E-10” draft resolution, calls for an immediate ceasefire in Gaza during Ramadan. The draft resolution, which calls for the immediate and unconditional release of all prisoners, also calls for the distribution of humanitarian aid should be increased and obstacles removed.

On the other hand, France, which has been convening the UN Security Council for two weeks in a closed session on Gaza, is also preparing a draft resolution.

It is said that the French draft resolution will focus on a permanent ceasefire.

Negotiations continue in Doha

Meanwhile, an Israeli delegation led by Mossad chief David Barnea will travel today to Qatar, where negotiations on a prisoner swap between Hamas and Israel are continuing.

According to a statement released by the Israeli Prime Minister’s Press Office, the Israeli delegation led by Barnea, who was authorised to travel to Doha by Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu, will meet with CIA Director William (Bill) Burns, Qatari Prime Minister Mohammed bin Abdurrahman Al Thani and Egyptian intelligence chief Abbas Kamil to discuss the release of prisoners.

It is noteworthy that the visit coincides with the arrival of US Secretary of State Antony Blinken in Israel tomorrow after his visits to Saudi Arabia and Egypt.

The Israeli delegation led by Barnea went to Doha, the capital of Qatar, on 18 March for a new round of negotiations on the release of the prisoners.

The Israeli press announced that the prisoner exchange negotiations between Hamas and Tel Aviv officially started with the arrival of the Israeli delegation led by the head of Mossad in Doha.

The Israeli delegation was said to include Nitzan Alon, who was abducted by the Israeli army and was in charge of the missing persons file.

The news on Israel’s Channel 12 television said that the negotiations could last for about two weeks.

The Israeli press reported that Mossad chief Barnea, who headed the Tel Aviv delegation, returned to his country on 19 March and met with the government and war cabinet the following day.

MIDDLE EAST

Netanyahu government moves to dismiss Attorney General

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The Israeli government unanimously declared “no confidence” in Attorney General Gali Baharav-Miara during its cabinet meeting on Sunday. This step officially initiates the process of Baharav-Miara’s dismissal, marking a first in the country’s history.

Justice Minister Yariv Levin accused the Attorney General of obstructing government policies and argued that cooperation had become impossible due to “long-standing fundamental disagreements” between them.

Baharav-Miara’s response was swift. Stating that the government was trying to place itself above the law, the Attorney General said, “They are seeking unlimited power; an unchecked administration is being targeted.”

The attempt to dismiss Baharav-Miara, along with the dismissal of Shin Bet Director Ronen Bar and discussions on judicial reform, is seen as a new crisis regarding the independence of the judiciary.

The process has been initiated despite many legally required steps. According to the current cabinet decision, the dismissal file must first be sent to a special five-member committee, and then the attorney general must be given the right to defend herself. However, this commission has not yet been formed.

It was leaked to the press that some ministers made sarcastic comments about Baharav-Miara during the cabinet meeting. Economy Minister Nir Barkat said, “She probably attended a meeting of another government,” while Environment Minister Idit Silman said, “She was a secretary in the previous government, now she acts like an opposition leader.”

Baharav-Miara, who did not attend the meeting, accused the government in her letter of trying to evade legal oversight, saying, “This initiative aims to weaken the judiciary and intimidate loyal public servants.”

Opposition leader Yair Lapid called the attempt to dismiss the Attorney General “illegal,” stating, “Netanyahu first wants to dismiss his investigator, and now his prosecutor. Gali Baharav-Miara is an honest and competent attorney general. That’s precisely why she’s a target. This is illegal, this is corruption. They will not succeed.”

National Unity Party leader Benny Gantz claimed that the government’s move was motivated by a law that would grant military service exemptions to ultra-Orthodox Jews: “Netanyahu wants an attorney general who will bypass the Supreme Court and disregard the reserve soldiers joining the army. We are all paying the price.”

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MIDDLE EAST

Shin Bet Director dismissed amid ‘Qatargate’ probe

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The Israeli government has unanimously dismissed Shin Bet Director Ronen Bar. Bar stated that the real intention behind his dismissal was to “continue ceasefire negotiations without reaching an agreement.” Referencing the Qatargate scandal investigated by Shin Bet, Bar said his dismissal “smells of foreign interests and an unprecedented conflict of interest.”

In a first for Israel, the director of Shin Bet, considered an independent institution, was dismissed by a cabinet decision. Bar did not attend the meeting where the dismissal was to be voted on, despite being summoned, but sent a letter to the ministers.

In his letter, Bar refuted Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s claim that there was a trust issue between them, which Netanyahu cited as the reason for the dismissal. Bar stated, “There has been intense and effective cooperation between Shin Bet under my leadership and the Prime Minister.”

Arguing that the Shin Bet Director should be loyal to the people, not the Prime Minister, Bar said, “Netanyahu could not support the reasons he put forward for my dismissal. Despite my request, no concrete examples were provided.”

Bar argued that Netanyahu’s insistence on the lack of trust between them was not a valid basis, but that his real intention was to continue ceasefire negotiations in Gaza without reaching an agreement.

Bar stated that Netanyahu’s decision to exclude him and Mossad Chief David Barnea from the ceasefire and prisoner exchange negotiations harmed the delegation and prevented any progress in the release of prisoners.

Bar added that Netanyahu is taking steps that will “weaken the country both internally and against its enemies.”

According to Bar, the decision is driven by “foreign interests and conflict of interest.”

Shin Bet Director Bar also referred to the “Qatargate” investigation in Israel, conducted by Shin Bet, regarding allegations that Netanyahu’s close advisors received money from Qatar through shell companies.

Bar stated, “Important investigative steps are being taken. Following the disruption of these steps by a sudden and hasty dismissal based on completely unfounded allegations, there is a smell of foreign interests and an unprecedented conflict of interest.”

He warned that the dismissal, initiated by Prime Minister Netanyahu, sends a dangerous message to those under investigation and could jeopardize the outcome of the investigation.

The government’s decision to dismiss the Shin Bet Director has been taken to the High Court.

The Movement for Quality Government requested the decision be halted in a petition to the High Court.

The decision also drew a swift reaction from the opposition. Yisrael Beytenu party leader Avigdor Liberman said, “By firing Shin Bet Director Ronen Bar, Netanyahu is doing exactly what our enemies dream of.”

The main opposition leader Yair Lapid says that the government dismissed Bar “for one reason only”: to stop the Qatargate investigation.

Lapid stated, “The opposition parties will jointly object to this reckless move to legitimize the infiltration of a hostile state into the prime minister’s office.”

The “Qatargate” discussions began with allegations that millions of dollars were taken from Qatar and transferred to Netanyahu’s election campaign.

These allegations turned into an investigation conducted by Shin Bet, with Prime Minister Netanyahu’s spokespeople Eliezer Feldstein and advisors Jonathan Urich and Srulik Einhorn in the defendant’s seat.

Israeli media reported that Netanyahu also received $15 million from Qatar in 2012 and $50 million in 2018.

It was reported that Feldstein was paid by an international company to support Qatar’s image, and Netanyahu’s advisors Urich and Einhorn also provided image consultancy for Qatar.

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MIDDLE EAST

Gaza ceasefire: The bell of war ringing again

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The ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas did not last long, and eventually the bell for war had sounded again. According to media reports, hundreds of Palestinians have been killed in the Gaza Strip as a result of Israeli airstrikes. Israeli officials also warned that the gates of hell had opened on Gaza. The United States also announced that it had responded positively to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s request to resume the war.

The question: Why has the Gaza war resumed?

First: These days, US President Donald Trump has been feverishly pushing for talks with Iran, which is not pleasing to the Israeli side. Trump has repeatedly emphasized the need to negotiate with Iran before pursuing other options.

More importantly, he recently sent a letter addressed to the Iranian Leader and also informed the media. The content of the letter is also focused on starting negotiations with Iran, although it is spoken from a position of power. Furthermore, Adam Boehler, Trump’s representative for Israeli hostage affairs, met with the Hamas leadership in Doha, the capital of Qatar, and evaluated the meeting as constructive, while in response to Tel Aviv’s criticism, he described Hamas members as good people.

Of course, it was recently claimed that he was removed from his position. Now, in order to prevent Trump and Iran from entering the negotiating line and for the US to avoid direct talks with Hamas, the Israeli side has wanted to make the situation critical so that the atmosphere for consultations remains unfavorable. Furthermore, by intensifying the attacks, Netanyahu wants to force Hamas to accept conditions that the group has so far refused to accept.

Second: In the meantime, Trump also has specific goals that he is seeking to achieve: forcing Iran to negotiate. Trump has repeatedly emphasized establishing peace; but from the position of exercising power, using the tools of sanctions and military threats. The deadly airstrikes by the US military on Yemeni Houthi positions and the hints and insinuations of Trump and his entourage towards Iran are also intended to force Tehran to agree to negotiations, and that is, negotiations whose terms and conditions are determined by the American side.

Trump’s green light to resume the Gaza war could also be in this direction, because if the ceasefire goes ahead as included in the agreement, the American and Israeli sides believe that Iran and the so-called “axis of resistance” will declare themselves victorious, and in that case Tehran will either refuse to negotiate or will try to enter the arena from a strong position.

Third: It is true that Trump signed the plan to resume the war, but he will not support the continuation of the war and its spread, for three reasons:

1- it would contradict the slogans that Trump has constantly chanted to end wars. More importantly, since he values ​​the principle of “cost-benefit” so much, his support for a long and consequential war would harm the achievement of the larger goals he has in mind.

Therefore, it supports what Netanyahu wants to a certain extent, which is natural; but it seems unlikely that the previous US administration would want to continuously pump advanced weapons and military equipment into Israel for more than a year.

2- Second, Trump’s support for a long war that results in the deaths of Palestinian civilians could undermine the prospects for expanding the Abraham Accords, an agreement that Trump holds in high regard and cites as the most important achievement of her first administration.

Arab governments also have a sense of dignity and prestige and will not join this treaty for free, especially Saudi Arabia. Therefore, Trump does not want the scope of this treaty to remain narrow.

3- If Trump agrees to support a large-scale and high-consequence war in Gaza, America will be stuck in the Middle East, which will sideline the rest of the White House’s priorities: Ending the war in Ukraine, a trade war with China, Canada, Europe, etc. When the US is once again involved in the Gaza conflict, Russia will become bolder and, instead of giving in to Trump’s demand to sign a ceasefire agreement, will insist on continuing the war to occupy more territory in Ukraine. The trade war with China and Europe also requires that Trump be comfortable with the Middle East.

4- Netanyahu’s cabinet is grappling with numerous internal problems. For example, Internal Security Minister Ben-Governor resigned and left the government in response to accepting the first phase of the ceasefire. Smotrich, another Netanyahu ally, has also warned that he will resign in response to accepting the second phase, which would lead to the collapse of the cabinet.

Apart from that, the risk of launching a comprehensive investigation to clarify the dimensions of the October 7 attack is also prominent, which is possible in the absence of war conditions. In recent days, a serious disagreement between Netanyahu and Shin Bet chief Ronen Bar has flared up, leading to the latter’s dismissal. This dismissal is said to be related to the risk of leaking documents that could jeopardize Netanyahu’s political life.

Now, the simple and inexpensive way to keep the government going and quell internal disputes is to resume the war with Hamas, so that the opposing and supporting view of the external enemy is fixed. In the meantime, the protests of the families of the hostages and the opposition forces are important as a deterrent; but not to the extent of the internal conflict in the cabinet, the disclosure of documents and the preparation of the investigation file into the October 7 attack, which could put an end to the life of the Netanyahu government.

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