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Nord Stream gas sabotage

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Two explosions recorded nearby leaks on Russian natural gas pipelines under the Baltic Sea.

Explosions on the Nord Stream-1 and Nord Stream-2 natural gas pipeline routes were reported by the Swedish National Seismic Network (SNSN). “There is no doubt that these are explosions” said SNSN spokesman Björn Lund.

The Swedish Maritime Administration warned that the ships would not come too close to the area, notifying that there were two leaks on Russian-owned Nord Stream 1 and 2 pipelines. Kremlin spokesman Dmitriy Peskov said damage to the Nord Stream 1 and Nord Stream 2 pipelines may have been caused by sabotage.

“This is very disturbing news. Indeed, we are talking about some destruction in the pipeline, it is not yet clear what kind in the Danish economic zone. Indeed, pressure has dropped significantly” Peskov reported.

Former Polish Defence Minister thanks U.S.

As allegations of sabotage related to the leak were discussed, Former Polish foreign minister Radek Sikorski shared images of the explosion and thanked the U.S. on his Twitter account.

https://twitter.com/radeksikorski/status/1574800653724966915

Russian Foreign Ministry Spokeswoman Maria Zakharova questioned if Sikorski’s tweet were official confirmation of the attack and constituted an “official statement that this was a terrorist attack.”

Zakharova also questioned whether the U.S. was acting on the threat, recalling U.S. President Joe Biden’s promise to end the Nord Stream in February. “If Russia invades Ukraine there will be no longer Nord Stream 2. We will bring end to it” Mr. Biden told the press in early February.

Federal Security Service of the Russian Federation (FSB) Investigation Department announced it launched investigation into the allegations.

In addition to Russia, the Swedish Security Service (SAPO) said it launched a probe into the leaks.

Speaking on the issue, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken stressed that the U.S. is working to ensure Europe’s both short-term basis and long-term basis energy security, arguing that the leaks will not have a significant impact on Europe’s energy resilience.

“There are initial reports indicating that this may be the result of an attack or some kind of sabotage, but these are initial reports, and we haven’t confirmed that yet. But if it is confirmed, that’s clearly in no one’s interest” said Blinken.

The sabotage benefits US

Thanks to the Nord Stream-1 and Nord Stream-2 pipelines built to transport gas from Russia to Europe and primarily to Germany, Russia could bypass Poland and Ukraine and transport its gas directly to Western Europe.

Natural gas transport, which has been 55 billion cubic meters per year so far, was expected to double its capacity to 110 billion cubic meters with the launch of Nord Stream 2.

Until the war, about 40-50 percent of the Russian gas that reached Europe passed through Ukraine. With the launch of Nord Stream 2 project, Ukraine would be left out of the line and would cease to be a transit country. The change in this situation means a huge economic loss of about $2 billion for Ukraine.

On the other hand, Poland, one of the close allies of the United States, was one of the countries that strongly opposed Nord Stream 2. Warsaw, which aims to be an actor in gas transport, was objecting to the project, expressing concern that Russia would increase its leverage over Europe.

Affordable Russian gas was presented as an important priority for Germany, so that gas prices in Europe would fall with the Nord Stream 2 project. However, the U.S. wants to sell its own gas to Europe. But the liquid gas that the U.S. insists on selling to Germany and other European countries is about 20 per cent more expensive than Russian gas.

When the Ukrainian crisis started, Germany stopped the gas supply from these lines also with the pressure of the U.S. With these recent sabotages, it is noted that the gas exchange of Russia and Europe has become more arduous.

RUSSIA

Putin signals readiness for Arctic cooperation, including with the West

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Russian President Vladimir Putin, speaking at the plenary session of the International Arctic Forum in Murmansk on March 27, stated that Russia is ready for cooperation in the Arctic with both friendly nations and, should they express interest, Western countries.

Putin noted that international interaction in the Arctic is not currently experiencing its best period.

The President mentioned that the Arctic Council was previously established for cooperation, but this mechanism “has weakened today.”

“As they say in such cases: If you don’t want to, it’s up to you,” Putin added.

According to the Vedomosti daily, Putin also addressed US President Donald Trump’s idea of purchasing Greenland from Denmark.

According to Putin, “this might only seem surprising at first glance.” He stated it would be incorrect to consider these discussions unusual, adding, “In fact, such plans by the US emerged in the 1860s. At that time, the American administration was considering the possibility of annexing Greenland and Iceland, but this idea did not receive support from Congress.”

Putin then recounted the history of the matter, including the US establishing military bases on the island during World War II and subsequently offering to buy Greenland from Denmark after the war concluded.

According to the President, this issue primarily concerns relations between the US and Denmark and does not involve Russia. However, “the only fact that certainly worries us is that NATO countries are increasingly designating the Far North as a potential springboard for conflicts and are practicing the use of troops under these conditions.”

Furthermore, Putin stated that Russia is not threatening anyone in the Arctic but is establishing a defense line.

He detailed that the Arctic region constitutes more than a quarter of Russia’s territory, is home to approximately 2.5 million Russian citizens, and accounts for 7% of the country’s GDP and about 11% of its exports.

The President highlighted that cargo flow on the Northern Sea Route has increased tenfold over the last decade, rising from 4 million tons in 2014 to approximately 38 million tons in 2024. Projections estimate cargo flow will reach 70-100 million tons by 2030.

Putin emphasized that the primary objective is to transform the Northern Sea Route into a key segment of the Trans-Arctic Transport Corridor, extending from St. Petersburg via Murmansk to Vladivostok.

According to Putin, this route “should connect the world’s industrial, agricultural, energy centers, and consumer markets via a shorter, safer, and economically profitable route.”

Putin outlined several tasks for developing the Trans-Arctic Corridor. Noting that Russia currently possesses the world’s largest icebreaker fleet, he stressed the need to strengthen this position and commission new-generation icebreakers, including nuclear-powered ones currently unique to Russia.

“Four of these—the newest 22220 series—are already operating in the Arctic. Three more nuclear icebreakers of this series are under construction—Chukotka, Leningrad, and Stalingrad—as well as the super-powerful 120-megawatt Rossiya icebreaker,” Putin stated.

He also mentioned Russia’s need for its own merchant fleet, including cargo and emergency rescue vessels, to facilitate transportation in the Arctic.

Observing that current capacity is insufficient, Putin said, “It is necessary to move in all directions: purchase and order ready-made ships, establish cooperation with global manufacturers, and generally align the entire Russian shipbuilding system with upcoming strategic tasks.”

He added that the government should support Russian shipbuilding and repair enterprises and explore the issue of shipyard construction.

Putin also stated that conditions must be created for domestic operators transporting cargo via the Arctic within Russia, adding that Russia is prepared to establish joint ventures in this area.

“International logistics operators can profitably invest in such companies not only with capital and technology but also with a portion of their merchant fleets,” Putin assessed.

Stating that Russia will increase the capacity and turnover of its northern ports, Putin added that Belarus, China, the UAE, and other countries have shown interest in developing the Arctic’s transport infrastructure.

Putin announced that multimodal centers will be established within the framework of the Trans-Arctic Corridor and instructed the government to outline plans for expanding the capacity of Arctic seaports and identify locations for new ones.

He also confirmed that Russia will implement the Arctic Railway Polygon development project: “Today we are aware of the development issues concerning RZD (Russian Railways)… However, it is necessary to start thinking now about this—about what I just mentioned, the development of the Northern Railway.”

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Europe from Lisbon to Vladivostok will revive, Deripaska says

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One of Russia’s wealthiest men, Oleg Deripaska, announced his belief that the project to create a unified economic zone between Russia and Europe, stretching from Lisbon to Vladivostok, will be revived.

In a statement on his Telegram channel, Deripaska noted that this project would exclude Britain.

Deripaska stated, “The inevitable rapprochement after the conflict between Russia and Germany will completely change the political map of the European continent and lead to the revival of the project to create an economic zone from Lisbon to Vladivostok. This situation, along with Scotland’s secession from the United Kingdom, will definitively bury the British Empire in history.”

Deripaska stated that Britain’s problems have been accumulating for years, chief among them being “the virtual bankruptcy of public finances” and the complete failure of Brexit hopes.

Deripaska added, “No one came up with the dream of creating a Singapore on the Thames, and there was no desire for it in a society full of leftist ideas and not inclined to meticulous work.”

Deripaska assessed, “The collapse of the legal system and the terrible incompetence of judges in London have virtually destroyed the investment environment, and tax changes for foreigners have completely finished this situation.”

“But the worst is yet to come,” said Deripaska, adding, “All we have to do is wait and ignore the audacious ideas like ‘boots on the field.’ Let them crow a little.”

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Ukraine retreats from most occupied areas in Russia’s Kursk oblast

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According to military analysts and soldiers who spoke to The New York Times (NYT), the Ukrainian army has withdrawn from almost all of the territory it occupied in Russia’s Kursk oblast.

As a result of Moscow’s counterattacks, Ukraine’s months-long operation to seize and occupy Russian territory is nearing its end.

At the peak of the offensive, the Ukrainian army controlled approximately 1,295 square kilometers of Russian territory.

According to Pasi Paroinen, a military analyst at the Finland-based Black Bird Group, as of Sunday, the Ukrainian army was trying to hold on to a narrow area of approximately 78 square kilometers along the Russia-Ukraine border.

“The end of the war is coming,” Paroinen told the newspaper.

While the amount of Russian territory under Ukrainian control could not be independently verified, intense fighting was reported in the region.

With Russia’s rapid advance, supported by continuous air strikes and drone attacks, the Ukrainian army withdrew last week from several villages in Kursk oblast and from Sudzha, the main city they controlled.

The General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces announced that the troops had withdrawn to more defensible areas inside Russia and were taking advantage of the rugged terrain to provide better fire control against the approaching Russian forces.

On Sunday, it published a map showing the narrow area that Ukraine still controlled in Kursk oblast.

However, it remains unclear how long the Ukrainian army will be able to hold this area.

Ukrainian soldiers stated that the ongoing fighting in Kursk is no longer about holding Russian territory, but rather about controlling the best defensive positions to prevent the Russians from entering Ukraine’s Sumy oblast and opening a new front in the war.

An assault company commander, who identified himself only by his radio code, Boroda, said in a telephone interview, “We continue to maintain our positions on the Kursk front,” and added: “The only difference is that our positions have moved significantly closer to the border.”

Military experts say that although Ukraine’s withdrawal from most of Kursk oblast was rapid, it came after months of Russian attacks and bombardment that gradually weakened Ukraine’s foothold in the region and cut off supply routes, eventually making withdrawal necessary.

Austrian military analyst Franz-Stefan Gady, who visited Ukraine’s Sumy oblast on the Kursk border last month and met with Ukrainian commanders, said, “What has happened in the last few months was an operation that prepared the conditions for a successful advance.”

Serhiy Kuzan, the head of the non-governmental organization Ukrainian Center for Security and Cooperation, said, “There was no danger of encirclement of Ukrainian troops, and there is no evidence to the contrary.”

Meanwhile, Trump’s special representative for the Middle East and also a mediator with Russia, Steve Witkoff, told CNN on Sunday that he expected Trump to meet with Putin this week.

Witkoff said he had a positive three-to-four-hour meeting with Putin last week. While refraining from sharing the details of their discussions, Witkoff expressed his continued optimism that an agreement could still be reached.

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