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MIDDLE EAST

Taliban rebuke UNSC report over al-Qaeda and ETIM presence in Afghanistan

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The notorious terrorist group al-Qaeda has established eight new training camps and five madrassas (religious schools) and maintains several safehouses across Afghanistan.

The United Nations Security Council in its latest report said that al-Qaeda has established “up to eight new training camps in Afghanistan, including four in Ghazni, Laghman, Parwan and Uruzgan provinces, with a new base to stockpile weaponry in the Panjshir Valley.”

The terrorist network also operates five madrasas – religious schools where it trains and indoctrinates children to become fighters – in the east and northeast of Afghanistan. “The group also controls several safehouses in the capital, Kabul, and Herat province, from where it facilitates the movement of its members and liaisons between its leadership in the country and its top leadership in neighboring Iran,” according to the report.

The report furthered that Taliban not only maintain links with al-Qaeda but they also retrain traditional ties to most regional terrorist entities, including the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU), Eastern Turkistan Islamic Movement, also known as the Turkistan Islamic Party (ETIM/TIP), and Jamaat Ansarullah (JA).

The report also said that Taliban have harbored and allowed active support of the Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) which routinely conducts attacks across the border in Pakistan. Taliban has been blamed for not honoring its pledge to cut ties with all terrorist groups, and also not allowing Afghan soil to be used for attacks against other countries.

Threat of terrorism is rising in both Afghanistan and the region

The report furthered that the link between the Taliban and both al-Qaida and TTP remains strong and symbiotic. “A range of terrorist groups have greater freedom of maneuver under the Taliban de facto authorities. They are making good use of this, and the threat of terrorism is rising in both Afghanistan and the region,” the report added.

While they (Taliban) have sought to reduce the profile of these groups and have conducted operations against Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant – Khorasan Province (ISIL-K), in general, the Taliban have not delivered on the counter-terrorism provisions under the Agreement for Bringing Peace to Afghanistan between the United States and the Taliban.

The report also said that al-Qaida is rebuilding operational capability, that TTP is launching attacks into Pakistan with support from the Taliban, that groups of foreign terrorist fighters are projecting threat across Afghanistan’s borders and that the operations of ISIL-K are becoming more sophisticated and lethal (if not more numerous).

Some defeated members of Security Council spreading hatred and rumors toward Afghanistan    

However, the Taliban spokesman Zabihullah Mujahid rejected the report and said that the United Nations is “always spreading propaganda”, emphasizing that there is no base for al-Qaeda inside Afghanistan.

Tliban spokesman Zabihullah Mujahid rejected the report over militant groups presence in Afghanistan and said that the United Nations is “always spreading propaganda”,

Mujahid in a statement said that the “Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan (IEA) strongly rejects this false allegation. Unfortunately, a regular program of accusing the IEA has been started from the address of the United Nations, which is always spreading propaganda. This is a misuse from the address of the United Nations, which unfortunately member states allow it to be continued.”

He furthered, “We know that some member states of the Security Council have been defeated in Afghanistan, they will naturally spread their hatred and rumors, however, those member countries that have good relations with Afghanistan should not allow the status of this great international institution to deteriorate and its decisions to be made based on the political goals of other countries.”

Mujahid said that there is no one related to al-Qaeda in Afghanistan, nor does the Islamic Emirate allow anyone to use the territory of Afghanistan against others.

Unfortunately, the reports of the Security Council originate from the sources who stood by the occupation for their own interests for the past 20 years and are hostile to the freedom, development and security of Afghanistan, according to him.

Taliban wants UN Security Council to remain neutral

“We hope that the UN Security Council remains neutral and does not reflect some opportunistic political and economic goals in its reports, which will ultimately question its status and credibility in Afghanistan,” Mujahid added.

He furthered that one of the main reasons of the “disaster of the last 20-year was the judgment based on such unfounded information.”

Security Council also doubts Taliban decree on banning poppy cultivation

The report also hinted at the poppy cultivation issue in Afghanistan and said it is too early to judge the impact of the decree by the Taliban in April 2022 banning poppy cultivation.

“At this point, prices have increased, as has production of the more profitable methamphetamine. Key Taliban individuals remain closely involved in production and trafficking. The Taliban de facto authorities have had some success in revenue generation and budgetary management, with the caveat that data on expenditures is scant and opaque,” according to the report.

Taliban and al-Qaeda relations

Analysts believe that al-Qaeda and Taliban are enjoying strong ties, but at the sametime the perception is that al-Qaeda is now a defeated terrorist group and much weaker compared to many years ago. Reportedly the group has lost its all ground-and-foot fighters and only its leadership is still residing in Kabul and elsewhere and being protected by the Taliban.

One year after the Taliban takeover of Kabul in August 2021, the than al-Qaeda leader Ayman al-Zawahri was killed in a US drone strike in downtown Kabul city. He was targeted in a guest house in Kabul’s diplomatic area. The guest house belongs to the Taliban Interior Minister Sirajudding Haqqani, who is also the powerful leader of the Haqqani network.

US had provided at least $2.6 billion in aid to Afghanistan since August 2021

“The presence of al-Qaeda senior figures in the country has not changed, and the group continues to pose a threat in the region and potentially beyond,” the UN report warns. But the report also said that the “group cannot at present project sophisticated attacks at long range.”

There might be some bases or hideouts belonging to the al-Qaeda, but the group is much weaker now than it used to be, especially during the Taliban fight against the foreign troops in Afghanistan, said a Taliban official.

“Taliban will never allow any group, including al-Qaeda, to pose a threat internally or to other countries using Afghanistan soil,” the official told Harici on condition of anonymity.

The Taliban is also very much careful to deal with al-Qaeda because of its links with the US and Washington is considering al-Qaeda as the mastermind behind the 9/11 attacks.

The US Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction (SIGAR) said the international community had provided at least $2.9 billion in aid to Afghanistan since August 2021 where $2.6 billion of which came from the US government alone.

MIDDLE EAST

Hamas retains guerrilla capacity and political role in Gaza, says US intelligence

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According to the 2025 Threat Assessment Report from the US Intelligence Community, the umbrella organization for 18 separate intelligence agencies, Hamas retains the capacity to sustain low-intensity guerrilla warfare and remains a primary political actor in Gaza. In Lebanon, Hezbollah, noted as weakened post-war, is still described as posing a threat to Israel and the US.

According to a report in Haaretz, the assessment predicted that “tension will persist regarding the situation in Gaza, as well as in the Israel-Hezbollah and Israel-Iran dynamics” and stated that Hamas “will continue to pose a threat to Israel’s security even in its weakened state.”

The report also noted that Hamas’s October 7 attack on Israel disrupted the diplomatic progress achieved through the Abraham Accords and the trend toward stability in the Middle East.

Pointing out that Hamas has preserved thousands of its fighters and a significant portion of its underground infrastructure, the report warned that the organization “likely used the ceasefire to bolster its military capacity and replenish ammunition stocks.”

The report stated, “Hamas retains the capacity to reignite low-intensity guerrilla resistance and will remain the dominant political actor in Gaza for the foreseeable future. The low expectations among the parties for a permanent ceasefire and the absence of a post-war political and reconstruction plan point towards instability that could last for years.”

Noting that support for Hamas among Palestinians in the West Bank is higher compared to the Palestinian Authority, the report assessed that “the long-term trajectory of Israeli-Palestinian relations will depend on developments in the increasingly unstable West Bank.”

The report also highlighted that the Palestinian Authority’s capacity to provide security and public services in the West Bank is progressively weakening, emphasizing that Israeli operations in the West Bank, attacks by Jewish settlers, and the activities of Palestinian armed groups, including Hamas, could further deepen the governance crisis.

It added, “A potential leadership change within the Palestinian Authority could exacerbate governance challenges. Furthermore, how Israel will govern post-war Gaza and whether its operations in the West Bank will undermine the Palestinian Authority will also be crucial factors.”

The report also drew attention to the fragile dynamics between Israel and Lebanon, warning that a resumption of large-scale Israeli operations in Lebanon could heighten sectarian tensions, weaken Lebanese security forces, and worsen the humanitarian crisis.

The report concluded, “Despite being weakened, Hezbollah retains the capacity to target Americans and US interests regionally and globally, and even, to a limited extent, on US soil.”

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MIDDLE EAST

US presents conditions to HTS for potential sanctions relief

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According to six sources speaking to Reuters, the US has presented Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), which seized power in Syria, with a list of conditions to fulfill in exchange for partial sanctions relief. These conditions reportedly include ensuring foreigners do not hold senior management roles.

Two individuals, an American official and a Syrian source knowledgeable about the matter, told the news agency that US Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for Levant and Syria Natasha Franceschi conveyed the list of demands during a face-to-face meeting with Syrian Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shaybani. The meeting took place at the Syria donors conference in Brussels on March 18.

The sources indicated that the conditions put forward by the US include Syria “destroying its remaining chemical weapons stockpiles” and “cooperating in the fight against terrorism.”

Additionally, American officials and one source in Washington stated that another demand involves ensuring foreign militants are not appointed to senior government positions within Syria’s administrative structure. Criticism had previously arisen over Syria’s appointment of thousands of foreign militants—including Uyghurs, Jordanians, Chechens, and individuals of other nationalities—to the defense ministry.

According to two sources, Washington also requested that Syria appoint a liaison officer to assist in efforts to locate US journalist Austin Tice, who disappeared in Syria more than a decade ago.

The source also indicated that the US wants Syria to issue a statement supporting its own territorial integrity.

Washington reportedly did not provide a specific timeline for the fulfillment of these conditions.

While the HTS administration has not commented on the matter, the US State Department stated, “We do not discuss our private diplomatic conversations publicly.”

Department spokesperson Tammy Bruce mentioned last week that Washington is monitoring the actions of the interim administrators.

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MIDDLE EAST

Hamas approves Egypt’s new ceasefire proposal

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Hamas has reportedly agreed to a new Egyptian ceasefire plan that involves the gradual release of five hostages, including the last surviving American hostage.

According to Haaretz, citing the Qatar-based Al-Araby Al-Jadeed newspaper, a source familiar with the plan stated that Egypt presented a new ceasefire proposal on Monday. Under the proposal, Hamas would release five hostages in stages and provide information about the remaining hostages. In return, an immediate ceasefire would be implemented.

The report indicates that Egyptian mediators proposed broader discussions following the ceasefire, including a complete Israeli withdrawal from Gaza. The source emphasized that Egypt wants to pursue this process only with US guarantees.

According to the newspaper’s Egyptian sources, Hamas agreed to release a total of five hostages in exchange for a 50-day ceasefire, releasing one hostage every 10 days. This period would establish a basis for broader negotiations regarding the return of the remaining hostages and the withdrawal of the Israeli army from Gaza.

The newspaper claims that Hamas supports the plan, but it has not yet been formally presented to Israel. However, Israeli sources have stated that they are aware of the plan’s existence.

However, Israel is reportedly insisting on the release of 11 hostages, approximately half of the total number believed to be held by Hamas. An Israeli official speaking to Haaretz confirmed that this demand remains in place.

Hamas sources say they expect Israel’s position to change soon.

Egypt’s latest plan is based on a recent proposal by US Middle East Envoy Steve Witkoff, who participated in negotiations in Doha. Key elements of the plan include the release of five hostages, including an Israeli soldier and Edan Alexander, the last surviving American hostage, and providing Israel with information about the hostages’ health conditions. In return, Israel would allow humanitarian aid into Gaza and halt its attacks.

According to a Reuters report yesterday, a different proposal presented by Egypt last week stipulates that Hamas would release all remaining hostages at the end of negotiations, in exchange for a US-guaranteed timeline for a complete Israeli withdrawal from Gaza. Under this proposal, Hamas would release five hostages each week. Simultaneously, Israel would implement the second phase of the January ceasefire.

According to Reuters, the US and Hamas have approved this proposal, but Israel has not yet given a formal response.

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