Diplomacy
The Forum on Political Islam was held in Abu Dhabi
Forum on “Countering Extremist Ideology” hosted by TRENDS in Abu Dhabi ends with call for a “comprehensive roadmap”
At the event, where Harici was among the media partners, experts highlighted common patterns of ideology-driven violence and called for a comprehensive roadmap and the strengthening of citizenship values.
Abu Dhabi – September 16, 2025 — The 5th Annual Political Islam Forum, organized by the TRENDS Research and Advisory Center under the theme “Together with Knowledge Against Extremism” at the Fairmont Bab Al Bahr Hotel, addressed the “shared patterns of violence” associated with ideology-driven extremism. Senior officials, academics, and researchers from the UAE, Saudi Arabia, the United Kingdom, the United States, Canada, France, Italy, India, Indonesia, Portugal, Poland, Egypt, and Jordan participated on the Forum.

Among the keynote speakers were former UK Defense Secretary Sir Liam Fox and French Senator Nathalie Goulet.
Participants emphasized that countering extremism cannot be limited to security measures but requires a multilayered approach encompassing intellectual, social, and cultural dimensions. Key recommendations included strengthening democratic values and the rule of law, distinguishing genuine grievances from ideological exploitation, opening civic channels for youth leadership and innovation, and protecting educational institutions from the influence of politicized religiosity.

In his opening remarks, TRENDS CEO Dr. Mohammed Abdullah Al-Ali stressed the need for “new intellectual maps” to reveal implicit intersections between extremist currents, adding that permanent results cannot be achieved without dismantling propaganda and recruitment mechanisms in the digital age. He called for going beyond dispersing hate speech to also exposing the “illusions that enable such discourse.”
Dr. Al-Ali pointed to the Muslim Brotherhood as an example of ideology’s capacity to merge missionary rhetoric with violent projects, noting that the Brotherhood capitalized on the digital revolution to recruit followers via online platforms. He warned that combating extremism requires a global roadmap that combines intellectual and political expertise with alliances, one that dismantles the illusions enabling groups to attract new generations. He concluded by calling for collective efforts that integrate academic research, public policy, technology, and political will, transforming platforms into spaces for narratives of coexistence and humanity rather than ideological violence.
The Mohammed Bin Zayed University for Humanities (MBZUH) became the first recipient of the TRENDS Global Award for Countering Extremist Ideology for its measurable contributions. Prof. Radwan Al-Sayyid, member of the TRENDS Scientific and Academic Council, highlighted the university’s role in promoting values of moderation, citizenship, and dialogue.
Throughout the discussions, speakers underlined that extremist movements share similar cognitive and behavioral structures—such as closed worldviews, “us versus them” divisions, leader cults, conspiracy rhetoric, and narratives legitimizing violence. Dr. Khalifa Mubarak Al-Dhaheri (MBZUH) explained that such movements adopt strategies rejecting national frameworks while relying on an alliances–disinformation–violence spiral.
Sir Liam Fox argued that the term “religious extremist” is misleading, emphasizing that they are “political actors instrumentalizing religion.” Referring to Popper’s Paradox of Tolerance, he stressed that intolerance must not be tolerated under the guise of tolerance. Senator Nathalie Goulet highlighted the overlapping violence and financing between political Islam and the far-right, drawing attention to opaque fund flows, misuse of charities, and crypto-assets.
The digital sphere was emphasized as crucial, with calls for cooperation between governments, civil society, and technology companies to run awareness campaigns against online extremist content, and to strengthen alternative narratives around pluralism and citizenship. Additional proposals included holding all state or organizational actors involved in ideological violence accountable before international law, establishing early warning networks, and expanding rehabilitation programs for former extremists.

Key Session Highlights
- High-Level Session moderated by Paul Cruickshank (Editor-in-Chief, CTC Sentinel, West Point):
- Fiyaz Mughal (Faith Matters) explained that extremism feeds on the fusion of real grievances and identity crises, with social media creating echo chambers that accelerate radicalization.
- H.E. Dherar Belhoul Al Falasi (Al-Majlis Group) noted that some structures attempt to channel students into networks through boycott campaigns, thus gaining influence and funding in the education sector.
- First Session:
- Prof. Alessandro Ferrari (Insubria) presented the concept of “militant democracy” as a tool that safeguards freedoms while countering democracy’s enemies.
- Prof. Radwan Al-Sayyid stressed the need for a new reading of history and that the modern nation-state is the necessary framework for fighting extremism.
- Dr. Vael Salih highlighted common emotional mobilization, binary worldviews, and symbolic violence across movements.
- Prof. Patrice Brodeur (Montreal) emphasized holistic cooperation across political, religious, educational, and social domains.
- Dr. Orla Lynch (Cork) urged a focus on participation motivations.
- Second Session:
- Spasimir Domaradzki (Warsaw) shared Central and Eastern European experiences of dismantling extremism’s intellectual foundations.
- Mohammed Halfan Al-Sawafi noted ideological extremism spans a broad spectrum, including nationalism and neo-Nazism.
- Meshari Al-Taydi (Asharq Al-Awsat) called for systematizing source research.
- Dr. Anne Speckhard (ICSV) defined terrorism’s “deadly cocktail” as group–ideology–social support–individual motivation, stressing that “group” dynamics trigger violence.
- Aimen Dean (UK) shared methods for practically analyzing participation motivations.
- Third Session:
- Dr. José Pedro Zúquete (Lisbon) examined “reciprocal radicalization” between identity movements and Islamist groups in Europe.
- Imam Mohammed Tawhidi called on religious leaders to prevent the misuse of sacred texts to justify violence.
- Prof. Yon Machmudi (Indonesia) proposed a combination of “hard power” (law, security) and “soft power” (deradicalization, education, community empowerment).
- Dr. Orla Lynch added that lessons from former members could inform audience-targeting strategies.
- Fourth Session:
- Omar Al-Bashir Al-Turabi (Al-Mesbar) explained the “supply chain” of extremist thought, built on social bases through education and charity.
- Abdullah bin Bijad Al-Otaibi pointed to the historical continuity of extremism.
- Hamad Al-Husani (TRENDS) stressed that some movements pose combined threats to religion, state, and society.
- Osama Al-Dalil (Al-Ahram) suggested the term “Islamized political culpability” instead of “politicized religion” for conceptual clarity.
- Maj. Gen. (Ret.) Saleh Al-Muaita (Jordan) called for a regional strategy separating peaceful thought from violence.

Final Declaration
The forum’s final communiqué outlined pillars of the roadmap: drafting ethical principles/charters for religious platforms and charitable work, strengthening critical thinking in education, opening civic leadership channels for youth, and establishing digital early-warning and monitoring networks. It emphasized spreading alternative narratives that reinforce pluralistic citizenship through media–academia–policy–technology cooperation.
The event was organized in collaboration with the Mohammed Bin Zayed University for Humanities and the UAE Cybersecurity Council, with media support from The National, Sky News Arabia, Al-Ain News, Harici Media, Aletihad News Center, and Al-Khaleej.
Tunç Akkoç, founder of Harici Media, and journalist Sarp Sinan Hacır attended from Türkiye.
About TRENDS
Founded in Abu Dhabi in 2014, TRENDS Research and Advisory is an independent think tank. Through research programs, publications, and regular events conducted with global partners, it aims to generate impact regionally and internationally.

Diplomacy
US drafts Ukraine plan with Nord Stream restart and sanctions relief
Draft proposals by the US administration to end the war in Ukraine envisage establishing a demilitarised line in the Donbass region, easing sanctions against Moscow, and offering a comprehensive investment package to Kyiv.
According to a report by the British magazine The Economist, citing Ukrainian officials, Washington is working on a broad framework comprising both economic and political points to persuade the parties to reach a settlement.
Under the draft plan reported by the publication, Russia is offered the opportunity to conclude trade agreements with the US, an easing of sanctions, and the normalisation of political relations.
Ukraine, in exchange for relinquishing its goal of NATO membership, is promised direct foreign investment and European Union accession.
The report notes that Ukrainian officials do not possess complete visibility over every detail of the final text on the table, but are closely familiar with its overarching framework.
Nord Stream pipeline and natural gas shipments on the table
The Economist reported that the package designed to persuade the leadership in Moscow also includes items such as the resumption of Russian natural gas sales to the European market and the reactivation of the Nord Stream pipeline.
The magazine also points out that decisions regarding the operation of a pipeline located on European territory do not fall directly under US jurisdiction.
Ukrainian negotiators, meanwhile, are concerned that the Washington delegation may lock in commercial agreements in line with its own economic interests before the fighting formally stops.
Speaking to the magazine, a Ukrainian official summed up the American side’s approach with the words: ‘Why wait and waste time? Time is money.’
Diplomatic contacts intensify at leadership level
Stating that it is ready for talks, the Russian government announced that an agreement had been reached in recent contacts with Washington to launch a trilateral negotiation process that would also include Ukraine.
Russian President Vladimir Putin said: ‘The objective of these negotiations will be to address the issue of ensuring the security of Ukraine and Russia once peace agreements are reached.’
As part of these diplomatic efforts, US President Donald Trump’s special envoy, Steve Witkoff, met Russian leader Putin on 21 October at the Konstantinovsky Palace in St. Petersburg.
Speaking during the portion of the meeting open to the media, Witkoff noted that he had brought documents outlining a pathway to peace and asked Putin to examine these texts.
Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov announced that the president would evaluate the American proposals.
Noting that concrete ground for a ceasefire had emerged during the St. Petersburg meeting, Witkoff expressed hope for the start of trilateral contacts between Russia, the US, and Ukraine to address technical matters.
Putin thanked Trump for his interest in peace efforts and recounted that the US president had specifically emphasized during their recent telephone calls that the war must end as soon as possible.
Framework prepared in Oslo carried to Moscow
Immediately before his visit to St. Petersburg, Witkoff had attended talks held on 20 October in Oslo, the capital of Norway.
Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner joined the meeting remotely due to illness, which was attended by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Finnish President Alexander Stubb, and Norwegian Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Store.
According to information provided by Stubb, the parties at the Oslo meeting clarified key security and economic elements that the American envoy would present to Moscow. Air defence systems, energy infrastructure, and partial ceasefire measures were also discussed.
Commenting after the talks in St. Petersburg, Russian presidential aide Yury Ushakov argued that the newly presented approaches did not contain many elements useful for a resolution.
Noting that Witkoff informed Putin about the contacts in Oslo and relayed fresh nuances in the positions of European leaders and the Kyiv government, Ushakov stated that the meeting was thorough and frank, adding that the conflict is ‘moving toward an end.’
Diplomacy
South Korea pulls part of embassy staff from Ukraine amid POW dispute
The South Korean government has decided to withdraw part of its embassy staff from Ukraine.
According to the Yonhap news agency, Foreign Ministry spokesman Park Doo-sun cited the Kyiv administration’s failure to take “positive steps” in the dispute that began with the leak of information concerning the handover of North Korean prisoners of war as the justification for the move.
The spokesman also listed the ongoing threat of air strikes, which complicates the safety of diplomats, among the reasons.
Following the withdrawal of part of the personnel, essential diplomatic contacts will continue under the leadership of the charge d’affaires ad interim to Ukraine. All consular staff tasked with protecting South Korean citizens will remain in Ukraine.
Prior to this move, the Seoul administration decided on 8 October to withdraw its ambassador. The Foreign Ministry stated at the time that it was ready to continue consultations with Kyiv to resolve the emerging issues constructively.
Tensions between the two countries began with a speech delivered by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the United Nations General Assembly in September.
Zelenskyy announced that two captured soldiers from the North Korean army had been handed over to South Korea.
South Korean President Lee Jae-myung, meanwhile, accused Kyiv of breaching a confidentiality agreement.
Lee said the disclosure of this information endangered the prisoners’ families and stability on the Korean Peninsula.
Seoul expects a public apology
Dmytro Lytvyn, an adviser to the Ukrainian president, denied the existence of a confidentiality agreement.
The South Korean Foreign Ministry summoned Ukrainian Charge d’Affaires Andriy Veshkin on 28 September and issued a note of protest against Lytvyn’s remarks.
President Lee Jae-myung warned in a statement on 2 October that they would take additional measures against Kyiv if Ukrainian authorities did not acknowledge the agreement and make a public apology. Lee stated that Ukraine itself had initially requested that the transfer of the prisoners be kept confidential.
Ukrainian Foreign Ministry spokesman Heorhii Tykhyi said the dispute stemmed from differing interpretations of the confidentiality regime.
Tykhyi noted that Seoul, based on its constitution which recognises the entire Korean Peninsula as its own territory, requested that the prisoners be handed over “like its own citizens”.
Describing the handover as a “gesture of goodwill”, Tykhyi stated that they were conducting closed-door negotiations to resolve differences of opinion.
Ambassador Park Ki-chang returned to Seoul on 10 October. According to a report by The Korea Times newspaper citing the ministry, recalling the ambassador served as a diplomatic protest against the leak of information regarding the prisoners.
The newspaper wrote that South Korea had last taken a similar step in 2008 by withdrawing its ambassador to Japan.
Moscow warned foreign diplomats
On 3 October, the Russian Foreign Ministry reiterated its warning to foreign nationals, including diplomatic mission staff, against remaining in Ukraine.
The ministry recalled its advice to leave Kyiv, citing ongoing strikes against military targets.
The ministry noted that those who failed to heed the warnings would bear responsibility for the potential consequences.
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said in a statement on 24 September that they had no information regarding Kyiv handing over two North Korean prisoners of war to Seoul.
Peskov, noting that prisoner matters fall under the authority of the Defence Ministry and intelligence services, said, “Contacts through the special services are continuing.”
Diplomacy
Ex-BND head Hanning tied to former Mossad chief amid spy inquiry
August Hanning, who led Germany’s Federal Intelligence Service (BND) between 1998 and 2005, was arrested on 6 October on allegations that he obtained roughly 2,000 classified agency documents and used them during contacts with intelligence officers from a foreign state.
Accused of high treason and espionage on behalf of a foreign intelligence agency, the former spy chief is alleged to have procured the documents from former BND employee Manfred D.
Prosecutors stated that the leaked records included internal briefing notes presented to senior German officials, though the Berlin government has not yet publicly disclosed which country received the classified data.
According to an exclusive report by Jake Green for The Cradle, seized email exchanges revealed extensive ties between the arrested Hanning and former Mossad director Danny Yatom.
The correspondence shows that the two former intelligence directors built an ongoing network of contacts following their public service, combining commercial ventures, efforts to secure political influence, and intelligence links.
This dynamic has triggered debate that using personal connections and official access for private gain has left Germany’s intelligence apparatus vulnerable.
Intelligence notes for 10,000 euros and campaign proposals
According to the reviewed emails, Hanning told Yatom in a 2018 message that he could prepare an “overall assessment based on information obtained from senior German officials and intelligence agencies” concerning an unidentified candidate.
The former BND head committed to completing the report by 13 July in exchange for 10,000 euros.
Contacts between the two men subsequently expanded to cover domestic political processes in Germany. Ahead of the September 2021 federal election, Yatom asked Hanning to approach leading candidates.
Describing CIY Global as a “political campaign company”, the former Mossad chief noted that he aimed to introduce its capabilities to German politicians, and he mentioned his intention in the same exchange to transfer documents concerning a cybersecurity firm.
Cybersecurity partnership and surveillance operations across Europe
The partnership between Yatom and Hanning reached beyond political lobbying initiatives into the cybersecurity sector.
Hanning reportedly served as a consultant for World Health Energy Holdings, a cybersecurity company linked to Yatom.
Firms of this type, established or managed by former intelligence personnel, provide commercial platforms on the international market for Israeli-origin surveillance, cyber intelligence, and political influence capabilities.
The operational presence of private Israeli-based surveillance technologies across Europe has recently entered judicial records through scandals in Poland, Spain, and Greece.
Polish prosecutors announced on 12 October that data collected under the previous government via Pegasus spyware against political opponents had been transferred out of the country, adding that manufacturer NSO Group maintained access to the technical infrastructure.
In Spain, the 2022 CatalanGate investigation established that at least 65 people, including politicians, lawyers, and civil society representatives, were targeted using Pegasus or Candiru software, with Citizen Lab researchers publishing strong evidence linking the operation to Spanish authorities.
In Greece, the surveillance operation targeting journalist Thanasis Koukakis and Member of the European Parliament Nikos Androulakis was determined to have used Predator software, linked to Intellexa, a company founded by former Israeli intelligence officer Tal Dilian.
In the German espionage investigation, the traffic between Hanning and Yatom involving paid reporting, contacts with electoral candidates, and commercial partnerships does not yet provide conclusive legal evidence regarding the final destination of the roughly 2,000 classified documents.
Nevertheless, the disclosed correspondence gives German investigators a concrete line of inquiry to assess whether classified state secrets reached commercial networks tied to Israeli intelligence.
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