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Unprecedented tension between Taliban and Pakistan

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Tensions between the Afghan Taliban and Pakistani officials have heightened after the recent attack in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP) province that left 23 Pakistani soldiers dead. The attack involved suicide bombings from Afghanistan, targeted Pakistani forces in Dera Ismail Khan neighborhood of PK.

Soon after the attack, the Tehreek-e-Jihad Pakistan, TJP, a group reportedly known as prominent branch of Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) had claimed responsibility for the attack, a statement caused anger among the Pakistani officials and called on the Afghan Taliban to stop harboring these groups inside their country.

Though, the Taliban has often claimed that they will not let any group to use Afghanistan soil against any other countries, but this narrative flattens when Qari Shakir, a resident of the Musa Qala district of Helmand province and member of the Afghan Taliban carried out suicide bombing. The bomber Shakir also appeared in a video clip, openly admitting to do suicide bombing.

This was when the Pakistani foreign ministry didn’t bear this open statement by an Afghan Taliban bomber and immediately summoned the Taliban ambassador in Islamabad. In the behind the door meeting, Pakistani authorities asked the ambassador to take action against the TTP group in Afghanistan and arrested their leaders.

A Pakistani soldier at the bombing site that killed his 23 comrades in the bombing. (AP)

In response, the Taliban have said they detained 13 members of the TTP. However, the arrest exposed the lie of the Taliban about TTP members that are not inside Afghanistan. If the TTP fighters are not in Afghanistan, who are the 13 TTP members? Pakistan asked Talian to hand these militants to them and also asked Taliban to strongly condemn the incident and launch a thorough investigation in the bombing.

Pakistan should stop blaming others for its own failure

Khawaja Muhammad Asif, Pakistan’s former defense minister had called Afghanistan as the origin of the terrorism. Asif said in response to the Taliban spokesman Zabihullah Mujahid, who said that “attributing every issue to another country is not a solution.” Mujahid had directly said that Pakistan should look after its internal affairs and don’t blame other countries for their own failure.

Meanwhile, John Achakzai, minister of information of Balochistan State, also labeled Afghanistan a “terrorism place” and suggested Washington carry drone attacks to target Islamic State (IS) militants and al-Qaeda members inside Afghanistan.

This was while General Asim Munir, the Chief of Staff of the Pakistan Army had visited the US and held talks with Lloyd Austin, US Defense Minister, and US officials.

Taliban not taking Pakistan seriously

A very simple question is why the Taliban is not paying heed to Pakistan’s request to start a crackdown against TTP. The first thing that we get is maybe the Taliban wants something in return. What that could be. Anything special. The critical issue for the Taliban is their recognition. So far, no country, including Pakistan which is very close to the Taliban, did not recognize their regime. This could be the first thing that the Taliban are up to.

Taliban somehow wants Pakistan to officially recognize their government and then the Taliban will launch an operation against TTP. This could be one scenario that the Taliban are not willing to take any action against the TTP. Honestly, the Taliban are right in their wish. Islamabad has been a prominent Taliban supporter and now Islamabad is not recognizing them. This is really hurtful to have such a dual policy from a friend.

Pakistan yet to recognize Taliban government while it did in 1996  

It is a logical question from the Taliban side as to why Pakistan is not recognizing their government while Islamabad had recognized their Emirate between 1996-2001, followed by two other countries, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. Why this time Pakistan is not willing for a unilateral recognition of the Taliban. Though a number of its officials in international platforms are lobbying for the Taliban, that is not enough.

Taliban is smart and has been playing games with Pakistan by using the TTP as a tool. Taliban knows that if Pakistan officially recognized their government, it would make the way easy for other countries to follow Islamabad’s footstep.

Taliban not happy over Pakistan-US ties

Meanwhile, the Taliban has a lot of observations over Pakistan and US ties. The Taliban believes that Pakistan will help US anything Washington wants and even if it’s against the Taliban current government. It has been alleged that Pakistan has provided its airspace to the US. The allegation was turned right when a US drone strike killed Ayman al-Zawahiri, the leader of al-Qaeda in downtown Kabul, the Afghan capital city. The Taliban Defense Minister, Mullah Yaqoob Mujahid had said that US drones are violating Afghanistan’s airspace through Pakistan. He also called the airstrike a clear violation of Doha agreement between Taliban and US. Another Taliban official, Sher Mohammad Abbas Stanikzai, Taliban Political Deputy of Foreign Affairs also accused Pakistan of receiving millions of dollars in exchange for the US using its airspace.

Taliban rage over expulsion of Afghan refugees from Pakistan

Pakistani authorities have unexpectedly decided to deport millions of Afghan refugees, including those who were born in Pakistan and lived there for decades. The Taliban had repeatedly called on Islamabad to stop the process of deportation, but it fell down to the deaf ears. The mass deportation caused the Taliban to further support the TTP instead of working Islamabad against the group.

Refugees arrive in trucks at the Pakistan-Afghanistan crossing point.

This was out of expectation for Islamabad and that’s why its interim Prime Minister had said that Pakatan’s interest is first and said that deportation of Afghan refugees will be continued.

Islamabad has been trying to use refugees as a tool against the Taliban while Taliban using TTP, but between them the poor Afghan refugees are the victims.

Apparently, Pakistan has only one serious issue with the Taliban – the harboring of the TTP leadership and fighters. Pakistan has never opposed the Taliban Emirate, even when the Talian stop girls from schools and women from workplaces. Islamabad called this restriction as an internal matter of Afghanistan and said they will not interfere in this regard. When the entered Kabul in 15 August 2021, following the withdrawal of US troops, Pakistan ex-spy chief visited Kabul and was very happy.

Pakistan’s chief of army’s flop US trip

Frustrating from the Taliban, the Pakistan Army Chief Asim Munir visited US in order to explain the situation and encourage Washington to convince the Taliban to arrested TTP leaders. Munir will also call for a military campaign against TTP members and also try to justify the deportation of Afghan refugees. The Pakistani general knows that the Taliban still receives financial support from the US and Washington could play an important role in this area.

But this is not an easy decision because the Taliban will oppose them, and the US is also very careful with the Taliban. The regional countries have been maintaining good ties with the Taliban and the US doesn’t want to spoil its relation with Kabul at any condition. Seemingly, Munir’s visit to the US would be a big flop.

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A passenger plane travelling from Baku to Grozny crashes in Kazakhstan

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A passenger plane travelling from Baku to Grozny in Kazakhstan crashed near the city of Aktau. According to Tengrinews, the crew signaled an emergency before the crash occurred.

The Ministry of Transport of Kazakhstan confirmed that the Embraer E190 aircraft, operated by Azerbaijan Airlines (AZAL), was carrying 62 passengers and 5 crew members. Among the passengers were 37 citizens of Azerbaijan, 16 citizens of Russia, 6 citizens of Kazakhstan, and 3 citizens of Kyrgyzstan.

Rescue teams from the Kazakhstan Ministry of Emergency Situations, along with 14 ambulances, were dispatched to the crash site. Reports indicate that 28 people have been rescued, including one child. The injured passengers were transferred to Mangistau Regional Hospital in Aktau, where Kazakhstan Health Minister Akmaral Alnazarova stated that the condition of six individuals was critical.

Preliminary investigations suggest the crash may have been caused by a collision with a flock of birds. Azerbaijan Airlines reported that the aircraft crashed near Aktau Airport while attempting to land on a spare runway.

According to officials from Grozny Airport, the aircraft was initially diverted to Makhachkala due to dense fog in Grozny, the capital of Chechnya, and later rerouted to Aktau. The crew signaled an emergency at 08:35, citing a malfunction in the aircraft control system. Emergency landing permission was requested at 08:49, and the crew attempted a manual landing in direct mode. However, the aircraft struck the ground at 09:28.

Authorities, including Rosaviatsiya (Russian Civil Aviation Authority) and aviation officials from Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan, are investigating the incident. A government commission was established on the instructions of Kazakhstan President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev to determine the cause of the crash.

In response to the tragedy, Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev cancelled his participation in the informal CIS Summit in Russia and decided to return to Baku.

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Trust issue: Pakistan and Afghanistan to boost up fraternal ties

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Pakistan’s Special Representative for Afghanistan, Ambassador Mohammad Sadiq, and his delegation, visited Kabul and held a series of talks with the top Taliban leadership, including interior and foreign ministries.

This is Sadiq’s first visit to Kabul after being assigned as Special Representative for Afghanistan and the reason for his visit was to enhance mutually beneficial cooperation in various fields and advance the fraternal ties between the two neighboring countries, Afghanistan and Pakistan.
Sadiq announced the trip on X, saying, “looking forward to meaningful discussions with Afghanistan’s interim ministers (Taliban officials) to strengthen mutually beneficial cooperation.”

During the trip, Sadiq first met with Sirajuddin Haqqani, the Taliban’s acting interior minister – who has lots of influence in Khost, Paktia and Paktika provinces. According to Pakistan, these provinces are the places of movement of Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), and basically, Kabul and Islamabad relations deteriorated as Pakistan wants Afghanistan to smash on the movements of the TTP inside Afghan soil. However, the Taliban leadership says there are no TTP fighters in the country, and Taliban will not allow any group, including TTP to pose a threat to Afghanistan and to the regional countries.

During the meeting, Sadiq and Haqqani discussed a range of bilateral issues of common interest. Both sides agreed to strengthen bilateral cooperation in various fields to further enhance the fraternal relations between the two countries. The Afghan Ministry of Interior in a statement said that both sides discussed important topics for the improvement of relations between Afghanistan and Pakistan and the solution of existing problems. The Pakistani delegation also expressed their condolences on the assassination of Khalilur Rehman Haqqani, the uncle of Sirajuddin Haqqani and key member of the Haqqani network.

Sadiq first met with Interior Minister Sirajuddin Haqqain against diplomatic norms to first meet with Foreign Minister 

Khili Haqqani was the first Taliban official who entered Kabul when the Taliban overthrew the former Afghan government following withdrawal of US troops from Afghanistan after 20 years of presence. He has served as refugee minister since victory day on August 15 2021. He was killed by a Daesh suicide bomber inside his ministry compound.

Referring to the pessimism of the Taliban leader towards the Haqqani network, the former deputy of the European Union in Afghanistan, Michael Semple does not consider it unlikely that the members of the Taliban supreme leader were involved in the assassination of Khalil Haqqani. Michael Semple said that his assassination dealt a heavy blow to the Haqqani network and that the Taliban would likely pay a price for this.

The Haqqani family has denied the involvement of members of the Taliban supreme leader in the assassination of Khalil Haqqani. Haqqani family members insisted on the unity of the Taliban and the Haqqani family’s obedience to Hebatullah Akhundzadeh, the Taliban’s supreme leader. Their statements were made to deny rumors of differences or the involvement of people close to Hebatullah in Khalil Haqqanis assassination.

But Semple says that Hebatullah was particularly concerned about the Haqqani network’s contacts with Taliban opposition groups and foreign powers.

He added that Khalil Haqqani was more active in this field compared to other Taliban officials, because he had a political and social personality.

Semple said that Khalil Haqqani had connections with the Taliban opposition front and some foreign powers. According to him, although the Haqqani network, especially Sirajuddin Haqqani, have tried to convince the Taliban leader that they are aligned and united, Hebatullah has doubts about them.

He emphasized that Khalil Haqqani had contacts with Sirajuddin, which seemed “illegitimate” from Hebatullah’s point of view.” Sepmel reminded that Khalil Haqqani is not the first Taliban minister who was killed. During the first period of Taliban rule, Mullah Abdul Raqib was killed due to foreign contacts.

Former deputy of the European Union in Afghanistan underlined trust issue between Kandahar Taliban and the Haqqani’s 

The former diplomat. Sempel said that it is possible that the suicide bomber was a member of ISIS in the past, but he managed to assassinate Haqqani with the support of the Kandahar faction.

Sample clarified that the loss of Khalil Haqqani has put a serious blow to the Haqqani network, adding that Khalil Haqqani was one of the survivors of Jalaluddin Haqqani, the leader and founder of Haqqani network, who played a major role in the diplomacy of this network.

Pakistan Special Envoy Sadiq met with Foreign Minister Amir Khan Muttaqi, where they agreed to work together to further strengthen bilateral cooperation as well as for peace and progress in the region.

Meanwhile, Sadiq also met with Foreign Minister Amir Khan Muttaqi on Tuesday, where they held wide ranging discussions. “Agreed to work together to further strengthen bilateral cooperation as well as for peace and progress in the region,” Sadiq said.

The Afghan Foreign Ministry in a statement said both sides discussed bilateral relations between Afghanistan and Pakistan, enhancing diplomatic relations, trade, transit, and people-to-people relations.

Also, Sadiq met with Afghan traders and chamber representatives from across Afghanistan to discuss enhanced trade cooperation and economic ties, fostering a stronger bilateral relationship between Pakistan and Afghanistan.

The visit comes at a time where ties between Islamabad and Kabul have deteriorated in recent months, especially tensions have flared over the activities of the TTP, an armed group that has escalated attacks in Pakistan since the Taliban took control of Afghanistan in 2021.

Pakistani top officials, including Prime Minister and the country’s defense minister accused the Taliban of providing safe havens for TTP, an allegation the Taliban denied in strongest possible terms.

Pakistan says that Kabul allowed the TTP fighters to cross the border and carry attacks against the country’s security forces and border guards.

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China plans $411bn private treasury bond issuance in 2025

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Chinese authorities have approved a record issuance of 3 trillion yuan ($411 billion) in private treasury bonds for 2025, according to two sources cited by Reuters. The move signals Beijing’s commitment to using fiscal stimulus to address economic stagnation.

This represents a significant increase from the 1 trillion yuan issued this year and coincides with preparations for potential tariff hikes on Chinese imports as Donald Trump is expected to reassume the U.S. presidency in January.

The proceeds will target initiatives such as consumer subsidies, business equipment upgrades, and investments in innovation-driven sectors. According to the sources, who spoke anonymously due to the sensitivity of the issue, the plan underscores China’s proactive approach to offsetting deflationary pressures.

Officials from the State Council Information Office, Ministry of Finance, and National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) did not immediately comment on the development.

Following the announcement, yields on China’s 10-year and 30-year treasury bonds rose by 1 basis point and 2 basis points, respectively. The planned issuance, the largest on record, demonstrates Beijing’s willingness to expand borrowing to stabilize the world’s second-largest economy.

China generally reserves ultra-long-term corporate bonds for extraordinary circumstances, reflecting the significance of this initiative.

Approximately 1.3 trillion yuan from the new issuance will fund “two major” and “two new” programs: A consumer subsidy program to encourage trade-ins for new vehicles and appliances, subsidies for large-scale business equipment upgrades, and infrastructure projects in critical sectors, including railways, airports, and farmland.

The NDRC reported that 70% of the proceeds from this year’s bond issuance funded major projects, while the remainder supported new schemes.

Another significant portion, exceeding 1 trillion yuan, will drive investments in advanced manufacturing, including electric vehicles, robotics, semiconductors, and green energy. Additionally, funds will recapitalize state-owned banks struggling with shrinking margins, declining profits, and rising non-performing loans.

The issuance will account for 2.4% of China’s 2023 GDP. For comparison, Beijing’s 2007 issuance of 1.55 trillion yuan represented 5.7% of GDP at the time.

The announcement follows the annual Central Economic Work Conference, where President Xi Jinping and senior officials outlined economic plans for 2025. The state media summary emphasized “steady economic growth,” raising the fiscal deficit ratio, and increasing government debt issuance, without detailing figures.

Recent Reuters reports indicate China may raise its budget deficit to a record 4% of GDP and aim for an economic growth target of around 5% next year.

China’s economy faces multiple headwinds, including a protracted property crisis, rising local government debt, and weak consumer demand. Exports, traditionally a growth driver, risk new U.S. tariffs of over 60%, threatening another economic lifeline.

Domestic consumption remains subdued, with households grappling with falling property values and minimal social safety nets. To counter weak demand, Beijing plans to expand its consumer and industrial equipment swap programs to more products and sectors.

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