Connect with us

Europe

CDU unrest raises doubts over Merz’s future as chancellor

Published

on

Germany’s Chancellor Friedrich Merz is facing mounting unrest within his Christian Democratic Union (CDU), with party figures reportedly beginning to push for a change in leadership.

According to Der Spiegel, frustration is growing among influential party members who believe Merz has repeatedly failed to capitalize on political opportunities.

One senior party figure quoted by the magazine said: “The ball is sitting on the penalty spot, the opposing goalkeeper is nowhere in sight, yet Merz somehow manages to score an own goal.”

Der Spiegel added: “It appears there is little hope left within the CDU that Merz can climb out of the hole he has dug for himself.”

After speaking with the chancellor’s allies and figures from the CDU leadership circle, the magazine said the interviews painted the picture of a party that has lost confidence in Merz.

“This is unprecedented in post-war German history. When CDU Chancellor Ludwig Erhard was removed by his own party in 1966, the process unfolded slowly and gradually over several months. In Merz’s case, however, it has been possible to watch his authority collapse within just a few days. And the person dragging him down is not his party colleagues, but himself.”

The CDU has already been on edge after trailing the Alternative for Germany (AfD) in opinion polls for months. The situation has now been compounded by what Der Spiegel described as the “Merz fiasco”.

According to the magazine, even within the CDU’s highest leadership circles, almost no one would now bet that the chancellor will remain in office until Christmas.

According to Politico, public criticism of Merz has come primarily from figures who were removed from government during the cabinet reshuffle.

The leadership issue, however, has not yet been raised openly because of the summer recess.

Elections are due in three eastern German states: Saxony-Anhalt, Berlin and Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania. Polling points to a disastrous outcome for the CDU.

One prominent Christian Democrat wrote: “Things I once thought unimaginable are happening. Merz is in a tunnel; he can no longer reach the party. Everything is over.”

The same CDU figure believes Merz will either have to throw in the towel or be forced to resign by 21 September at the latest.

That date refers to the Monday following the twin elections in Berlin and Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania.

The collapse in confidence surrounding Merz has followed this chronology. On Saturday, 18 July, parliamentary group leader Jens Spahn resigned.

Just three days earlier, Spahn had announced through the Bild newspaper that he and his husband had welcomed a son born through a surrogate mother in the US.

For Merz, this presented a completely unexpected opportunity. He had never trusted Spahn but had hoped he could keep him under control after becoming chancellor.

In recent months, however, the parliamentary group leader had become one of the coalition’s central figures by taking advantage of what the article describes as Merz’s weak leadership.

Nothing moved without him. Spahn had effectively become the CDU’s second most powerful figure.

The chancellor was unhappy with that situation, but Spahn’s resignation suddenly removed the problem on its own. Merz had already been planning a cabinet reshuffle for the autumn.

The chancellor is also reported to have been dissatisfied with several cabinet members and, according to the article, to have displayed a certain “arrogance” in meetings with subordinates.

For example, during an executive board meeting in Rhineland-Palatinate, a letter became public stating that the CDU parliamentary group in the state legislature had cancelled its meeting with Merz because “the minimum level of mutual trust and respect” no longer existed. According to the article, such an insult had never occurred before.

Participants at last week’s Presidium and Executive Committee meetings all noticed the tense atmosphere.

Some believe the CDU leader has “buried himself deep inside his own tunnel” and “is no longer even aware of how serious his situation has become”.

According to later accounts from the group, Rhineland-Palatinate Minister-President Gordon Schnieder even accused the chancellor of lacking professionalism.

What happens next? According to Der Spiegel, the party leadership is avoiding that question. No scenarios are being discussed, even in small groups.

“They do not want to invite disaster. Especially now, when everyone is looking forward to the summer break. Right now, nobody needs a change of chancellor. But nobody believes Merz still has a future as head of government.”

After the elections in eastern Germany, some argue that Merz should be forced to resign.

According to the report, if three experienced state premiers were to advise the chancellor to step down for the good of both the country and the party, Merz would almost certainly comply, or at least that is what his team believes. Even so, they are not entirely certain.

Following such a resignation, North Rhine-Westphalia Minister-President Hendrik Wust is expected to step in. He is the only figure mentioned as a potential successor to Merz.

CSU leader Markus Soeder is reportedly considered unacceptable to the CDU, while the idea that CSU Interior Minister Alexander Dobrindt could become chancellor is described as absurd. As a result, the task would fall to Wust.

Europe

Bill to drop NATO membership goal submitted to Ukrainian parliament

Published

on

A bill proposing to enshrine neutral status in the constitution and abandon the goal of joining the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO) has been submitted to the Ukrainian parliament.

According to a report by the Strana portal, the proposal was introduced to the parliamentary agenda by lawmaker Anna Skorokhod.

The drafted constitutional amendment stipulates that Ukraine must not participate in military alliances and must confirm that it harbours no aggressive intentions against any state.

The text notes that neutrality status should be registered through “guaranteeing non-participation in any military alliance and confirming the absence of intent to attack any country.”

While the bill submitted by Skorokhod aims to remove the NATO goal from the constitution, it envisages maintaining constitutional guarantees for the country’s course towards full European Union (EU) membership.

NATO goal in constitution took effect in 2019

The strategic goal of EU and NATO membership enshrined in Ukraine’s constitution was adopted in February 2019, during the tenure of then-president Petro Poroshenko.

The constitutional amendments in question obliged the government to implement this course and designated the president as the guarantor of the process.

Poroshenko, who assumed the leadership of the European Solidarity party in May of that year, has led the party ever since.

Advocating Euro-Atlantic integration, Poroshenko described EU and NATO membership in a 2026 assessment as one of the country’s long-term security guarantees.

Moscow insists on neutrality condition

The Moscow administration links a potential resolution to the war in Ukraine to a series of conditions that Kyiv must fulfil.

These conditions include the withdrawal of Ukrainian troops from the Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson regions, as well as the international legal recognition of these territories, alongside Crimea and Sevastopol, as Russian soil.

Ukraine’s formal renunciation of NATO membership maintains its weight among Moscow’s primary demands.

Russian officials state that Ukraine’s neutral status must be explicitly included in future agreements.

Continue Reading

Europe

AfD softens EU exit stance to seek reform of bloc and eurozone

Published

on

Alternative for Germany (AfD) is reportedly debating a reform of the European Union’s structure, backing away from its longstanding demand for Germany to exit the EU and the eurozone.

An internal party strategy paper obtained by the daily newspaper Die Welt and the news agency Reuters signals a new phase in the organisation’s European policy.

The document in question was drawn up by the party’s lawmakers in the European Parliament, the Bundestag, and state parliaments, and was discussed at a meeting held last month.

The drafted proposal envisages transforming the eurozone into a looser alliance of sovereign states.

Under the plan, member states would be held more accountable for their own national debts, while the intervention powers of the European Central Bank (ECB) would be curtailed.

According to Die Welt, the initiative aims to place the euro single currency on a permanent footing anchored in individual responsibility and liability.

AfD seeks structure focused on internal market and security

According to the strategy paper, AfD advocates restricting the remit of the EU primarily to the internal market, the protection of external borders, security matters, and selected technology projects.

The party also demands that member states be granted national-level opt-outs in policy areas such as migration, social services, and fiscal policy.

Rene Aust, head of AfD’s European Parliament delegation, asserted that the document demonstrates the party’s “pro-European orientation”.

Aust noted that they wish to improve cooperation with neighbouring states, protect trade and freedom of movement, and jointly defend external borders.

In contrast, AfD lawmaker Peter Boehringer stated that the paper should not be viewed as a change of course, describing it instead as an implementation plan designed to put existing principles into practice.

The text proposes that, should the envisaged reforms fail to materialise, Germany’s future European and monetary policy should be determined by the public through a referendum.

The draft further calls for abandoning the direct popular election of members of the European Parliament, proposing instead that representatives be appointed via national parliaments.

Separatist line remains in party platform

AfD had long demanded Germany’s departure from the EU (“Dexit”) in an explicit nod to Britain’s Brexit process, advocating its replacement with a newly established European community composed of independent sovereign nations.

The party’s current official platform retains the objective of quitting the bloc and establishing a new European Economic Community if fundamental reforms cannot be realised.

A draft election manifesto had similarly argued that Germany must withdraw from EU membership to liberate the country from foreign domination.

Party co-leader Alice Weidel said in late August that the euro was an unstable currency and argued that a campaign should be mounted for Germany to exit the eurozone.

Weidel claimed that Germany was in a distinctly better economic position prior to adopting the single currency, asserting that working-class populations are currently being impoverished.

Weidel also claimed that, should they come to power, they would close national borders and withdraw from the Schengen Agreement, arguing that open borders threaten domestic security.

According to a polling average compiled by Politico, AfD ranks first across Germany with a 28% share of voter support.

The Christian Democratic Union (CDU), led by Chancellor Friedrich Merz, sits in second place at 19%, while the Greens place third at 15%.

At the beginning of October, national support for the party was recorded as reaching the 30% mark for the first time, while backing for the governing CDU/CSU bloc slipped to 18%.

AfD placed first in two state parliamentary elections in September. On 7 September, the party secured first place in the state of Saxony-Anhalt with 43.8% of the vote, whereas the governing CDU recorded 17.2%, its lowest result since 1998.

AfD also finished ahead in the state election in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania on 20 September with 38.2%.

The Social Democratic Party (SPD) took 35.5% in the state, while the CDU, which fell to 4.9%, was shut out of a state parliament for the first time in modern German history.

Continue Reading

Europe

Marine Le Pen unveils fiscal programme pledging French budget cuts

Published

on

Marine Le Pen, the National Rally (RN) candidate for the French presidency, has presented her principal budget proposals ahead of next year’s elections.

Under Le Pen’s plan, a “golden rule” to be enshrined in the constitution would be approved by referendum, capping future budget deficits at levels consistent with a gradual reduction of France’s debt burden.

The French leader pledges to restore the primary budget balance within 18 months of taking office.

The proposals project reducing the public deficit to below 3% of GDP by 2030 and to below 2.5% by 2032, the final year of the next presidential term.

Public debt would be lowered from approximately 121% in 2027 to 112% of GDP by 2032.

A spending reduction programme totalling 140 billion euros would be implemented by 2032, offset by tax cuts of at least 30 billion euros.

By the end of the presidential term, public spending would be brought down to below 50% of GDP.

Le Pen said that once France regains control of its public finances, discussions should be held with the European Central Bank (ECB) to intervene in order to ease borrowing costs.

Support was proposed from the ECB to finance energy transition investments and decarbonisation projects.

The plan sets a target to achieve “carbon neutrality” before 2050 and to publish a new national low-carbon strategy.

The programme also includes a proposal for EU economies with high carbon emissions to contribute more to the EU budget through a new carbon-based contribution formula.

In addition, she called for a global initiative to tackle mounting public and private sector debt, including stronger international cooperation against tax evasion and tax fraud.

On immigration, the proposals call for tightening controls and implementing a “national preference” policy, which she stated would generate savings of 15 billion euros in the first year and 29 billion euros in a full year.

Regarding the EU, France’s annual net contribution would be reduced to 5 billion euros. There is also a proposal to finance part of the EU budget through EU-wide harmonised taxes on tobacco and alcohol.

Le Pen noted that this would also help combat cross-border fraud and smuggling.

A pension reform aimed at achieving savings of 15 billion to 20 billion euros over the long term is planned, with details of the reform to be announced in the coming weeks.

A new funded private pension scheme based on individual and collective pension savings is also under consideration, with details likewise to be announced in the coming weeks.

Multinational corporations deemed to underpay French taxes would be taxed on the revenue they generate in France, using an average profit margin to calculate taxable profit.

Corporate production taxes would also be reduced by 20 billion euros.

The Dutreil tax regime, which provides inheritance tax exemptions for family-owned businesses, will be reinforced.

A corporate tax reform for small and medium-sized enterprises will be announced later.

A 150% super tax deduction will be introduced for automation, digitalisation, and productivity-enhancing investments carried out by small businesses and farmers.

To regain investor confidence, Le Pen said she would replace the tax on substantial real estate wealth with a financial wealth tax, setting the rate at 30%.

Business owners’ shareholdings in their companies would be excluded from the scope of the new financial wealth tax.

Energy taxes would be cut, including significant value-added tax reductions on energy and essential consumer goods.

Subsidies for wind and solar power, which Le Pen described as “harmful”, would be ended.

Pledging to regain national control over electricity generation and lower electricity bills, consideration is being given to a proposal to provide zero-interest loans for “cleaner” vehicles.

The plan targets an increase in public research spending equivalent to 0.3 percentage points of GDP by 2032.

Le Pen also aims to raise France’s total research and development spending to above 3% of GDP.

A system of “VAT collection at source” will be introduced, which Le Pen said would help combat an estimated 26 billion euros in VAT fraud.

Pledging to reform public procurement rules to curb monopolies and overpricing, plans also call for setting minimum fines for economic offences above the financial damage caused.

Le Pen also proposes state reform in her programme. These pledges include:

The abolition of “almost all” state agencies and related public bodies.

A significant simplification of local government structures and France’s overlapping administrative tiers.

The abolition of more than 120 taxes.

A reduction in public sector headcount by not replacing certain retiring staff.

Continue Reading

MOST READ

Turkey