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DIPLOMACY

Polish president meets Xi Jinping in China

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Polish President Andrzej Duda met Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing on Saturday as part of a state visit. The two leaders attended a signing ceremony in Beijing on Monday, CGTN reported.

“Bilateral exchanges and cooperation have expanded and deepened in all fields, benefiting the people of both countries. China will work with Poland to uphold the Five Principles of Peaceful Coexistence, fulfil the commitments made at the time of the establishment of diplomatic relations, and take the relationship to greater heights,” Xi said.

The Polish leader said he had raised Russia’s war in Ukraine and the crisis on Poland’s border with Belarus during the talks, which also focused on developing economic ties.

Duda later said: “Thanks to the fact that President [Xi] called me his friend, which is a great honour for me, I am very happy to be able to contribute to the development of [Polish-Chinese] relations together with the president.”

Noting that his second and final term in office will end next year, Duda said he “hopes that these relations will be built in the future…[and] will always be based on common ideals…[and] mutual respect”.

Experts believe that this visit, which will last until Wednesday, will help strengthen China-Poland relations and increase economic cooperation between the two countries.

Duda and his wife Agata Kornhauser-Duda arrived in Beijing on Saturday at the invitation of Chinese President Xi Jinping. Duda and his wife were met at the airport by Chinese Vice Foreign Minister Deng Li and other officials, China Central Television reported.

Duda is expected to ask for visa exemptions for Poles travelling to China and seek ways to increase Polish exports to China to balance trade relations.

Polish state statistics reported that 13.9 per cent of the country’s imports came from China last year, while Polish exports to China were only a fraction of that amount.

A number of trade agreements are expected to be signed during the visit.

On Wednesday, Duda will fly to the financial centre of Shanghai to attend the Polish-Chinese Business Forum.

During his visit, Xi will hold talks with Duda to map out the future development of China-Poland relations, have in-depth exchanges on issues of common concern and jointly attend the signing ceremony of cooperation documents, Lin Jian, a Foreign Ministry spokesman, said at a routine press briefing last Thursday.

China is willing to work with Poland to take this visit as an opportunity to deepen political mutual trust, expand exchanges and cooperation in various fields, jointly pioneer high-quality cooperation on the Belt and Road Initiative and China’s cooperation with Central and Eastern European countries, and continuously enrich the connotation of the China-Poland comprehensive strategic partnership, Lin said.

Cui Hongjian, a professor with the Academy of Regional and Global Governance at Beijing Foreign Studies University, told the Global Times on Sunday that China’s relations with Central and Eastern Europe have remained stable this year, and Poland sees this visit as a way to boost cooperation in both political and economic fields.

Cui said strengthening cooperation with China would not only benefit Poland’s economy, but also help Warsaw increase its influence within the EU. Although Poland and the United States have been in close contact in recent years, Duda’s visit shows that the Eastern European country is seeking balanced diplomacy to build close ties with China as well, Cui said.

Chinese experts also said that while Beijing and Brussels have a complex relationship and the EU has threatened to launch a potential trade war against China, Poland could play a positive role in negotiating bilateral relations between China and the bloc.

Janusz Piechocinski, Poland’s former deputy prime minister, said in an interview with the Global Times: “China will remain a powerful engine of the global economy. Trade wars with China could reduce demand and limit opportunities for trade expansion. We need more cooperation and less confrontation, a more practical dialogue aimed at solving problems rather than exacerbating them through protectionist measures.

Experts expect the Russia-Ukraine crisis to be on the agenda during Duda’s visit, as Poland has thrown its full weight behind Ukraine. Although China’s position on the Ukraine crisis differs from Poland’s, Beijing has been in close contact with Warsaw since the beginning of the crisis. In March this year, Li Hui, the Chinese government’s special representative for Eurasian affairs, embarked on a second round of shuttle diplomacy to find a political solution to the Ukrainian crisis, visiting Poland in the process.

This is Duda’s third visit to China as President of Poland. The first was in November 2015, after which he became the only elected EU leader to attend the opening ceremony of the Beijing Winter Olympics in February 2022. Xi also visited Poland in 2016.

“I try to maintain friendly relations with China, Poland has always had good relations with China and I want this to continue,” Duda said in an interview with private Radio Zet on Friday.

DIPLOMACY

London pushes for continued U.S. support to Ukraine amid leadership transition

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UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer urged Donald Trump on Wednesday to ensure that Western allies “stand together” in supporting Ukraine against Russian aggression.

During a phone call with the U.S. president-elect, their second conversation since Trump’s electoral victory in November, Starmer emphasized the importance of unified support for Ukraine, stating that “allies must stand with Ukraine… and ensure that Ukraine is in the strongest possible position.”

A spokesperson for the British Prime Minister’s Office described the discussion as highlighting a “shared desire to strengthen the close and historic relationship between the United Kingdom and the United States.”

Starmer began the call by congratulating Trump on his recent team appointments. Trump responded by “warmly recounting” his recent meeting with Prince William, Prince of Wales, in Paris earlier this month, according to the Prime Minister’s Office.

As Trump prepares to take office next month, he has expressed intentions to seek a deal to end the war in Ukraine, though he has also publicly criticized certain Western policies, including the approval of missile supplies to Ukraine for use on Russian soil.

In an interview with The Sun on Tuesday, Starmer expressed hope to revive trade talks with the incoming U.S. administration. These negotiations had stalled two years ago under President Joe Biden. The leaders also expressed mutual anticipation of meeting in person “at the first opportunity.” According to the i newspaper, Starmer may visit the U.S. in early February.

Meanwhile, The Telegraph reported that Starmer’s chief of staff, Morgan McSweeney, conducted private meetings with senior members of Trump’s team earlier this month. McSweeney traveled to Florida to meet Susie Wiles, Trump’s chief of staff-designate, who played a pivotal role in managing his re-election campaign. He also held discussions in Washington with Congressman Mike Waltz, Trump’s incoming National Security Adviser.

A senior source in the Prime Minister’s Office described the interactions as “very warm,” adding that “President Trump has a warm approach to the UK. As the year draws to a close, the Starmer team is confident that the UK is well-placed for a strong bilateral relationship with the new president.”

Starmer’s delegation to the U.S., which began on December 2, included Jonathan Powell, former chief of staff to Tony Blair and now Starmer’s national security adviser. Together with McSweeney, Powell engaged in policy discussions on Ukraine, China, and the Middle East, identifying areas of alignment and divergence between the two leaders.

According to The Telegraph, those close to Starmer believe Trump is currently in “listening mode” on Ukraine, carefully evaluating strategies to fulfill his campaign promise of resolving the conflict “on day one” of his presidency.

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DIPLOMACY

UK considers sending troops to Ukraine for military training

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The United Kingdom is exploring the possibility of deploying troops to Ukraine to provide training to Ukrainian soldiers, according to Defence Secretary John Healey.

During a recent visit to Kyiv, Healey emphasized the need to tailor training programs to better suit Ukraine’s current military needs. “We need to make training more relevant to the needs of Ukrainians,” he told The Times. He also highlighted the importance of making training accessible, stating, “We [need to] make it easier for Ukrainians to access training and work with Ukrainians to help them motivate and mobilize more soldiers.”

When asked if the UK’s training programs for Ukrainian soldiers, currently conducted on British soil, would be extended to Ukraine, Healey affirmed the UK’s commitment to meeting Ukraine’s requests. “We will do everything we can to respond to the wishes of the Ukrainians. They are the ones fighting,” he added.

This approach mirrors a proposal previously supported by former Defence Minister Grant Shapps, who expressed similar sentiments in an interview with the Sunday Telegraph. Healey’s comments mark the first time a member of the Labour government has publicly endorsed such a move.

Healey’s remarks coincide with the announcement of a £225 million aid package for Ukraine. The funding aims to bolster Ukraine’s defensive capabilities as it faces growing pressure to engage in peace negotiations with Russia. However, Healey stressed that any talks should occur “from a position of strength, not weakness.”

“We can’t take our eye off the ball,” he urged, emphasizing Ukraine’s need to maintain its ability to “challenge and deter Putin.” Healey commended Ukraine’s resilience, noting, “Nearly three years after Putin launched his illegal large-scale invasion, the depth of his miscalculations is clearer than ever. The brave people of Ukraine continue to defy all expectations with their unbreakable spirit.”

The UK government has pledged to increase its international leadership on Ukraine-related matters through 2025. Healey pointed to recent developments as evidence of Russian vulnerability, claiming, “Putin himself is showing signs of weakness by calling in North Korean troops to reinforce his own army, abandoning Assad, and failing to defend his own positions in Syria.”

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DIPLOMACY

Russia’s strategic base plans in Sudan deadlocked

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Russia continues its efforts to secure a strategic naval base in Sudan, which would bolster its presence in Africa and provide a contingency if it loses its naval foothold in Syria following any potential overthrow of Bashar al-Assad. Despite agreements with Moscow on arms and oil products, Sudan’s current authorities have not approved the base due to the ongoing civil war and the complex dynamics of international diplomacy.

An agreement to establish a naval base in Port Sudan on the Red Sea coast was signed in 2019. However, the outbreak of Sudan’s civil war has prevented its official ratification. Initially, Moscow supported the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) through the Wagner Group but later shifted its support to Sudanese government troops. In February 2024, Russian Ambassador Andrei Chernovol announced the indefinite postponement of the naval base project.

Reports from Sudanese intelligence officials and Western diplomatic sources, as cited by Bloomberg, indicate that Russia and Iran are engaged in talks with Sudan’s government regarding military installations in Port Sudan and other regions, including the volatile capital, Khartoum.

Sudan has rejected Russia’s offers of advanced S-400 air defense systems, fearing backlash from Western countries and the United States. Nonetheless, Russia has continued its push to deepen ties with Sudan through a combination of economic and military aid.

In June 2024, Malik Agar, the deputy leader under Sudan’s military chief Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, visited Moscow to negotiate arms deals in exchange for establishing a refueling station on the Red Sea coast. Since then, multiple Russian arms shipments have been reported by Sudanese port officials.

Fuel trade has also resumed. Between April and October 2024, Russia exported 2.8 million barrels of diesel and gasoline to Sudan, making up 47% of Sudan’s total fuel imports. In November, Sudan’s Energy Ministry and Gazprom executives discussed reconstructing oil infrastructure, building pipelines, and constructing a refinery.

Russia is also suspected of providing intelligence support to Sudanese military forces. Commenting on these developments, Justin Lynch, a researcher at Conflict Observatory, stated, “Russia needs a base in the Red Sea and needs to make money from it. Cooperation with the military is a strategic move, both in terms of arms sales and obtaining a facility in Port Sudan.”

Russian military expert Viktor Murakhovsky highlighted the potential significance of this naval base, noting it would be Russia’s first in Africa since the Soviet era. He emphasized Moscow’s strategic goal of controlling the Suez Canal route and establishing a permanent presence in the Indian Ocean.

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