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Why Did the Assad Regime Collapse in Just 12 Days?

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On December 8, the Syrian opposition factions, namely the “Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS)” coalition and the “Syrian National Army,” announced that they had captured and taken control of Damascus. On the same day, Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, who had been in exile in Russia, announced his resignation and ordered the former government to peacefully transfer power to opposition forces. No one expected that the Assad regime, which had endured the trials of a decade-long civil war, would crumble under the opposition’s offensive in just 12 days, collapsing with unprecedented speed and bringing an end to the Assad family’s half-century-long rule in Syria.

A review of this “Syrian War 2.0,” which broke out at the end of November, reveals that the Assad regime was not only quickly defeated by the opposition forces but also lost to Israel, Türkiye, and was ultimately abandoned by its long-term supporters, Russia and Iran. At the core, however, the regime’s own incompetence was its downfall. In short, a combination of complex and multifaceted factors led to the historic collapse of Assad’s regime.

On November 27, opposition factions based in the Idlib province launched a surprise offensive. In just two days, they breached the government’s defenses, entered Aleppo province, and seized control of the provincial capital, Aleppo city, which Damascus had held for eight years. A week later, the rebels expanded their offensive, moving southward and easily capturing Hama and Homs in central and western Syria before finally taking Damascus.

In just 12 days, the Syrian military failed to mount any large-scale, organized defense of the regime. Neither Russia nor Iran took significant action to assist the Assad regime against the relatively weak rebel coalition. The Lebanese Hezbollah sent only 2,000 fighters to express support when Damascus was about to fall, but they were soon forced to withdraw. Meanwhile, Iraq’s Popular Mobilization Forces outright refused to intervene. In short, the support Assad received during the “Syrian War 1.0” was entirely absent. The “Axis of Resistance” or the “Shia Crescent” disintegrated completely on the western flank of the Eastern Mediterranean, and both Russia and Iran lost their strategic assets and spheres of influence in the region.

At this critical juncture for the state and the regime, from Aleppo to Hama, Homs, and Damascus, there was no sign of fierce or effective resistance from the Syrian military or armed civilians. Instead, there was a total collapse of military morale and public support, an internal failure unlike the determined defense seen four years ago. Notably, the opposition forces were not overwhelmingly powerful nor internationally legitimized.

The anti-government forces were primarily led by the HTS coalition, with the Türkiye-supported “Syrian National Army,” based in Afrin along Syria’s northwestern border, coordinating the attack. The HTS coalition is formerly known as the Syrian branch of al-Qaeda, the “Al-Nusra Front.” Due to its terrorist roots and current activities, the organization has been designated a terrorist group by the United Nations, the United States, and Türkiye.

The “Syrian National Army,” on the other hand, is a Turkish-backed proxy force aimed at countering Kurdish separatist groups in the Afrin region, preventing them from linking up with Kurdish forces in northeastern Syria. This supports Türkiye’s control over the so-called “safe zone” in northern Syria, disrupts the vertical connectivity of cross-border Kurdish networks, and suppresses Kurdish insurgency and separatist movements within Türkiye.

The sudden collapse of Syrian government forces under attack from northwestern rebel forces was unexpected. However, a closer examination of the region’s geopolitical dynamics reveals that this outcome was inevitable.

Firstly, various opposition factions had laid low, recuperating and significantly improving their combat capabilities. Since the ceasefire brokered by Russia and Türkiye in March 2020, the opposition factions entrenched in northwestern Syria had bided their time for four years, waiting for a chance to rise again. Once they sensed weaknesses in government forces or a relaxation of defenses, they were bound to break the ceasefire, expand their control, and wage war to sustain their growth and aim for ultimate power.

Secondly, the four-year ceasefire had caused the Syrian government to neglect the strategic threat posed by the northwest, particularly failing to fortify Aleppo, its largest city and a critical stronghold. Russian forces stationed in Syria and Iranian military advisors also became complacent, failing to monitor the rebels’ recovery, assess the threat of a counteroffensive, or prepare for war. Following the outbreak of this conflict, Russia immediately dismissed its military commander in Syria, Sergei Kisel, replacing him with General Alexander Chaiko—a move reflecting accountability for negligence.

Thirdly, the year-long “Sixth Middle East War” further complicated the region’s already intricate geopolitical landscape. Israel’s “Second Lebanon War” severely weakened Hezbollah forces and further undermined Iran’s military presence in Syria, creating an ideal opportunity for rebel forces to launch their comeback from the northwest. According to Russia’s Gazeta, Aleppo’s defense had been primarily entrusted to the Syrian Republican Guard’s 32nd Division, local militias, and the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps. However, many of these forces had recently been redeployed to combat revived ISIS sleeper cells in the Syrian desert, leaving the northwestern defenses hollow. Frequent Israeli bombings in the Aleppo suburbs further weakened the remaining forces, causing the defenses to collapse entirely.

Fourthly, just before Israel reached a ceasefire agreement with Lebanon, it carried out targeted bombings of the Syria-Lebanon border crossings, severing Hezbollah’s land routes between Syria and Iran. This not only dismantled the western flank of the “Shia Crescent” and the “Axis of Resistance” but also emboldened Syrian rebel forces to exploit the power vacuum.

Fifthly, on a broader strategic level, the protracted war in Ukraine and the increasingly volatile standoff between Russia and NATO distracted Moscow from Syria, a relatively minor chessboard. Similarly, Iran, entangled in its year-long conflict with Israel and juggling a “seven-front” resistance axis, failed to focus on Syria or anticipate the sudden resurgence of rebel forces.

Sixthly, the “Astana Process” countries—Russia, Iran, and Türkiye—agreed to abandon Assad’s regime in pursuit of a negotiated settlement for a “post-Assad Syria.” Following the outbreak of this conflict, both Russia and Iran refrained from intervening decisively to rescue Assad, opting instead to align with Türkiye and restart the “Astana Process,” effectively sealing Assad’s fate.

After the resumption of hostilities, Syria, Russia, and Iran uniformly accused Israel and the United States of orchestrating the rebels’ counteroffensive. Türkiye, which had been deeply involved in the Syrian civil war, remained silent for several days before officially announcing its support for overthrowing the Assad regime. In reality, the rapid progression of the “Syrian War 2.0” and the roles of the various actors supporting the rebels reflect a complex web of interests and calculations.

Firstly, the United States was not the instigator or driving force behind the rebels. From the beginning of the conflict, the United States emphasized that it had no involvement in the offensive and publicly pressured Türkiye. According to Israel’s Jerusalem Post, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken called Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan and urged Ankara to restrain the “Syrian National Army” offensive and ensure stability in Syria. Although the U.S. dislikes the Assad regime, which aligns closely with Russia and is part of the “Axis of Resistance” with Iran, it does not wish to see Syria plunge into new chaos, allowing radical and terrorist forces to grow again, which could force the U.S. into another counterterrorism war in the Middle East. On December 2, AFP quoted a U.S. State Department spokesperson as saying that the United States would not, under any circumstances, support the HTS, a terrorist organization. Reuters reported that while calling on all sides to stabilize Syria, the U.S. government was also considering lifting sanctions on Syria to drive a wedge between it and Iran.

Secondly, Türkiye was one of the main drivers of the rebels’ large-scale offensive. Without Türkiye’s support or tacit approval, the “Syrian National Army” would not have been able to coordinate with forces like HTS. Türkiye has long insisted that the Syrian government must engage in dialogue with the opposition and form an inclusive government, while also pushing for the normalization of relations between Damascus and Ankara. However, the Syrian government categorizes the armed groups in the northwest as terrorist organizations and refuses dialogue under the premise that Türkiye continues to occupy Syrian territory in the north. Analysts argue that Türkiye viewed this new wave of conflict as an opportunity to pressure Damascus into submission, or even overthrow it, to further dominate the post-Assad era and shape the geopolitical landscape of the new Middle East.

Thirdly, Israel has played a significant role in weakening the “Axis of Resistance” and exacerbating the conflict. During the “Syrian War 1.0,” extremist and terrorist organizations had exploited the hostile relationship between Syria and Israel, as well as the Syrian army’s reluctance to use heavy weapons near the Israeli ceasefire line. Analysts believe that the use of heavy weaponry, drones, and advanced electronic warfare by the rebels in this round of fighting indicates the involvement of Israeli intelligence agencies. Both sides share a common enemy in the Syrian government and its allied “Resistance Front.” Although Israel officially denies involvement in the attacks, the implicit understanding between the two parties is evident. With the resurgence of the Syrian conflict, Israel has succeeded in further diverting the attention and resources of the “Resistance Axis,” reducing pressure on Israel from the northeast and Iran. On December 8, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu excitedly proclaimed that the collapse of the Assad regime was a “direct result of Israel’s actions against Iran and Hezbollah” and declared, “This has triggered a chain reaction across the Middle East.”

Fourthly, Ukraine has also been accused of involvement in the conflict. On December 3, Russia’s Permanent Representative to the United Nations accused Ukrainian intelligence agencies of assisting Syrian rebels, including providing weapons, training, and operational guidance targeting Russian forces in Syria. On December 4, Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Maria Zakharova reiterated these accusations, alleging that Ukrainian authorities were directly involved in the Syrian rebels’ offensive. Ukraine has remained silent on these allegations, and no third-party evidence has confirmed Ukrainian intelligence’s involvement. However, theoretically, forcing Russia to open a second front in the Middle East could alleviate Ukraine’s military pressure in the east of Ukraine.

As a pivotal state in the “Shia Crescent” and the “Axis of Resistance,” Syria’s evolving conflict has profound implications. Hezbollah, which previously deployed troops to aid Damascus during the regime’s defensive battles, and Iraq’s Popular Mobilization Forces have both declared their unwillingness to send forces across borders to assist this time. Although Iran has repeatedly stated its readiness to deploy troops upon the Syrian government’s request, no concrete action has been taken. Russia has also declared its continued support for the Syrian government. However, beyond deploying its existing forces and equipment in Syria to fend off rebel advances and conducting missile drills in the Eastern Mediterranean for deterrence, Russia lacks the willingness or capacity to mount a large-scale military intervention as it did during the “Syrian War 1.0.”

The collapse of the Assad regime is not a victory for the Syrian people but rather the result of a combination of the government’s incompetence and external interference. Regime change in Damascus does not signify the beginning of long-term peace and stability in Syria; rather, it may mark the start of a new round of power struggles. Western, central, and southern Syria are now under the control of the HTS and the “Syrian National Army”; northern Syria is dominated by Türkiye’s “safe zone”; eastern and northeastern Syria are controlled by U.S.-backed Kurdish forces; and the southwestern Golan Heights, encompassing over 1,200 square kilometers, have long been under Israeli occupation. Over the past week, Israel has further expanded its defensive perimeter, capturing several key positions on the Syrian side… This “partitioned” Syria faces continued vulnerability to external manipulation and an even more uncertain future.

Prof. Ma is the Dean of the Institute of Mediterranean Studies (ISMR) at Zhejiang International Studies University in Hangzhou. He specializes in international politics, particularly Islam and Middle Eastern affairs. He previously worked as a senior Xinhua correspondent in Kuwait, Palestine, and Iraq.

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India’s space sector: A launchpad for global partnerships

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Ambassador Gurjit Singh, former Indian Ambassador to Germany, Indonesia, Ethiopia, and the ASEAN and African Union missions

Growing competition in outer space provides India with a unique opportunity to shape a narrative in which collaboration, rather than confrontation, drives space exploration. Recognised as a trustworthy and cost-effective spacefaring nation, India is now well placed to transform its technological advances into enduring international partnerships that contribute to scientific progress, economic growth, and sustainable development.

India’s journey into space has been distinctive. Unlike many space programmes that emerged from Cold War rivalries, India’s programme was conceived as an instrument of national development. Dr. Vikram Sarabhai anchored India’s space vision in practical applications that would improve the lives of ordinary people. Under his leadership, satellites were developed to strengthen communications, weather forecasting, disaster management, healthcare, agriculture and education. This development-oriented philosophy remains central to India’s space programme and resonates strongly with the needs of countries in the Global South, which seek practical applications of space technology rather than prestige alone.

Today, India’s achievements extend  beyond developmental applications. The Chandrayaan missions, the Mars Orbiter Mission, the Aditya-L1 solar observatory, and the forthcoming Gaganyaan human spaceflight programme have established India as a nation capable of executing sophisticated and reliable space missions. Chandrayaan-3’s successful soft landing near the Moon’s south pole placed India among an exclusive group of space powers while demonstrating that world-class innovation can be achieved at comparatively modest cost.

India’s growing credibility comes at a time when the global space economy is expanding rapidly. Valued at over US$600 billion today and projected to approach US$1.8 trillion by 2035, the sector is increasingly driven by commercial activity in satellite communications, Earth observation, navigation, climate services, broadband connectivity, and emerging fields such as in-orbit servicing and lunar exploration. Many countries aspire to participate but lack indigenous capabilities. They seek dependable long-term partners rather than merely launch providers.

India possesses the capabilities to meet these requirements. The liberalisation of the space sector in 2020 transformed the ecosystem by opening it to private participation. The establishment of the Indian National Space Promotion and Authorisation Centre (IN-SPACe), the expanding commercial role of NewSpace India Limited, and the growth of private enterprises have created one of the world’s most dynamic emerging space ecosystems. Indian startups are developing launch vehicles, satellite platforms, geospatial applications and propulsion technologies that are attracting global investment and customers. Companies such as Skyroot Aerospace, Pixxel and Agnikul Cosmos have demonstrated that Indian private enterprise can compete internationally in advanced space technologies.

The next step is to internationalise this ecosystem.

Rather than positioning itself only as a low-cost launch destination, India will offer comprehensive partnerships encompassing satellite design, launch services, mission operations, ground stations, astronaut training, capacity building and downstream applications in agriculture, disaster management and maritime security. Such integrated partnerships would be valuable for countries across the Global South and the Indo-Pacific seeking affordable, customised and reliable technologies to meet their development priorities.

India has demonstrated the diplomatic value of such cooperation. Through the South Asia Satellite, it provided communication and developmental benefits to neighbouring countries. Indian launch vehicles have successfully placed hundreds of foreign satellites into orbit for governments, universities and commercial operators around the world. India’s decision to join the Artemis Accords reflects its willingness to participate in the peaceful exploration of the Moon through international collaboration. Cooperation with  NASA, the European Space Agency and JAXA has strengthened India’s scientific and technological capabilities.

These partnerships reinforce India’s standing as a leading voice of the Global South. India offers development partnerships based on affordability, reliability and mutual respect rather than creating technological dependence. Space cooperation has therefore become an increasingly important instrument of Indian diplomacy, strengthening bilateral relationships while delivering tangible developmental benefits.

To realise its full potential, India will aim to sustain the momentum of reform. Faster regulatory approvals, greater access to venture capital, stronger intellectual property protection, and closer collaboration among research institutions, industry and academia will be essential. Public procurement policies would continue supporting Indian startups, enabling them to scale up, innovate and integrate into global supply chains.

India is positioned to play a larger role in shaping the governance of outer space. Orbital congestion, space debris, responsible resource utilisation and equitable access to emerging space opportunities are becoming pressing international concerns. As space activities expand, there will be an increasing need for countries capable of building consensus on responsible norms and practices. India’s long-standing commitment to the peaceful uses of outer space, combined with its growing technological capabilities, equips it to contribute meaningfully to the development of rules that promote transparency, sustainability and equitable access.

The coming decade will determine not only which countries lead in space but also how space is governed. With its scientific capabilities, entrepreneurial ecosystem and international credibility, India is uniquely placed to bridge the gap between established and emerging space nations. By building collaborative partnerships founded on inclusivity, mutual benefit and innovation, India can transform its space programme into a major pillar of its global engagement.

In an increasingly divided world, India’s space sector offers a powerful reminder that the greatest achievements in space are those that bring nations together. That may well become India’s most enduring contribution to humanity’s next frontier.

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Great powers and the fierce rivalry in Africa

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In tandem with the retreat of US imperialism and the erosion of its hegemonic capacity, the rivalry among the world’s great powers is intensifying across vast geographies and divergent fronts alike. From Africa to Central Asia, from electric vehicles to artificial intelligence, an acute contest is unfolding—most conspicuously between the United States and China.

History instructs us that wherever great power rivalry takes root, peace remains elusive. Stability cannot endure there. Wars, internal conflicts, coups d’état, and the mass migrations they inevitably trigger dominate the horizon. Nor do great powers desire the cultivation of participatory democracy, human rights, the rule of law, or class consciousness in these lands. Instead, they bolster dictatorships, authoritarian regimes, totalitarian systems, and repressive governance. The imperialist powers harbor no concern for the scarcity of water, drought, or famine in Africa. Their focus is solely fixed on exploitation, plunder, pillaging the resources of the nations upon which they descend, and capturing their domestic markets.

Africa holds singular importance in this context. It commands attention simultaneously by virtue of its sheer expanse, its demographic weight, and its subterranean wealth. In the rivalry across this ancient and impoverished continent, the United States and China lead the vanguard. Russia, too, makes notable maneuvers, though on a less extensive scale. Between the United States and China, the race is particularly fierce regarding the extraction, processing, and conveyance of subterranean resources to world markets.

Africa—endowed with abundant mineral wealth, a population approaching 1.5 billion, and critical strategic importance along global trade routes—whet the appetites of capitalist, advanced, industrialized, imperialist states as a vast, populous, and expanding market. Geopolitically as well, its position cannot be ignored. Africa’s wealth in rare earth elements, precious minerals such as diamonds and gold, and strategic minerals indispensable to advanced technologies—notably copper, cobalt, and lithium—is indisputable.

AFRICA CARRIES NO WEIGHT IN GLOBAL POLITICS

Unlike other continents such as Europe, Asia, or the Americas, Africa possesses no single country that commands prominence in global politics or the world economy. Nor does Africa host an alliance, international organization, or bloc of comparable global stature. In the Americas, there stands a superpower: the United States. In Asia, there are great powers: Russia and China, with India also ascending. In Europe, major, consequential powers endure: the United Kingdom, France, and Germany. Yet on the African continent, no such states exist. What exists in Africa is the rivalry of non-African great powers. Even the 55-member African Union, the institutional body of the continent’s nations, remains far from exerting any real influence—not only in global politics, but even across the African continent itself.

Over the past fifteen to twenty years, Africa has undergone substantial upheavals. Armed conflicts, civil wars, and violence have become pervasive. From Ethiopia to Somalia, Libya to Sudan, armed hostilities have claimed countless lives, destabilized governments, and provoked massive waves of displacement. Terrorist organizations have seized upon these conditions as an opportune opening, and the great powers, in turn, have instrumentalized these terror networks.

In Africa, former nineteenth- and twentieth-century colonial powers such as Britain and France indulge in reveries of bygone eras. They attempt to assert themselves, yet their efforts prove futile. Germany, as Europe’s leading economic, industrial, and technological powerhouse, takes a keen interest in Africa; yet despite this attention, its institutional knowledge and historical experience regarding the continent pale in comparison to those of the British and French. Italy strives to act, but lacks the requisite capacity. The Netherlands and Belgium, once deeply entrenched in Africa, are far removed from their imperial past. Spain and Portugal assert no claim to global primacy. All of these nations languish, to borrow Ahmet Hamdi Tanpınar’s phrase, in “a vague longing for a bygone past.”

China, well aware of Africa’s significance, is investing heavily across the continent. It stands as Africa’s largest trading partner and the primary destination for the continent’s exports. In the provision of loans, credit facilities, and grants to African states, it has outpaced Western institutions. China’s investment and foreign aid capacity, economic leverage, and extensive commercial ties naturally consolidate its political and diplomatic influence across Africa, elevating its visibility and prestige. Under the auspices of the Belt and Road Initiative, Beijing continues to finance large-scale infrastructure investments as well as major communications and transport projects.

THE FEROCITY AND DIMENSIONS OF THE RIVALRY

It is, of course, impossible for Russia to mount massive economic investments, conduct extensive aid operations, or sustain the volume of trade in Africa that China commands. Consequently, it seeks to distinguish itself by guaranteeing the security of local leaders, corporate enterprises, and ruling elites, relying predominantly on private military companies (the operations of the Wagner Group being a case in point). Russia has deployed mercenaries to Mali and the Central African Republic.

The United States, for its part, endeavors to counter China’s expanding influence, economic footprint, visibility, and public diplomacy initiatives in Africa, while simultaneously laboring to reinforce its own economic and political ties with African states. One need only recall that the United States, having intervened in Libya in 2011 through NATO, has directly struck ISIS targets in Somalia. The strategic depth of Washington’s relationship with Cairo is likewise well known.

The United States, China, and Russia also stand out prominently in arms sales to African nations. As the great power rivalry on the continent grows ever sharper, the spectrum of contestation widens accordingly. Cultural rivalry is superimposed upon economic, political, and military dimensions. Because every great power seeking to expand its sphere of influence and reach is determined to block the advance of its competitors, Africa serves both as the stage for and the witness to this unsparing contest. Some experts explain this rivalry through the lens of a new strain of colonialism; others account for it by pointing to the inherent nature, complexity, and multifaceted character of competition between imperialist metropoles.

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The women who refuse to be erased: On Japan’s surrender anniversary, the fight over wartime sexual slavery continues

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BUSAN, South Korea — On the day Japan marks the 81st anniversary of its surrender in World War Two, a conference room in Busan’s city council building has become the latest front in a battle over memory.

Allan Wilson, Journalist

Last month, on 23 July, academics, activists and lawmakers gathered here for a symposium on one of the war’s most painful legacies: the estimated tens of thousands of women — euphemistically labelled “comfort women” — forced into sexual slavery by the Imperial Japanese Army. The event was co-hosted by the Carter Human Rights Center’s Asia division and the Korean Women’s Forum.

“The records of the Japanese military’s comfort women are historical assets that the international community must preserve together,” Nam Myung-sook, the Busan city councillor who co-organised the symposium, told the gathering. “Social consensus must be broadened.”

Her words were aimed at more than the audience in the room.

For three decades, survivors and their advocates have pressed Japan for a full and unequivocal accounting. They have met a familiar pattern: moments of apparent progress — the 1993 Kono statement acknowledging military involvement, the 2015 bilateral agreement with South Korea — followed by retreat. Japanese officials continue to dispute the term “sexual slavery.” Textbooks soften the language. Senior politicians visit Yasukuni Shrine, where convicted war criminals are honoured alongside the dead.

The symposium came as UNESCO’s World Heritage Committee convened in Busan, and the timing was deliberate. One of the gathering’s stated goals was to revive the push to have comfort women records inscribed on UNESCO’s Memory of the World register — an effort Japan has repeatedly blocked.

“Our aim is to reaffirm the historical facts of comfort women (受害) to the international community and explore directions that contribute to peace and human rights,” said Yu Ying-mo, senior adviser to the Carter Human Rights Center’s Asia region, in remarks prepared for the event.

A statue, a warning

The symposium also addressed an incident that has become a diplomatic flashpoint: the recent removal of a comfort women memorial statue in Taiwan.

The statue, one of dozens erected across East Asia and beyond, was taken down in recent months. Organisers in Busan described the removal as “an erroneous approach that erases historical wounds and weakens collective memory,” according to the symposium’s programme.

For advocates, the Taiwan case illustrates what happens when political pressure is allowed to dictate historical memory. “Statues, memorial halls, and archives related to comfort women are important spaces of memory that testify to the victims’ suffering and history,” the Carter Human Rights Center said in its written address. “They must be respected.”

Dozens of comfort women memorials now stand in cities from Seoul to San Francisco to Berlin. Each has become a site of diplomatic friction: Japan’s government has consistently objected to them, arguing they perpetuate what it calls an inaccurate narrative.

The shrinking window

Time is running out. Of the few hundred women who came forward in the 1990s, the number of surviving registered victims in South Korea has dwindled to single digits.

This demographic reality has injected new urgency into the preservation effort. Shim Ok-ju, a research professor at George Mason University Korea, told the symposium that the focus must now shift from oral testimony — soon to be lost — to documentation and education.

Seo Kyung-soon, a professor at Pukyong National University, presented findings from the so-called “Gwanbu Trial” records — a series of postwar legal proceedings in which comfort women sought compensation through Japanese courts. The documents, she argued, contain incontrovertible evidence of state orchestration.

A designated discussant panel followed, bringing together Kim Tae-wan, a political science professor at Dong-eui University; Kim Kyung-hee, an independent researcher; and Ahn Jun-young, a journalist from the Busan Ilbo newspaper. The format was designed to bridge academia and public consciousness — to test whether scholarly findings could survive the scrutiny of working journalists and political scientists.

The international dimension

The comfort women issue has never been purely bilateral. In 1996, the UN Special Rapporteur on violence against women concluded that the system constituted “military sexual slavery.” In 2022, the UN Committee on the Elimination of Discrimination against Women urged Japan to “ensure that the issue is accurately reflected in school curricula.”

Yet the gap between international consensus and Japanese government policy remains wide. Prime ministerial statements offer “apologies and remorse” but stop short of accepting legal responsibility. Reparations have come from private funds, not the state.

For organisers of the Busan symposium, the path forward runs through multilateral institutions. UNESCO recognition, they argue, would make historical revisionism harder to sustain. But Japan has made clear it will oppose any such move, as it did when Chinese documents related to the 1937 Nanjing Massacre were inscribed in 2015.

“Facing history squarely and respecting it is a fundamental value that the international community should share,” the symposium’s organisers concluded.

This 15 August, as Japan observes its National Memorial Service for the War Dead, the women who survived — and those who did not — will be remembered in rooms like the one in Busan. Their numbers are dwindling. The question is whether their story will outlast them.

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