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Berlin and Brussels feel the pinch from Beijing

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Discussions are heating up within Germany and the EU regarding future economic relations with China.

The background to this issue is the offer from a new Trump administration to apply more favorable tariffs on exports to the US for countries that reduce economic cooperation with China.

Washington is attempting to win over German automobile companies with special cooperation in the development of autonomous driving technology. The US goal is to push Chinese automobile companies out of the European market.

However, German automobile manufacturers have already begun close cooperation with Chinese companies. For example, BMW announced last week that it would develop its new models not only with Chinese tech giants like Huawei and Alibaba but also with the support of the artificial intelligence startup DeepSeek.

Around thirty German companies have written a letter to the prospective CDU-SPD federal government stating that they are becoming increasingly dependent on Chinese companies, which are becoming more and more “innovation leaders,” and therefore want closer cooperation with China.

US forces ‘friends’ to choose

Discussions about future economic relations with China have begun because the Trump administration has clearly stated its intention to make better offers regarding US tariffs for countries that reduce their business with China.

The US government has not yet officially announced this, but President Donald Trump recently told Fox News Spanish that Latin American countries should decide for themselves whether to establish investment relations with the US or China, adding, “They should do that.”

China strongly opposes this demand and emphasizes that it will react decisively if one or more countries accept this demand against its interests.

A statement from the Chinese Ministry of Commerce early last week said that Beijing “will strongly oppose any party that makes an agreement that harms China’s interests” and will take countermeasures if necessary.

No unity on China within the EU

There are contradictory stances among EU members. For example, Spain is determined to develop its economic relations with China; to this end, Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez met with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing on April 11.

Italy, whose most important trading partner after Germany is the US, insists on closer cooperation with the US. Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni visited Trump in Washington earlier this month and then hosted US Vice President JD Vance in Rome.

The EU, at least on paper, is trying to show its “independence.” A European Commission spokesperson argued last Tuesday that negotiations were ongoing to discuss bilateral trade relations with Washington, but that the shaping of relations with China could in no way be dictated.

Claiming that these were two different issues that should be kept separate, the spokesperson said that the goal of “derisking” in relations with the People’s Republic of China would continue, but that complete “decoupling” was not targeted.

The Commission spokesperson added that there were no red lines in the negotiations other than the “security and prosperity” of EU citizens.

Stabilizing relations with China

Independently of this, Brussels has initiated practical efforts to carefully stabilize relations with China.

Just days after the US announced its latest tariffs, Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, who had previously taken a pro-US and often explicitly anti-China stance, said in a phone call with Chinese Premier Li Qiang that the EU and China, the world’s two largest markets, should continue their efforts towards a trade system based on “free, fair, and equal conditions” against US tariffs.

Leyen added that the two economic giants should make greater efforts for a fair trade system.

A spokesperson for European Council President António Costa soon announced that an EU-China summit would likely take place in Beijing in the second half of July.

China, for its part, announced plans to lift sanctions imposed on five Members of the European Parliament (MEPs) in March 2021. Those affected by the sanctions include former Green MEP Reinhard Bütikofer and CDU MEP Michael Gahler.

It is stated that with this step, China expects concessions from the EU, particularly regarding Chinese companies’ investments in Europe; however, the EU refuses to return to previous negotiations for a comprehensive investment agreement.

CDU-SPD government in Berlin will ‘derisk’

In Germany, too, discussions are intensifying regarding the path to be followed concerning China.

The new coalition agreement between the CDU/CSU and SPD states that relations with the US maintain “extraordinary importance,” while also arguing that in terms of trade policy, the “transatlantic economic area” offers the best conditions for success in global competition.

Regarding US tariffs, the future government coalition states that it wants to “prevent trade conflict” and that a “free trade agreement” should be signed with the US in the medium term.

Regarding relations with the People’s Republic of China, the coalition agreement states that the next federal government will revise the current China strategy according to the principle of “risk reduction.” Accordingly, economic cooperation with China will be further reduced.

US offers German industry a ‘deal you can’t refuse’

On the other hand, according to reports in the German media, the Trump administration is offering German industry cooperation with US companies in the development of autonomous driving.

It is stated that the US wants to increase the competitiveness of its own technology companies like Google and Nvidia in the global market for autonomous driving.

The goal is to capture China’s market share in cooperation with German automobile manufacturers.

However, it is doubtful whether the plan will work. BMW announced last week that it intends to use the artificial intelligence programs of the Chinese company DeepSeek for several new models to be launched in China this year.

It stated that cooperation with Huawei and Alibaba had been expanded in recent weeks to optimize the hardware of the new vehicles. Volkswagen also reported taking similar steps.

German companies’ letter to government: Cooperation is inevitable

In the letter sent to the future federal government by dozens of German companies, including large companies as well as medium-sized ones, it is emphasized that Chinese companies are increasingly becoming “innovation leaders,” and it is pointed out that close cooperation with them is crucial for competing in innovations.

According to the letter obtained by faz, the “risk reduction” policy, which continues unchanged in Berlin, constitutes an obstacle to such cooperation and therefore harms German industry.

Calling for the People’s Republic of China to be seen as a “partner” rather than a “competitor,” the companies also call for more “China expertise,” warning that the “distorted” image of China prevalent in Germany constitutes “an obstacle for German companies.”

One-third of these companies’ turnover and an even larger portion of their profits come from China. Therefore, if they were forced to abandon their business in China, they would face a problem that is almost impossible to solve.

For example, Oliver Oehms, President of the German Chamber of Commerce in Beijing, criticizes the coalition agreement. In the opinion of the Chamber’s members, the Chinese market is vital for the global competitiveness of German companies.

Oehms demands, “Therefore, we should receive more support from the new federal government, which combines ‘risk reduction’ with a goal-oriented China policy.”

Indeed, Jürgen Matthes, head of the international economic policy department at the German Economic Institute in Cologne, points out that when it comes to “risk reduction,” not much has changed for German companies.

Europe

China’s critical mineral restrictions challenge EU defence expansion plans

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The European Union’s plans to expand its defence capabilities are being hindered by China’s export controls and sales restrictions on critical raw materials.

In response, EU leaders are urging member states to accelerate efforts to diversify supply chains.

According to Nikkei Asia, the European Commission announced last week that it would propose new legislation requiring companies across the bloc to broaden their supplier base in an effort to address economic imbalances, although it did not explicitly name China.

The war in Ukraine and growing uncertainty over Washington’s security guarantees have pushed European governments to increase military spending and defence production.

At the same time, according to a report published in May by Joris Teer, a policy analyst at the European Union Institute for Security Studies (EUISS), China accounts for at least 70% of global mining or refining activity in 17 of the 34 materials classified as critical by the EU. Eight of those 34 materials are currently subject to Chinese export controls.

“China is undermining Europe’s rearmament efforts,” Teer wrote. “Simply by activating this tool, China has already increased its leverage and demonstrated both the capability and willingness to restrict supply whenever it chooses.”

The Aerospace, Security and Defence Industries Association of Europe also warned that geopolitical developments and intensifying global competition for critical raw materials are further underscoring the need to strengthen European supply chains.

The organisation represents more than 4,000 companies, including Britain’s BAE Systems, France’s Thales and Germany’s Rheinmetall.

European defence manufacturers are pursuing a range of strategies, including vertical integration, recycling, diversification and stockpiling.

Rheinmetall told Nikkei Asia that it has “no dependencies” and is “well prepared” regarding critical minerals.

A company spokesperson said: “Rheinmetall has stockpiled key raw materials sufficient for several years. We have also implemented IT systems that allow us to centrally monitor and precisely manage raw material consumption across the entire group.”

Analysts, however, caution that stockpiling alone will not be sufficient. Maria Shagina, a researcher at the International Institute for Strategic Studies, said: “Stockpiling serves as an important buffer against sudden disruptions, but on its own it is unlikely to mitigate structural damage over the long term.”

Shagina added that replacing the volume and diversity of critical minerals controlled by Beijing with alternative sources would take years.

In 2024, the EU enacted the European Critical Raw Materials Act, aimed at rebuilding domestic supply chains for such minerals.

The legislation sets 2030 targets for domestic extraction, processing and recycling while limiting dependence on any single third-country supplier to 65%.

A €3 billion ($3.5 billion) fund was established last year to accelerate strategic projects.

Nevertheless, the European Court of Auditors has noted that the 2030 targets are not legally binding and that the EU remains far from achieving them.

Industry groups argue that policy inconsistencies could further slow progress.

The Cobalt Institute, which represents a sector vital to jet engines, advanced batteries and defence alloys, warned that proposed EU chemicals regulations risk undermining the industry.

“Europe has one foot in and one foot out,” said Michael Blakeney, head of government and public affairs at the London-based institute. “It says the right things, but its actions are inconsistent.”

Europe’s efforts are unfolding alongside a more aggressive US strategy to secure critical mineral supply chains.

Shagina said:

“The US is investing more capital to secure and expand capacity, taking greater financial risks and, in some cases, acquiring equity stakes. Europe, by contrast, is generally more cautious, which places it at a relative disadvantage in the competition for critical minerals.”

In April, the EU signed an agreement with the United States to coordinate supplies of critical minerals. Although some member states initially resisted over concerns that the deal could weaken the bloc’s strategic autonomy, they authorised the Commission in early June to join the US-led “Pax Silica” initiative, which coordinates investment and export-control policies.

Teer urged Europe to use ongoing US-EU-Japan negotiations as the nucleus of a broader coalition aimed at making critical mineral production outside China financially viable through state support, minimum-price mechanisms and supply rules.

“Particularly important are countries that either produce raw materials or possess significant mineral deposits, such as Malaysia, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Brazil and Indonesia, as well as countries like India with large pools of skilled labour,” he said.

Teer also argued that the EU should activate its Anti-Coercion Instrument, which allows the bloc to impose tariffs and restrictions in response to economic pressure on countries outside the union, in order to deter China from introducing further restrictions.

A European Commission spokesperson said the bloc had “long been aware of the risks associated with the EU’s dependence on critical raw materials.”

“The objective is clear: to anticipate disruptions early and reduce the EU’s vulnerabilities while strengthening our industrial and defence capacities,” the spokesperson said.

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Four European countries move to make citizenship harder to obtain

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European countries are increasingly tightening their citizenship rules. Most recently, the Norwegian government has drafted legislation that would raise the minimum residency requirement for citizenship from three years to seven.

The proposed amendments to the citizenship law were presented by the Ministry of Labour and Social Inclusion.

Under the draft legislation, stateless individuals born in Norway, as well as those who arrived in the country as children, would be required to reside in Norway for at least five years before becoming eligible for citizenship.

The government also plans to increase residency requirements for foreign nationals who are married to or cohabiting with Norwegian citizens.

Language requirements are set to become more demanding as well. The proposal would raise the required level of spoken Norwegian proficiency from A2 to B1. The new rules would apply to applicants aged between 18 and 67.

Commenting on the changes, Minister of Labour and Social Inclusion Kjersti Stenseng said: “Obtaining and holding Norwegian citizenship should be a privilege.”

The government argues that simplifying administrative procedures while simultaneously tightening eligibility criteria will help reduce the country’s large backlog of pending applications and shorten processing times.

Norway is the latest European country to announce revisions to its citizenship rules.

In Finland, the minimum residency requirement for citizenship was increased from five years to eight years on October 1, 2024.

The country also plans to introduce a mandatory citizenship test for applicants aged between 18 and 64 from the beginning of 2027.

Finnish Interior Minister Mari Rantanen said: “The introduction of a citizenship test is the final component of a comprehensive reform aimed at making citizenship requirements more stringent.”

Sweden has also approved a similar reform. Beginning in June 2026, the standard residency requirement for citizenship will increase from five years to eight years. Authorities are also introducing a financial self-sufficiency requirement for applicants and expanding the scope of security screenings.

Explaining the rationale behind the changes, Migration Minister Johan Forssell said: “It was possible to become a citizen after living in the country for five years without knowing a single word of Swedish, learning anything about Swedish society, or even having one’s own source of income.”

The most far-reaching changes have been implemented in Portugal. Portuguese President Antonio Jose Seguro has signed legislation raising the minimum residency requirement for citizenship from five years to 10 years.

For citizens of the European Union and the Community of Portuguese Language Countries, the requirement has been set at seven years.

The residency period will now be calculated from the date a residence permit is granted rather than from the date a citizenship application is submitted. The new rules will also affect the children of immigrants.

Previously, children could obtain citizenship one year after birth if their parents held residence permits. Under the new rules, at least one parent must have legally resided in the country for a minimum of five years.

The law also introduces a mandatory examination covering Portuguese history, culture, values and social structures.

Migration policies are tightening across the European Union as well. On June 17, the European Parliament approved legislation allowing irregular migrants whose asylum applications have been rejected but who cannot be returned to their countries of origin to be deported to third countries.

The new EU rules permit the establishment of migrant detention centres outside the bloc’s borders. African countries are reportedly among the options being discussed for such facilities.

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SpaceX warns EU satellite spectrum plan could disrupt connectivity in Ukraine

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SpaceX has sharply criticised a European Union plan to restrict access to satellite spectrum, arguing that the proposal risks degrading connectivity in Ukraine and disrupting emergency communications services.

In a document shared with European officials and reviewed by the Financial Times, SpaceX warned:

“This proposal significantly increases the likelihood that Europeans will be deprived of direct-to-device satellite services, or that new European operations will create global interference issues, including for emergency services such as those operating in Ukraine.”

In a proposal unveiled in May, the EU recommended reserving part of the spectrum band used for direct satellite-to-smartphone connectivity for European operators, thereby limiting the frequencies available to US and Chinese providers.

The 2 GHz frequency band in question is currently used by two US companies, Viasat and EchoStar.

SpaceX argued that the EU plan prioritises “an operator’s country of establishment over economic, technical and regulatory realities.”

When the proposal was announced, EU technology chief Henna Virkkunen defended the move, saying the bloc wanted to “increase European capacity in this sector.” She added that other parts of the frequency band would remain open to international operators, arguing that prioritising European providers was justified.

Other participants involved in discussions over the proposal said some EU officials were specifically seeking to limit Elon Musk’s Starlink satellite network.

Europe’s initiative follows a warning from Washington. In March, the US Federal Communications Commission (FCC) cautioned that it could take retaliatory measures if the EU chose to favour European satellite operators over alternatives such as Starlink.

At the time, FCC Chairman Brendan Carr told the Financial Times: “Some of the discussions in Europe regarding satellite sovereignty concern us. If Europe decides to move down that path, then, as you know, we will have to consider reciprocal measures.”

The European Commission’s proposal has not yet entered formal negotiations with EU member states or the European Parliament.

A source close to SpaceX said the company remained hopeful of influencing the outcome of the process, given concerns raised by both businesses and several European governments.

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