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China, Pakistan and the regional security

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China and Pakistan had established ties in the wake of 1962, but their relations further improved in the 2000s due to changes in regional and global politics that made Pakistan a critical partner to China.

At the beginning, if we talk about the 1900s, China was in some way reluctant to have a strong friendship with Pakistan. It could be because of the idea that the Chinese had in that time like “hide your strength and abide your time”. China was in no way interested to show its power and also doesn’t want to have closer ties with any countries. But it’s not the case any longer as Beijing is more involved in today’s affairs in both “security and economy”.

Ironically, the regional countries and the world are also welcoming China’s engagement and Pakistan is one of those countries. Pakistan sees the bilateral ties as a valuable friendship and the Chinese did not see or have needed to trumpet the relationship; rather it is Pakistan which needed China more than the other way around.

However, at the moment, China also sees the bilateral ties with Pakistan important for both the capitals, as Beijing now calls Islamabad as a good friend and supportive partner.

It is not wise to always bring India into account of the flourishing ties between China and Pakistan because China and India are also connected to economic affairs. There are some issues in bordering points, but China had never appeared to play double cards in return to keep Pakistan happy.

China has its own ambitions which is to help the regional countries in security and economic affairs because the region will not reach progress if they remain in hostility.

There is an understanding that the China-Pakistan relationship was built in the aftermath of the 1962 China-India border dispute, but now the focus is more on mending the ties and improving the economy. Pakistan used this opportunity and in 1963 handed over the Shaksgam Valley to the Chinese.

China doesn’t support war between Pakistan and India

It was a good attempt, but this was not like China is not willing to have ties with India. Of course, China has helped Pakistan after receiving control of the Valley, but this was not in return of helping Pakistan to further increase its enmity with India.

There are several reasons that China is not seeing India as its predominant strategic threat. One reason is that China doesn’t believe in war. The clear example is that China did not support Pakistan in its war against India in 1965 and 1971. And also there was a big incident in 2019 when Pakistan shot down two Indian jets and nothing left for another war between Islamabad and New Delhi. Again China approached with a peaceful solution and did not support Pakistan rather called for a peaceful resolution.

Moreover, China also did not support Pakistan during the Kargil war in 1999 and during the Mumbai terrorist attacks in 2008. China at the same time is concerned about internal security of Pakistan, an Asian state with nuclear weapons, and a population of over 200 million. Additionally, there are a number of terrorist groups operating inside Pakistan, which is yet another concern of China.

China and Pakistan stress need for regional peace

China on Wednesday welcomed Pakistan’s Chief of Army Staff General (COAS) Asim Munir and along with his Chinese counterpart, they discussed regional peace and security. The meeting was held at the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) headquarters during Munir’s first day of the four-day official visit to Beijing.

A statement issued by Pakistan’s Inter-Services Public Relations (ISPR) said “both the military commanders reiterated the need for maintaining peace and stability in the region and enhancing military-to-military cooperation.” Issues relating mutual security interests and military cooperation were also discussed.

Munir is expected to hold further meetings with military leaders in China to enhance the long-standing relations between the two countries during his remaining three days. The visit comes at a time when security has deteriorated across Pakistan.

Swat blast claims 17 lives

At least 17 people lost their lives and over 50 others received injuries in a blast at counter-terrorism department (CTD) police station in Swat. The reason behind the blast is unknown. According to a preliminary report, the explosions is not due to a suicide attack, but also the cause is not clear.

The counter-terrorism office building in Kabal town of Swat after the explosion on April 25, 2023. Reuters

High alert has been declared across Swat and also security audits of important local and foreign installations have been ordered to improve security arrangements. Pakistan’s Intelligence Unit of the capitol police, also known as Special Branch and Security Division will conduct a survey for the security audit and priority would be the security audit of the Red Zone and all police installations in the capital.

In 2020, the last security audit of an important foreign installation was conducted, and now is the second such practice. After the blast, police were also ordered to wear safety gear, remain on alert and keep their distance from each other on the line of duty.

Security matters

Peaceful regions and neighboring countries, including Pakistan, Afghanistan, and the Central Asian states are important for China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Unstable region will hamper BRI’s activities, a gargantuan multilateral infrastructure and investment project that will help improve the region’s economy and security.

The current China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) is part of the BRI that continues a variety of initiatives such as infrastructure, energy, economic zones, and the development of a strategic port, Gwadar. CPEC is part of a 62 billion development project and it is meant to be a strategic and economic connection between China and Pakistan.

The success of CPEC directly means the success of BRI itself and for that security situation in Pakistan must be improved.

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Pentagon plans covert spy ring for economic war on China, report says

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The US Department of War (Pentagon) is reportedly planning to establish an extensive network of deep-cover agents to wage economic warfare against China and other adversaries of the US.

According to a report by The Washington Post citing six sources familiar with the initiative, the plan has not yet been put into effect. The newspaper reported that the initiative remains at the planning stage. The Pentagon, however, denies that any such initiative exists.

The report said the operatives would pose as entrepreneurs or private sector employees while concealing their ties to the US government. The network’s mission would be to gather economic intelligence and counter China.

The programme is led by Tom Rakusa, who spent 39 years at the CIA. Rakusa serves as a senior adviser to Deputy Secretary of Defence Steve Feinberg.

The proposed spy network is seen as part of a broader policy by the Donald Trump administration to sharpen economic competition with other countries.

The US is already resorting to tariffs, export controls, and investment in strategic sectors, alongside expanding its economic intelligence gathering.

According to The Washington Post, the new initiative demonstrates the Pentagon’s growing influence under the Trump administration. The department is currently seeking a record budget of $1.5 trillion.

Trade war flares up again with Trump’s return to the White House

The trade friction between the US and China flared up again following Donald Trump’s return to the White House. In April 2025, Washington raised tariffs on Chinese goods to as much as 145%, and Beijing retaliated with tariffs of up to 125%.

In May, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio described China as the primary geopolitical challenge facing Washington. Rubio said that to avoid war, the two sides needed to manage their conflict of interests.

In July, Chinese expert Zheng Yongnian did not simply warn that underestimating the US could prove to be a “fatal mistake”; he stated it explicitly.

According to Zheng’s assessment, the US maintains its primacy through the role of the dollar, its military superiority, and its technological advantages.

Even so, the two sides agreed in June to declare a truce and lower tariffs. In autumn 2026, the US and China extended their trade truce until 10 January 2027.

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the extension would give the parties more time to discuss economic issues.

Trade deals do not eliminate the strategic contradictions between the two countries. Financial Times columnist Rana Foroohar likened the race between the two nations for commercial, technological, and geopolitical influence to the 19th-century “Great Game” between the Russian and British empires.

Foroohar cited China’s standing in shipbuilding and commercial maritime transport, as well as its expanding footprint in overseas ports, among its key advantages.

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Japan plans curbs on short-term home sales to cool urban prices

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Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) plans to restrict short-term property trading to rein in surging home prices in major urban centres, particularly Tokyo.

Led by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, the party aims to make support for working households a core priority ahead of local elections scheduled for April next year.

The LDP’s research commission on housing and land policy met on Wednesday to discuss the issue.

According to a report by the Nikkei Asia newspaper, Commission Chair and LDP lawmaker Midori Matsushima said at the opening of the meeting: “Prices of newly built condominiums across Tokyo’s 23 wards have doubled over the past decade. We must work on measures ensuring that people who wish to live in these homes can actually afford to buy them.”

Homeownership in the capital has become virtually unattainable for broad segments of the population. According to data from the Real Estate Economic Institute, the average sale price of a newly built condominium in Tokyo’s 23 wards rose %18.5 in fiscal 2025 compared with the previous year, reaching 137.84 million yen (around $872,000).

Meanwhile, statistics from the Ministry of Labour show that the average annual income of a full-time worker in the capital remained at 6.78 million yen in fiscal 2025. This widening gap between incomes and residential property prices is directly shaping political priorities.

During its campaign for the House of Representatives election in February, the LDP pledged to curb speculative transactions across metropolitan Tokyo and other regions. Earlier this month, a party project team focused on policies concerning foreign nationals also submitted a recommendation urging the government to introduce immediate tax measures against rising home prices.

Under current legislation, profits realized from properties sold within five years of acquisition are classified as “short-term capital gains”. These returns face a tax rate approaching %40, including income tax and local inhabitant tax.

Although this rate is twice the approximately %20 levied as “long-term capital gains” tax on properties held for more than five years, several party members argue it remains insufficient to deter speculation. Calls to tighten the framework may be considered as part of the annual tax reform package to be drafted in December alongside the LDP’s coalition partner, the Japan Innovation Party.

The ruling bloc wants to present concrete housing pledges to voters heading to the polls in April across numerous urban centres, including 22 of Tokyo’s wards where local assembly terms expire.

“We need to support families with children, who are typically at the stage of purchasing a home,” a senior LDP official said.

Opposition parties are also preparing alternative proposals that target not only prospective homebuyers, but also residents forced into the rental market by high property prices and now affected by escalating rents.

Tax steps take precedence over limits on foreign buyers

Several countries seeking answers to housing affordability pressures have imposed direct restrictions on foreign purchasers. In South Korea, real estate policies played a major part in the declining public approval ratings of President Lee Jae Myung.

In August 2025, authorities in Seoul introduced an approval requirement for foreign nationals buying homes in the capital and adjacent areas, while also mandating that buyers reside in the properties for at least two years.

Canada and Australia have enacted temporary bans on foreign residential purchases, while Singapore levies a %60 additional stamp duty on foreign buyers.

The role of overseas investors in Japan’s property market also drew debate during the February election. However, restrictions aimed directly at foreign nationals are viewed as potentially conflicting with international trade and services agreements.

Consequently, rather than imposing restrictions based on the nationality of buyers, the government is discussing tax measures aimed at speculative real estate deals, such as rapid resales.

Fears that sharp market measures could shake regional banks

Concerns have also surfaced that aggressive steps to force down prices could harm the wider national economy.

A senior LDP tax official cautioned that a steep drop in land prices could weaken local financial institutions, warning: “We must consider the impact on regional banks.”

The real estate sector accounts for roughly %18 of total lending by Japanese banks. This proportion sits well above the %10 level recorded during Japan’s bubble economy of the mid-to-late 1980s.

At certain regional banks, property lending accounts for nearly half of total loan portfolios.

According to March 2025 data from the Financial Services Agency, approximately one-quarter of all loans extended by regional banks to the real estate sector are concentrated directly in Tokyo’s five central wards.

Buoyant asset valuations, supported in part by rising stock indices, have underpinned strong public approval for the Takaichi administration. Observers note that property interventions designed to cool the market could drag down equity prices and weaken the government’s standing.

A senior official on the LDP research commission stressed that decision-makers must act with caution regarding the scope and timing of any measures intended to bring price increases under control.

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South Korea plans $120B spend on eight US nuclear power plants

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South Korea will spend $120 billion to construct eight nuclear power plants in the US under an agreement that provides for $350 billion in investments in exchange for lower tariffs.

The South Korean government also announced that Seoul and Washington will begin examining a liquefied natural gas (LNG) project in Alaska comprising a large-scale pipeline to transport natural gas from the north of the state to the south, alongside the construction of an LNG terminal for exports overseas.

Seoul stated that a decision regarding the LNG project will be made following a commercial feasibility study. However, US President Donald Trump said that South Korea would invest $54 billion in the project, pointing to an apparent lack of full coordination between the two sides on the matter.

Trade and Industry Minister Kim Jung-kwan said in a statement: “This announcement opens a new horizon of cooperation where the two countries join forces to develop joint commercial ventures in strategic areas directly linked to economic security and future sectors such as artificial intelligence, nuclear energy, and LNG.”

“We will adhere to the principle of prioritising national interests and investing solely in commercially viable projects,” Kim said.

Speaking at the White House, Trump characterised South Korea’s plans as “one of the largest energy infrastructure investments in American history”.

The announcement followed a meeting between Trump and South Korean President Lee Jae Myung roughly one year ago at the APEC Economic Leaders’ Meeting held in South Korea, where they agreed on the creation of a $350 billion investment fund.

Under that agreement, $150 billion was allocated to the shipbuilding sector and $200 billion to other sectors. In return, the US announced it would reduce tariffs imposed on goods imported from South Korea from 25% to 15%.

Under the nuclear power project, South Korea’s state-controlled utility will build two plants in the US, while Pennsylvania-based Westinghouse Electric will construct six plants.

According to the South Korean government, this will mark the first instance in which a foreign country builds its own nuclear power plants in the US.

South Korean firms are also evaluating the possibility of acquiring a stake in Westinghouse as part of negotiations over sharing profits generated by the project.

South Korea additionally announced that it will build a $22.3 billion natural gas-fired power plant in Texas with a capacity of 6,472 megawatts.

The facility will be designed to supply electricity directly to nearby data centres. The project’s first phase is targeted to begin commercial operations in 2029, with full-capacity operations slated for 2032.

Seoul also disclosed that it had agreed to allow the US to receive 50% of the profits generated by the projects until South Korea recoups all of its investments.

After South Korea fully recovers its total investment amount, 90% of the profits will go to the US.

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