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Who will be next PM as protest continues against alleged vote-rigging in Pakistan

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Pakistan’s surprising election results have pushed the political parties into coalition talks but at the same time the people who voted in large numbers, have continued to protest for five consecutive days over alleged vote-rigging in the 8 February parliamentary elections.

Former Prime Minister Imran Khan’s party, Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI, and the Jamaat-e-Islami party had called on their supporters to take to the streets and rally outside the election commission office.

Thousands of supporters of Imran Khan, who is in jail over fraud allegations, and other political parties have blocked key highways in the southwestern province of Balochistan to protest the alleged rigging, but the Pakistani election authorities rejected allegations pertaining to rigging during the elections.

Intendent candidates backed by Khan were able to secure 93 out of 265 seats contested in the National Assembly, or lower house of parliament. It has been reported that Khan’s candidates had secured more seats compared to other political parties who hatched conspiracy and ousted him from power nearly two years ago.

Pakistan election body rejected vote-rigging in general elections

The Election Commission of Pakistan (ECP) has strongly refuted allegations of vote-rigging during the elections but acknowledged the occurrence of a few irregularities.

The electoral watchdog acknowledged that it does not deny the occurrence of a few irregularities and that relevant forms were available for investigation, ECP said in a statement, adding immediate decisions are being taken on complaints filed.

Supporters of Pakistani former Prime Minister Imran Khan’s party, the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI), block the Peshawar-Islamabad motorway as part of their protest against the results of the general election, in Peshawar, Pakistan, February 12, 2024. REUTERS

However, the election body said that the electoral process was peacefully organized despite “difficulties and issues” and furthered that conducting the elections smoothly was a “major operation” which was completed successfully.

Commenting on the delay in election results, the ECP said that the suspension of mobile services on February 8 created some hindrances in the sending of electronic data by presiding officers.

“Except for some constituencies, the results of the elections were completed within one-and-a-half days,” the statement said, adding, “the delay in results in some constituencies did not benefit or harm any specific political party.”

Despite 265 seats in the National Assembly, the polling was also held for 590 seats of provincial assemblies.

Caretaker PM says election result delays due to security reason

Pakistan’s caretaker Prime Minister Anwaarul Haq Kakar said that the election result was delayed due to security reasons, adding that the pool was a “level-playing field” for all.

“There were large reports throughout the country that these non-state actors, these terrorists, are planning to come and sabotage the whole process. So, what was the choice with the government to itself from so-called accusations of meddling into the election, or go for the protection of the people. We choose the second,” Kakar added.

He furthered, “level-playing field was of course available as a process to everyone and all the participants. If it was not available then how come you have a largest group in the National Assembly which is being supported by PTI, I mean they’re the single largest group and still we are being accused that we managed the rigging.”

Political parties split on whether to join a coalition government

After Khan’s party had secured more seats in the National Assembly no other choice left for major political parties like the three-time Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif and Foreign Minister Bilawal Bhutto Zardari for a coalition talk.

Though now it is very clear that the Pakistan Muslim League (N) would dominate the coalition government in center, some of its top figures are reluctant to give much more share to the Pakistan People’s Party. Imran Khan’s Pakistan Tehreek Insaf affiliated independents are in majority but they are scattered and some of them, mostly from Punjab are joining PML(N).

The PML-N party of former PM Nawaz Sharif says it continues to negotiate with the PPP to clinch a partnership. Reuters

So far results of 264 out of 266 National Assembly seats have been declared by the Election Commission of Pakistan. According to these results, the independents over 95pc affiliated with PTI are dominating the list with 92 and they are followed by PML(N) with 79, PPP with 54 and MQM with 17. After notification of reserve seats for women and non-Muslim minorities, the PML(n) like to undue PTI backed independents but it will be hard for it to have its own government in center.

Whatever may be the final figures of the National Assembly, PML(N) has no option other than entering into an agreement with PPP for establishing a coalition government. So far negotiations between the two parties are progressing and likely to ink the agreement in the very near future. According to reports, the PM office is likely to be retained by PML(N) and the President and Speaker offices would go to PPP. It is premature to say but Shahbaz Sharif is acceptable not only to the PPP but also to the powerful military establishment.

Is the coalition government a better option?

Unlike in the past, this time PML(n) vocal against military establishment like Khawaja Saad Rafique, Sheikh Rohail Asghar and others had also failed to make routes to parliament. There are reports that like outgoing caretaker government, ministers, advisors and other nominees for key official posts will be required clearance from state organs.

Like the capital (Islamabad), similar is the situation in Balochistan where no party got a single majority. Both PPP and JUI(F) are in majority with 11 berths each in the house of 51. PML(N) is second with 10 whereas strength of independents is 6. All nationalists both Pushtoons and Baluch, remained with single digits. Situation in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa is favorable for PTI whereas its backed independents got an overwhelming majority. The PTI is in the position of its own government but its leaders are divided regarding future political strategies.

Ironically, despite fueling or strengthening its position in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, the PTI is now ahead with capable leadership. Almost all its top leaders like ex-speaker Asad Qaisar, former federal and provincial ministers like Ali Muhammad Khan, Sheheryar Afridi, Atif Khan, Ms Shandana Gulzar, Arbab Sher Ali, Ali Asghar Khan and others were elected to National Assembly. Only ex-Federal Minister Ali Amen Gandha Pur elected to both National and Provincial Assemblies and he decided to quit the NA seat and eyeing on the office of Chief Minister but some of his own party fellows like Atif Khan from Mardan are in his opposition.

Like past, 2024 elections will also fail to settle crippling issues in Pakistan

“No doubt to mention that like in the past, 2024 elections also would face failure in settling the issues ahead to the country and its people,” Shamaim Shahid, a Pakistani political expert said.

Speaking to Harici, he said that beside other difficulties, Pakistan is facing hard issues like “economic disorder, bad governance, security, religious extremism and militancy.”

He went on saying that all those who reached into parliament lacked capacities and capabilities in handling these issues. However, there is a possibility if the powerful military establishment gives up its decade’s old behavior of “interference and intervention in politico-administrative affairs of the country.

ANP Senator Afrasiab Khattak

As Mr. Shahid hinted at a bad security situation, at least three people were killed and five others wounded when unidentified attackers opened fire on a vehicle in the rally of Pakistan Peoples Party. The incident happened when people on board the vehicle were going to congratulate PPP candidate Ahmed Karim Kundu for his victory in a provincial assembly set in the general elections, according to DAWN.

A police official said that the incident happened in the limits of Hattala police station and said that immediately police reached the spot after receiving information and shifted the dead and injured to hospital.

No free and fair elections in the history of Pakistan

On 8 February, the election day in Pakistan, the process was apparently conducted in a transparent way and no rigging was seen at first place when the people approached polling stations to cast their votes, said a Pakistani veteran politician.

Former Pakistani senator, Afrasib Khattak, said that rigging in the election came after the process of counting votes started and the people staged protests against it.

“People went to vote enthusiastically, but immediately turned to the streets to protest against enormous election rigging being designed by the military establishment,” Khattak, who is also a leader of the National Democratic Movement, told Harici.

He lamented that some Pakistan authorities resorted to violence and some police officials started beating up some protestors and even shooting directly toward them, resulting in casualties.

Regarding vote-rigging, Khan said that the first rigging in the election was when Imran Khan’s political party was barred from election campaign, and second had been carried out on the night of the election day.

“In some states the majority of rigging happened against Khan’s candidates, but most of the political parties have the same complaint that the election was not conducted in a transparent, free and fair way,” he added.

He furthered that violence had erupted in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, and in Waziristan as well in which an armed attack happened against Mohsin Dawar, the Chairman of the National Democratic Movement in Waziristan. “Three people were killed and Mr. Dawar received injures in the attack.”

Free elections were only conducted in 1970

Khattak furthered that rigging in the election has occurred in such a massive way that no political parties have the capability to do it except the establishment. “Vote-rigging occurred in all states. It is not the case in one or two provinces. And also, to force the officials of the election body to accept the election result could only be the work of the Pakistani military establishment,” he furthered.

“The only one free and fair election in the history of Pakistan was in 1970, in which a politically party with majority of them were Bangali’s, had won the election, but the opposition didn’t accept the result, unleashing deep political crisis that caused separation of Pakistan and formation of Bangladesh as an Independent country,” he added.

Since that, in every election, the military establishment has interfered in the elections.

Khattak furthered that no parties had won the election and now major political parties are considering the formation of coalition government, which he believes is not an easy job.

“Within 21 days after the election, the government must be formed, which means at the first week of March, the government should be announced and before that the political parties should negotiate form a coalition government, and this is a time-consuming process,” he added.

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Pentagon plans covert spy ring for economic war on China, report says

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The US Department of War (Pentagon) is reportedly planning to establish an extensive network of deep-cover agents to wage economic warfare against China and other adversaries of the US.

According to a report by The Washington Post citing six sources familiar with the initiative, the plan has not yet been put into effect. The newspaper reported that the initiative remains at the planning stage. The Pentagon, however, denies that any such initiative exists.

The report said the operatives would pose as entrepreneurs or private sector employees while concealing their ties to the US government. The network’s mission would be to gather economic intelligence and counter China.

The programme is led by Tom Rakusa, who spent 39 years at the CIA. Rakusa serves as a senior adviser to Deputy Secretary of Defence Steve Feinberg.

The proposed spy network is seen as part of a broader policy by the Donald Trump administration to sharpen economic competition with other countries.

The US is already resorting to tariffs, export controls, and investment in strategic sectors, alongside expanding its economic intelligence gathering.

According to The Washington Post, the new initiative demonstrates the Pentagon’s growing influence under the Trump administration. The department is currently seeking a record budget of $1.5 trillion.

Trade war flares up again with Trump’s return to the White House

The trade friction between the US and China flared up again following Donald Trump’s return to the White House. In April 2025, Washington raised tariffs on Chinese goods to as much as 145%, and Beijing retaliated with tariffs of up to 125%.

In May, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio described China as the primary geopolitical challenge facing Washington. Rubio said that to avoid war, the two sides needed to manage their conflict of interests.

In July, Chinese expert Zheng Yongnian did not simply warn that underestimating the US could prove to be a “fatal mistake”; he stated it explicitly.

According to Zheng’s assessment, the US maintains its primacy through the role of the dollar, its military superiority, and its technological advantages.

Even so, the two sides agreed in June to declare a truce and lower tariffs. In autumn 2026, the US and China extended their trade truce until 10 January 2027.

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the extension would give the parties more time to discuss economic issues.

Trade deals do not eliminate the strategic contradictions between the two countries. Financial Times columnist Rana Foroohar likened the race between the two nations for commercial, technological, and geopolitical influence to the 19th-century “Great Game” between the Russian and British empires.

Foroohar cited China’s standing in shipbuilding and commercial maritime transport, as well as its expanding footprint in overseas ports, among its key advantages.

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Japan plans curbs on short-term home sales to cool urban prices

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Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) plans to restrict short-term property trading to rein in surging home prices in major urban centres, particularly Tokyo.

Led by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, the party aims to make support for working households a core priority ahead of local elections scheduled for April next year.

The LDP’s research commission on housing and land policy met on Wednesday to discuss the issue.

According to a report by the Nikkei Asia newspaper, Commission Chair and LDP lawmaker Midori Matsushima said at the opening of the meeting: “Prices of newly built condominiums across Tokyo’s 23 wards have doubled over the past decade. We must work on measures ensuring that people who wish to live in these homes can actually afford to buy them.”

Homeownership in the capital has become virtually unattainable for broad segments of the population. According to data from the Real Estate Economic Institute, the average sale price of a newly built condominium in Tokyo’s 23 wards rose %18.5 in fiscal 2025 compared with the previous year, reaching 137.84 million yen (around $872,000).

Meanwhile, statistics from the Ministry of Labour show that the average annual income of a full-time worker in the capital remained at 6.78 million yen in fiscal 2025. This widening gap between incomes and residential property prices is directly shaping political priorities.

During its campaign for the House of Representatives election in February, the LDP pledged to curb speculative transactions across metropolitan Tokyo and other regions. Earlier this month, a party project team focused on policies concerning foreign nationals also submitted a recommendation urging the government to introduce immediate tax measures against rising home prices.

Under current legislation, profits realized from properties sold within five years of acquisition are classified as “short-term capital gains”. These returns face a tax rate approaching %40, including income tax and local inhabitant tax.

Although this rate is twice the approximately %20 levied as “long-term capital gains” tax on properties held for more than five years, several party members argue it remains insufficient to deter speculation. Calls to tighten the framework may be considered as part of the annual tax reform package to be drafted in December alongside the LDP’s coalition partner, the Japan Innovation Party.

The ruling bloc wants to present concrete housing pledges to voters heading to the polls in April across numerous urban centres, including 22 of Tokyo’s wards where local assembly terms expire.

“We need to support families with children, who are typically at the stage of purchasing a home,” a senior LDP official said.

Opposition parties are also preparing alternative proposals that target not only prospective homebuyers, but also residents forced into the rental market by high property prices and now affected by escalating rents.

Tax steps take precedence over limits on foreign buyers

Several countries seeking answers to housing affordability pressures have imposed direct restrictions on foreign purchasers. In South Korea, real estate policies played a major part in the declining public approval ratings of President Lee Jae Myung.

In August 2025, authorities in Seoul introduced an approval requirement for foreign nationals buying homes in the capital and adjacent areas, while also mandating that buyers reside in the properties for at least two years.

Canada and Australia have enacted temporary bans on foreign residential purchases, while Singapore levies a %60 additional stamp duty on foreign buyers.

The role of overseas investors in Japan’s property market also drew debate during the February election. However, restrictions aimed directly at foreign nationals are viewed as potentially conflicting with international trade and services agreements.

Consequently, rather than imposing restrictions based on the nationality of buyers, the government is discussing tax measures aimed at speculative real estate deals, such as rapid resales.

Fears that sharp market measures could shake regional banks

Concerns have also surfaced that aggressive steps to force down prices could harm the wider national economy.

A senior LDP tax official cautioned that a steep drop in land prices could weaken local financial institutions, warning: “We must consider the impact on regional banks.”

The real estate sector accounts for roughly %18 of total lending by Japanese banks. This proportion sits well above the %10 level recorded during Japan’s bubble economy of the mid-to-late 1980s.

At certain regional banks, property lending accounts for nearly half of total loan portfolios.

According to March 2025 data from the Financial Services Agency, approximately one-quarter of all loans extended by regional banks to the real estate sector are concentrated directly in Tokyo’s five central wards.

Buoyant asset valuations, supported in part by rising stock indices, have underpinned strong public approval for the Takaichi administration. Observers note that property interventions designed to cool the market could drag down equity prices and weaken the government’s standing.

A senior official on the LDP research commission stressed that decision-makers must act with caution regarding the scope and timing of any measures intended to bring price increases under control.

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South Korea plans $120B spend on eight US nuclear power plants

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South Korea will spend $120 billion to construct eight nuclear power plants in the US under an agreement that provides for $350 billion in investments in exchange for lower tariffs.

The South Korean government also announced that Seoul and Washington will begin examining a liquefied natural gas (LNG) project in Alaska comprising a large-scale pipeline to transport natural gas from the north of the state to the south, alongside the construction of an LNG terminal for exports overseas.

Seoul stated that a decision regarding the LNG project will be made following a commercial feasibility study. However, US President Donald Trump said that South Korea would invest $54 billion in the project, pointing to an apparent lack of full coordination between the two sides on the matter.

Trade and Industry Minister Kim Jung-kwan said in a statement: “This announcement opens a new horizon of cooperation where the two countries join forces to develop joint commercial ventures in strategic areas directly linked to economic security and future sectors such as artificial intelligence, nuclear energy, and LNG.”

“We will adhere to the principle of prioritising national interests and investing solely in commercially viable projects,” Kim said.

Speaking at the White House, Trump characterised South Korea’s plans as “one of the largest energy infrastructure investments in American history”.

The announcement followed a meeting between Trump and South Korean President Lee Jae Myung roughly one year ago at the APEC Economic Leaders’ Meeting held in South Korea, where they agreed on the creation of a $350 billion investment fund.

Under that agreement, $150 billion was allocated to the shipbuilding sector and $200 billion to other sectors. In return, the US announced it would reduce tariffs imposed on goods imported from South Korea from 25% to 15%.

Under the nuclear power project, South Korea’s state-controlled utility will build two plants in the US, while Pennsylvania-based Westinghouse Electric will construct six plants.

According to the South Korean government, this will mark the first instance in which a foreign country builds its own nuclear power plants in the US.

South Korean firms are also evaluating the possibility of acquiring a stake in Westinghouse as part of negotiations over sharing profits generated by the project.

South Korea additionally announced that it will build a $22.3 billion natural gas-fired power plant in Texas with a capacity of 6,472 megawatts.

The facility will be designed to supply electricity directly to nearby data centres. The project’s first phase is targeted to begin commercial operations in 2029, with full-capacity operations slated for 2032.

Seoul also disclosed that it had agreed to allow the US to receive 50% of the profits generated by the projects until South Korea recoups all of its investments.

After South Korea fully recovers its total investment amount, 90% of the profits will go to the US.

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