Opinion
China, Russia, the ‘disobedient’ front to American hegemony
From the experience of the Sino-Soviet adventure, the US-led Western bloc expects China to leave Russia. The view towards China is ‘schizophrenic,’ while the proxy war against Russia continues. So, how should we interpret the relationship between China and Russia?
A troubled outlook prevails in the 30-year hegemony of the USA, which has shaken the international relations system as a ‘superpower,’ with invasions, wars, and ‘colorful coups.’ The Ukraine war bolstered Washington’s control over Europe, but the ‘disobedient front’ became visible. One of the most pressing concerns in this regard is the possibility of creating new alternatives and the ties between the Russian Federation and the People’s Republic of China.
We are witnessing an overt challenge to the US dominance that was portrayed as a ‘rules-based’ rather than referring to ‘UN-based international law,’ which the States has itself violated. It marks a watershed moment, the Russian military’s reaction to the offensive started through Ukraine by the US, intentionally destroying the Minsk accord endorsed by the UN Security Council (UNSC). Compared to 9/11 and the financial crisis in 2008, its impact in the new century is far more significant. In this regard, 2022 may be likened to 1991, when the Soviet Union collapsed, actual socialism lost ground against Western capitalism, and the West ultimately triumphed in the Cold War.
Russia’s special military operation, which began on February 24, 2022, is rapidly approaching the end of its first year after the rejection of two proposals regarding the security architecture to the United States and NATO in December 2021. The question is still on all minds whether the Sino-Soviet adventure of the 1960s would be repeated in the face of the threat posed on the political, economic, and military fronts.
‘GREAT POWER COMPETITION, EXPECTATION TO ABANDON RUSSIA’
In 2022, Western politicians and public opinion were preoccupied with the prospect of China ‘abandoning’ Russia. The out-of-context discourses even presented the border issues between Russia and China settled in the early 2000s as a ‘sign of separation.’
In the meantime, the Biden administration maintained the demands on the Chinese leadership to turn its back to Moscow, along with threats of ‘severe costs.’ Obviously ironic. Taking up the economic battle started by the Republican Trump administration against China in the United States, the Biden administration has resorted to the tactic of ‘great power competition’ since early January 2020. Biden expanded the economic front with his move to ban China from advanced semiconductors. Attempting to trivialize the ‘one-China’ policy, he made a point of the ideological battle, which centered on the issue of ‘human rights and democracy’ over the claims of ‘authoritarianism’ ascribing to Russia and China.
The motto ‘not to clash with two great powers, Russia and China at the same time’ Western political and scholarly circles often repeat in terms of ‘avoidance’ is either out of date or at a knife edge. Utilizing Ukraine as a proxy for a military offensive against Russia, the Biden administration tested the Chinese leadership over Taiwan in 2022. The tension rose in August when former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi made a ‘pirate’ landing in Taiwan. In reality, the meeting between US Vice President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping in Bali, Indonesia, on November 14 during the G-20 summit did not seem to ease tensions between the two countries.
SCHIZOPHRENIC APPEARANCE
There is a deep irony in the duality of Western attitudes against China, which has now expanded throughout Europe thanks to the United States. The NATO-disguised allies, on the one hand, face military competition from China. On the other hand, the obligation of maintaining economic ties with China becomes a pain in the neck. The European elite is voicing the rhetoric of ‘getting rid of the dependency on China after Russia.’ In the collective West, the strategies of ‘the turn will come to China when Russia is done’ are being formulated. All are accompanied by demands from the Chinese leadership to abandon Russia. So to speak, there is a ‘schizophrenic’ appearance here.
Last week, the Financial Times had a headline reading, ‘China will reestablish its ties with the West and move away from Russia.’ The newspaper prophesied that under Xi’s leadership, China’s strategy to exit Covid-19 would be to ‘reset the economy and win back friends.’ This prophecy predicts that ‘Russia will lose the war in Ukraine.’ Nobody has yet attempted to estimate the scale of the potential breakdown in the Western alliance if this prediction does not come true. However, the naivety in expecting China to simply ignore Western hostility against Russia on all fronts (military, economic, ideological/cultural) is stunning.
Only by disregarding Beijing’s deeds and rhetoric can the West expect these from China. In the turbulent international climate of 2022, it is possible to interpret the relations between Russia and China, which completed the 20th Congress by extending Xi Jinping’s term of office as a ‘stable development’ in the mildest sense. Perhaps taking a peek at it might help.
‘THE BEGINNING AND END OF 2022 IN RUSSIA-CHINA RELATIONS’
In the wake of the pandemic, during the opening ceremony of the 24th Winter Olympic Games in Beijing, Russian and Chinese leaders had their first meeting in 2022. Chinese President Xi Jinping received Russian President Vladimir Putin in Beijing. A joint statement was released on February 4, emphasizing that there were ‘no limits to Sino-Russian cooperation.’ Concerns over the United States’ position on the Asia-Pacific Strategy, the AUKUS partnership, and Ukraine were mentioned in the statement.
Russia’s initiative on security guarantees put forward to the United States and NATO before the Ukraine crisis was supported by China in the statement. The emphasis was on ’a just world with the central coordinating role of the United Nations in international affairs, advancing multipolarity and promoting the democratization of international relations.’ Reiterating that ‘strengthening of bilateral strategic cooperation is not aimed against third countries,’ the statement called on ‘to avoid NATO’s enlargement and steps against the sovereignty, security, and interests of other countries, and colorful coups and interferences in internal affairs.’
Natural gas and oil agreements between the energy companies of the two countries (Gazprom and CNPC) and the decision to increase the use of reciprocal national currencies in economic and commercial terms were tangible results.
Xi and Putin’s second face-to-face meeting took place at the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) summit in Samarkand in September 2022, amid an accelerating Ukrainian conflict after the West made Kyiv withdraw its written concessions in Istanbul at the end of March. China adopted a ‘neutral’ stance when Russia’s military operation started, and Beijing avoided joining the rest of the UN Security Council in condemning Russia. The Chinese Foreign Ministry did not leave out the historical context of the Ukraine crisis (the US-backed 2014 coup in Kyiv and the ignited civil war). Putin, therefore, thanked Xi for his ‘balanced’ stand on Ukraine. The Russian leader condemned the provocations in Taiwan carried out by the US through Pelosi in the month of August. While the Western media outlets were cherry-picking the contextless sentences as ‘Xi’s criticism of Putin,’ the Chinese leader expressed to the Russian president, whom he called ‘my old friend,’ his wishes to ‘work with Russia to assume the role of great powers and to instill stability and positive energy in a chaotic world.’
On December 21, Chinese President Xi Jinping personally received Russian Security Council Vice President Dmitry Medvedev on an unexpected visit to Beijing to deliver Putin’s message.
At the end of 2022, the Chinese and Russian presidents had a video call on December 30 that has now become a ‘tradition.’ Putin highlighted the record high growth rates in mutual trade, building up a partnership in all areas, and strengthening the defense and military technology cooperation despite patent blackmail on the part of certain Western countries.
“Moscow and Beijing’s coordination on the international arena serves to create a fair world order based on international law,” said Putin and underlined, “We share the same views on the causes, course, and logic of the ongoing transformation of the global geopolitical landscape.” He also stated, “In the face of unprecedented pressure and provocations from the West, we defend our principled positions and protect not only our own interests but also the interests of all those who stand for a truly democratic world order and the right of countries to freely determine their destiny.”
President Xi emphasized that ‘the world has now come to another historical crossroads.’ The Chinese leader described two paths before them: “To revert to a Cold War mentality, provoke division and antagonism, and stoke confrontation between blocs, or to act out of the common good of humanity to promote equality, mutual respect, and win-win cooperation.” “The tug of war between these two trends is testing the wisdom of statesmen in major countries as well as the reason of the entire humanity,” he underlined and said, “China stands ready to join hands with Russia and all other progressive forces around the world to reject any protectionism and bullying and uphold international justice.” He importantly noted that ‘Russia has never refused to resolve the conflict through diplomatic negotiations, and China commends that.’
‘BEYOND THE RHETORIC’
The absence of these emphases in Western media is telling. What cannot be overlooked is that China has not ‘been tamed.’ China’s increased energy imports have been crucial in helping Russia economically decouple from Western pressure. The goal of mutual trade in 2024 is $200 billion.
In military terms, the two countries continued joint exercises. The naval exercises of Russia and China and joint patrol flights in the Pacific region garnered attention in 2022. After the air patrol, the Russian T-95 and the Chinese Xian H-6 strategic bombers landed on each other’s soil.
The common ground that has united China and Russia over the last two decades is plain to see. The two countries jointly condemned NATO’s use of force in Yugoslavia and the invasion of Iraq. After the United States’ withdrawal from the 2015 multilateral Iran nuclear deal, they thwarted UN sanctions. When the West criticized Russia’s interference in Ukraine in 2022, and when the UN General Assembly nullified the referendum that returned Crimea to the Russian Federation at the start of the coup and civil war in Ukraine in 2014, China took a different approach from the West when Russia’s intervention in Ukraine in 2022 was condemned as well as when the UN General Assembly nullified the referendum that returned Crimea to the Russian Federation at the start of the coup and civil war in Ukraine in 2014. China has made it clear that it is aware of the historical and political background of the crisis in Ukraine, which has its roots in the Soviet era.
The Russian Federation, on the other hand, blames the US for the tension in Asia since the 1995-1996 Taiwan Strait Crisis. Moscow is against the US policies of Hong Kong, Tibet, and Xinjiang to sow discord in China. It opposes the policies of penetrating the East and South China seas.
The two countries took steps to broaden the scope of the SCO and BRICS in 2022. A participant member in the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, which provides an alternative to the World Bank and the Asian Development Bank, Russia looks willing to coordinate Beijing’s Belt and Road Initiative with the Eurasian Economic Cooperation.
‘DIPLOMATIC REPRIMAND AGAINST ROCK HEALTH’
Promoted at the 20th Congress of the CCP, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi described relations with Russia in 2022 as ‘rock-solid,’ emphasizing that ‘China and Russia have firmly supported each other in upholding respective core interests.’ Yi’s ‘reprimanding’ rhetoric about US Foreign Minister Antony Blinken, who could not keep the diplomatic tone with China, cannot be overlooked. The Chinese readouts of Wang’s phone diplomacy with Blinken reflect criticisms of ‘unilateral bullying’ towards the imperativeness of the American counterpart on Ukraine. Wang’s warnings that China’s diplomacy cannot be steered in this manner are remarkable.
On Blinken’s next visit to Beijing at the start of February, he will meet with Qin Gang, newly appointed to the head of the Chinese Foreign Ministry from the US embassy. In a context where the Taiwan provocation came on the top of Washington’s pact strategy in ‘the Indo-Pacific’ with AUKUS in 2021 and the US is increasingly militarizing Japan in the region, it is unlikely to anticipate different consequences. Repeating that ‘East Asia could be the next Ukraine,’ Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida’s call for the West to ‘unite against China’ is impossible to imagine anything but the US ‘adjustment.’ The fact that Biden, when receiving PM Kishida, complained about ‘actions inconsistent with the rules-based international order by China’ convinced the Chinese government that boundaries would not limit the unchecked confrontation Russia faced in Ukraine.
In the Cold War, Sino-Soviet relations fell victim to ideological polarization. Today’s Russo-Chinese relations are taking shape under tensions escalating due to the declining hegemony of Western neo-colonialism. It can be regarded as a model based on multilateralism respecting sovereignties. There seems to be no tough rivalry in mutual relations and no great competition in production and technology. The Russian Federation clearly did not rely on China when it started the Ukraine war. It is impossible for China not to see the next target would be Beijing if NATO brought Russia down in its proxy war in Ukraine.
Opinion
A voice rising from New Delhi: BRICS’s manifesto for a new world order
The BRICS Foreign Ministers’ Meeting, held in the Indian capital of New Delhi on May 15, 2026, carries a significance that extends far beyond the confines of routine diplomacy. This gathering culminated in the signing of one of the most comprehensive political documents to date, outlining the vision of the world order that BRICS envisions for 2026. Reading between the lines, the document reveals not merely the proceedings of a ministerial summit, but the contours of a comprehensive alternative vision challenging the Western-centric international system. Indeed, this text must be read as a political manifesto of the shifting balances of power, the accelerating global struggle for influence, and the emerging new world order of recent years.
The overarching theme dominating the entire document is “The Rise of the Global South.” BRICS members contend that the current international order is unjust, insufficiently representative, and fails to reflect the interests of developing nations. Consequently, they emphasize the urgent need to restructure foundational institutions such as the UN, IMF, World Bank, and the World Trade Organization (WTO). In doing so, BRICS now positions itself as the voice of the non-Western world. Today, the global arena is traversing an era in which the post-World War II international system has plunged into a profound crisis of legitimacy and representation. Developments such as the wars in Ukraine, Iran, and Lebanon, the Gaza crisis, global trade wars, the weaponization of sanctions, energy security challenges, and technological competition demonstrate that the current system struggles to mirror contemporary global realities. It is precisely from this premise that the BRICS nations operate, sending a clear message to the world through the New Delhi Outcome Document: “The status quo is no longer sustainable.”
One of the most striking aspects of the document is how clearly it demonstrates that BRICS no longer views itself as a mere platform for economic cooperation. Having long focused primarily on economic development, trade, and finance since its inception, BRICS has now reached a far more ambitious posture. In the New Delhi Outcome Document, issues of security, geopolitical crises, artificial intelligence, cybersecurity, climate policies, energy transition, and international governance reforms occupy a place as central as economics. This indicates that BRICS’s ambition to become a foundational actor in global politics is steadily gaining traction. Reading between the lines, the strongest emphasis emerges on the concept of a “multipolar world.” The core approach of BRICS is animated by the premise that the Western-centric, largely US-led international order, which took shape over the decades following the end of the Cold War, is no longer the sole alternative. Throughout the declaration, the repeated use of phrases like “more just,” “more representative,” “more democratic,” and “more inclusive” international system constitutes a direct critique of the current distribution of global power.
The sections concerning the reform of the United Nations Security Council are particularly critical. Indeed, the call for UN reform stands out as one of the most pivotal political segments of the document. BRICS nations explicitly state that the current structure fails to reflect contemporary realities. They contend that Africa, Latin America, and emerging Asian powers are underrepresented in decision-making mechanisms. What is even more remarkable is that China and Russia have reaffirmed their support for India and Brazil to assume greater roles within the Security Council. This state of affairs reveals, first and foremost, the elevation of India and Brazil to global-power status. Secondly, it demonstrates an increasing political cohesion within BRICS. Finally, it illustrates a fundamental questioning of the post-WWII international order.
Another prominent element in the document is the sharp critique of the sanctions policies pursued by the United States and the West. The intensive use of economic sanctions as a foreign policy tool in recent years has engendered collective discomfort among BRICS nations. The text emphasizes that unilateral sanctions violate international law and severely hamper the economic development of developing nations. Although no countries are named directly, this formulation can be read as a potent critique targeted at measures such as US sanctions on Iran, Russia, and Venezuela, as well as the embargo on Cuba. This approach is a continuation of BRICS’s long-standing critique regarding the “weaponization of economics.” Indeed, one of the most strategic segments of the declaration emerges here. For BRICS is no longer merely criticizing the existing financial architecture; it is actively endeavoring to construct alternative mechanisms. Initiatives such as cross-border payment systems, trade in local currencies, financial integration, and the strengthening of the New Development Bank can be read as harbingers of a long-term quest to forge an alternative to the dollar-centric global economic structure. While it is premature to speak of a system capable of fully displacing the dollar, the steps taken by BRICS are beginning to demonstrate that the current financial order is not the only option.
Another major political segment of the New Delhi Document concerns the Gaza and Palestine issue. Here, we witness one of the strongest stances BRICS has ever taken on the matter. The document employs highly resolute language regarding Gaza and Palestine, with a notable emphasis on an independent Palestinian state based on the 1967 borders. Furthermore, South Africa’s legal action against Israel and the rulings of the International Court of Justice are directly recalled in the text. In the face of recent offensives and the unfolding humanitarian crisis, BRICS nations have displayed one of their clearest collective stances to date. The call for an immediate ceasefire, the demand for unhindered humanitarian aid delivery, support for Palestinian statehood, and the emphasis on international law stand among the declaration’s most potent political messages. This can be interpreted as an indication of BRICS’s desire to become a more visible and effective political actor in global crises.
On the other hand, the text does not entirely gloss over the internal divergences within BRICS. It openly acknowledges that members hold differing views, particularly on Middle Eastern issues. This is significant because today’s BRICS is no longer a bloc comprised solely of Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa. With the integration of new members such as Iran, the United Arab Emirates, Egypt, Ethiopia, and Indonesia, it has evolved into a far more complex geopolitical entity. Interestingly, the document explicitly notes that rather than a unified stance, differing perspectives exist on certain issues. Specifically, it is conceded that members hold divergent positions on matters concerning Iran, the Gulf states, and Yemen. Despite these differences, the bloc’s ability to establish common ground demonstrates an expansion of BRICS’s diplomatic capacity. Viewed from this perspective, the New Delhi process also represents a significant diplomatic triumph for India. While the recent wave of expansion—bringing in Iran, the UAE, Egypt, Ethiopia, and Indonesia—has enriched the platform’s geopolitical diversity, it has also rendered collective decision-making processes more intricate. Particularly at a juncture where the war in Iran continues, the deep-seated divergences between Iran and the Gulf states led many experts to predict that BRICS would struggle to find common political ground and that the summit would be fraught with severe diplomatic friction. However, despite all these differences, India succeeded in rallying members with diverging interests and priorities around the same platform, proving that BRICS retains its capacity to generate dialogue rather than fracture. In this context, the outcome in New Delhi is not limited merely to the content of the published joint text. The true, striking success lies in the preservation of a diplomatic arena that enabled members—who find themselves directly opposed on certain issues in an extremely sensitive and polarized crisis environment—to compromise on other matters and continue negotiating under the BRICS umbrella.
Furthermore, one of the document’s most critical messages emerges in the realm of technology. The extensive coverage of topics such as artificial intelligence, digital infrastructure, data security, and cybersecurity is no coincidence. Indeed, the global power struggle of the future will be shaped heavily through technological supremacy. BRICS nations clearly demonstrate their awareness of this reality and their intent to act in unison in the technological race. Particularly noteworthy is their quest to develop alternatives to Western-centric norms in artificial intelligence governance. A distinct approach is also observed in energy and climate policies. Instead of the rapid energy transition frequently championed by Western nations, the concept of a “just energy transition” is prioritized. At the heart of this approach lies the conviction that the economic growth needs of developing nations must not be disregarded. BRICS countries advocate for a balance between environmental responsibility and the right to development. This points to a major fault line that will become increasingly pronounced in global climate debates in the coming years.
When all these headings are evaluated together, the resulting picture is remarkably clear: BRICS is no longer merely a platform for safeguarding economic interests. It is a center of power beginning to articulate its own vision of how the international system ought to operate. At the core of this vision lies the objective of greater representation, sovereign equality, deeper multipolarity, and a stronger voice for developing nations in global decision-making processes.
The New Delhi Document, brought to the table at the BRICS Foreign Ministers’ Meeting, is far more than a mere communique; it is one of the landmark texts of the historic transformation unfolding in global politics. As the world rapidly moves away from a unipolar structure, BRICS is emerging as one of the most powerful political and economic vehicles of this transition. Today, many rules of the international system may still be written by the West. Yet, the message rising from New Delhi is clear: far more actors now demand a seat at the table to rewrite those very rules. BRICS is transitioning from an economic club into a political, diplomatic, financial, and technological powerhouse. Its claim to serve as the collective voice and compass of the Global South is strengthening. It pursues a dual strategy: offering an alternative to Western-centric institutions while simultaneously working to transform them. BRICS is not yet establishing institutions to directly replace the UN, IMF, World Bank, or WTO; rather, it is striving to change the rules and the distribution of power within them.
The 2026 New Delhi Document of the Foreign Ministers’ Meeting, hosted by India under its presidency, can be regarded as one of the most comprehensive strategic documents in the twenty-year history of BRICS. The text serves as a political manifesto for an era marked by the sunset of the US- and Western-led unipolar epoch, the demands of rising powers for greater agency, and the accelerating quest of the Global South to establish a permanent weight in the international system.
The essence of the document can be distilled into a single sentence: while BRICS remains a platform that adapts to the rules of the existing international order, it is simultaneously transforming into a global actor that seeks to rewrite them.
Umur Tugay Yücel – Political Scientist & Author of the book “The Decline of American Power and the Rising Powers” (China-Russia-India-Brazil).
X: @umur_tugay
Opinion
NATO as the apparatus of aggression and occupation of US imperialism
Contrary to what is written in its founding charter and press releases, or what its proponents claim, NATO is no ordinary defense and security organization. It is far more than that. It is a multidimensional, multifaceted organization driven by distinct ideological, political-economic, and class-based preferences. Moreover, as an organization born in the early stages of the Cold War, while its primary objective was ostensibly defined as “opposing the USSR and communism,” its actual function went far beyond this: it served as a mechanism to keep alliance members aligned with and under the control of the United States. Through NATO, the US has established immense influence not only over the defense, security, and foreign policies of member states, but also over their domestic politics, economic policies, educational institutions, universities, academia, think tanks, trade unions, and cultural industries.
As the apparatus of aggression and occupation of US imperialism, NATO launched its first out-of-area military operation in the mid-1990s in Bosnia and Herzegovina in the Balkans. This was followed by the intervention in Kosovo in 1999. In the Gulf War of 1990–1991, during the US assault on Iraq, NATO was not directly involved as an alliance or a corporate entity. Instead, there was a US-led coalition that included numerous NATO members. At the time, NATO provided air defense systems to Türkiye but did not launch a direct military attack on Iraq.
In those years, with less than a decade having passed since the end of the Cold War in 1991, liberals and neoliberals alike were busy extolling the virtues of a single-centered, monocentric world order (note: not a “unipolar” world order, as a “pole” logically requires at least two opposites; to call it unipolar is incorrect both linguistically and logically). A tempest of liberalism, capitalism, postmodernism, globalization, and the “New World Order” was sweeping the globe. The United States had triumphed. The USSR had dissolved. The Warsaw Pact had collapsed. The Eastern Bloc had been consigned to history. The Berlin Wall had fallen. Socialism and communism had been defeated.
Under those circumstances, since NATO’s raison d’être had ceased to exist, it should logically have been consigned to history as well. Its utility was being questioned; people were asking whom it would protect, and against whom. Consequently, there was an active search for an enemy—or enemies—for NATO. And indeed, they were found.
Weapons of mass destruction and weapons of mass persuasion
NATO—which stood idly by, biding its time and waiting for the right conditions while Yugoslavia was being torn apart, its people massacred, and ethnic cleansing and mass rapes were being carried out—finally mobilized at the exact moment and under the specific conditions dictated by US imperialism, delivering a clear message to the world. It announced to the globe that its mandate now encompassed missions such as “peacebuilding, peacekeeping, and combating radical movements and terrorism.” This, of course, aligned seamlessly with the rhetoric of “human rights, freedom, democracy, and the civilized world” championed by the United States as NATO’s founding leader. For the United States cast itself as the guardian of these values and concepts; yet in their name, and hiding behind them, it attacked, bombed, and occupied other nations. It would go so far as to first instigate disputes and conflicts in target nations, lay the groundwork for ethnic, religious, and sectarian strife, actively encourage and provoke these clashes, and then proceed to occupy those countries under the pretext of resolving these very problems and restoring stability.
And there were millions of people across the world who believed these American lies. In particular, the US media, along with global outlets, academics, non-governmental organizations, and think tanks supported by Washington, operated virtually as weapons of mass persuasion, designed to convince and deceive the public.
The United States grew so arrogant in this policy that US Presidents began to declare this mission to be far more than a mere political duty—it was, they claimed, a religious, divine, and moral responsibility. The US peddled this falsehood in Iraq, as it did in Yugoslavia. As Yugoslavia was disintegrating—or being disintegrated—NATO sought to project an image and send a message that, as an alliance whose sole Muslim member was Türkiye, it was defending Muslim Bosniaks and Kosovars against Christian Serbs, thereby shielding the righteous and oppressed from the unjust and tyrannical.
The collapse of the Atlantic system
Years have passed. The global balance of power has shifted. The imperialist dominance and hegemonic capacity of the United States have eroded and continue to decay. Russia, particularly after Putin took power, staged a rapid recovery starting in the 2000s. It consolidated its influence, beginning with its near abroad. China, alongside its economic prowess, expanded its political, military, scientific, and technological power, emerging as the primary competitor and most worrisome adversary of the United States. Within the Atlantic system and the Western alliance—whose rules and institutions were established by the US itself—deep-seated divisions have emerged, running parallel to its fragmentation and loss of power. Under these conditions, the United States is both failing to manage its own deep internal fault lines and socio-class contradictions, and experiencing major friction with its allies. Its intent to reduce Canada to a mere province, its ambition to annex Danish-administered Greenland, its barbarism in Venezuela and Palestine, its joint aggression with Israel against Iran, and its threats directed at Cuba must all be interpreted through this lens.
In the past, an imperialist power would at least superficially fabricate lies to rationalize, justify, and legitimize its invasions, aggression, plunder, and barbarism. For instance, when the United States invaded Afghanistan in 2001, immediately following the September 11 attacks, it cited the presence of Osama bin Laden—the Saudi leader of the Al-Qaeda terrorist network—in Afghanistan as its justification for the invasion. Similarly, during its 2003 invasion of Iraq, the US propagated the lie that “Saddam Hussein possesses chemical weapons and weapons of mass destruction.” When the German dictator Adolf Hitler invaded Poland in 1939, and the Italian dictator Mussolini invaded Abyssinia (Ethiopia) in 1935, they too presented historical, political, and geopolitical pretexts, however fabricated, to justify their actions.
Today, US imperialism does not even feel the need to construct such lies or manufacture pretexts. US President Trump openly talks of withdrawing from NATO, while scolding member states and insulting European leaders with arrogant remarks.
For this reason, NATO must be analyzed not by reading the words written in its founding treaty, but by grasping the shifting needs of US imperialism.
Opinion
Chinese diplomacy ascendant under Xi: All roads lead to Beijing
Beginning in late 2025 and extending throughout 2026, one of the most striking developments in world politics has been the successive convergence of major powers upon Beijing. Direct, high-level engagement with China by actors at the very core of the global system—such as the United States, Russia, the United Kingdom, France, and Germany—is widely interpreted as a potent signal of a shifting international order. These visits are indubitably far from routine diplomatic encounters. Rather, they represent symbolic and strategic maneuvers indicative of a fundamental realignment of the world’s power centers. In particular, the intensive engagement with China by four of the permanent members of the United Nations Security Council within a brief window demonstrates that Beijing has evolved far beyond a mere economic powerhouse, establishing itself as a principal locus of global diplomacy.
For decades, the global order was predominantly US-centric. Following the end of the Cold War, the United States attained an unrivaled position militarily, economically, and diplomatically. China, conversely, was viewed as a rapidly growing economy defined primarily by its manufacturing capacity and cheap labor force. While Beijing possessed influence within the global system, the primary decision-making mechanisms of world politics remained firmly anchored in Washington. However, the transformation of the past two decades has elevated China from a mere economic giant to the epicenter of global strategic competition.
Today, China stands as one of the most pivotal actors in world trade. The vast majority of global supply chains are intricately linked to Chinese networks. Across a multitude of critical sectors—ranging from electric vehicles and battery technologies to artificial intelligence and solar energy—China has established itself as both a dominant producer and a global standard-setter. This immense economic capacity has naturally engendered commensurate political and diplomatic leverage. Global leaders now recognize that international challenges cannot be effectively managed by bypassing or ignoring China.
It is precisely here that the core significance of these recent visits to China becomes apparent. Donald Trump’s journey to Beijing to meet with Xi Jinping underscored that despite the intense rivalry between Washington and Beijing, direct engagement has become an absolute necessity. Similarly, while Vladimir Putin’s strategic alignment with China has long been established, Moscow’s deepened cooperation with Beijing in the wake of its profound crisis with the West has significantly bolstered China’s geopolitical weight across Eurasia. Meanwhile, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s visit was interpreted as a sign of Europe pivoting toward a more pragmatic trajectory in its policy toward China. The prior engagements of French President Emmanuel Macron had already demonstrated that Europe has no desire for a complete decoupling from China. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s discussions in Beijing were particularly noteworthy from an economic standpoint, as the Chinese market remains indispensable to German industry. Furthermore, the intensive diplomatic relations maintained by Serbian President Alexander Vučić with China demonstrate that Beijing’s influence on the European continent is by no means confined to major Western European states. Through infrastructure investments, transport projects, technology transfers, and defense cooperation in recent years, Serbia has emerged as one of China’s closest partners in Europe.
The common denominator among these visits was the pursuit of direct engagement with Xi Jinping. Xi is no longer viewed merely as the leader of China; for many nations, he has become a preeminent figure shaping the future of the global system. The transformation of China under Xi into a more centralized, visionary state structured around long-term strategic planning has magnified the personal significance of his leadership. Today, the international community is intensely focused on Xi Jinping’s decision-making. Consequently, pilgrimages to Beijing represent an effort to establish a direct, unmediated channel to Xi himself.
Symbolism is of paramount importance here; in international politics, the optics of “who travels to meet whom” are central to the perception of power. If global leaders continuously travel to Beijing while Xi travels sparingly—yet remains the figure everyone seeks to audience with—it naturally reinforces the message: Xi Jinping is no longer just the leader of China, but a chief architect of the global system. Remarkably, Xi’s reduced international travel has not diluted China’s influence. On the contrary, Beijing’s emergence as the primary destination of diplomatic pilgrimage projects an image of profound self-assurance. To many observers, this stands as one of the most visible symbols of a shifting world order. By rendering their respects in Beijing as much as in Washington, global leaders signal that the global equation is now being formulated here.
This shift is driven by tangible geopolitical realities. The contemporary world operates within a highly interdependent framework. While intense competition defines US-China relations, their economies remain deeply intertwined, rendering total decoupling virtually impossible. Across a vast spectrum of critical arenas—including trade, semiconductor technology, artificial intelligence, energy security, the Taiwan question, the Russia-Ukraine war, the Iranian crisis, and global supply chains—China has emerged as a decisive actor. Consequently, no major power, including Washington, can formulate a viable global strategy by sidelining China.
For Europe in particular, the China question has grown increasingly complex. The period between 2022 and 2024 saw Europe adopt a more hawkish and distant posture toward Beijing. However, slowing economic growth, energy crises, and trade frictions with the United States have compelled Europe to seek a more balanced approach. The pivot of European leaders toward Beijing reveals that complete economic decoupling from China would carry prohibitive costs for Europe. This dynamic also underscores the divergent internal priorities within the US-led Western bloc.
China’s rise should not be viewed solely through the prism of its relations with the West; the sphere of influence Beijing has cultivated across the Global South is of equal significance. In recent years, Chinese influence has expanded dramatically across Africa, Latin America, Central Asia, the Gulf States, and South Asia. Within this context, Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s visit to China carries profound weight. The China-Pakistan relationship has long been characterized as an “ironclad friendship.” Through the Belt and Road Initiative, China has constructed ports, railways, energy facilities, and critical infrastructure in numerous countries, most notably Pakistan. Furthermore, unlike Western financial institutions, Beijing extends credit and investment with fewer political conditionalities. Consequently, many developing nations view China not only as a vital economic partner but also as a geopolitical counterweight to the West.
All of this inevitably raises the question: “Is China ascendant?” Based on the current landscape, the answer must be in the affirmative. For global leaders, Beijing has now emerged as a diplomatic hub as critical as Washington. Moreover, beyond its sheer economic scale, China is increasingly distinguished by its capacity for conflict resolution. Its pivotal role in facilitating the Iran-Saudi Arabia normalization, coupled with its close ties to Russia and its sweeping influence over the Global South, has significantly amplified Beijing’s diplomatic gravity.
The diplomatic traffic observed throughout 2026 highlights a fundamental truth: the world is no longer unipolar or monocivilizational. Opposite the United States stands a China capable of challenging it economically, technologically, culturally, and diplomatically. Consequently, this new era diverges sharply from the unipolar structure of the “American Century,” resembling instead a multipolar, multi-civilizational order where all actors cooperate and compete with one another simultaneously.
Xi Jinping’s position is central to this paradigm shift. For many leaders today, meeting with Xi in Beijing is not merely a matter of bilateral diplomacy, but a strategic imperative for positioning oneself within the global balance of power. This has immensely enhanced Xi’s personal prestige. Within the international system, there is a growing consensus that on most critical issues, “if Beijing is not at the table, no resolution can be complete.” The acceleration of visits to China since late 2025 is not merely a reflection of a crowded diplomatic calendar; it must be understood as a tangible indicator of a shifting world order. Beijing has transcended its status as an economic core to become one of the primary power centers of global politics. Consequently, Chinese President Xi Jinping is emerging as one of the most influential figures of this new, multipolar, and multi-civilizational world order.
Today, the diplomatic traffic directed toward Beijing is by no means limited to the United States, Russia, or the major European powers. The efforts of leaders from a vast geographical span—from Serbia and Pakistan to the Gulf States and African nations—to establish direct contact with China render Beijing’s central position in the global system increasingly conspicuous. Consequently, these recent visits are interpreted as signs that the power map of the new international order is being redrawn. For many capitals, the path to understanding global developments and formulating future strategies now runs through Beijing as much as it does through Washington. Thus, the adage “All roads lead to Beijing” is rapidly transforming from a rhetorical trope into a defining reality of contemporary international politics.
Umur Tugay Yücel – Political Scientist & Author of the book “The Decline of American Power and the Rising Powers” (China-Russia-India-Brazil).
X: @umur_tugay
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