Diplomacy
China’s rare earth export curbs hit European automotive sector
Concerns are deepening over the potential damage from China’s restrictions on critical mineral exports, prompting some European automakers to consider measures against shortages of rare earth elements.
In April, China’s decision to suspend exports of a wide array of rare earth elements and associated magnets, reportedly in response to excessive tariffs imposed by US President Trump, disrupted supply chains crucial for automakers, aerospace manufacturers, semiconductor companies, and military contractors globally. This action underscores China’s dominance in the critical mineral industry, which is pivotal for the green energy transition, and is perceived as leverage in its trade dispute with the US. China accounts for approximately 90% of the global production of rare earth elements.
In May, US automaker Ford was compelled to halt production of its Explorer model at its Chicago plant for several days.
European Union Trade Commissioner Maros Sefcovic stated on Wednesday that he and his Chinese counterpart had agreed to clarify the issue of rare earth elements as soon as possible. EU Industry Strategy Commissioner Stephane Sejourne remarked, “We must reduce our dependence on all countries, especially certain nations like China, upon which we are more than 100% reliant.” After Brussels identified 13 new projects aimed at boosting metal and mineral supplies, Sejourne commented, “Export restrictions intensify our desire to diversify.”
Earlier on Wednesday, Mercedes-Benz production chief Joerg Burzer revealed that the automaker is in discussions with its largest suppliers about establishing “buffers,” such as rare earth stockpiles, to safeguard against potential supply threats. Currently, Mercedes is not affected by shortages. BMW reported that while a segment of its supplier network has been affected by shortages, its own manufacturing plants continue to operate normally.
The European automotive suppliers’ association, CLEPA, indicated that several production lines have been shut down due to depleted supplies and issued a warning about the escalating threat these controls pose to production. CLEPA further noted that only a quarter of the hundreds of export license applications submitted by automotive suppliers since early April have been approved, with some applications reportedly rejected by authorities due to “high procedural reasons.” CLEPA, without disclosing the names of the affected companies, warned that further disruptions are possible.
While China’s April announcement coincided with a broader retaliatory package against Washington’s tariffs, these measures are being enforced globally, generating concern among business executives across the world. Last week, German and US automakers voiced complaints, echoing similar concerns from an Indian electric vehicle manufacturer, that China’s imposed restrictions are threatening production. Many are urging their respective governments to find a swift solution and are actively seeking alternative supply sources.
Wolfgang Weber, CEO of Germany’s electrical and digital industry association ZVEI, stated via email that some companies possess supplies sufficient for only a few weeks or months. “Companies currently feel abandoned by policymakers and are, in part, seeking their own solutions to the challenging situation in China,” he remarked.
Swedish company Autoliv, the world’s largest manufacturer of airbags and seatbelts, announced that its operations remain unaffected. However, CEO Mikael Bratt mentioned that he has established a task force to manage the evolving situation.
Reports indicate that unconventional strategies are being explored in the US to secure urgently needed rare earth elements, or at least components derived from them. Consequently, automakers, in particular, are contemplating shifting the production of relevant components to China. Some are even considering sending nearly finished parts, such as electric motors, to China for the installation of indispensable rare earth magnets, with these components subsequently being shipped back to Western countries.
Dependence on China
Automakers such as General Motors and BMW, along with major suppliers like ZF and BorgWarner, are actively researching or developing motors with low or zero rare earth content to lessen their dependence on China. However, few have successfully scaled production to achieve cost reductions. BMW has begun incorporating magnet-free electric motors into its latest generation of electric vehicles. Nevertheless, the company still requires rare earths for smaller motors that power components such as windshield wipers and window regulators. German automaker Volkswagen has stated that it currently perceives no shortages.
China’s tightening of critical mineral export controls, following the initiation of a trade dispute by the US, has become a central theme in Trump’s criticisms of Beijing. Trump has sought to redefine trade relations with the US’s largest economic competitor by imposing substantial tariffs on billions of dollars worth of imported goods, aiming to reduce the trade deficit and recover lost manufacturing jobs. Trump imposed tariffs of up to 145% on Chinese goods, but subsequently retracted them following a significant sell-off in stock, bond, and currency markets, which was attributed to the broad scope of these tariffs. China retaliated with its own tariffs and is leveraging its dominance in crucial supply chains to pressure Trump into retreating.
The US President asserts that China violated a ceasefire agreement, reached in Geneva last month, which stipulated the rollback of tariffs and trade restrictions. Beijing, in turn, accuses Washington of breaching the agreement. The Trump administration further escalated the conflict with actions that Beijing described as “excessive pressure measures.” These included threatening to cancel visas for Chinese students in the US and halting the sale to China of certain key technologies related to jet engine semiconductor design.
Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping are anticipated to meet this week. It is expected that the two leaders will attempt to resolve their differences, with export restrictions anticipated to be a prominent item on the agenda. In a social media post on Wednesday, Trump underscored the fragility of any potential agreement, stating that Xi was “VERY TOUGH AND VERY HARD TO MAKE A DEAL WITH.”
Another option: Ending the economic war
Alternatively, ending the economic conflict with China could offer a resolution. If North American and European nations were to lift their export restrictions targeting China, they might anticipate an exemption from Chinese countermeasures, which were implemented in response to the West’s economic pressure. However, such a move is not anticipated under current circumstances.
Industry representatives suggest that the EU could also act independently, without consulting the US. For instance, it could lift the ban on the export to China of cutting-edge machinery used in semiconductor production, manufactured by the Dutch company ASML. Such an action would alleviate tensions in the ongoing economic conflict. Nevertheless, there are currently no indications that such a step will be taken within the EU.
Diplomacy
Greece’s Marinakis says paying Hormuz transit fees beats enduring Red Sea shipping crisis detour
Evangelos Marinakis, one of Greece’s leading shipowners, has announced that he is prepared to pay up to $200,000 per transit to keep the Strait of Hormuz open to civilian maritime traffic.
Speaking to the Financial Times, Marinakis stated that paying a transit fee would be a far better option for him than having the strait closed to navigation.
As the chairman of Capital Maritime Group, which controls a fleet of 185 vessels including approximately 35 tankers, Marinakis emphasized that shipowners have been forced to use alternative routes around the Cape of Good Hope for years due to attacks launched by the Houthis in the Red Sea, a detour that has generated substantial additional costs.
The Greek shipowner indicated that paying a transit fee of $100,000 or $200,000, depending on the size of the cargo or the vessel, is far more reasonable than enduring the current logistical challenges. He added that such payments could offset all the losses experienced so far.
Following US strikes on Iran and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, the Tehran administration had introduced transit fees of up to $2 million for certain vessels transiting the waterway.
In May, Iran announced the establishment of a state agency tasked with managing the Strait of Hormuz. It was stated that the institution in question would provide real-time updates regarding maritime activities in the waterway.
Ebrahim Azizi, the chairman of the Iranian Parliament’s National Security and Foreign Policy Commission, had noted that only commercial vessels and countries cooperating with Iran would be able to benefit from the facilities provided under this “professional mechanism.”
US President Donald Trump has explicitly opposed the imposition of transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz. In a statement on the matter, Trump said, “We want the strait to be open. We do not want any transit fees to be charged. This is an international waterway.”
On the other hand, the draft text of a planned 60-day ceasefire extension agreement between the parties stipulates that the Strait of Hormuz will remain open without any transit fees being demanded.
According to the draft details reviewed by Axios, the US in return commits to lifting the blockade it has imposed on Iranian ports. The Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, however, announced that the management of the Strait of Hormuz has been excluded from the scope of the agreement with the US, asserting that the issue will be addressed solely by littoral states.
Diplomacy
Pashinyan promises aid to farmers hit by Russian import restrictions
Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan has pledged compensation for Armenian farmers affected by restrictions on exports to Russia.
According to Sputnik Armenia, Pashinyan made the announcement during an election campaign meeting in the Gegharkunik region.
Speaking at the event, Pashinyan said the subsidies would be designed to offset losses incurred by producers.
The prime minister also acknowledged that some Armenian products had failed to meet required quality standards, adding that such companies would receive support aimed at improving product quality.
Addressing alternative markets for Armenian exports, Pashinyan said several Armenian business delegations were already engaged in negotiations abroad.
He added that Armenia had received offers for the purchase of roses as well as fresh fruits and vegetables.
Pashinyan argued that Armenia’s agricultural output was not particularly large, describing this as an advantage under current circumstances. According to the prime minister, “a respected supermarket chain in Europe” would be capable of selling the entire volume of these products on its own.
Russia’s Federal Service for Veterinary and Phytosanitary Surveillance (Rosselkhoznadzor) imposed temporary restrictions on imports of stone fruits and grapes from Armenia effective July 2.
The ban covers cherries, sour cherries, apricots, plums, peaches and nectarines, among other products.
On the same day, a temporary suspension was also introduced on certification procedures for live fish shipments from Armenia. Russian authorities had previously restricted the entry of flower products originating from Armenia into the Russian market.
In addition, Russia’s Federal Service for Surveillance on Consumer Rights Protection and Human Wellbeing (Rospotrebnadzor) halted the import of all consignments of Jermuk mineral water from Armenia.
In a statement, the agency said levels of bicarbonate, chloride and sulfate ions in the mineral water exceeded established limits and could mislead consumers regarding the product’s medicinal properties.
The Russian regulator argued that the growing number of violations stemmed from the abolition of Armenia’s Agriculture Ministry and the transfer of its responsibilities to the Economy Ministry.
Rosselkhoznadzor further stated that Armenia’s Economy Ministry was experiencing structural problems and was unable to adequately perform the supervisory functions assigned to it.
Diplomacy
Zelenskyy urges US to grant Ukraine license to produce Patriot missiles
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said he has asked the United States to grant Ukraine a license to manufacture missiles for the Patriot air defence system.
In a post on social media platform X, Zelenskyy argued that current US production of missile defence interceptors is insufficient and could contribute to crises in different parts of the world.
“Producing 60-65 missiles a month is nothing compared with the challenges we face today. This is no secret, and Russia knows it as well,” Zelenskyy wrote. “We need to expand production. As I requested from the previous US administration, I am asking the current administration to grant Ukraine a license to produce Patriot missiles.”
Zelenskyy said US companies possess advanced technologies that are not available in Ukraine, while Kyiv could contribute its extensive battlefield experience in return.
He also argued that granting such a license would benefit not only Ukraine, but also the Middle East and any country Washington chooses to support.
Washington pledges to maintain defence support
Zelenskyy’s remarks came a day after US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said on May 30 that Washington would continue supporting Ukraine’s defence capabilities and ensure military shipments to Kyiv continue.
“We want them to be able to defend themselves, and we will find a way to help them do that,” Hegseth said.
Several days earlier, Yuriy Ihnat, spokesperson for the Ukrainian Air Force, warned that the country’s air defence forces were experiencing a shortage of missiles.
“Due to certain supply problems, we are practically at starvation levels when it comes to missiles today,” Ihnat said.
Concerns persist over air defence missile stocks
In April, Zelenskyy warned that Ukraine’s stockpile of air defence missiles could be exhausted at any moment.
He said that under current conditions, air defence missiles were more critical for Ukraine than the air defence systems themselves.
Highlighting what he described as a critical shortage of Patriot missiles, Zelenskyy said: “We are facing a deficit now that could hardly be worse.”
Concerns that Ukraine could face a severe shortage of US-made air defence missiles had previously been reported by Reuters.
The situation was expected to worsen as the United States and its allies depleted significant portions of their arsenals during tensions with Iran, a point Zelenskyy also underscored.
In a separate statement in January, Zelenskyy said Ukraine lacked sufficient missiles for both US- and European-made air defence systems.
The Ukrainian leader said he had been forced to personally secure every package of missiles from European countries and the United States.
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