East Mediterranean
Conflict at Tripoli: Bashagha shoot himself in the foot
The cold war that had been going on for months between Dibeybe and Bashagha turned into a hot conflict. The clashes in which 23 people lost their lives resulted in the loss of position in Tripoli by the paramilitary forces supporting Bashagha. The tension that had been escalating for a while in Tripoli, the capital of Libya, between the army units under the control of the National Unity Government (UBH) led by Abdulhamit Dibeybe and the militias close to the Stability Government led by Fethi Bashagha, who declared that they would enter Tripoli and take over the government, turned into a large-scale conflict yesterday.
The Tobruk-based House of Representatives (TM) announced the end of the UBH’s mandate about six months ago and elected Bashagha as the prime minister, but the UBH led by Dibeybe decided to remain in office until the elections were held. Having the support of a significant part of the Misrata militia, Bashagha announced several times that he would enter Tripoli and take over the government “peacefully”, but he did not hence local and international mediation attempts continued. However, after these attempts failed, small-scale armed clashes broke out between the militias in Tripoli.
Explanation “conflicts”
Most recently, Bashagha called on Dibeybe on August 24th to voluntarily relinquish his post and surrender power in the capital without bloodshed: “You have to voluntarily surrender your expired authority in the context of respecting the principles of democracy and complying with the decisions of the legislatures that gave you a vote of confidence.”
Dibeybe said he would not respond to this call because he was “busy to serve the Libyans” and added: “Former Interior Minister (Bashagha), limit your repeated threatening messages of waging war and targeting civilians. If you care about the lives of Libyans, focus your efforts on making the elections happen. Also, let go of your past dreams of military coups.”
Military Build-Up and Conflict
After the statements, the surroundings of Tripoli witnessed the military build-up of the forces loyal to Dibeybe and Bashagha. Allegedly, the random firing of militias close to Bashagha on a military convoy affiliated with UBH ignited the clashes. The clashes that started in the Bin Gaşir and Sarim regions of Tripoli yesterday morning spread to the central areas of the city such as Cumhuriyet Street and Dahra in the following hours.
The first clashes took place between the militia forces led by Haitem Tajouri, who is known for his closeness to Bashagha, and the Stability Support Union affiliated to the Presidential Council. At noon, a military convoy from the city of Misrata, 200 kilometers east of Tripoli, near Bashagha, arrived to the east of the capital. In the south, the Zintanli Brigades affiliated with the Head of Military Intelligence Department, Osama Cuveyli, whom Dibeybe was dismissed on May 17th, moved towards the city and tried to take control of the main roads and junctions between the city center and Tripoli Airport.
Militia had to retreat
The militias trying to reach Tripoli from Misrata were prevented from entering the city by aerial bombardment, and the forces affiliated with the Stability Support Union captured the main headquarters of Haitem Tajouri’s militia. The militia led by Cuveyli had to retreat further south towards the evening. Although small-scale clashes continued until this morning, the conflict was mostly silenced by the defeat of the forces loyal to Bashagha. Libyan Ministry of Health announced that 23 people lost their lives and 140 people were injured in the clashes.
Prime Minister Dibeybe also went down to the streets in the evening and visited the troops that ensure the security of the city. In the video he published about the visit to Dibeybe, he stated that the coup period is over, anyone who wants can enter the elections, and “the brave men are present now” against those who try the other way.
نهاية العدوان واحدة. pic.twitter.com/2Dge7Y2WgH
— عبدالحميد الدبيبة Abdulhamid AlDabaiba (@Dabaibahamid) August 27, 2022
On the other hand, after the attacks on Dibeybe, Tripoli, the Ministry of Interior sent a written instruction to the Chief Prosecutor’s Office and the relevant security forces, ordering immediate action to arrest all those involved in the attack, regardless of whether they were militia or civilians.
The Libyan State Supreme Council also announced that the responsibility belongs to the party who fired the bullet first in the events in the capital, and said, “Our stance is firm on the unification of state institutions under a single roof and the completion of the work to hold elections as soon as possible.”
‘Political process is at risk’
Turkish Ministry of Foreign Affairs made statements on the subject of these conflicts: “We invite both parties to act with the understanding, to exercise restraint and common sense; We call for an immediate end to these conflicts.” He also noted:
“The increase in violence also jeopardizes the Libyan people’s determination to achieve lasting peace and stability, their vision of advancing the political process, especially the holding of elections. In this regard, we expect the parties to stop with their weapons and focus on resolving their problems peacefully as soon as possible.”
Libya’da Yaşanan Gelişmeler Hk. https://t.co/9RWI8wLujv pic.twitter.com/omaBuH03tY
— T.C. Dışişleri Bakanlığı (@TC_Disisleri) August 27, 2022
On the other hand, the United Nations Support Mission in Libya expressed its deep concern over the armed conflicts in the capital Tripoli and called for an immediate end to them.
Bashagha loses his power
If we look at the results of Bashagha’s attempt to enter Tripoli, which he tried for the second time after April;
- Despite all the efforts, the division between the armed forces under the control of Tripoli continues. This division threatens the security of the country.
- It seems that the militias supporting Bashagha had to withdraw to areas further away from Tripoli, compared to their pre-conflict positions.
- The positions that Bashagha lost in Tripoli seem to have weakened the chances of entering Tripoli, which was quite low.
East Mediterranean
Cyprus to become first EU country to import Israeli gas
Israeli energy company Energean announced on November 3 that it had signed an agreement to supply natural gas to the Greek Cypriot Administration of Southern Cyprus (GCASC).
With this agreement, the GCASC will become the first European Union country to import gas from Tel Aviv.
Energean, which operates Israel’s Karish, Tanin, and Katlan fields, has signed a memorandum of understanding with the Cyprus-based company Cyfield to supply gas to a power generation plant in the Mari region of Larnaca.
New pipeline proposal from Israel to Cyprus
As part of the agreement, Energean has also proposed the construction of a new pipeline to export natural gas from Israel to the GCASC.
According to the proposal submitted to the Israeli and GCASC governments, Energean will design, build, and operate the subsea pipeline that will directly connect the Karish field to the GCASC.
Eli Cohen, Israel’s Minister of Energy and Infrastructure, commented on the matter, stating, “The sale of gas to Cyprus will strengthen Israel’s diplomatic position in the region and in Europe, contribute to stability and prosperity, and generate billions of shekels in revenue for the state.”
Energean CEO Mathios Rigas stated that the proposal “will reduce Cyprus’s energy isolation with direct access to natural gas from a neighboring source, supporting regional cooperation and the transition to cleaner, sustainable energy.”
Cyfield CEO George Chrysocous also said the collaboration “has the potential to change the energy future of Cyprus.”
Agreement with Egypt awaits approval
In August, the Israeli company NewMed Energy signed a $35 billion deal with Egypt to supply 130 billion cubic meters of gas from the Leviathan field by 2040.
The Leviathan field in the Mediterranean Sea has reserves of approximately 600 billion cubic meters.
Following an initial agreement for 60 billion cubic meters in 2019, the field began production in 2020 and started supplying gas to Egypt.
However, Minister Cohen and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu have not yet approved this $35 billion agreement, stating that they prefer the gas to be sold on the domestic market due to current prices.
US Assistant Secretary of Energy Chris Wright canceled his visit to Israel scheduled for next week after Cohen withheld his approval.
The White House and US-based Chevron, the operator of the Leviathan field, are pressuring Israel to approve the deal.
Israel’s domestic demand concerns
Egypt imports approximately 15% to 20% of its natural gas from Israel.
A portion of this gas is liquefied at facilities in Egypt and shipped to Europe via tankers.
However, a recent increase in Egypt’s domestic consumption has negatively affected exports, leading to a sharp decline in 2025.
Meanwhile, Israel is reluctant to increase exports to Egypt due to its own growing domestic demand.
Israel’s Ministry of Finance issued a warning at the beginning of the year, stating that the country could face a natural gas deficit risk over the next 25 years due to growing domestic energy needs, which could raise electricity prices for households.
East Mediterranean
Israel’s Barak MX radar in Cyprus puts Türkiye in its sights
Israel delivered advanced air defense systems known as Barak MX to the Greek Cypriot administration last week. Sources familiar with the matter told Ragip Soylu of Middle East Eye that this was the third shipment to Southern Cyprus since December, amid escalating tensions with Türkiye.
In a video released on Thursday, a truck carrying parts of the Barak MX system was seen passing through the Port of Limassol. This air defense system, capable of neutralizing threats up to a range of 150 kilometers, is manufactured by Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI). The Reporter website reported that the delivery of the Barak MX has been completed and it is expected to become operational within this year.
The delivery follows an article written in July by Shay Gal, a former vice president of IAI. Gal argued that Israel should reconsider its approach to Cyprus and called for making military plans in coordination with Greece and the Greek Cypriot administration to “liberate” the northern part of the island from “Turkish forces”:
“Such an operation would neutralize Türkiye’s reinforcement forces from the mainland, eliminate air defense systems in Northern Cyprus, destroy intelligence and command centers, and ultimately restore the internationally recognized sovereignty of Cyprus by eliminating Turkish forces.”
Türkiye intervened in Cyprus in 1974 following a coup aimed at annexing the island to Greece.
There has been no official statement from Ankara regarding the newly deployed systems. However, with its 3D radars providing advanced surveillance and intelligence capabilities, the Barak MX creates an “air defense shield” with a range of up to 460 kilometers, covering a significant portion of Türkiye’s southern airspace.
In 1997, the Greek Cypriot administration’s attempt to purchase Russian-made S-300 air defense missiles led to a harsh reaction from Ankara, bringing the two sides to the brink of war. The crisis ended with the deployment of the S-300s in Greece.
Turkish defense analyst Arda Mevlütoğlu said of the Barak MX, “This system is much more dangerous than the S-300s ordered in 1997 but never used.” Mevlütoğlu emphasized that given the state of military relations between Israel and Southern Cyprus, this powerful air defense system and its radar will become a central element of Israel’s intelligence network in the Eastern Mediterranean.
According to Mevlütoğlu, thanks to its radar capabilities, the Barak MX can detect not only aerial targets but also howitzer, mortar, and rocket fire up to 100 kilometers away. This means the system poses a serious threat to both Turkish air and land assets in Cyprus and throughout the Eastern Mediterranean.
CHP Deputy Chairman and retired Rear Admiral Yankı Bağcıoğlu described the deployment of the system as a “violation of international law.” Bağcıoğlu stated, “This step will disrupt the fragile balance in the Eastern Mediterranean and Cyprus and will directly threaten Türkiye’s national security.”
Southern Cyprus’s Minister of Defense, Vasilis Palmas, stated on Tuesday that Türkiye continues to occupy the island, asserting that his government has an obligation to develop deterrent capabilities. When asked if the Barak MX was part of a defense agreement with Israel, Palmas responded, “Our decisions regarding armament are entirely within the scope of our sovereignty.”
Palmas added, “Any conflict between Israel and Türkiye does not concern us. Our primary duty is to protect ourselves.”
Turkish security sources, however, indicated that the systems are still in the testing phase at the Paphos Air Base and have not yet been put into active service. The sources added that subsequent Israeli shipments are being closely monitored.
East Mediterranean
UK trade envoy’s visit to Northern Cyprus sparks diplomatic backlash
The visit of the United Kingdom’s Trade Envoy to Turkey and Member of the House of Commons, Afzal Khan, to the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (TRNC) via Ercan Airport has stirred political controversy on both islands.
According to a local newspaper, Afzal Khan traveled to Northern Cyprus last week for “a series of official meetings” and met with TRNC leader Ersin Tatar.
As part of his visit, Khan is also set to receive an honorary doctorate from a university today.
The United Kingdom does not recognize the “Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus” as an independent state.
Khan’s visit was protested by the National Federation of Cypriots in the UK, which represents over 300,000 British citizens of Cypriot origin.
The federation sent a letter to the UK government questioning the envoy’s visit to the “Turkish-occupied” areas of Cyprus and accused Khan, the Member of Parliament for Manchester Gorton, of “violating numerous international agreements.”
Describing the visit as a “clear violation” of international law and the UK’s long-standing policy, the federation demanded Khan’s removal from his post.
The Federation argued that the nature of Khan’s visit to Cyprus also violates the UK’s obligations under the 1944 Chicago Convention. They further asserted that Khan not only sabotaged the UK’s long-standing policy on the Cyprus issue but also the resolution of the Cyprus problem based on a bizonal, bicommunal federation with political equality.
In their bilateral meeting, Tatar told Khan that he wishes to pursue a “two-state solution” policy in Cyprus.
During the meeting on Wednesday, Tatar noted that Cyprus is located in a “very critical region,” adding that “Palestine, Gaza, and Israel are only 100 kilometers away from Cyprus.”
Tatar added that Cyprus has also “experienced many difficulties in the past” but “now, thanks to the presence of the Turkish army, we have been living in peace and security on the island for 51 years.”
Khan, for his part, stated that his friends of Cypriot origin living in Manchester had recommended he visit the island, saying, “That is why I am happy to be here.”
Meanwhile, Conservative MP Dame Priti Patel criticized the Labour MP, stating, “This visit undermines the credibility of the United Kingdom as a guarantor power and a neutral mediator in reconciliation negotiations. It also sends an alarming signal to British citizens of Cypriot origin, many of whom were displaced from the very areas Khan visited.”
Arguing that the Labour Party’s foreign policy “is embarrassing Britain,” the former Home Secretary asserted that this visit is “another example of the diplomatic failures” of a potential Labour government.
Patel called for Khan’s resignation and urged the government to reaffirm the UK’s long-standing position on Cyprus. She also called on them to publicly state whether the Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office or any other department of His Majesty’s Government had prior knowledge of Khan’s visit and whether any official advice was given before it took place.
The Foreign Office, in a statement to the Cyprus News Agency (CNA), said that the visit was made in Khan’s personal capacity, not as a trade envoy, and that the government was not informed in advance.
A government spokesperson said, “The visit to the north of Cyprus was undertaken in a personal capacity. There is no change in the government’s long-standing position on the so-called ‘Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus’.”
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