Diplomacy
French historian Emmanuel Todd analyzes Western nihilism and moral collapse in Japan
French intellectual, historian, and anthropologist Emmanuel Todd visited Japan at the invitation of Hiroshima University President Mitsuo Ochi to evaluate the crisis facing the Western world and Japan’s place within this landscape.
Todd, who made the visit on October 18 after postponing it for a year due to health issues, began his speech by comparing the present day with his first visit to Hiroshima 33 years ago.
Todd described the atmosphere of 1992 with the following words:
“Optimism prevailed at that time. Communism had collapsed, and the Cold War was over. The nuclear attacks on Hiroshima and Nagasaki were terrible, but they seemed to belong to the past, a mistake of humanity and the US. The dominant values of the era pointed toward a liberal and prosperous West.”
However, noting that the intervening years have completely reversed this picture, the French historian emphasized that freedoms are currently regressing in the West and living standards are declining.
Todd illustrated the situation in France using his own career as an example:
“Although my publisher, Gallimard, is one of France’s most prestigious institutions, I can no longer express myself on public television channels like France-Inter or France 2 as I used to. This is akin to being banned from appearing on NHK screens in Japan. My reputation in Japan protected me against the new state authoritarianism in France.”
Deindustrialization
Devoting significant attention to the Ukraine war, Todd argued that this conflict has exposed the West’s industrial weakness.
Stating that the Western alliance exaggerated its own power against Russia, the author expressed that gross domestic product (GDP) data is misleading:
“On the eve of the war, Russia’s GDP was only 3% of the West’s total. Despite this, Russia managed to produce more weapons than the entire West. The war demonstrated that the measurement we call GDP does not reflect actual production capacity and revealed our industrial weakness.”
Stating that an education crisis lies at the root of this production insufficiency, Todd drew attention to the collapse in the US engineering training capacity.
He noted that Russia, with a population much smaller than the US, trains more engineers, which is the key to victory on the ground.
Todd stated that Germany and Japan have maintained their engineering capacity, but the US, the UK, and France have regressed in this area.
Explaining this collapse in education and social structure through the “religious mutation” theory, the anthropologist argued that the Protestant ethic that constituted the West’s power has vanished.
Todd defined the social evolution of religion in three stages: Active religion: The period where belief and worship persist. Zombie religion: The period where belief is lost, but religious morals and habits (discipline, work ethic) keep society together. Irreligion: The period where religious values and the ideologies derived from them are completely erased, and the individual becomes isolated.
Todd stated that the West is currently in the “irreligion” stage, which breeds nihilism, and made the following observation:
“The individual has been deprived of fundamental values. The fear of emptiness turns into the glorification of emptiness, that is, a passion for destruction. The current mood of the West is partly this: Nihilism. This leads to a passion for war in the mind and a preference for war in geopolitics.”
Ukraine and Gaza
Stating that Western powers view themselves as being on the “side of justice” even in wars they have provoked, Todd reiterated that the root cause of the Ukraine crisis was NATO expansion.
Noting that this war is defensive for Russia, the historian said, “It is clear to me that the Americans and Europeans are aggressors who have advanced to within a thousand kilometers of Moscow. But what is truly fascinating is that these aggressors believe they are the ones under attack. There is an element of madness in our situation in Europe.”
Criticizing the situation in Gaza in harsh terms as well, Todd suggested that Israel is being remote-controlled by the US. Citing the inconsistency in Donald Trump’s policies as an example of “moral zero point,” the author used the following expressions:
“Trump can dream of evacuating Gaza and turning it into a coastline one day, and the next day order Israel to stop and demand a peace prize. Wanting genocide one day and wanting a Nobel Peace Prize the next is proof of moral destitution.”
Stating that the pro-war attitude within Europe is particularly evident in Protestant countries (the UK, Scandinavia, Northern Germany), Todd argued that Catholic countries (Italy, Spain) are more moderate.
Todd noted that Protestantism’s rejection of the material world and visuality leaves a “great void” behind when belief is lost. In contrast, he expressed that Catholicism sanctifies the world and art, so even if belief fades, the sense of “the beauty of the world” remains.
Todd evaluated Japan’s position in this context as well:
“Japan reaching the zero point of religion has created a mood more similar to Catholic countries than Protestant ones. The importance Japan places on nature and beauty protects it from the danger of nihilism. This is what I felt when I visited Miyajima with my daughter Louise: The sense of the world’s beauty is still alive here.”
Call for a “Realistic Dialogue” on Nuclear Weapons
In the conversation between Hiroshima University President Mitsuo Ochi and Todd following the conference, the subject of nuclear weapons was raised.
Despite President Ochi’s anti-nuclear stance, Todd defended the “balance of terror” thesis.
Todd explained his view on nuclear weapons as follows:
“The balance of terror is better than asymmetry. That is, a balance between countries possessing nuclear weapons is preferable to a situation where one has them and the other does not. Nuclear weapons are now a reality, and this problem cannot be resolved solely through a distinction between good and evil.”
President Ochi, recalling Hiroshima’s historical legacy, replied, “Nuclear deterrence is a difficult concept for Hiroshima citizens to accept, both logically and ethically.”
To Ochi’s question regarding what strategy he would pursue if a movement were launched for the complete abolition of nuclear weapons, Todd’s answer was short and clear:
“I never think about impossible things. Life is too short for that.”
Diplomacy
Greece’s Marinakis says paying Hormuz transit fees beats enduring Red Sea shipping crisis detour
Evangelos Marinakis, one of Greece’s leading shipowners, has announced that he is prepared to pay up to $200,000 per transit to keep the Strait of Hormuz open to civilian maritime traffic.
Speaking to the Financial Times, Marinakis stated that paying a transit fee would be a far better option for him than having the strait closed to navigation.
As the chairman of Capital Maritime Group, which controls a fleet of 185 vessels including approximately 35 tankers, Marinakis emphasized that shipowners have been forced to use alternative routes around the Cape of Good Hope for years due to attacks launched by the Houthis in the Red Sea, a detour that has generated substantial additional costs.
The Greek shipowner indicated that paying a transit fee of $100,000 or $200,000, depending on the size of the cargo or the vessel, is far more reasonable than enduring the current logistical challenges. He added that such payments could offset all the losses experienced so far.
Following US strikes on Iran and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, the Tehran administration had introduced transit fees of up to $2 million for certain vessels transiting the waterway.
In May, Iran announced the establishment of a state agency tasked with managing the Strait of Hormuz. It was stated that the institution in question would provide real-time updates regarding maritime activities in the waterway.
Ebrahim Azizi, the chairman of the Iranian Parliament’s National Security and Foreign Policy Commission, had noted that only commercial vessels and countries cooperating with Iran would be able to benefit from the facilities provided under this “professional mechanism.”
US President Donald Trump has explicitly opposed the imposition of transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz. In a statement on the matter, Trump said, “We want the strait to be open. We do not want any transit fees to be charged. This is an international waterway.”
On the other hand, the draft text of a planned 60-day ceasefire extension agreement between the parties stipulates that the Strait of Hormuz will remain open without any transit fees being demanded.
According to the draft details reviewed by Axios, the US in return commits to lifting the blockade it has imposed on Iranian ports. The Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, however, announced that the management of the Strait of Hormuz has been excluded from the scope of the agreement with the US, asserting that the issue will be addressed solely by littoral states.
Diplomacy
Pashinyan promises aid to farmers hit by Russian import restrictions
Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan has pledged compensation for Armenian farmers affected by restrictions on exports to Russia.
According to Sputnik Armenia, Pashinyan made the announcement during an election campaign meeting in the Gegharkunik region.
Speaking at the event, Pashinyan said the subsidies would be designed to offset losses incurred by producers.
The prime minister also acknowledged that some Armenian products had failed to meet required quality standards, adding that such companies would receive support aimed at improving product quality.
Addressing alternative markets for Armenian exports, Pashinyan said several Armenian business delegations were already engaged in negotiations abroad.
He added that Armenia had received offers for the purchase of roses as well as fresh fruits and vegetables.
Pashinyan argued that Armenia’s agricultural output was not particularly large, describing this as an advantage under current circumstances. According to the prime minister, “a respected supermarket chain in Europe” would be capable of selling the entire volume of these products on its own.
Russia’s Federal Service for Veterinary and Phytosanitary Surveillance (Rosselkhoznadzor) imposed temporary restrictions on imports of stone fruits and grapes from Armenia effective July 2.
The ban covers cherries, sour cherries, apricots, plums, peaches and nectarines, among other products.
On the same day, a temporary suspension was also introduced on certification procedures for live fish shipments from Armenia. Russian authorities had previously restricted the entry of flower products originating from Armenia into the Russian market.
In addition, Russia’s Federal Service for Surveillance on Consumer Rights Protection and Human Wellbeing (Rospotrebnadzor) halted the import of all consignments of Jermuk mineral water from Armenia.
In a statement, the agency said levels of bicarbonate, chloride and sulfate ions in the mineral water exceeded established limits and could mislead consumers regarding the product’s medicinal properties.
The Russian regulator argued that the growing number of violations stemmed from the abolition of Armenia’s Agriculture Ministry and the transfer of its responsibilities to the Economy Ministry.
Rosselkhoznadzor further stated that Armenia’s Economy Ministry was experiencing structural problems and was unable to adequately perform the supervisory functions assigned to it.
Diplomacy
Zelenskyy urges US to grant Ukraine license to produce Patriot missiles
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said he has asked the United States to grant Ukraine a license to manufacture missiles for the Patriot air defence system.
In a post on social media platform X, Zelenskyy argued that current US production of missile defence interceptors is insufficient and could contribute to crises in different parts of the world.
“Producing 60-65 missiles a month is nothing compared with the challenges we face today. This is no secret, and Russia knows it as well,” Zelenskyy wrote. “We need to expand production. As I requested from the previous US administration, I am asking the current administration to grant Ukraine a license to produce Patriot missiles.”
Zelenskyy said US companies possess advanced technologies that are not available in Ukraine, while Kyiv could contribute its extensive battlefield experience in return.
He also argued that granting such a license would benefit not only Ukraine, but also the Middle East and any country Washington chooses to support.
Washington pledges to maintain defence support
Zelenskyy’s remarks came a day after US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said on May 30 that Washington would continue supporting Ukraine’s defence capabilities and ensure military shipments to Kyiv continue.
“We want them to be able to defend themselves, and we will find a way to help them do that,” Hegseth said.
Several days earlier, Yuriy Ihnat, spokesperson for the Ukrainian Air Force, warned that the country’s air defence forces were experiencing a shortage of missiles.
“Due to certain supply problems, we are practically at starvation levels when it comes to missiles today,” Ihnat said.
Concerns persist over air defence missile stocks
In April, Zelenskyy warned that Ukraine’s stockpile of air defence missiles could be exhausted at any moment.
He said that under current conditions, air defence missiles were more critical for Ukraine than the air defence systems themselves.
Highlighting what he described as a critical shortage of Patriot missiles, Zelenskyy said: “We are facing a deficit now that could hardly be worse.”
Concerns that Ukraine could face a severe shortage of US-made air defence missiles had previously been reported by Reuters.
The situation was expected to worsen as the United States and its allies depleted significant portions of their arsenals during tensions with Iran, a point Zelenskyy also underscored.
In a separate statement in January, Zelenskyy said Ukraine lacked sufficient missiles for both US- and European-made air defence systems.
The Ukrainian leader said he had been forced to personally secure every package of missiles from European countries and the United States.
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