Diplomacy
Global military spending hits record $2.89 trillion as NATO and China accelerate modernization
Global defense spending reached a new record of $2.887 trillion in 2025, marking a 2.9% increase over the previous year, according to the “Trends in World Military Expenditure, 2025” report released by the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI).
The organization’s annual review noted that defense spending has now risen for 11 consecutive years, climbing by 41% over the past decade. Based on current data, military outlays accounted for 2.5% of global gross domestic product (GDP). Average defense spending worldwide represented 6.9% of total public expenditure, with per capita spending calculated at $352.
Fifteen countries accounted for $2.304 trillion of the total, representing 80% of global expenditure. The top five spenders remained unchanged from 2024: the US, China, Russia, Germany, and India. These five nations collectively spent $1.686 trillion on defense in 2025, representing 58% of the global total.
The US, which has long maintained its position as the world leader in military spending, allocated $954 billion to defense in 2025. While this figure represents 33% of global expenditure, US spending saw a 7.5% decrease compared to 2024. SIPRI analysts attribute this decline to a sharp reduction in foreign aid provided to other countries through supplemental appropriations above the Pentagon’s baseline budget.
Between 2022 and 2025, a total of $127 billion was allocated to the US Department of Defense to support Ukraine; by the end of 2025, $65.1 billion of that amount had been expended. Additionally, a $13 billion supplemental allocation was provided to the Pentagon in 2024 for support to Israel. Although no new supplemental resources were earmarked for either Ukraine or Israel in 2025, it was noted that Israel continued to receive $3.8 billion in aid under a specific mechanism financed through the State Department budget covering the 2019–2028 period.
Washington’s priorities in 2025 included the modernization of nuclear weapons and the development of advanced weaponry. The primary objective of these investments is reportedly to maintain US military superiority in the Western Hemisphere and to counterbalance China in the Asia-Pacific region.
China, ranked second, allocated $336 billion to defense in 2025, accounting for 12% of global spending. Beijing has increased its military expenditure for 31 consecutive years, with spending rising by 7.4% over 2024 and by 62% over the last decade (2016–2025). These investments are directed toward the comprehensive modernization of the People’s Liberation Army by 2035.
As part of this effort, China conducted tests of J-36 and J-50 sixth-generation fighter aircraft in 2025, while the H-20 strategic bomber reached “initial operational capability” (IOC). The SIPRI report clarifies that the term IOC signifies that a system is deemed sufficient to perform missions under actual combat conditions, has reached a minimum authorized number of platforms, and has trained personnel ready for operational deployment. This stage should not be confused with “full operational capability” (FOC), where systems are fully deployed across all scenarios and scales.
Russia maintained its third-place ranking in 2025, spending $190 billion on defense, a 6.6% global share. While Moscow’s military spending increased by 5.9% compared to 2024, this was the slowest growth rate recorded since the start of large-scale hostilities in 2022. Nevertheless, the burden of military spending on the Russian economy remained high, equivalent to 7.5% of GDP and 20% of total government expenditure.
Analysts also highlighted a shift in Russia’s military procurement processes. As the conflict in Ukraine evolved into a “war of attrition,” Russia aimed to limit operational costs by turning toward lower-cost weapon systems, specifically increasing the utilization of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs).
SIPRI utilizes approximate estimates for data concerning countries such as Russia, China, Ukraine, and Saudi Arabia. Sergey Chemezov, head of Rostec, criticized SIPRI’s calculation methods regarding defense sector companies, stating that countries like Russia and China do not share such data publicly. Chemezov emphasized that the data in question is classified and asserted that the institute’s figures are produced through unrealistic means.
Germany increased its military spending by 24% in 2025 compared to 2024, reaching $114 billion (a 3.9% global share). SIPRI pointed out that Berlin has recorded double-digit growth in defense spending for three consecutive years. For the first time since 1990, Germany surpassed the threshold of 2% of GDP, reaching 2.3% in 2025. The Berlin administration reportedly plans to increase this ratio to 3.5% by 2029.
India raised its defense spending by 8.9% annually to $92.1 billion in 2025 (a 3.2% global share). Skirmishes with Pakistan in May 2025 involving fighter jets, missiles, and UAVs were cited as a decisive factor in this increase, with New Delhi raising its aviation budget by 18% during this period.
On a regional basis, the share of the Americas in global military spending decreased by 5.5% over the last decade to 37%, while Europe’s share rose by 11% to reach 30%. Total military spending by the 32 NATO member states in 2025 amounted to $1.581 trillion, representing 55% of the global total.
Alliance members reportedly aim to increase military spending to 5% of national GDP by 2035. Under this target, 3.5% is expected to be allocated to core military requirements, with 1.5% dedicated to other defense and security-related expenditures. The SIPRI report noted that clear criteria for core versus ancillary military spending have not yet been established within NATO. This lack of definition is said to reduce transparency and complicate public oversight, with warnings that some members might include non-military expenditures under defense headings to meet political targets. The report cited Italy’s plan to include a bridge project in Sicily within its 2025 military expenditure as an example of this trend.
Diplomacy
Greece’s Marinakis says paying Hormuz transit fees beats enduring Red Sea shipping crisis detour
Evangelos Marinakis, one of Greece’s leading shipowners, has announced that he is prepared to pay up to $200,000 per transit to keep the Strait of Hormuz open to civilian maritime traffic.
Speaking to the Financial Times, Marinakis stated that paying a transit fee would be a far better option for him than having the strait closed to navigation.
As the chairman of Capital Maritime Group, which controls a fleet of 185 vessels including approximately 35 tankers, Marinakis emphasized that shipowners have been forced to use alternative routes around the Cape of Good Hope for years due to attacks launched by the Houthis in the Red Sea, a detour that has generated substantial additional costs.
The Greek shipowner indicated that paying a transit fee of $100,000 or $200,000, depending on the size of the cargo or the vessel, is far more reasonable than enduring the current logistical challenges. He added that such payments could offset all the losses experienced so far.
Following US strikes on Iran and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, the Tehran administration had introduced transit fees of up to $2 million for certain vessels transiting the waterway.
In May, Iran announced the establishment of a state agency tasked with managing the Strait of Hormuz. It was stated that the institution in question would provide real-time updates regarding maritime activities in the waterway.
Ebrahim Azizi, the chairman of the Iranian Parliament’s National Security and Foreign Policy Commission, had noted that only commercial vessels and countries cooperating with Iran would be able to benefit from the facilities provided under this “professional mechanism.”
US President Donald Trump has explicitly opposed the imposition of transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz. In a statement on the matter, Trump said, “We want the strait to be open. We do not want any transit fees to be charged. This is an international waterway.”
On the other hand, the draft text of a planned 60-day ceasefire extension agreement between the parties stipulates that the Strait of Hormuz will remain open without any transit fees being demanded.
According to the draft details reviewed by Axios, the US in return commits to lifting the blockade it has imposed on Iranian ports. The Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, however, announced that the management of the Strait of Hormuz has been excluded from the scope of the agreement with the US, asserting that the issue will be addressed solely by littoral states.
Diplomacy
Pashinyan promises aid to farmers hit by Russian import restrictions
Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan has pledged compensation for Armenian farmers affected by restrictions on exports to Russia.
According to Sputnik Armenia, Pashinyan made the announcement during an election campaign meeting in the Gegharkunik region.
Speaking at the event, Pashinyan said the subsidies would be designed to offset losses incurred by producers.
The prime minister also acknowledged that some Armenian products had failed to meet required quality standards, adding that such companies would receive support aimed at improving product quality.
Addressing alternative markets for Armenian exports, Pashinyan said several Armenian business delegations were already engaged in negotiations abroad.
He added that Armenia had received offers for the purchase of roses as well as fresh fruits and vegetables.
Pashinyan argued that Armenia’s agricultural output was not particularly large, describing this as an advantage under current circumstances. According to the prime minister, “a respected supermarket chain in Europe” would be capable of selling the entire volume of these products on its own.
Russia’s Federal Service for Veterinary and Phytosanitary Surveillance (Rosselkhoznadzor) imposed temporary restrictions on imports of stone fruits and grapes from Armenia effective July 2.
The ban covers cherries, sour cherries, apricots, plums, peaches and nectarines, among other products.
On the same day, a temporary suspension was also introduced on certification procedures for live fish shipments from Armenia. Russian authorities had previously restricted the entry of flower products originating from Armenia into the Russian market.
In addition, Russia’s Federal Service for Surveillance on Consumer Rights Protection and Human Wellbeing (Rospotrebnadzor) halted the import of all consignments of Jermuk mineral water from Armenia.
In a statement, the agency said levels of bicarbonate, chloride and sulfate ions in the mineral water exceeded established limits and could mislead consumers regarding the product’s medicinal properties.
The Russian regulator argued that the growing number of violations stemmed from the abolition of Armenia’s Agriculture Ministry and the transfer of its responsibilities to the Economy Ministry.
Rosselkhoznadzor further stated that Armenia’s Economy Ministry was experiencing structural problems and was unable to adequately perform the supervisory functions assigned to it.
Diplomacy
Zelenskyy urges US to grant Ukraine license to produce Patriot missiles
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said he has asked the United States to grant Ukraine a license to manufacture missiles for the Patriot air defence system.
In a post on social media platform X, Zelenskyy argued that current US production of missile defence interceptors is insufficient and could contribute to crises in different parts of the world.
“Producing 60-65 missiles a month is nothing compared with the challenges we face today. This is no secret, and Russia knows it as well,” Zelenskyy wrote. “We need to expand production. As I requested from the previous US administration, I am asking the current administration to grant Ukraine a license to produce Patriot missiles.”
Zelenskyy said US companies possess advanced technologies that are not available in Ukraine, while Kyiv could contribute its extensive battlefield experience in return.
He also argued that granting such a license would benefit not only Ukraine, but also the Middle East and any country Washington chooses to support.
Washington pledges to maintain defence support
Zelenskyy’s remarks came a day after US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said on May 30 that Washington would continue supporting Ukraine’s defence capabilities and ensure military shipments to Kyiv continue.
“We want them to be able to defend themselves, and we will find a way to help them do that,” Hegseth said.
Several days earlier, Yuriy Ihnat, spokesperson for the Ukrainian Air Force, warned that the country’s air defence forces were experiencing a shortage of missiles.
“Due to certain supply problems, we are practically at starvation levels when it comes to missiles today,” Ihnat said.
Concerns persist over air defence missile stocks
In April, Zelenskyy warned that Ukraine’s stockpile of air defence missiles could be exhausted at any moment.
He said that under current conditions, air defence missiles were more critical for Ukraine than the air defence systems themselves.
Highlighting what he described as a critical shortage of Patriot missiles, Zelenskyy said: “We are facing a deficit now that could hardly be worse.”
Concerns that Ukraine could face a severe shortage of US-made air defence missiles had previously been reported by Reuters.
The situation was expected to worsen as the United States and its allies depleted significant portions of their arsenals during tensions with Iran, a point Zelenskyy also underscored.
In a separate statement in January, Zelenskyy said Ukraine lacked sufficient missiles for both US- and European-made air defence systems.
The Ukrainian leader said he had been forced to personally secure every package of missiles from European countries and the United States.
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