Connect with us

Europe

Investors pivot to Eurobonds as Trump tariffs and geopolitical volatility rattle US Treasury market

Published

on

Foreign investors are increasingly turning toward European Union debt as Donald Trump’s trade tariffs and a foreign policy punctuated by conflict drive nervous markets to seek stability in EU bonds.

According to a report by POLITICO, this shift represents welcome news for the European Commission, which has been scaling up bond issuances to fund new mandates, including increased defense spending and support for Ukraine’s war efforts.

Brussels is framing its “sales pitch” around a distinct narrative: the EU’s slow, consensus-driven decision-making process serves as a bastion of stability in a world upended by Trump. By investing in Eurobonds, the Commission argues, investors can secure a stake in that stability.

Data obtained by POLITICO reveals that fund managers from the United Kingdom, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Oceania have purchased 43% of the Eurobonds auctioned by the Commission since the start of 2026. This marks an 8% increase over the average of the last six years. The trend places EU Budget Commissioner Piotr Serafin in a strong position ahead of a scheduled promotional tour in mid-April, where he will pitch Eurobonds to investors in Hong Kong, Malaysia, and Singapore.

Since the beginning of 2026, the Commission has issued €52 billion in bonds, up from €44 billion during the same period in 2025.

“Demand for Europe is rising due to its alignment with the rules-based international order and values,” a senior EU official told POLITICO. “Consequently, demand for EU bonds is also on the rise.”

The eurozone’s rescue fund and its predecessors—the European Stability Mechanism (ESM) and the European Financial Stability Facility—have observed a similar trend. According to ESM data presented in January, these institutions have issued a total of €566 billion in bonds since 2010 and sold a record amount of debt to non-EU countries in 2025.

Since the US and Israel began bombing Iran in late February, central banks, governments, and international investors have sold a net total of more than $80 billion in US Treasuries. On this side of the Atlantic, the EU is leveraging these developments to solidify its reputation as a safe haven for anxious foreign investors.

“EU leaders are emphasizing that Europe is predictable in terms of policy, and in today’s global geopolitical environment, this will be noticed by many investors and market participants,” said Ken Egan of the KBRA credit rating agency.

The sell-off in the US does not yet constitute a mass exodus. While the US Treasury market stands at approximately $31 trillion, the market for bonds issued by the European Commission barely reaches €1 trillion. However, the rising demand for Eurobonds, coupled with a robust credit rating, allows the Commission to borrow at lower costs than many indebted EU governments.

In a sign of growing market confidence, the yield spread on Commission bonds over German government bonds—long considered the safest in the eurozone—has narrowed to approximately 40 basis points. This is down significantly from 70 basis points in 2022. One basis point is equal to one-hundredth of one percent. Meanwhile, US Treasuries offer investors a premium of over 130 basis points compared to German Bunds.

Factors beyond concerns over Trump’s policies are also at play. Some investors purchase EU bonds specifically for their very low risk profile, while increased issuance volumes have improved market liquidity, making it easier for investors to trade these securities.

Without common debt, governments would have struggled to manage consecutive crises independently. EU debt has funded a €650 billion post-pandemic recovery fund, €150 billion in low-cost loans to bolster military spending across the bloc, and a €90 billion package to assist Ukraine’s defense against Russia—the latter of which is currently blocked by Hungary.

The burgeoning interest in Eurobonds is also encouraging the EU’s ambition to challenge the dollar as the world’s primary reserve currency. The US has held this status for decades, formalized by the 1944 Bretton Woods agreement, which positioned the dollar as the anchor of the global financial system and facilitated cheap borrowing for Washington. The dollar accounts for approximately 56% of global reserves, while the euro remains steady in second place at around 20%.

However, the Commission is seizing this opportunity to attract foreign investors and expand its global influence.

“When investors seek to gradually decouple their economies from the dollar due to economic stability, they look to the euro,” the senior EU official noted.

The long-standing taboo surrounding the EU’s joint debt issuance was broken following the pandemic, ending years of resistance from Northern European governments during the euro crisis. As countries like France and Italy realized they were too indebted to manage recent crises alone, Eurobond issuances continued to grow in subsequent years.

For a bloc grappling with the economic fallout of the war in Iran and Trump’s repeated threats to withdraw the US security umbrella from Europe, these fiscal pressures are unlikely to ease. EU leaders are also determined to accelerate the economy to keep pace with the US and China. According to former European Central Bank President Mario Draghi, this is a costly undertaking requiring approximately €800 billion annually.

While investment on that scale remains distant, the Commission—which has become the world’s third-largest AAA-rated bond issuer after Canada and Germany, according to various rating agencies—has indicated it will continue to issue debt in the coming years. The rating for US Treasuries varies by agency between AAA and the slightly lower AA.

Brussels has stated that in its new seven-year budget proposal, effective from 2028, it will utilize Eurobonds to fund the reconstruction of Ukraine, respond to crises, and provide loans for member states to invest in EU priorities.

Nevertheless, frugal Northern nations such as Germany and the Netherlands, which pay lower interest rates by borrowing on their own behalf than through the Commission, oppose further EU common debt in ongoing negotiations. Until a new budget is agreed upon, investors expect the EU executive to maintain its current trajectory. The EU plans to sell €160 billion in Eurobonds this year, a €10 billion increase over 2025.

Europe

EIB to unveil 15 billion euro tech initiative to scale European startups

Published

on

The European Investment Bank (EIB) will announce a €15 billion initiative today, in collaboration with EU capitals and private investors, aimed at supporting the growth of European technology companies.

For decades, startups on the continent have struggled to raise the large-scale funding rounds necessary to scale on this side of the Atlantic, frequently turning to US investors or relocating abroad as they expand.

“We are catching up. Now we need to accelerate,” EIB President Nadia Calviño said.

Under the existing European Tech Champions Initiative, the EIB had already pooled resources with six EU governments to establish funds that invest in high-growth companies across the EU.

Calviño described the initiative as “very successful,” noting that it has supported 12 European “unicorn” companies valued at over $1 billion, including the German artificial intelligence translation firm DeepL.

The bank is now expanding the program with a new phase nearly four times the size of the original.

Twenty-five EU governments, alongside private investors such as Santander and Danske Bank, are expected to participate in the program.

This initial €15 billion aims to mobilize up to €80 billion in total investment. Calviño stated that this estimate is based on the multiplier effects achieved under previous programs.

As part of these efforts, the EIB also aims to attract European pension funds, which manage immense pools of capital but have historically allocated fewer resources to technology investments compared to their US counterparts.

In addition to the new funding, Calviño noted that the EIB will create a platform providing a single point of access for existing European scale-up initiatives, including the European Commission’s Scaleup Europe Fund, France’s Tibi initiative, and Germany’s Win initiative.

Continue Reading

Europe

Germany to purchase US Tomahawk missiles to build own long-range strike capability

Published

on

Germany will purchase Tomahawk cruise missiles from the United States and deploy them on German territory, Chancellor Friedrich Merz announced on Thursday.

The move marks a shift away from planned US deployments and toward Germany establishing its own long-range strike capability.

Merz told lawmakers that he finalized the agreement with the US government during the NATO summit in Ankara, adding that the talks held on Tuesday and Wednesday had exceeded his expectations.

“While we close a critical strategic gap in our defense, we are also working to develop our own European systems and deploy them in Europe,” the Chancellor said.

According to German government sources, Washington committed in a letter of intent signed on Tuesday to approve Germany’s acquisition of Tomahawk missiles and their land-based Typhon launchers in August.

The number of missiles and launchers Germany plans to purchase was not disclosed because the information is classified.

The planned acquisition appears aligned with US President Donald Trump’s pressure on European allies to cover their own security costs, such as by purchasing US weapons.

The fate of the Tomahawk procurement had become uncertain after Trump announced in May that he would reduce the US military presence in Germany.

That development was seen as a cancellation of a plan made under the previous administration to deploy a US battalion equipped with long-range Tomahawk missiles to Germany.

That original plan was designed as a temporary solution to serve as a strong deterrent against Russia while Europeans developed their own versions of such weapons.

Germany produces its own cruise missile, the Taurus, but its range of approximately 311 miles is three to five times shorter than that of the Tomahawk missiles.

Continue Reading

Europe

Apple loses EU court appeal over Digital Markets Act gatekeeper designation

Published

on

The General Court of the European Union has rejected Apple’s challenges against its “gatekeeper” status designated under the Digital Markets Act (DMA).

With this ruling, the company’s designated status for the App Store and iOS remains valid, while its applications regarding iMessage were also rejected.

Apple had argued that the five separate App Stores it operates for the iPhone, iPad, Apple Watch, Mac, and Apple TV should be evaluated as distinct, individual services.

The court rejected this argument, ruling that these stores serve a common purpose of connecting developers and users, regardless of the specific device.

The court also dismissed Apple’s defense that the DMA’s interoperability obligations violate its fundamental rights.

However, it did not conduct a substantive assessment on the legality of this obligation, stating that a direct legal link could not be established between the regulation in question and the determination of “gatekeeper” status.

Following the ruling, Apple argued that the obligations under the DMA “exceed the boundaries of legality and proportionality.” The company asserted that the new rules jeopardize the work it has carried out for years to ensure user privacy and security.

Apple retains the right to appeal the decision, though a company spokesperson did not comment on whether there are plans to do so.

Apple previously declared that DMA rules prevented the launch of the updated version of Siri in Europe, resulting in European users being unable to benefit from the service.

In force in the European Union since 2024, the DMA covers a total of 22 services and products belonging to Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, ByteDance, Meta Platforms, and Microsoft.

The regulation obliges these companies to share certain data with competitors, provide access to user-generated data, and offer verification tools to advertising partners.

Additionally, it prohibits platforms from engaging in anti-competitive practices that favor their own products. Companies failing to comply with the rules face fines of up to 10% of their global turnover, which can rise to 20% in cases of repeated violations.

Continue Reading

MOST READ

Turkey