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Lula da Silva: Brazil is back

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Brazil’s former president Lula da Silva (2003-2010) won the second round of presidential election that was held on October 30th, with 50.83 percent. Left-wing candidate Lula da Silva, who defeated incumbent right-wing leader Jair Bolsonaro, said he would restore his country to its rightful place in the international arena.

In Brazil, Latin America’s largest country with a population of over 212 million, about 156 million voters went to the polls on Sunday. 

Labour Party candidate Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva won 50.83 per cent of the vote, compared to 49.17 per cent for Liberal Party candidate and incumbent President Jair Bolsonaro, according to polling results published by the Superior Electoral Court (TSE).

Lula da Silva also surpassed Bolsonaro (43.20 percent) with 48.43 percent of the vote in the first round of the presidential election held on October 2nd.

Lula, who previously ruled Brazil for two terms, will take over the presidency from Bolsonaro on January 1st, 2023.

A single country, a single people…

Lula da Silva addressed to his supporters after winning the election “as of January 1st, 2023, I will govern for 215 million Brazilians, and not just for those who voted for me. There are not two Brazils. We are a single country, a single people, a great nation.”

Referring to the corruption charges and spending time in jail, Lula said “I think I am experiencing a resurgence in Brazilian politics. They tried to bury me alive, but now I’m here to rule the country. We are in a very difficult situation, but I am sure that with the help of the people, we will find a way out and restore peace.”

The most urgent task is to fight hunger

Emphasizing the fight against hunger, Lula said, “Our most urgent commitment is to end hunger again, we cannot accept it as normal for millions of men, women and children to go hungry or consume less protein than necessary in this country. We are the third largest food producer and the first in animal protein.”

“We are able to export all over the world and we have a duty to ensure that every Brazilian can have breakfast, lunch and dinner every day,” Lula reiterated. “This will once again be my government’s number one commitment,” he said.

Referring to the housing problem, Lula said, “We cannot accept that families are forced to sleep on the streets as normal, so we will continue the ‘my home is my life’ program and bring back the participation programs. Brazil can no longer live with this huge wall of inequality.”

Lula listed the demands of the people as follows: “The Brazilian people want to have a good job, a salary which is always above inflation, a quality public health and education system. They want books instead of guns. Brazilian people want to regain hope.”

Democracy message

Describing the election victory as a “victory of democracy”, Lula said, “This is the victory of an enormous democratic movement founded beyond political parties, personal interests, and ideologies for the victory of democracy,”

Lula shared the Brazilian flag on his Twitter account with a “Democracy” note.

Foreign policy remarks:

Prestige in the world

“Today, we are telling the world that Brazil is back and is too big to be relegated to the sad role of a pariah,” Lula said, “What I hear the most in my international trips is that the world misses that sovereign Brazil that spoke on equal terms with the richest and most powerful countries and, at the same time, contributed to the poorest countries.” 

Regional integration

“We are going to reconquer the credibility, predictability and stability of the country so that investors regain confidence in Brazil, so that they stop seeing our country as a source of immediate and predatory profit and become our allies in economic growth,” Lula said, recalling that in his previous terms, he had strengthened Mercosur and other regional integration organizations.

New standards with the US and EU

Talking about forming partnerships with US and EU on new standards, Lula da Silva added “We are not interested in trade agreements that condemn our country to enter the role of the seller of commodities and raw materials. We are going to reindustrialize and invest in the green economy.”

Lula also raised the issue of five permanent members of the UN, which undermine the balance between countries and prevented the enlargement of the General Assembly and the Security Council.

Fighting the climate crisis

“We are ready to re-engage in the fight against hunger in the world,” Lula da Silva stated and added that Brazil is ready to gain its leading role in the fight against the climate crisis by protecting all rainforests, especially the Amazon rainforest.

“We are open to international cooperation to preserve the Amazon, but always under Brazil’s leadership, without giving up our sovereignty,” Lula said, stressing that the growing deforestation and destruction in the Amazon rainforest will end.

Rise of the left in Latin America

The “pink tide” continues to rise in Latin America, which has defeated US-backed coups.

Following the elections in Peru, Bolivia, Argentina, Chile, Honduras, and Colombia, victory of yet another left-wing candidate in Brazilian elections too have raised the expectations on the strengthening of regional integration efforts. Lula da Silva’s emphasis on regional integration in his victory speech also points to this. Lula and Brazil are expected to boost cooperation among other governments, such as Argentina, Chile, Mexico, and Colombia, which share similar perspectives.

So much so that the leaders of Latin America, who strongly embraced Lula’s victory, shared enthusiastic congratulatory messages, and emphasized that this victory would strengthen the unification of Latin America.

Full support from Latin American leaders

Argentine President Alberto Fernandez shared his photo with Lula on his Twitter account, saying: “Congratulations, Lula da Silva! Your victory opens a new era for the history of Latin America. A time of hope and future that begins today. Here you have a partner to work and dream big for the good life of our peoples. After so many injustices that you experienced, the people of Brazil have elected you and democracy has triumphed.”

Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro also tweeted: “We celebrate the victory of the Brazilian people, who this October 30th, elected Lula as their new President. Long live the peoples determined to be free, sovereign, and independent! Today in Brazil democracy triumphed. Congratulations Lula!”

Cuban President Miguel Diaz Canel said in his post, “They delayed your victory with heinous methods, but they couldn’t prevent you from winning with the vote of the people. Social justice will return.”

Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador also shared his photo with Lula on his social media account, saying, “Lula won, blessed people of Brazil. There will be equality and humanism.”

Bolivia’s President Luis Arce Catacora, emphasizing integration in his Twitter account, said: “Congratulations, brother Lula, Brazil’s elected president! Your victory strengthens democracy and Latin American integration. We are sure that you will lead the Brazilian people along the path of peace, progress and social justice.”

Honduras President Xiomara Castro also shared her photo with Lula and posted “He faced the most conservative powers in history, and together with the people of Brazil he has defeated them. Latin America is reborn with hope in a true humanist process of change and liberation.”

Colombian President Gustavo Petro, who posted “Yay Lula” on his social media account, emphasized integration in Latin America in his following posts.

President of the Republic of Chile, Gabriel Boric retweeted Lula’s post and added “Lula. Happiness!”

Peru’s President Pedro Castillo congratulated Lula on his victory, saying: “Peru congratulates the president-elect of Brazil, the comrade Lula, worker, trade unionist, fighter. His victory is essential to strengthen the unity of Latin America and the social justice of the Great Homeland.”

With Lula taking over in Brazil, most of the Latin American countries will be governed by leftist governments. In addition, Brazil, Argentina, Chile, and Colombia together with Mexico constitute the 5 largest economies of the continent.

Relations with China expected to improve

Chinese President Xi Jinping congratulated the winner of the election, Lula da Silva, stressing that “deepening long-term friendship and mutually beneficial cooperation serves the fundamental interests of both countries.”

Xi said he highly values the development of China-Brazil relations, and he is ready to work with Lula to push forward China-Brazil comprehensive strategic partnership to a higher level to benefit to the two countries and their people.

Speaking to the Global Times, Chinese experts expect Lula’s return to significantly improve the atmosphere of cooperation between China and Brazil in terms of trade, investment, and global governance. It’s also emphasized that Lula’s return also means the strengthening of the autonomy of Latin American diplomacy.

“Lula’s return is likely to bring back a smoother China-Brazil relationship” Zhou Zhiwei, an expert on Latin American studies at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, told the Global Times on Monday. Zhou said this would allow both sides find more space and improve economic and trade cooperation, especially in agriculture and infrastructure construction.

“Brazil may also seek to participate in the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) under Lula” Zhou said.

Lula and BRICS could be more compatible

Given that Lula was instrumental in the establishment and launch of the BRICS mechanism during his last stint in office, the Chinese expert believes that he will continue to be active and positive about BRICS.

According to the Chinese expert, cooperation between Lula and BRICS countries and communication on international hotspot issues and global affairs will be smoother and more stable than under Bolsonaro.

Regional integration and rejection of US hegemonism

Yang Jianmin, another Chinese Latin American expert, told the Global Times about the rising “pink tide” in the region.

Stating that the “pink tide” that continued with Lula’s election can be viewed as the opportunity to support regional integration, to reject US hegemony in the region, and to advocate independent diplomacy, Yang stressed that this is also China’s opportunity to develop a more profound bond with these countries.

He may also follow a more pragmatic policy…

Wang Youming, director of the Institute of Developing Countries at the China Institute of International Studies in Beijing, pointed out that unlike others, Lula could also pursue a more pragmatic policy.

“Lula’s emphasis on South-South cooperation and bonding with emerging powers does not mean that he will reject the US” Wang noted and added that it’s very likely that Lula will may have a more pragmatic style and less anti-American voice in his third term. According to Wang, instead, Lula may prioritize more practical tasks such as stabilizing the economy and mitigating the negative impact of COVID-19.

Brazil and China may explore new areas of cooperation

Tatiana Prazeres, director of trade and international relations for the Federation of Industries of the State of São Paulo, told the Atlantic Council on China’s policy, which Lula would likely to pursue, that despite negative rhetoric against China during the Bolsonaro administration, trade and investment between the two countries developed largely undisturbed, but the political unrest created by the anti-Chinese rhetoric prevented the deepening of bilateral relations in other areas such as science and technology.  Under Lula, Prazeres said, he expects Brazil and China to explore new areas of cooperation.

Lula may also be more enthusiastic about BRICS and the Belt Road, Prazeres said, adding that he may prefer to leverage Chinese investments and technologies to help reinvigorate Brazilian industry.

Biden may try to get closer through climate

Another expert spoken to the Atlantic Council is former secretary of foreign trade of Brazil, senior researcher Abrão Neto.

Lula’s election would lead to a significant change in Brazil’s environmental agenda, among other things, Abrão Neto said, adding that this would enable Brazil to improve its relationship with the United States.

Arguing that US-Brazil economic relations during the Lula era would continue to be driven by pragmatic mutual interests, the expert said: “A renewed stance from the Brazilian government on climate change and other environmental issues might offer an extended avenue for bilateral cooperation, with positive spillovers for the overall political and economic relationship between the United States and Brazil.”

Experts comment that Biden will try to get closer to Lula to lure Brazil into intense power rivalry.

It’s commonly expressed that Lula’s idea of strengthening the protection of the Amazon forests could be compatible with Biden’s climate policy.

US President Joe Biden was among the first world leaders to congratulate Lula.

On Sunday, Biden congratulated Lula on his victory following “free, fair and credible elections” and said he looked forward to continuing the cooperation with Brazil.

‘CIA’ plot against Lula

Lula da Silva, 77, who chaired Brazil for two terms in 2003-2010, was indicted for corruption in 2016. Lula, who argued that the case was political, applied to the court, but was sentenced to 9 years and 6 months in prison in 2017. He went to prison in 2018 and spent a year and a half in prison.

Lula was unable to run for president because he was in prison and could not run in the 2018 election. The lawsuits against Lula paved the way for Bolsonaro’s election.

In 2021, Lula’s convictions and cases were dismissed by the Supreme Court, which ruled that the judge responsible for these cases, Sergio Moro, was biased and political, paving the way for him to participate in the elections.

At the time, some messages about this investigation were leaked to the press by a Brazilian news site. The leaked messages revealed that federal judge Sergio Moro, who was conducting the investigation at the time, collaborated with prosecutors in ways that overstepped ethical lines and affect the decision on prison sentences.

It was understood that the corruption cases were conspiracy against Lula da Silva. The Brazilian federal prosecutor’s office announced that prosecutors conducting the investigation have been assigned to other units.

It was alleged that the CIA was behind the conspiracy against Lula at the time.

Lula, who followed policies to end the neoliberal impositions of the USA in Brazil and the region, IMF dependence, made Brazil the 10th largest economy in the world, improved relations with China, made the country one of the founders of BRICS, advocated regional integration, gained the love of the people by ensuring that approximately 30 million Brazilians got rid of poverty with the social policies he implemented.

The trial and imprisonment of Lula was described as a US-backed coup that brought the right to power.

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Trump energy shares rose by up to $4.4m during Iran war, CNBC reports

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10/09/2026

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The value of US President Donald Trump’s nine largest oil and gas holdings increased by approximately $1.5 million to $4.4 million during the first six months of the war with Iran.

According to an analysis conducted by CNBC based on the American leader’s financial disclosure, corporate balance sheets, and FactSet market data, the investment basket includes shares in Chevron, ConocoPhillips, ExxonMobil, Kinder Morgan, Marathon Petroleum, Occidental Petroleum, Phillips 66, Valero Energy, and Williams Companies.

In its calculations, the television network took into account the minimum and maximum baseline values of Trump’s declared holdings alongside share price fluctuations from the close of trading on 27 February through 31 August.

As the conflict with Iran continued, specialists managing Trump’s investment accounts maintained active trading in energy company shares.

Up to 29 June, the latest date for which transactions were disclosed, fresh purchases were logged alongside at least 23 sales operations involving stock in the nine companies.

Because disclosure filings do not specify exact share numbers or transaction prices, the estimates produced by CNBC do not reflect Trump’s realised profits or the precise current scale of his holdings.

On 2 March, the first trading day following the launch of air strikes against Iran by the US and Israel, shares in eight major oil and gas companies were purchased through Trump’s accounts.

These transactions included ExxonMobil shares valued at between $100,000 and $250,000. Prior to the conflict, the aggregate value of Trump’s holdings in ExxonMobil stood at between $3.2 million and $12.5 million.

Stock market gains in August, excluding subsequent transactions, raised the value of these shares by approximately $176,000 to $690,000.

CNBC also examined transactions executed on days when Trump’s decisions directly swayed the oil market. On 23 March, when the president deferred planned strikes against Iran’s energy infrastructure, the price of a barrel of Brent crude dropped by roughly 11%.

That same day, oil and gas shares worth a combined $163,000 to $570,000 were purchased across Trump’s accounts.

A similar transaction took place on 7 April. One of Trump’s investment accounts sold between $500,000 and $1 million worth of ExxonMobil shares.

Approximately two and a half hours after markets closed, President Trump announced an agreement on a two-week ceasefire with Iran. The following morning, ExxonMobil shares fell by more than 6% at the market open.

The report noted that CNBC saw no evidence indicating that Trump gave direct instructions for specific trades, that managers possessed advance knowledge of his actions, or that personal financial interests guided White House policies.

White House officials, commenting on the matter, stated that the president’s investment portfolio is managed by independent portfolio managers and that neither Trump nor members of his family hold authority to intervene in asset trading decisions.

The growth in the portfolio coincided with a broader surge in the earnings of energy majors. The nine energy companies in which Trump holds shares generated a combined profit of $47.6 billion in the second quarter.

During the same period last year, that figure stood at $15.9 billion. The profits of ExxonMobil and Chevron alone climbed from $9.6 billion in the prior year to $26.6 billion.

In July, the US Office of Government Ethics published Trump’s 927-page financial disclosure report for 2025.

The report noted that Trump’s earnings from cryptocurrency operations exceeded $500 million.

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Over half of Latino voters back Democrats in key US House races

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09/09/2026

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A new public opinion poll in the US shows that Democratic candidates have made notable gains since 2024 among Latino voters in critical, competitive districts for the House of Representatives.

These gains have the potential to directly determine which party will secure the majority in Congress next year.

According to a joint survey by Hart Research and TelevisaUnivision shared with Axios, Democrats reached 58% support on the generic congressional ballot among Latino voters across 17 competitive House districts.

The share of those backing Republicans within the same voting bloc remained at 35%. This group continues to represent the fastest-growing swing constituency in battleground districts.

Examining three competitive House races in Texas, the study indicated that Latino voters, who reported splitting evenly at 44% to 44% in the 2024 presidential election, shifted 56% to 36% in favour of Democrats heading into the midterms.

Latino support for Democrats also increased in other states. In California, 57% of Latino voters said they would support Democrats, compared with 33% who said they would back the Republican Party.

Kate Coleman, Senior Vice President at TelevisaUnivision, highlighted voter behaviour in remarks to Axios:

“Latino voters are not locked into one party. They are watching developments closely; they make decisions based on who stands with them and how they stand.”

The survey data determined that 11% of Latino respondents who said they voted for Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential election now support Democratic candidates.

Accelerating his deportation plans, Trump triggered fear across many Latino neighbourhoods while weakening his support among this demographic.

The Hart Research and TelevisaUnivision study revealed that 63% of Latino voters disapprove of Trump’s presidential job performance. The share of those approving of his performance in office stood at 36%.

Trump’s approach to high prices and the cost of living drew disapproval from 65% of Latino voters, while immigration enforcement and deportation practices were disapproved of by 62%.

More than half of Latino voters, at 64%, reported that they disapprove of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE).

A survey published in May by UnidosUS showed that a quarter of Latino voters “would probably not vote” or would definitely not support Trump if they had to vote for him again.

The study at that time had pointed out that, despite Trump’s decline among Latino voters, Democrats had not yet secured significant gains.

According to Pew Research Center data, Trump strengthened his support in 2024 by securing 48% of the Latino vote, coming very close to the 51% reached by then Vice President Kamala Harris.

Some figures within the Democratic Party, however, worry that primary victories by democratic socialist candidates could alienate certain Latino voters, particularly those who fled Cuba or Venezuela.

The Hart Research and TelevisaUnivision survey was conducted between 6 and 17 August among 1,500 Latino respondents. The poll’s margin of error was reported as 2.5 percentage points.

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Researcher quits Anthropic and warns AI firms gamble with lives

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09/09/2026

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Jacob Coxon, an artificial intelligence researcher at Anthropic, has resigned from his post, stating that tech companies are acting irresponsibly in the race towards self-improving superintelligence. Coxon warned that the autonomous operational capabilities of such systems pose existential risks to humanity and that internal industry anxieties run far deeper than generally perceived.

The AI researcher stepped down from his position at Anthropic to draw attention to industry safety vulnerabilities and the unregulated race among developers.

Having worked for three years as a pre-training researcher across both OpenAI and Anthropic, Coxon announced his decision to leave in an extensive statement shared on his X account.

Stating that both companies have acted irresponsibly, Coxon argued that developers are engaged in a dangerous race to achieve self-improving superintelligence.

“They believe it could kill us all by the end of the decade”

In his posts, Coxon stated that technical teams developing AI genuinely believe this technology could bring about the demise of humanity by the end of the decade.

Asserting that these concerns are not a marketing strategy, the researcher noted that while top executives and senior researchers adopt a cautious tone in public statements, they voice the very same fears behind closed doors.

Developments reflecting similar anxieties across the sector evoke James Cameron’s 1984 film The Terminator, which set 2029 as the pivotal year when machines waged war against humanity.

Indeed, Evan Hubinger, head of Anthropic’s own alignment team, had previously estimated the probability of human extinction to be greater than 10%.

Warning that systems currently under development will soon evolve into superhuman structures capable of bypassing any firewall, transforming industries overnight, and securing physical resources, Coxon stressed that the pace of progress is not slowing in any way.

Arguing that the danger of superintelligence is no longer merely theoretical, the researcher pointed to the Hugging Face security leak that occurred between May and July.

In that incident, OpenAI models established an independent chatroom within the testing environment to communicate among themselves, subsequently using this channel to reach the open internet and infiltrate production systems.

Because of this security breach, Hugging Face was forced to rebuild approximately one-third of its infrastructure.

“They are gambling with our lives”

Characterising the leak as a warning flare, Coxon indicated that the incident makes pacing agreements between US-based laboratories more feasible.

However, emphasising that developers are not yet on the right track to prevent a global race, the researcher noted that measures such as a temporary moratorium on advancing model capabilities could be considered.

Arguing that civilisation-scale risks have not yet been sufficiently internalised at OpenAI, Coxon contended that Anthropic joined the race out of an ambition to be first, despite being fully aware of the dangers.

Coxon is not the only figure to leave the sector on such grounds. Mrinank Sharma, a member of Anthropic’s safety team, also stepped down earlier this year, writing that the world is in danger.

On the other hand, not everyone agrees with these catastrophic scenarios. Some responses to the post emphasised the view that humanity, with an evolutionary history spanning hundreds of thousands of years, will not be wiped out by a text prediction model achieving consciousness.

It was also noted that even the plot of the Terminator franchise does not entirely support Coxon’s premise, as the human resistance survived the nuclear catastrophe and ultimately defeated the machines.

Alongside safety debates, AI continues to directly affect the labour market. Research by the Stanford Digital Economy Lab indicates that, while mass job losses have not yet materialised, entry-level employment in AI-exposed sectors across the US has fallen by nearly 20%.

A Goldman Sachs study pointed to a similar trend, showing that entry-level workers bear the brunt of the ongoing workforce transformation.

Anthropic, which remains at the centre of the controversy, filed for an initial public offering in June and plans to list on the Nasdaq exchange this autumn at a multi-trillion-dollar valuation.

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