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Orbán government’s unwavering support for Israel continues amid EU pressure

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Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán’s support for Israel’s actions in Gaza continues unabated.

In the last week of August, Orbán suggested that if the proportion of Muslim voters in a country increases relative to Jewish voters, that country’s government will pursue a “pro-Palestinian and pro-Islamic” policy, after which “Jews will have to pack up and leave the country.”

The Prime Minister appeared as a guest on the YouTube program Warriors’ Hour, answering questions about migration, Israel, and the situation of Jews in Europe.

During a discussion about migration and France’s desire to recognize a Palestinian state, Orbán warned that migration poses two main risks. According to him, one is “terror and crime,” and the other is its impact on “democratic” systems.

Explaining his view on the ratio of Muslim and Jewish voters, the Hungarian leader stated, “That’s how math works, that’s how democracy works, and the Jews will have to pack up and go,” further suggesting that this is already happening in many Western European countries.

Orbán described the two-state solution as an “illusion,” stating that an independent Palestinian state could only be considered if both sides recognized each other.

The Hungarian leader said this is not the case today, as Israel opposes a two-state solution due to “security concerns.” He remarked, “As long as neither party recognizes the other, there is nothing to talk about. Therefore, I think that keeping the two-state solution on the agenda prevents the kind of agreements that could otherwise be reached. It means keeping an illusion alive that reduces or completely prevents cooperation under the current circumstances. That is why I am cautious on this issue.”

Israel’s Ambassador to Hungary, Maya Kadosh, also expressed her thanks to Viktor Orbán on her social media account, saying, “Thank you for your clear and courageous stance, Prime Minister Viktor Orbán!”

This issue was also a main topic at the government-backed MCC Fest held in Esztergom in August, during a panel discussion moderated by Fanni Surjányi, Director of the MCC Middle East Research Project. The panel featured Israeli Deputy Foreign Minister Sharren Haskel, Actionable Consultancy Director Mzahem Alsaloum, Middle East expert and researcher Nir Boms from Tel Aviv University’s Moshe Dayan Center, and former British Army commander Richard Kemp.

The Israeli Deputy Foreign Minister, who was visiting Hungary to strengthen bilateral cooperation between the two countries, criticized French President Emmanuel Macron’s intention to recognize a Palestinian state, saying it “encourages terrorists.”

Haskel, who also served in the military, described the war as “terrible” and warned Macron, “The road to hell is paved with good intentions, and walking down this path can lead to terrible consequences.”

Haskel explained that the war in Gaza could end in only one way: “When Hamas releases the approximately 50 Israeli hostages it has held in torture chambers since the terrorist attacks of October 7, 2023.”

The Israeli official had warned that “bowing to the demands of terrorists will only lead to more violence.”

According to the Israeli Deputy Foreign Minister, this conflict was not a territorial war but a “religious war against radical Islamist ideology,” which Western leaders like Macron did not understand.

In her view, Hamas is fighting against “universal Western values,” leaving Israel with no option but to defend itself.

Arguing that Israel constantly turns crises into strength, the Israeli official added, “These are all opportunities, even the terrible attack on October 7; because this attack enabled the international community to free Lebanon and Syria from Iran’s influence. We must seize this opportunity.”

In July, Hungary was among the countries that most strongly opposed the EU’s desire to take action against Israel’s attempt to annex the West Bank.

Despite growing support among several EU member states for tougher measures, a group of countries led by Hungary, including Germany and the Czech Republic, repeatedly resisted any punitive measures against Israel.

Hungary, in particular, acts as Israel’s closest ally within the EU, regularly vetoing joint statements and measures critical of Israeli policy.

Hungarian Foreign Minister Péter Szijjártó had indicated before the EU foreign ministers’ meeting in July that there would be strong pressure in Brussels to impose sanctions on Israeli settlers.

Despite this, the foreign minister said it would be the wrong decision because now is the “time for dialogue and diplomacy, not sanctions.”

Szijjártó concluded, “Hungary’s interest is to reach a ceasefire and a hostage agreement as soon as possible. This will ensure the release of the Hungarian hostage held by Hamas, Omri Miran.”

The Hungarian Foreign Minister had previously told his Israeli counterpart, Gideon Sa’ar, that his government would push for the intensification of the EU-Israel Association Council’s work in the spirit of the importance of dialogue.

The minister also added that Hungary would continue to oppose the EU’s inclusion of Israeli individuals on its sanctions list.

The Orbán government also did not enforce the International Criminal Court’s (ICC) arrest warrant for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

In April, Orbán hosted Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in Budapest, describing Israel as the “mainstay of the Middle East.”

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EU states hold talks with Taliban in Brussels on Afghan returns

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Representatives from 15 European Union member states met with the Taliban in Brussels on June 23 to discuss the return of Afghan nationals to Afghanistan.

A European Commission spokesperson said on Tuesday that the meeting was co-chaired with Sweden. Belgium and the Netherlands also took part.

The Commission stressed that the discussions primarily focused on the return of Afghan citizens with criminal records or those considered security threats.

Talks covered a wide range of issues, including the identification of returnees, the issuance of travel documents and procedures related to their repatriation.

However, Johannes Luchner, a senior European Commission official who travelled to Kabul in January, had previously indicated that the scope could extend beyond convicted individuals.

Addressing European lawmakers at the end of January, he said: “Our primary concern is the return of criminals, but the number of non-criminal Afghans who have received return orders is also increasing.”

Another EU source has now expressed a similar view. Speaking to EUobserver on Tuesday ahead of the meeting, the source said the discussions would also cover the return of asylum seekers whose applications had been rejected.

Earlier in the day, the Commission declined to provide details about the meeting.

As a result, questions remained unanswered regarding who covered the Taliban delegation’s travel expenses, where the meeting would take place, whether women would participate and what the Taliban expected in return for assisting the EU with deportations of Afghan nationals.

The EU and its member states have not recognised the Taliban government since it returned to power five years ago.

Brussels defended its decision to maintain limited contacts with Afghanistan’s “de facto authorities,” arguing that such engagement is necessary to facilitate the deportation of rejected asylum seekers who have committed crimes or are considered dangerous.

A European Commission spokesperson said officials from the Commission and 15 EU member states attended the Brussels meeting, which followed a previous gathering held in Kabul in January.

“The Commission services and Sweden today co-chaired a technical-level meeting in Brussels together with technical-level representatives of Afghanistan’s de facto authorities responsible for return and readmission matters,” the spokesperson said.

A spokesperson for Afghanistan’s Foreign Ministry said the agenda was broader and included the possibility of a future consular presence in the EU, the resumption of consular services for Afghans living there and “the need for confidence-building measures.”

Spokesperson Abdul Qahar Balkhi added that the meeting raised hopes of creating “positive momentum to safeguard the consular rights of Afghans residing abroad.”

According to a European Commission letter addressed to Balkhi and reviewed by Reuters, the discussions would focus on “the return and readmission of Afghan nationals without a right to reside in the EU.”

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EU defence chief calls for integration of Ukraine’s military into European defence architecture

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The European Union’s Defence Commissioner, Andrius Kubilius, said the bloc should integrate Ukraine into a future European defence union, speaking at the European Defence and Security Summit in Brussels.

According to remarks reported by Reuters, Kubilius said: “It would be difficult to make sense of things if we did not regard the integration of Ukraine’s armed forces into our defence architecture in Europe as a vital issue.”

Kubilius stressed that Ukraine currently holds a dominant position on the battlefield thanks to the transformation of its military doctrine.

Calling for the integration of Europe’s defence industry and Ukraine’s manufacturing facilities into a single military structure, Kubilius said Ukraine should be fully integrated into the EU’s military market.

He added that the European Commission could present a detailed analysis of the defence market and initial proposals for next steps as early as next week.

At a later stage, the commissioner said, the Commission would propose changes to defence procurement rules and other market regulations.

Kubilius also outlined a strategic objective for the European Union.

He argued that EU member states should spend around €7 trillion on arms production over the next decade in order to surpass Russia in military strength and weapons stockpiles. According to Kubilius, such spending would be consistent with commitments under NATO to raise defence budgets to 5% of gross domestic product.

Urging Europeans to be prepared to bear the cost, Kubilius described it as “the price of peace.”

At the same time, he suggested moving away from the production of highly sophisticated weapons that are difficult to manufacture in large quantities. Instead, citing the example of drones used in Ukraine, he called for a focus on producing “enormous quantities of satisfactory weapons.”

The EU Defence Commissioner also underscored the need to integrate Ukraine’s innovative defence industry into Europe’s broader defence and technological base.

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Hungary blocks joint EU letter backing Ukraine and Moldova accession process

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Hungary has refused to endorse a joint letter intended to be sent on behalf of all 27 European Union member states to the European Council and the European Commission in support of Ukraine’s and Moldova’s accession to the bloc.

According to Politico, citing sources familiar with the matter, the letter is required for Kyiv’s and Chisinau’s membership applications to advance to the next stage of the accession process.

The sources said Hungary was the only member state that declined to back the document. Because approval requires the consent of all 27 member states, the issue is expected to be revisited next week.

Hungary, which previously blocked Ukraine’s accession negotiations for an extended period, was led at the time by Prime Minister Viktor Orban. His successor, Prime Minister Peter Magyar, has not opposed the launch of the negotiation process but has insisted on removing the phrase “as soon as possible” from the draft letter’s reference to Ukraine’s accession.

Magyar said Hungary does not support opening all negotiating chapters simultaneously in an effort to accelerate Ukraine’s membership bid.

Explaining the government’s position, he said: “Partly because the ink on the documents relating to the first chapter has barely dried, and partly because this would send the wrong message to Western Balkan countries such as Serbia, Albania, Montenegro and North Macedonia, which have been working for years to become members of the European Union.”

The European Union formally opened the first chapter of accession negotiations with Ukraine and Moldova in June. The process was launched during a ceremony in Luxembourg attended by the foreign ministers of member states and is divided into six thematic clusters covering different areas of legislation and policy.

The opening of the first cluster, which covers core issues including the rule of law, the functioning of democratic institutions and public administration, marks the transition from the preparatory phase to practical work on meeting accession requirements.

The EU’s ambassador to Ukraine, Katarina Mathernova, has said Kyiv could join the bloc by 2030, although the final timeline will depend on how quickly the Ukrainian authorities complete the required legal and institutional reforms.

Mathernova also said she hoped all 33 negotiating chapters could be opened by the end of the summer.

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