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Pakistan to get new army chief

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General Qamar Javed Bajwa, the chief of Pakistan’s army is set to retire on November 29, leaving responsibility to the Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif to name a new commander. Sharif seems poisoned to announce the next army chief, but it has been controversial as former Prime Minister Imran Khan asked that a new army chief should only be named after the country holds snap elections.

Khan since his ouster in April in a no-confidence vote has repeatedly held long-march with one demand, earlier elections, but these calls have never been accepted by Sharif, who emphasized to hold elections on its due time in 2023.

Khan, the former cricket hero, also survived an assassination attempt this month, but received injuries in the leg. A gunman opened fire on his container truck during a march toward the capital city Islamabad, wounding him, killing a rallygoer and wounding 13 others. Khan, who started his protest march from the eastern city of Lahore on Oct. 28, wants Sharif to immediately resign.

Anyways, there is a list of senior army generals as candidates for the key post owned by General Bajwa for the past six years. It has also ended days of speculation about a deadlock between Sharif’s coalition government and the military over the replacement of General Bajwa. Six generals were poised to replace General Bajwa, and the defense ministry sent these names to the government.

Who are General Bajwa’s possible successors?

According to sources, Pakistan defense ministry received names of six senior-most generals of Pakistan Army, in which Sharif apart from picking the name of the next Army Chief, he also will pick the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. These names include Lt. Gen. Asim Munir, Lt. Gen. Sahir Shamshad Mirza, Lt. Gen. Azhar Abbas, Lt. Gen. Nauman Mehmood, Lt. Gen. Faiz Hamid and Lt. Gen. Mohammad Amir. So far, neither the military nor the government confirmed these names or disclosed the names of the generals who were on the panel.

Why army chief appointment is a matter of debate

The Pakistan defense minister has tried to suggest that the new chief army appointment should not be a topic of public debate as a legal process is underway for the next army that probably will take one or two days. Khawaja Asif said he has no idea whether the new army chief’s appointment will be done on a seniority basis or merit, but said names will be finalized by tomorrow (Thursday).

The coalition parties and federal ministers will be taken into confidence on the appointment but regardless of politics, decisions should be made in the national interest, according to Asif.

There are rumors that Gen Asim Munir, former spy chief head, will be the next army chief, but Asif stated the appointment of the new chief should not be a part of public debate.

This key appointment in the past has never attracted so much jockeying, lobbying and controversy, but this time is mainly because Khan blamed the military led by General Bajwa for his ouster. The powerful army under direct order of General Bajwa that has often led the country and has often decided who governs in, denied Khan’s allegations. General Bajwa became army chief in 2016 and it was Mr. Khan extended his service for another three years.

General Bajwa’s family members made millions during his tenure

General Bajwa’s family members and relatives became millionaires during his six-year tenure, making assets amounting to nearly $56 million.

An online investigative news portal FactFocus shared the alleged wealth statements of General Bajwa and his family from 2013 to 2021 on its page. General Bajwa’s immediate and extended family members started a new business, became owners of farmhouses in prominent cities of Pakistan and bought foreign properties, making millions of dollars, according to the report.

The report was supported by a lot of data that looks into the financial dealing of General Bajwa’s family including his wife Ayesha Amjad, his daughter-in-law Mahnoor Sabir and other close family members.

The Pakistani Finance Ministry reacted to the news and said it has taken “serious notice” of the leak, calling it a violation of the tax law and breach of official confidential data.

The ministry said that leaking the army chief’s income tax returns was “illegal”, and people behind the leak have been identified – one from Lahore and another from Rawalpindi. Based on the Pakistani law, no one is allowed to release the army chief or anyone else’s income tax returns without a court order.

General Bajwa in his last public address focused on national interest

In what is being seen as the last public address, General Bajwa said that the Pakistan army will never go against the interest of the country and called on the stakeholders to sit together to resolve differences for the betterment of the country.

While delivering his address as army chief at the Defense and Martyrs Day ceremony at the General Headquarters (GHQ), Rawalpindi, he said that in the last 70 years, the army was involved in the country’s political affairs in different stages during the span of time.

General Bajwa said that the army decided to stay out of political affairs last year, but said if a conspiracy is being hatched, thus the armed forces will not stay quiet.

General Bajwa explained that the army’s primary job is to protect the geographical borders of the country, but the military has always stepped up beyond its mandate to serve the public, and those who are trying to incite hatred of the army among the public will be unsuccessful in their objective.

Pakistan military has recently faced a barrage of criticism 

The Pakistan military has recently faced a barrage of criticism for their role in changing the government whenever they want in one or other way. There is no Prime Minister in the history of Pakistan that has completed his/her term in office. Mr. Khan was the only Prime Minister with expectation to complete its term, but removed from office as what he alleged in foreign conspiracy supported by General Bajwa.

The important and likely the last message of General Bajwa from an official position to the government leadership, was to put aside political differences as Pakistan is facing a severe economic crisis, and the country needs healing and recovery. There is no way out from this quagmire and no political group can do anything alone. Political stability is imperative for improving the economy and stakeholders must learn from frequent and move forward and drag Pakistan out of this crisis.

ASIA

Chinese, Russian troops hold joint exercise targeting cross-border terrorism

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China and Russia have held a joint military exercise focusing on cross-border terrorism, amid growing concern over terrorist attacks in Moscow.

The drill was held on 25 June in a river area near the Heilongjiang Bridge linking Russia’s Blagoveshchensk and China’s Heihe, the Chinese military’s official media outlet PLA Daily reported on Tuesday.

It was the first joint counter-terrorism drill between the neighbouring countries since Russia’s intervention in Ukraine.

It came just days after terrorist attacks in Russia’s southern region of Dagestan on 23 June, in which at least 22 people were killed in shootings at two synagogues, two Orthodox churches and a police station.

In March, more than 140 people were killed in an attack on a concert hall in Moscow, the deadliest terrorist attack in Russia for almost two decades. The Khorosan branch of ISIS claimed responsibility for the attack.

According to the PLA Daily, last week’s joint exercise simulated ‘terrorists trying to cross the border’ to launch an attack.

Chinese and Russian troops used aerial reconnaissance, maritime interception and land ambush to intercept and capture the terrorists during the exercise.

The exercise, which focused on improving intelligence sharing and operational coordination, showed the “firm determination” of both militaries to take effective measures to “combat all forms of terrorism, separatism and extremism” while jointly securing border areas, the report said.

The report also said that the two sides discussed further deepening border cooperation.

This is not the first time the two countries have held joint counter-terrorism exercises. In 2019, China’s People’s Armed Police took part in an exercise with the Russian National Guard in Russia.

According to Tass, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov reaffirmed the two countries’ ongoing cooperation in the fight against terrorism, including on multilateral platforms, during a meeting with his Chinese counterpart Wang Yi in April.

Aiming to strengthen law enforcement cooperation

Last week’s joint exercise follows an agreement between Chinese and Russian leaders during Russian President Vladimir Putin’s visit to Beijing in May to strengthen cooperation in law enforcement and defence, including by expanding joint training and exercises.

The Chinese and Russian coast guards also signed a memorandum of understanding on maritime law enforcement cooperation in April last year.

In March, China and Russia organised a naval exercise with Iran focusing on anti-piracy efforts. China and Russia also held joint naval and air exercises in the Sea of Japan, or East Sea, in July last year.

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Controversial military operations and ethnic dynamics in Pakistan’s fight against terrorism

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In a recent high-level meeting, the federal government of Pakistan announced its intention to launch a new military operation against terrorist organizations. This decision is aimed at eradicating militancy under the banner of Azm-i-Istehkam. Surprisingly, the military leadership has remained silent on this proposed operation, leaving the advocacy to political figures, notably Defense Minister Khawaja Asif of the Pakistan Muslim League (PML-N).

The Pakistan People’s Party (PPP), a significant coalition partner in the federal government, has maintained a conspicuous silence on the matter. Meanwhile, despite the approval from Khyber Pakhtunkhwa’s Chief Minister Ali Amin Gandapur, factions within Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) and the Sunni Ittehad Council have openly opposed the operation. This divergence in political opinion highlights the complex dynamics at play in Pakistan’s approach to counter-terrorism.

The opposition from various regional and ethnic parties, including the Pashtun Protection Movement (PTM), Pakhtunkhwa Milli Awami Party (PkMAP), and the Awami National Party (ANP), stems from deep-seated concerns about the operation’s focus and its implications. Historically, PTI and PkMAP have not been staunchly anti-Taliban. PTI’s leader, Imran Khan, has consistently opposed military actions against Taliban militants, advocating instead for dialogue. Similarly, PkMAP leader Mehmood Khan Achakzai, while ostensibly opposing terrorism, is perceived to have friendly relations with the Taliban, as evidenced by the relative safety of his party members from Taliban attacks.

Significant religious-political entities have complex stances on militancy in Pakistan

The relative safety of certain political groups, like PTM and the National Democratic Movement, from Taliban violence raises questions. Critics argue that this perceived immunity could suggest covert alliances or understandings, casting doubt on the motivations behind their opposition to the military operation.

Jamiat Ulama-e-Islam (JUI-F) and Jamaat-e-Islami (JI), both significant religious-political entities, have complex stances on militancy. JUI-F’s position has been ambiguous since the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan in 1979. In contrast, JI, having reaped substantial benefits from the Afghan war, now finds itself sidelined and is striving to reassert its relevance by attempting to align with nationalist sentiments.

The media and sections of the government, particularly those influenced by Punjabi and Urdu-speaking elites, have often portrayed the Taliban as predominantly Pashtun. This narrative has led to the proposed military operation being focused on Pashtun-majority areas, such as Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Balochistan. Defense Minister Khawaja Asif’s statement that the operation will target these regions reinforces this perception.

Pashtun-dominated regions reject the notion that terrorism is a Pashtun phenomenon

However, leaders from Pashtun-dominated regions, like Khan Muhammad Wazir of the ANP, reject the notion that terrorism is a Pashtun phenomenon. Wazir points to the involvement of non-Pashtun militants in numerous terror attacks across Pakistan. He highlights the role of Punjabi militants in groups like the Punjabi Taliban, Lashkar-e-Jhangvi, and Jamaat-ul-Ahrar, who have orchestrated some of the deadliest attacks in recent years. Wazir’s argument underscores the ethnic diversity of militant groups in Pakistan, challenging the stereotype of the Pashtun terrorist.

Wazir’s emotional plea for an operation starting in Punjab, rather than Pashtun areas, aims to shift the focus to the diverse origins of militancy. He names several key figures from Punjab involved in terrorist activities, such as Tariq Lahori of Daesh and Maulana Qasmi of Jamaat-ul-Ahrar. By highlighting these figures, Wazir seeks to demonstrate that terrorism in Pakistan is not confined to any single ethnic group.

Doubt on the narration of the proposed military operation “Azm-i-Istekham”

The insistence on a military operation in Pashtun regions, driven by a media narrative dominated by Punjabi and Urdu-speaking elites, risks alienating the Pashtun community. Wazir’s call for international intervention by entities like China, the United States, Russia, the United Nations, and the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) underscores the severity of this perceived ethnic targeting. If the government and media continue to frame terrorism as a predominantly Pashtun issue, it may lead to increased ethnic tensions and further marginalize the Pashtun population.

The proposed military operation “Azm-i-Istehkam” and the political dynamics surrounding it reveal deep-seated ethnic and regional tensions within Pakistan. While the operation aims to eradicate terrorism, its focus on Pashtun areas risks reinforcing harmful stereotypes and overlooking the broader ethnic diversity of militant groups. A more equitable approach, recognizing the involvement of non-Pashtun militants and addressing the root causes of militancy across all regions, is crucial for fostering national unity and effectively combating terrorism. Only through such an inclusive strategy can Pakistan hope to achieve lasting peace and stability.

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Huawei Harmony aims to end China’s reliance on Windows and Android

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While Chinese tech giant Huawei’s recent smartphone launches have been closely watched for signs of progress in China’s chip supply chain, the company has also developed expertise in sectors vital to Beijing’s vision of technological self-sufficiency, from operating systems to car software.

Chinese President Xi Jinping told the CPC Politburo last year that China must fight hard to localise operating systems and other technologies “as soon as possible” as the US restricts exports of advanced chips and other components.

OpenHarmony, developed by Huawei, is widely promoted in China as the “national operating system”.

“This strategic move is likely to erode the market share of Western operating systems such as Android and Windows in China as local products gain traction,” Sunny Cheung, an associate fellow at the Jamestown Foundation, a US defence policy group, told Reuters.

In the first quarter of 2024, Huawei’s own version of the HarmonyOS operating system overtook Apple’s iOS to become the second best-selling mobile operating system in China after Android, according to research firm Counterpoint. It has not yet been released on smartphones outside China.

“Harmony has created a strong core operating system for the future of China’s devices,” Richard Yu, president of Huawei’s consumer business group, said at the opening of a developer conference last week.

Self-sufficiency

Huawei first introduced Harmony in August 2019, three months after Washington imposed trade restrictions over alleged security concerns. Huawei denies that its equipment poses a risk.

Since then, China has stepped up its self-sufficiency efforts, pulling out of the main code-sharing centre Github and supporting a local version, Gitee.

China banned the use of Windows on government computers in 2014 and now uses mostly Linux-based operating systems.

Microsoft derives only 1.5 per cent of its revenue from China, its chief executive said this month.

Originally built on an open-source Android system, Huawei this year released the first “pure” version of HarmonyOS, which no longer supports Android-based apps, further separating China’s app ecosystem from the rest of the world.

Huawei said in its 2023 annual report that OpenHarmony was the fastest-growing open source operating system for smart devices last year, with more than 70 organisations contributing to it and more than 460 hardware and software products produced in the financial, education, aerospace and industrial sectors.

Visited by Reuters, Charlie Cheng, deputy director of the Harmony Ecosystem Innovation Centre, said the aim of making it open-source was to replicate Android’s success in eliminating licensing costs for users and provide companies with a customisable springboard for their own products.

“Harmony will definitely become a mainstream operating system and give the world a new choice of operating systems besides iOS and Android,” he said.

Google, Apple and Microsoft did not respond to requests for comment.

China’s previous efforts to build large open source projects have struggled to gain traction among developers, but Huawei’s growing smartphone market share and extra work to develop a broader ecosystem gives Harmony an edge, analysts said.

Huawei’s Yu said this month that more than 900 million devices, including smartphones, watches and car systems, were running HarmonyOS and that 2.4 million developers were coding in the ecosystem.

“OpenHarmony will need more time and iterations for these developers to feel more confident about working with OpenHarmony,” Emma Xu, an analyst at research firm Canalys, told Reuters, adding: “But the reputation, behaviour and trust that HarmonyOS has achieved will certainly have a positive impact.”

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